WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 110 – 72
Connecticut Sun @ Chicago Sky

Sun: 3-0 (100.0%)

Sky: 2-2 (50.0%)

Line: +9.0

Total: 170.5

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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 4 for the Sun and game 5 for the Sky. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Sun after Fri, Jun 1, the Sky after Fri, May 25.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/05/18 2018	Sun	-	@	Dream	-	-6.5	165.0	-	-
06/03/18 2018	Sun	-	@	Mystics	-	-5.5	171.5	-	-
06/01/18 2018	Sun	-	@	Sky	-	-9.0	170.5	-	-
05/26/18	Sun	86	vs.	Fever	77	-16.5	163.5	-9	U 163 -0.5
2018	ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 82.7			ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 82.7
05/24/18	Sun	102	vs.	Sparks	94	-4.5	162.0	-8	O 196 +34.0
2018	ORtg: 132.5 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 132.5 Pace: 77.0
05/20/18	Sun	101	vs.	Aces	65	-17.5	154.0	-36	O 166 +12.0
2018	ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 85.1
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/10/17	Sun	83	vs.	Mercury	88	-5.5	166.5	+5	O 171 +4.5
2017	ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 77.1
09/03/17	Sun	70	@	Sparks	81	+7.5	161.0	+11	U 151 -10.0
2017	ORtg: 87.6 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 87.6 Pace: 79.9
09/01/17	Sun	66	@	Mercury	86	+1.0	170.0	+20	U 152 -18.0
2017	ORtg: 83.3 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 83.3 Pace: 79.2
08/29/17	Sun	86	@	Mystics	76	+2.0	169.0	-10	U 162 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 92.0 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 92.0 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 82.6
08/25/17	Sun	83	vs.	Sky	96	-10.0	174.0	+13	O 179 +5.0
2017	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 86.7			ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 86.7
08/23/17	Sun	93	vs.	Wings	87	-11.0	180.0	-6	P 180 0.0
2017	ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 86.7			ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 86.7
08/20/17	Sun	94	vs.	Mercury	66	-5.0	170.0	-28	U 160 -10.0
2017	ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 82.7 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 82.7 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 79.8

All Games Avg (3 games this season)		96.3	-	-	78.7	-12.8	159.8	-17.7 +4.8	O 175.0 +15.2
	ORtg: 118.4 DRtg: 97.2 Pace: 81.6			ORtg: 97.2 DRtg: 118.4 Pace: 81.6

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/08/18 2018	Sky	-	@	Mercury	-	+9.5	168.5	-	-
06/03/18 2018	Sky	-	vs.	Aces	-	-4.5	165.5	-	-
06/01/18 2018	Sky	-	vs.	Sun	-	+9.0	170.5	-	-
05/25/18	Sky	91	@	Storm	95 OT	+10.0	158.5	+4	O 186 +27.5
2018	ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 114.9 Pace: 74.9			ORtg: 114.9 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 74.9
05/23/18	Sky	63	vs.	Dream	81	+1.0	162.5	+18	U 144 -18.5
2018	ORtg: 82.5 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 82.5 Pace: 76.4
05/20/18	Sky	80	vs.	Liberty	76	+6.5	152.5	-4	O 156 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 76.6
05/19/18	Sky	82	@	Fever	64	+2.0	153.5	-18	U 146 -7.5
2018	ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 87.0 Pace: 73.5			ORtg: 87.0 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 73.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/03/17	Sky	80	vs.	Storm	85	-1.5	172.0	+5	U 165 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 83.1			ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 83.1
09/01/17	Sky	87	@	Lynx	110	+12.5	163.5	+23	O 197 +33.5
2017	ORtg: 99.4 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 87.5			ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 99.4 Pace: 87.5
08/30/17	Sky	96	vs.	Wings	99	-3.0	178.5	+3	O 195 +16.5
2017	ORtg: 120.7 DRtg: 124.5 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 124.5 DRtg: 120.7 Pace: 79.5
08/27/17	Sky	62	@	Liberty	92	+7.0	161.0	+30	U 154 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 78.2 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 78.2 Pace: 79.3
08/25/17	Sky	96	@	Sun	83	+10.0	174.0	-13	O 179 +5.0
2017	ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 86.7			ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 86.7
08/20/17	Sky	66	vs.	Storm	103	-2.0	168.0	+37	O 169 +1.0
2017	ORtg: 81.9 DRtg: 127.8 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 127.8 DRtg: 81.9 Pace: 80.6

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		71.5	-	-	78.5	+3.8	157.5	+7.0 -3.3	U 150.0 -7.5
	ORtg: 93.5 DRtg: 102.6 Pace: 76.5			ORtg: 102.6 DRtg: 93.5 Pace: 76.5

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		79.0	-	-	79.0	+4.9	156.8	0.0 +4.9	O 158.0 +1.3
	ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 101.8 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 101.8 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 75.4

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Notable Trends

The Sun are 75% (3-1) against the spread

The Sun are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 75% (3-1) to the over

The Sun are 75% (3-1) to the over as a fav

The Sun are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Sun are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

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Sky (Home)

The Sky are 60% (3-2) against the spread

The Sky are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread at home

The Sky are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Sky are 60% (3-2) to the over

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) to the over at home

The Sky are 60% (3-2) to the over as a dog

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as a home dog

The Sky are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sky are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Sky are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Sky are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Sky are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Sun (Away)