WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 66 – 72
Las Vegas Aces @ Phoenix Mercury

Aces: 1-6 (14.3%)

Mercury: 6-3 (66.7%)

Line: -12.0

Total: 168.0

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Injury Report LVANo report PHXNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Aces Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/13/18 2018	Aces	-	@	Liberty	-	+10.0	163.5	-	-
06/12/18 2018	Aces	-	@	Fever	-	+4.0	162.0	-	-
06/10/18 2018	Aces	-	@	Mercury	-	+12.0	168.0	-	-
06/08/18	Aces	83	vs.	Dream	87	+4.5	162.5	+4	O 170 +7.5
2018	ORtg: 100.1 DRtg: 104.9 Pace: 83.0			ORtg: 104.9 DRtg: 100.1 Pace: 83.0
06/03/18	Aces	90	@	Sky	95	+4.5	165.5	+5	O 185 +19.5
2018	ORtg: 101.9 DRtg: 107.6 Pace: 88.3			ORtg: 107.6 DRtg: 101.9 Pace: 88.3
06/01/18	Aces	85	vs.	Mystics	73	+7.5	168.0	-12	U 158 -10.0
2018	ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 74.5			ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 74.5
05/31/18	Aces	74	@	Storm	101	+11.5	169.0	+27	O 175 +6.0
2018	ORtg: 95.8 DRtg: 130.8 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 130.8 DRtg: 95.8 Pace: 77.2
05/27/18	Aces	98	vs.	Storm	105	+5.5	163.5	+7	O 203 +39.5
2018	ORtg: 113.2 DRtg: 121.3 Pace: 86.6			ORtg: 121.3 DRtg: 113.2 Pace: 86.6
05/22/18	Aces	70	@	Mystics	75	+18.0	154.5	+5	U 145 -9.5
2018	ORtg: 81.5 DRtg: 87.3 Pace: 85.9			ORtg: 87.3 DRtg: 81.5 Pace: 85.9
05/20/18	Aces	65	@	Sun	101	+17.5	154.0	+36	O 166 +12.0
2018	ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 85.1

Away Games Avg (4 games)		74.8	-	-	93.0	+12.9	160.8	+18.3 -5.4	O 167.8 +7.0
	ORtg: 88.9 DRtg: 111.1 Pace: 84.1			ORtg: 111.1 DRtg: 88.9 Pace: 84.1

All Games Avg (7 games)		80.7	-	-	91.0	+9.9	162.4	+10.3 -0.4	O 171.7 +9.3
	ORtg: 97.6 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 82.9			ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 97.6 Pace: 82.9

Mercury Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/16/18 2018	Mercury	-	vs.	Sun	-	-5.5	172.5	-	-
06/12/18 2018	Mercury	-	@	Wings	-	+1.0	169.5	-	-
06/10/18 2018	Mercury	-	vs.	Aces	-	-12.0	168.0	-	-
06/08/18	Mercury	96	vs.	Sky	79	-9.5	168.5	-17	O 175 +6.5
2018	ORtg: 127.8 DRtg: 105.2 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 105.2 DRtg: 127.8 Pace: 75.1
06/05/18	Mercury	80	@	Liberty	74	+3.0	159.0	-6	U 154 -5.0
2018	ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 70.3			ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 70.3
06/03/18	Mercury	78	@	Dream	71	+1.0	161.0	-7	U 149 -12.0
2018	ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 93.5 Pace: 75.9			ORtg: 93.5 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 75.9
06/01/18	Mercury	95	@	Lynx	85	+8.0	156.5	-10	O 180 +23.5
2018	ORtg: 121.8 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 121.8 Pace: 78.0
05/30/18	Mercury	95	vs.	Mystics	103	-8.5	160.0	+8	O 198 +38.0
2018	ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 123.7 Pace: 83.2			ORtg: 123.7 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 83.2
05/27/18	Mercury	72	@	Sparks	80	+7.5	158.5	+8	U 152 -6.5
2018	ORtg: 100.7 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 71.5			ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 100.7 Pace: 71.5
05/23/18	Mercury	71	vs.	Storm	87	-5.5	156.5	+16	O 158 +1.5
2018	ORtg: 94.4 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 94.4 Pace: 75.2
05/20/18	Mercury	87	@	Storm	82	+2.5	155.5	-5	O 169 +13.5
2018	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 76.7
05/18/18	Mercury	86	vs.	Wings	78	-5.0	160.5	-8	O 164 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 79.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/17/17	Mercury	87	vs.	Sparks	89	+4.5	156.5	+2	O 176 +19.5
2017	ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 77.6

Home Games Avg (4 games this season)		87.0	-	-	86.8	-7.1	161.4	-0.3 -6.9	O 173.8 +12.4
	ORtg: 111.1 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 78.3			ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 111.1 Pace: 78.3

All Games Avg (9 games this season)		84.4	-	-	82.1	-0.7	159.6	-2.3 +1.6	O 166.6 +7.0
	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 76.2			ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 76.2

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) to the over at home

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) to the over as a fav

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) to the over as a home fav

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

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Mercury (Home)

The Mercury are 60% (6-4) against the spread

The Mercury are 40% (2-3) against the spread at home

The Mercury are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a home fav

The Mercury are 60% (6-4) to the over

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) to the over at home

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) to the over as a fav

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) to the over as a home fav

The Mercury are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mercury are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mercury are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Mercury are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the over

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Aces (Away)

The Aces are 50% (4-4) against the spread

The Aces are 40% (2-3) against the spread away

The Aces are 50% (4-4) against the spread as a dog

The Aces are 40% (2-3) against the spread as an away dog

The Aces are 62.5% (5-3) to the over

The Aces are 60% (3-2) to the over away

The Aces are 62.5% (5-3) to the over as a dog

The Aces are 60% (3-2) to the over as an away dog

The Aces are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Aces are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Aces are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Aces are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Aces are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Aces are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Aces are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Aces are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 2 seasons.