WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 72 – 80
Phoenix Mercury @ Los Angeles Sparks

Mercury: 2-1 (66.7%)

Sparks: 2-1 (66.7%)

Line: -7.5

Total: 158.5

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Injury Report PHXNo report LASNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 4 for the Mercury and game 4 for the Sparks. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Mercury after Sun, May 27, the Sparks after Sun, May 27.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Mercury Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/01/18 2018	Mercury	-	@	Lynx	-	+8.0	156.5	-	-
05/30/18 2018	Mercury	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-8.5	160.0	-	-
05/27/18 2018	Mercury	-	@	Sparks	-	+7.5	158.5	-	-
05/23/18	Mercury	71	vs.	Storm	87	-5.5	156.5	+16	O 158 +1.5
2018	ORtg: 94.4 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 94.4 Pace: 75.2
05/20/18	Mercury	87	@	Storm	82	+2.5	155.5	-5	O 169 +13.5
2018	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 76.7
05/18/18	Mercury	86	vs.	Wings	78	-5.0	160.5	-8	O 164 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 79.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/17/17	Mercury	87	vs.	Sparks	89	+4.5	156.5	+2	O 176 +19.5
2017	ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 77.6
09/14/17	Mercury	72	@	Sparks	86	+10.0	155.0	+14	O 158 +3.0
2017	ORtg: 92.4 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 92.4 Pace: 77.9
09/12/17	Mercury	66	@	Sparks	79	+8.5	155.5	+13	U 145 -10.5
2017	ORtg: 90.0 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 73.4			ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 90.0 Pace: 73.4
09/10/17	Mercury	88	@	Sun	83	+5.5	166.5	-5	O 171 +4.5
2017	ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 77.1
09/06/17	Mercury	79	vs.	Storm	69	-4.5	164.0	-10	U 148 -16.0
2017	ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 73.3			ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 73.3
09/03/17	Mercury	84	vs.	Dream	70	-8.5	161.5	-14	U 154 -7.5
2017	ORtg: 109.9 DRtg: 91.6 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 91.6 DRtg: 109.9 Pace: 76.4
09/01/17	Mercury	86	vs.	Sun	66	-1.0	170.0	-20	U 152 -18.0
2017	ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 83.3 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 83.3 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 79.2

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		87.0	-	-	82.0	+2.5	155.5	-5.0 +7.5	O 169.0 +13.5
	ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 76.7

All Games Avg (3 games this season)		81.3	-	-	82.3	-2.7	157.5	+1.0 -3.7	O 163.7 +6.2
	ORtg: 105.3 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 77.2			ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 105.3 Pace: 77.2

Sparks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/07/18 2018	Sparks	-	vs.	Storm	-	-6.5	168.0	-	-
06/03/18 2018	Sparks	-	vs.	Lynx	-	-5.5	158.0	-	-
05/27/18 2018	Sparks	-	vs.	Mercury	-	-7.5	158.5	-	-
05/24/18	Sparks	94	@	Sun	102	+4.5	162.0	+8	O 196 +34.0
2018	ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 132.5 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 132.5 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 77.0
05/22/18	Sparks	87	@	Fever	70	-8.5	150.5	-17	O 157 +6.5
2018	ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 91.0 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 91.0 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 77.0
05/20/18	Sparks	77	@	Lynx	76	+7.0	154.0	-1	U 153 -1.0
2018	ORtg: 95.6 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 95.6 Pace: 80.6
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/04/17	Sparks	76	@	Lynx	85	+5.0	154.0	+9	O 161 +7.0
2017	ORtg: 95.2 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 95.2 Pace: 79.8
10/01/17	Sparks	69	vs.	Lynx	80	-2.5	152.0	+11	U 149 -3.0
2017	ORtg: 89.3 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 89.3 Pace: 77.3
09/29/17	Sparks	75	vs.	Lynx	64	-2.5	154.5	-11	U 139 -15.5
2017	ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 84.6 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 84.6 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 75.7
09/26/17	Sparks	68	@	Lynx	70	+7.0	159.0	+2	U 138 -21.0
2017	ORtg: 90.6 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 90.6 Pace: 75.1
09/24/17	Sparks	85	@	Lynx	84	+5.5	157.0	-1	O 169 +12.0
2017	ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 82.1			ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 82.1
09/17/17	Sparks	89	@	Mercury	87	-4.5	156.5	-2	O 176 +19.5
2017	ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 77.6
09/14/17	Sparks	86	vs.	Mercury	72	-10.0	155.0	-14	O 158 +3.0
2017	ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 92.4 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 92.4 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 77.9

All Games Avg (3 games this season)		86.0	-	-	82.7	+1.0	155.5	-3.3 +4.3	O 168.7 +13.2
	ORtg: 110.2 DRtg: 105.9 Pace: 78.2			ORtg: 105.9 DRtg: 110.2 Pace: 78.2

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Records

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Notable Trends

The Sparks are 75% (3-1) against the spread

The Sparks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mercury are 75% (3-1) to the over

The Mercury are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

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Sparks (Home)

The Sparks are 75% (3-1) against the spread

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) against the spread at home

The Sparks are 100% (2-0) against the spread as a fav

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home fav

The Sparks are 50% (2-2) to the over

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) to the under at home

The Sparks are 50% (1-1) to the over as a fav

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) to the under as a home fav

The Sparks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sparks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sparks are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Sparks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Mercury (Away)

The Mercury are 50% (2-2) against the spread

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) against the spread away

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a dog

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Mercury are 75% (3-1) to the over

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) to the over away

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) to the over as a dog

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) to the over as an away dog

The Mercury are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mercury are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog