WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 94 – 102
Los Angeles Sparks @ Connecticut Sun

Sparks: 2-0 (100.0%)

Sun: 1-0 (100.0%)

Line: -4.5

Total: 162.0

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Injury Report LASNo report CONNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 3 for the Sparks and game 2 for the Sun. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Sparks after Sun, May 27, the Sun after Fri, Jun 1.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sparks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/03/18 2018	Sparks	-	vs.	Lynx	-	-5.5	158.0	-	-
05/27/18 2018	Sparks	-	vs.	Mercury	-	-7.5	158.5	-	-
05/24/18 2018	Sparks	-	@	Sun	-	+4.5	162.0	-	-
05/22/18	Sparks	87	@	Fever	70	-8.5	150.5	-17	O 157 +6.5
2018	ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 91.0 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 91.0 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 77.0
05/20/18	Sparks	77	@	Lynx	76	+7.0	154.0	-1	U 153 -1.0
2018	ORtg: 95.6 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 95.6 Pace: 80.6
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/04/17	Sparks	76	@	Lynx	85	+5.0	154.0	+9	O 161 +7.0
2017	ORtg: 95.2 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 95.2 Pace: 79.8
10/01/17	Sparks	69	vs.	Lynx	80	-2.5	152.0	+11	U 149 -3.0
2017	ORtg: 89.3 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 89.3 Pace: 77.3
09/29/17	Sparks	75	vs.	Lynx	64	-2.5	154.5	-11	U 139 -15.5
2017	ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 84.6 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 84.6 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 75.7
09/26/17	Sparks	68	@	Lynx	70	+7.0	159.0	+2	U 138 -21.0
2017	ORtg: 90.6 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 90.6 Pace: 75.1
09/24/17	Sparks	85	@	Lynx	84	+5.5	157.0	-1	O 169 +12.0
2017	ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 82.1			ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 82.1
09/17/17	Sparks	89	@	Mercury	87	-4.5	156.5	-2	O 176 +19.5
2017	ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 77.6
09/14/17	Sparks	86	vs.	Mercury	72	-10.0	155.0	-14	O 158 +3.0
2017	ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 92.4 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 92.4 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 77.9
09/12/17	Sparks	79	vs.	Mercury	66	-8.5	155.5	-13	U 145 -10.5
2017	ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 90.0 Pace: 73.4			ORtg: 90.0 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 73.4

Away Games Avg (2 games this season)		82.0	-	-	73.0	-0.8	152.3	-9.0 +8.3	O 155.0 +2.8
	ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 92.6 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 92.6 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 78.8

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		82.0	-	-	73.0	-0.8	152.3	-9.0 +8.3	O 155.0 +2.8
	ORtg: 104.3 DRtg: 92.6 Pace: 78.8			ORtg: 92.6 DRtg: 104.3 Pace: 78.8

Sun Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/01/18 2018	Sun	-	@	Sky	-	-9.0	170.5	-	-
05/26/18 2018	Sun	-	vs.	Fever	-	-16.5	163.5	-	-
05/24/18 2018	Sun	-	vs.	Sparks	-	-4.5	162.0	-	-
05/20/18	Sun	101	vs.	Aces	65	-17.5	154.0	-36	O 166 +12.0
2018	ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 85.1
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/10/17	Sun	83	vs.	Mercury	88	-5.5	166.5	+5	O 171 +4.5
2017	ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 114.2 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 114.2 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 77.1
09/03/17	Sun	70	@	Sparks	81	+7.5	161.0	+11	U 151 -10.0
2017	ORtg: 87.6 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 87.6 Pace: 79.9
09/01/17	Sun	66	@	Mercury	86	+1.0	170.0	+20	U 152 -18.0
2017	ORtg: 83.3 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 79.2			ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 83.3 Pace: 79.2
08/29/17	Sun	86	@	Mystics	76	+2.0	169.0	-10	U 162 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 92.0 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 92.0 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 82.6
08/25/17	Sun	83	vs.	Sky	96	-10.0	174.0	+13	O 179 +5.0
2017	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 86.7			ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 86.7
08/23/17	Sun	93	vs.	Wings	87	-11.0	180.0	-6	P 180 0.0
2017	ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 86.7			ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 86.7
08/20/17	Sun	94	vs.	Mercury	66	-5.0	170.0	-28	U 160 -10.0
2017	ORtg: 117.8 DRtg: 82.7 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 82.7 DRtg: 117.8 Pace: 79.8
08/18/17	Sun	70	vs.	Liberty	82	-6.0	167.0	+12	U 152 -15.0
2017	ORtg: 85.6 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 81.8			ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 85.6 Pace: 81.8
08/15/17	Sun	96	@	Dream	75	-4.5	166.5	-21	O 171 +4.5
2017	ORtg: 116.9 DRtg: 91.4 Pace: 82.1			ORtg: 91.4 DRtg: 116.9 Pace: 82.1

Home Games Avg (1 game this season)		101.0	-	-	65.0	-17.5	154.0	-36.0 +18.5	O 166.0 +12.0
	ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 85.1

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		101.0	-	-	65.0	-17.5	154.0	-36.0 +18.5	O 166.0 +12.0
	ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 85.1

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Sun (Home)

The Sun are 59.5% (22-15) against the spread

The Sun are 50% (10-10) against the spread at home

The Sun are 60% (15-10) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 55.6% (10-8) against the spread as a home fav

The Sun are 52.8% (19-17-1) to the over

The Sun are 57.9% (11-8-1) to the over at home

The Sun are 66.7% (16-8-1) to the over as a fav

The Sun are 64.7% (11-6-1) to the over as a home fav

The Sun are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sun are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Sun are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sun are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Sun are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Sun are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Sun are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Sun are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Sparks (Away)

The Sparks are 64.4% (29-16) against the spread

The Sparks are 58.3% (14-10) against the spread away

The Sparks are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread as a dog

The Sparks are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread as an away dog

The Sparks are 64.4% (29-16) to the under

The Sparks are 50% (12-12) to the over away

The Sparks are 50% (4-4) to the over as a dog

The Sparks are 50% (4-4) to the over as an away dog

The Sparks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sparks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sparks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sparks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Sparks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Sparks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Sparks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Sparks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/03/17	Sun	70	@	Sparks	81	+7.5	161.0	+11	U 151 -10.0
2017	ORtg: 87.6 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 87.6 Pace: 79.9
07/13/17	Sun	77	@	Sparks	87	+6.5	167.0	+10	U 164 -3.0
2017	ORtg: 91.9 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 83.8			ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 91.9 Pace: 83.8
06/27/17	Sun	79	vs.	Sparks	87	+2.5	169.0	+8	U 166 -3.0
2017	ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 114.3 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 114.3 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 76.1

Sun as Home (1 games)		79.0	-	-	87.0	+2.5	169.0	+8.0 -5.5	U 166.0 -3.0
	ORtg: 103.8 DRtg: 114.3 Pace: 76.1			ORtg: 114.3 DRtg: 103.8 Pace: 76.1

All Games Avg (3 games)		75.3	-	-	85.0	+5.5	165.7	+9.7 -4.2	U 160.3 -5.3
	ORtg: 94.4 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 94.4 Pace: 79.9