WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 103 – 95
Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury

Mystics: 4-1 (80.0%)

Mercury: 2-2 (50.0%)

Line: -8.5

Total: 160.0

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Injury Report WASNo report PHXNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/03/18 2018	Mystics	-	vs.	Sun	-	+5.5	171.5	-	-
06/01/18 2018	Mystics	-	@	Aces	-	-7.5	168.0	-	-
05/30/18 2018	Mystics	-	@	Mercury	-	+8.5	160.0	-	-
05/29/18	Mystics	77	@	Storm	81	+7.0	164.0	+4	U 158 -6.0
2018	ORtg: 98.6 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 98.6 Pace: 78.1
05/27/18	Mystics	90	vs.	Lynx	78	+5.5	159.0	-12	O 168 +9.0
2018	ORtg: 124.3 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 72.4			ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 124.3 Pace: 72.4
05/24/18	Mystics	93	@	Fever	84	-5.0	154.5	-9	O 177 +22.5
2018	ORtg: 119.4 DRtg: 107.8 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 107.8 DRtg: 119.4 Pace: 77.9
05/22/18	Mystics	75	vs.	Aces	70	-18.0	154.5	-5	U 145 -9.5
2018	ORtg: 87.3 DRtg: 81.5 Pace: 85.9			ORtg: 81.5 DRtg: 87.3 Pace: 85.9
05/20/18	Mystics	82	vs.	Fever	75	-13.0	153.5	-7	O 157 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 76.3
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/17/17	Mystics	70	vs.	Lynx	81	+6.5	164.0	+11	U 151 -13.0
2017	ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 72.7			ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 72.7
09/14/17	Mystics	83	@	Lynx	93	+11.0	163.0	+10	O 176 +13.0
2017	ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 123.9 Pace: 75.0			ORtg: 123.9 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 75.0
09/12/17	Mystics	81	@	Lynx	101	+10.5	161.5	+20	O 182 +20.5
2017	ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 140.5 Pace: 71.9			ORtg: 140.5 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 71.9
09/10/17	Mystics	82	@	Liberty	68	+5.5	153.5	-14	U 150 -3.5
2017	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 91.9 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 91.9 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 74.0
09/06/17	Mystics	86	vs.	Wings	76	-6.5	170.0	-10	U 162 -8.0
2017	ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 78.1

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		85.0	-	-	82.5	+1.0	159.3	-2.5 +3.5	O 167.5 +8.3
	ORtg: 109.0 DRtg: 105.8 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 105.8 DRtg: 109.0 Pace: 78.0

All Games Avg (5 games this season)		83.4	-	-	77.6	-4.7	157.1	-5.8 +1.1	O 161.0 +3.9
	ORtg: 107.4 DRtg: 99.8 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 99.8 DRtg: 107.4 Pace: 78.1

Mercury Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/03/18 2018	Mercury	-	@	Dream	-	+1.0	161.0	-	-
06/01/18 2018	Mercury	-	@	Lynx	-	+8.0	156.5	-	-
05/30/18 2018	Mercury	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-8.5	160.0	-	-
05/27/18	Mercury	72	@	Sparks	80	+7.5	158.5	+8	U 152 -6.5
2018	ORtg: 100.7 DRtg: 111.9 Pace: 71.5			ORtg: 111.9 DRtg: 100.7 Pace: 71.5
05/23/18	Mercury	71	vs.	Storm	87	-5.5	156.5	+16	O 158 +1.5
2018	ORtg: 94.4 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 94.4 Pace: 75.2
05/20/18	Mercury	87	@	Storm	82	+2.5	155.5	-5	O 169 +13.5
2018	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 76.7
05/18/18	Mercury	86	vs.	Wings	78	-5.0	160.5	-8	O 164 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 79.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/17/17	Mercury	87	vs.	Sparks	89	+4.5	156.5	+2	O 176 +19.5
2017	ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 77.6
09/14/17	Mercury	72	@	Sparks	86	+10.0	155.0	+14	O 158 +3.0
2017	ORtg: 92.4 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 92.4 Pace: 77.9
09/12/17	Mercury	66	@	Sparks	79	+8.5	155.5	+13	U 145 -10.5
2017	ORtg: 90.0 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 73.4			ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 90.0 Pace: 73.4
09/10/17	Mercury	88	@	Sun	83	+5.5	166.5	-5	O 171 +4.5
2017	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 77.1
09/06/17	Mercury	79	vs.	Storm	69	-4.5	164.0	-10	U 148 -16.0
2017	ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 73.3			ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 73.3
09/03/17	Mercury	84	vs.	Dream	70	-8.5	161.5	-14	U 154 -7.5
2017	ORtg: 109.9 DRtg: 91.6 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 91.6 DRtg: 109.9 Pace: 76.4

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		78.5	-	-	82.5	-5.3	158.5	+4.0 -9.3	O 161.0 +2.5
	ORtg: 101.2 DRtg: 106.8 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 106.8 DRtg: 101.2 Pace: 77.4

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		79.0	-	-	81.8	-0.1	157.8	+2.8 -2.9	O 160.8 +3.0
	ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 75.7

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) to the over

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

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Mercury (Home)

The Mercury are 40% (2-3) against the spread

The Mercury are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread at home

The Mercury are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) to the over

The Mercury are 100% (3-0) to the over at home

The Mercury are 100% (3-0) to the over as a fav

The Mercury are 100% (3-0) to the over as a home fav

The Mercury are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mercury are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mercury are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mercury are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Mercury are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Mercury are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Mercury are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Mercury are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Mystics (Away)

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread

The Mystics are 100% (3-0) against the spread away

The Mystics are 100% (3-0) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) against the spread as an away dog

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) to the over

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) to the over away

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) to the over as a dog

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) to the over as an away dog

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Mystics are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mystics are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Mystics are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/18/17	Mercury	89	@	Mystics	79	-3.5	161.5	-10	O 168 +6.5
2017	ORtg: 117.0 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 117.0 Pace: 76.1
08/06/17	Mercury	80	@	Mystics	85	+3.5	157.0	+5	O 165 +8.0
2017	ORtg: 103.6 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 103.6 Pace: 77.3
07/05/17	Mercury	88	vs.	Mystics	80	-1.0	163.0	-8	O 168 +5.0
2017	ORtg: 121.6 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 72.3			ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 121.6 Pace: 72.3

Mercury as Home (1 games)		88.0	-	-	80.0	-1.0	163.0	-8.0 +7.0	O 168.0 +5.0
	ORtg: 121.6 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 72.3			ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 121.6 Pace: 72.3

All Games Avg (3 games)		85.7	-	-	81.3	-0.3	160.5	-4.3 +4.0	O 167.0 +6.5
	ORtg: 114.1 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 114.1 Pace: 75.2