WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 77 – 86
Indiana Fever @ Connecticut Sun

Fever: 0-4 (0.0%)

Sun: 2-0 (100.0%)

Line: -16.5

Total: 163.5

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Injury Report INDNo report CONNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 5 for the Fever and game 3 for the Sun. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Fever after Thu, May 24, the Sun after Fri, Jun 1.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/08/18 2018	Fever	-	vs.	Wings	-	+6.5	167.0	-	-
06/02/18 2018	Fever	-	vs.	Liberty	-	+5.5	156.0	-	-
05/26/18 2018	Fever	-	@	Sun	-	+16.5	163.5	-	-
05/24/18	Fever	84	vs.	Mystics	93	+5.0	154.5	+9	O 177 +22.5
2018	ORtg: 107.8 DRtg: 119.4 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 119.4 DRtg: 107.8 Pace: 77.9
05/22/18	Fever	70	vs.	Sparks	87	+8.5	150.5	+17	O 157 +6.5
2018	ORtg: 91.0 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 91.0 Pace: 77.0
05/20/18	Fever	75	@	Mystics	82	+13.0	153.5	+7	O 157 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 76.3
05/19/18	Fever	64	vs.	Sky	82	-2.0	153.5	+18	U 146 -7.5
2018	ORtg: 87.0 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 73.5			ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 87.0 Pace: 73.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/02/17	Fever	71	vs.	Stars	75	-3.5	150.5	+4	U 146 -4.5
2017	ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 73.0
08/30/17	Fever	69	vs.	Lynx	80	+15.5	155.0	+11	U 149 -6.0
2017	ORtg: 97.2 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 71.0			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 97.2 Pace: 71.0
08/26/17	Fever	74	@	Dream	79	+9.5	158.0	+5	U 153 -5.0
2017	ORtg: 92.9 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 72.1			ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 92.9 Pace: 72.1
08/23/17	Fever	50	vs.	Liberty	71	+8.0	155.5	+21	U 121 -34.5
2017	ORtg: 70.7 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 70.8			ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 70.7 Pace: 70.8
08/20/17	Fever	82	vs.	Mystics	87	+5.5	157.5	+5	O 169 +11.5
2017	ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 119.5 Pace: 72.8			ORtg: 119.5 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 72.8
08/18/17	Fever	52	@	Lynx	111	+15.0	155.0	+59	O 163 +8.0
2017	ORtg: 66.7 DRtg: 142.4 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 142.4 DRtg: 66.7 Pace: 78.0

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		75.0	-	-	82.0	+13.0	153.5	+7.0 +6.0	O 157.0 +3.5
	ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 76.3

All Games Avg (4 games this season)		73.3	-	-	86.0	+6.1	153.0	+12.8 -6.6	O 159.3 +6.3
	ORtg: 96.0 DRtg: 112.9 Pace: 76.2			ORtg: 112.9 DRtg: 96.0 Pace: 76.2

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/03/18 2018	Sun	-	@	Mystics	-	-5.5	171.5	-	-
06/01/18 2018	Sun	-	@	Sky	-	-9.0	170.5	-	-
05/26/18 2018	Sun	-	vs.	Fever	-	-16.5	163.5	-	-
05/24/18	Sun	102	vs.	Sparks	94	-4.5	162.0	-8	O 196 +34.0
2018	ORtg: 132.5 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 132.5 Pace: 77.0
05/20/18	Sun	101	vs.	Aces	65	-17.5	154.0	-36	O 166 +12.0
2018	ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 85.1
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/10/17	Sun	83	vs.	Mercury	88	-5.5	166.5	+5	O 171 +4.5
2017	ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 77.1
09/03/17	Sun	70	@	Sparks	81	+7.5	161.0	+11	U 151 -10.0
2017	ORtg: 87.6 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 87.6 Pace: 79.9
09/01/17	Sun	66	@	Mercury	86	+1.0	170.0	+20	U 152 -18.0
2017	ORtg: 83.3 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 83.3 Pace: 79.2
08/29/17	Sun	86	@	Mystics	76	+2.0	169.0	-10	U 162 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 92.0 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 92.0 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 82.6
08/25/17	Sun	83	vs.	Sky	96	-10.0	174.0	+13	O 179 +5.0
2017	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 86.7			ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 86.7
08/23/17	Sun	93	vs.	Wings	87	-11.0	180.0	-6	P 180 0.0
2017	ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 86.7			ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 86.7
08/20/17	Sun	94	vs.	Mercury	66	-5.0	170.0	-28	U 160 -10.0
2017	ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 82.7 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 82.7 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 79.8
08/18/17	Sun	70	vs.	Liberty	82	-6.0	167.0	+12	U 152 -15.0
2017	ORtg: 85.6 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 85.6 Pace: 81.8

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		101.5	-	-	79.5	-11.0	158.0	-22.0 +11.0	O 181.0 +23.0
	ORtg: 125.6 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 81.0			ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 125.6 Pace: 81.0

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		101.5	-	-	79.5	-11.0	158.0	-22.0 +11.0	O 181.0 +23.0
	ORtg: 125.6 DRtg: 99.3 Pace: 81.0			ORtg: 99.3 DRtg: 125.6 Pace: 81.0

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season for the Sun: their records include last season.

The Fever are 75% (3-1) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

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Sun (Home)

The Sun are 57.9% (22-16) against the spread

The Sun are 47.6% (10-11) against the spread at home

The Sun are 57.7% (15-11) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 52.6% (10-9) against the spread as a home fav

The Sun are 51.4% (19-18-1) to the over

The Sun are 55% (11-9-1) to the over at home

The Sun are 64% (16-9-1) to the over as a fav

The Sun are 61.1% (11-7-1) to the over as a home fav

The Sun are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sun are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sun are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Sun are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Sun are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Sun are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Fever (Away)

The Fever are 40% (2-3) against the spread

The Fever are 100% (2-0) against the spread away

The Fever are 50% (2-2) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 100% (2-0) against the spread as an away dog

The Fever are 60% (3-2) to the over

The Fever are 50% (1-1) to the over away

The Fever are 75% (3-1) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 50% (1-1) to the over as an away dog

The Fever are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Fever are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Fever are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away