WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 91 – 95
Chicago Sky @ Seattle Storm

Sky: 2-1 (66.7%)

Storm: 1-1 (50.0%)

Line: -10.0

Total: 158.5

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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 4 for the Sky and game 3 for the Storm. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Sky after Fri, May 25, the Storm after Sun, May 27.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sky Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/03/18 2018	Sky	-	vs.	Aces	-	-4.5	165.5	-	-
06/01/18 2018	Sky	-	vs.	Sun	-	+9.0	170.5	-	-
05/25/18 2018	Sky	-	@	Storm	-	+10.0	158.5	-	-
05/23/18	Sky	63	vs.	Dream	81	+1.0	162.5	+18	U 144 -18.5
2018	ORtg: 82.5 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 82.5 Pace: 76.4
05/20/18	Sky	80	vs.	Liberty	76	+6.5	152.5	-4	O 156 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 104.5 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 76.6			ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 104.5 Pace: 76.6
05/19/18	Sky	82	@	Fever	64	+2.0	153.5	-18	U 146 -7.5
2018	ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 87.0 Pace: 73.5			ORtg: 87.0 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 73.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/03/17	Sky	80	vs.	Storm	85	-1.5	172.0	+5	U 165 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 83.1			ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 83.1
09/01/17	Sky	87	@	Lynx	110	+12.5	163.5	+23	O 197 +33.5
2017	ORtg: 99.4 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 87.5			ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 99.4 Pace: 87.5
08/30/17	Sky	96	vs.	Wings	99	-3.0	178.5	+3	O 195 +16.5
2017	ORtg: 120.7 DRtg: 124.5 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 124.5 DRtg: 120.7 Pace: 79.5
08/27/17	Sky	62	@	Liberty	92	+7.0	161.0	+30	U 154 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 78.2 DRtg: 116.0 Pace: 79.3			ORtg: 116.0 DRtg: 78.2 Pace: 79.3
08/25/17	Sky	96	@	Sun	83	+10.0	174.0	-13	O 179 +5.0
2017	ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 86.7			ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 86.7
08/20/17	Sky	66	vs.	Storm	103	-2.0	168.0	+37	O 169 +1.0
2017	ORtg: 81.9 DRtg: 127.8 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 127.8 DRtg: 81.9 Pace: 80.6
08/18/17	Sky	106	vs.	Sparks	115	+7.0	167.5	+9	O 221 +53.5
2017	ORtg: 112.5 DRtg: 122.1 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 122.1 DRtg: 112.5 Pace: 78.0

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		82.0	-	-	64.0	+2.0	153.5	-18.0 +20.0	U 146.0 -7.5
	ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 87.0 Pace: 73.5			ORtg: 87.0 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 73.5

All Games Avg (3 games this season)		75.0	-	-	73.7	+3.2	156.2	-1.3 +4.5	U 148.7 -7.5
	ORtg: 99.5 DRtg: 97.4 Pace: 75.5			ORtg: 97.4 DRtg: 99.5 Pace: 75.5

Storm Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/29/18 2018	Storm	-	vs.	Mystics	-	-7.0	164.0	-	-
05/27/18 2018	Storm	-	@	Aces	-	-5.5	163.5	-	-
05/25/18 2018	Storm	-	vs.	Sky	-	-10.0	158.5	-	-
05/23/18	Storm	87	@	Mercury	71	+5.5	156.5	-16	O 158 +1.5
2018	ORtg: 115.6 DRtg: 94.4 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 94.4 DRtg: 115.6 Pace: 75.2
05/20/18	Storm	82	vs.	Mercury	87	-2.5	155.5	+5	O 169 +13.5
2018	ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 76.7
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/06/17	Storm	69	@	Mercury	79	+4.5	164.0	+10	U 148 -16.0
2017	ORtg: 94.1 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 73.3			ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 94.1 Pace: 73.3
09/03/17	Storm	85	@	Sky	80	+1.5	172.0	-5	U 165 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 83.1			ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 83.1
09/01/17	Storm	106	@	Mystics	110	+2.0	160.5	+4	O 216 +55.5
2017	ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 131.1 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 131.1 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 76.0
08/27/17	Storm	71	vs.	Mercury	75	-5.0	164.0	+4	U 146 -18.0
2017	ORtg: 95.4 DRtg: 100.7 Pace: 74.5			ORtg: 100.7 DRtg: 95.4 Pace: 74.5
08/23/17	Storm	83	@	Dream	89	-4.5	163.5	+6	O 172 +8.5
2017	ORtg: 108.0 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 108.0 Pace: 76.8
08/20/17	Storm	103	@	Sky	66	+2.0	168.0	-37	O 169 +1.0
2017	ORtg: 127.8 DRtg: 81.9 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 81.9 DRtg: 127.8 Pace: 80.6
08/18/17	Storm	79	vs.	Stars	78	-10.0	154.5	-1	O 157 +2.5
2017	ORtg: 104.6 DRtg: 103.2 Pace: 75.6			ORtg: 103.2 DRtg: 104.6 Pace: 75.6
08/16/17	Storm	62	vs.	Lynx	61	+6.5	163.5	-1	U 123 -40.5
2017	ORtg: 93.4 DRtg: 91.9 Pace: 66.4			ORtg: 91.9 DRtg: 93.4 Pace: 66.4

Home Games Avg (1 game this season)		82.0	-	-	87.0	-2.5	155.5	+5.0 -7.5	O 169.0 +13.5
	ORtg: 106.9 DRtg: 113.4 Pace: 76.7			ORtg: 113.4 DRtg: 106.9 Pace: 76.7

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		84.5	-	-	79.0	+1.5	156.0	-5.5 +7.0	O 163.5 +7.5
	ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 103.9 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 103.9 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 76.0

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Storm are 75% (15-5) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 73.3% (11-4) to the over as a home fav

The Sky are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sky are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

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Storm (Home)

The Storm are 40.5% (15-22-1) against the spread

The Storm are 38.9% (7-11-1) against the spread at home

The Storm are 31.6% (6-13-1) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 35.7% (5-9-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 63.2% (24-14) to the over

The Storm are 63.2% (12-7) to the over at home

The Storm are 75% (15-5) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 73.3% (11-4) to the over as a home fav

The Storm are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Storm are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Storm are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Storm are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Storm are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Storm are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Storm are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Storm are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Sky (Away)

The Sky are 47.4% (18-20) against the spread

The Sky are 68.4% (13-6) against the spread away

The Sky are 54.8% (17-14) against the spread as a dog

The Sky are 68.4% (13-6) against the spread as an away dog

The Sky are 56.8% (21-16-1) to the over

The Sky are 55.6% (10-8-1) to the under away

The Sky are 53.3% (16-14-1) to the over as a dog

The Sky are 55.6% (10-8-1) to the under as an away dog