WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 88 – 86
Connecticut Sun @ New York Liberty

Sun: 5-1 (83.3%)

Liberty: 2-3 (40.0%)

Line: +5.5

Total: 165.5

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Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/13/18 2018	Sun	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-9.5	172.5	-	-
06/09/18 2018	Sun	-	vs.	Lynx	-	-5.5	167.5	-	-
06/07/18 2018	Sun	-	@	Liberty	-	-5.5	165.5	-	-
06/05/18	Sun	77	@	Dream	82	-6.5	165.0	+5	U 159 -6.0
2018	ORtg: 89.1 DRtg: 94.9 Pace: 86.4			ORtg: 94.9 DRtg: 89.1 Pace: 86.4
06/03/18	Sun	88	@	Mystics	64	-5.5	171.5	-24	U 152 -19.5
2018	ORtg: 113.6 DRtg: 82.6 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 82.6 DRtg: 113.6 Pace: 77.4
06/01/18	Sun	110	@	Sky	72	-9.0	170.5	-38	O 182 +11.5
2018	ORtg: 125.4 DRtg: 82.1 Pace: 87.7			ORtg: 82.1 DRtg: 125.4 Pace: 87.7
05/26/18	Sun	86	vs.	Fever	77	-16.5	163.5	-9	U 163 -0.5
2018	ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 82.7
05/24/18	Sun	102	vs.	Sparks	94	-4.5	162.0	-8	O 196 +34.0
2018	ORtg: 132.5 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 132.5 Pace: 77.0
05/20/18	Sun	101	vs.	Aces	65	-17.5	154.0	-36	O 166 +12.0
2018	ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 85.1
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/10/17	Sun	83	vs.	Mercury	88	-5.5	166.5	+5	O 171 +4.5
2017	ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 77.1
09/03/17	Sun	70	@	Sparks	81	+7.5	161.0	+11	U 151 -10.0
2017	ORtg: 87.6 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 87.6 Pace: 79.9
09/01/17	Sun	66	@	Mercury	86	+1.0	170.0	+20	U 152 -18.0
2017	ORtg: 83.3 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 83.3 Pace: 79.2
08/29/17	Sun	86	@	Mystics	76	+2.0	169.0	-10	U 162 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 92.0 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 92.0 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 82.6

Away Games Avg (3 games this season)		91.7	-	-	72.7	-7.0	169.0	-19.0 +12.0	U 164.3 -4.7
	ORtg: 109.4 DRtg: 86.5 Pace: 83.9			ORtg: 86.5 DRtg: 109.4 Pace: 83.9

All Games Avg (6 games this season)		94.0	-	-	75.7	-9.9	164.4	-18.3 +8.4	O 169.7 +5.3
	ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 91.9 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 91.9 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 82.7

Liberty Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/13/18 2018	Liberty	-	vs.	Aces	-	-10.0	163.5	-	-
06/10/18 2018	Liberty	-	vs.	Fever	-	-10.0	157.5	-	-
06/07/18 2018	Liberty	-	vs.	Sun	-	+5.5	165.5	-	-
06/05/18	Liberty	74	vs.	Mercury	80	-3.0	159.0	+6	U 154 -5.0
2018	ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 113.9 Pace: 70.3			ORtg: 113.9 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 70.3
06/02/18	Liberty	87	@	Fever	81 OT	-5.5	156.0	-6	O 168 +12.0
2018	ORtg: 102.8 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 102.8 Pace: 76.7
05/29/18	Liberty	94	vs.	Wings	89	-2.5	162.5	-5	O 183 +20.5
2018	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 82.3			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 82.3
05/25/18	Liberty	72	vs.	Lynx	78	+6.5	153.0	+6	U 150 -3.0
2018	ORtg: 97.4 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 73.9			ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 97.4 Pace: 73.9
05/20/18	Liberty	76	@	Sky	80	-6.5	152.5	+4	O 156 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 76.6
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/10/17	Liberty	68	vs.	Mystics	82	-5.5	153.5	+14	U 150 -3.5
2017	ORtg: 91.9 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 91.9 Pace: 74.0
09/03/17	Liberty	82	@	Wings	81	-3.5	167.5	-1	U 163 -4.5
2017	ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 77.4
09/01/17	Liberty	81	vs.	Stars	69	-13.0	150.0	-12	P 150 0.0
2017	ORtg: 112.0 DRtg: 95.4 Pace: 72.3			ORtg: 95.4 DRtg: 112.0 Pace: 72.3
08/27/17	Liberty	92	vs.	Sky	62	-7.0	161.0	-30	U 154 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 78.2 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 78.2 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 79.3
08/25/17	Liberty	74	vs.	Mystics	66	-4.5	157.0	-8	U 140 -17.0
2017	ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 68.9			ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 68.9

Home Games Avg (3 games this season)		80.0	-	-	82.3	+0.3	158.2	+2.3 -2.0	O 162.3 +4.2
	ORtg: 105.6 DRtg: 109.2 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 109.2 DRtg: 105.6 Pace: 75.5

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		80.6	-	-	81.6	-2.2	156.6	+1.0 -3.2	O 162.2 +5.6
	ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 76.0

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Liberty are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

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Liberty (Home)

The Liberty are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread

The Liberty are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 100% (2-0) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 100% (2-0) against the spread as a home dog

The Liberty are 66.7% (4-2) to the over

The Liberty are 50% (2-2) to the over at home

The Liberty are 50% (1-1) to the over as a dog

The Liberty are 50% (1-1) to the over as a home dog

The Liberty are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Liberty are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Liberty are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Liberty are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Liberty are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Liberty are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Liberty are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Liberty are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Sun (Away)

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread

The Sun are 50% (2-2) against the spread away

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 50% (2-2) against the spread as an away fav

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) to the over

The Sun are 50% (2-2) to the over away

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) to the over as a fav

The Sun are 50% (2-2) to the over as an away fav

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over

The Sun are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over away

The Sun are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Sun are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/18/17	Liberty	82	@	Sun	70	+6.0	167.0	-12	U 152 -15.0
2017	ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 85.6 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 85.6 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 81.8
07/19/17	Liberty	96	vs.	Sun	80	+2.5	162.0	-16	O 176 +14.0
2017	ORtg: 126.4 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 75.9			ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 126.4 Pace: 75.9
06/23/17	Liberty	89	vs.	Sun	94	-4.5	162.5	+5	O 183 +20.5
2017	ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 119.4 Pace: 78.7			ORtg: 119.4 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 78.7
06/14/17	Liberty	76	@	Sun	96	+2.0	161.5	+20	O 172 +10.5
2017	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 129.0 Pace: 74.4			ORtg: 129.0 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 74.4

Liberty as Home (2 games)		92.5	-	-	87.0	-1.0	162.3	-5.5 +4.5	O 179.5 +17.3
	ORtg: 119.7 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 119.7 Pace: 77.3

All Games Avg (4 games)		85.8	-	-	85.0	+1.5	163.3	-0.8 +2.3	O 170.8 +7.5
	ORtg: 110.5 DRtg: 109.8 Pace: 77.7			ORtg: 109.8 DRtg: 110.5 Pace: 77.7