WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 93 – 84
Washington Mystics @ Indiana Fever

Mystics: 2-0 (100.0%)

Fever: 0-3 (0.0%)

Line: +5.0

Total: 154.5

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Injury Report WASNo report INDNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 3 for the Mystics and game 4 for the Fever. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Mystics after Sun, May 27, the Fever after Thu, May 24.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/29/18 2018	Mystics	-	@	Storm	-	+7.0	164.0	-	-
05/27/18 2018	Mystics	-	vs.	Lynx	-	+5.5	159.0	-	-
05/24/18 2018	Mystics	-	@	Fever	-	-5.0	154.5	-	-
05/22/18	Mystics	75	vs.	Aces	70	-18.0	154.5	-5	U 145 -9.5
2018	ORtg: 87.3 DRtg: 81.5 Pace: 85.9			ORtg: 81.5 DRtg: 87.3 Pace: 85.9
05/20/18	Mystics	82	vs.	Fever	75	-13.0	153.5	-7	O 157 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 76.3
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/17/17	Mystics	70	vs.	Lynx	81	+6.5	164.0	+11	U 151 -13.0
2017	ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 72.7			ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 72.7
09/14/17	Mystics	83	@	Lynx	93	+11.0	163.0	+10	O 176 +13.0
2017	ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 123.9 Pace: 75.0			ORtg: 123.9 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 75.0
09/12/17	Mystics	81	@	Lynx	101	+10.5	161.5	+20	O 182 +20.5
2017	ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 140.5 Pace: 71.9			ORtg: 140.5 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 71.9
09/10/17	Mystics	82	@	Liberty	68	+5.5	153.5	-14	U 150 -3.5
2017	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 91.9 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 91.9 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 74.0
09/06/17	Mystics	86	vs.	Wings	76	-6.5	170.0	-10	U 162 -8.0
2017	ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 78.1
09/03/17	Mystics	72	@	Lynx	86	+11.0	160.0	+14	U 158 -2.0
2017	ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 77.3
09/01/17	Mystics	110	vs.	Storm	106	-2.0	160.5	-4	O 216 +55.5
2017	ORtg: 131.1 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 131.1 Pace: 76.0
08/29/17	Mystics	76	vs.	Sun	86	-2.0	169.0	+10	U 162 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 92.0 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 92.0 Pace: 82.6

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		78.5	-	-	72.5	-15.5	154.0	-6.0 -9.5	U 151.0 -3.0
	ORtg: 97.4 DRtg: 89.9 Pace: 81.1			ORtg: 89.9 DRtg: 97.4 Pace: 81.1

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
06/02/18 2018	Fever	-	vs.	Liberty	-	+5.5	156.0	-	-
05/26/18 2018	Fever	-	@	Sun	-	+16.5	163.5	-	-
05/24/18 2018	Fever	-	vs.	Mystics	-	+5.0	154.5	-	-
05/22/18	Fever	70	vs.	Sparks	87	+8.5	150.5	+17	O 157 +6.5
2018	ORtg: 91.0 DRtg: 113.1 Pace: 77.0			ORtg: 113.1 DRtg: 91.0 Pace: 77.0
05/20/18	Fever	75	@	Mystics	82	+13.0	153.5	+7	O 157 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 76.3
05/19/18	Fever	64	vs.	Sky	82	-2.0	153.5	+18	U 146 -7.5
2018	ORtg: 87.0 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 73.5			ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 87.0 Pace: 73.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/02/17	Fever	71	vs.	Stars	75	-3.5	150.5	+4	U 146 -4.5
2017	ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 73.0
08/30/17	Fever	69	vs.	Lynx	80	+15.5	155.0	+11	U 149 -6.0
2017	ORtg: 97.2 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 71.0			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 97.2 Pace: 71.0
08/26/17	Fever	74	@	Dream	79	+9.5	158.0	+5	U 153 -5.0
2017	ORtg: 92.9 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 72.1			ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 92.9 Pace: 72.1
08/23/17	Fever	50	vs.	Liberty	71	+8.0	155.5	+21	U 121 -34.5
2017	ORtg: 70.7 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 70.8			ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 70.7 Pace: 70.8
08/20/17	Fever	82	vs.	Mystics	87	+5.5	157.5	+5	O 169 +11.5
2017	ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 119.5 Pace: 72.8			ORtg: 119.5 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 72.8
08/18/17	Fever	52	@	Lynx	111	+15.0	155.0	+59	O 163 +8.0
2017	ORtg: 66.7 DRtg: 142.4 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 142.4 DRtg: 66.7 Pace: 78.0
08/12/17	Fever	80	@	Mystics	100	+8.0	155.0	+20	O 180 +25.0
2017	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 133.9 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 133.9 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 74.7

Home Games Avg (2 games this season)		67.0	-	-	84.5	+3.3	152.0	+17.5 -14.3	U 151.5 -0.5
	ORtg: 89.0 DRtg: 112.3 Pace: 75.2			ORtg: 112.3 DRtg: 89.0 Pace: 75.2

All Games Avg (3 games this season)		69.7	-	-	83.7	+6.5	152.5	+14.0 -7.5	O 153.3 +0.8
	ORtg: 92.1 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 75.6			ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 92.1 Pace: 75.6

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Fever are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 77.8% (7-2) against the spread as an away fav

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Fever (Home)

The Fever are 40.5% (15-22-1) against the spread

The Fever are 40% (8-12) against the spread at home

The Fever are 42.3% (11-15-1) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 46.2% (6-7) against the spread as a home dog

The Fever are 55.3% (21-17) to the under

The Fever are 50% (10-10) to the over at home

The Fever are 55.6% (15-12) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 69.2% (9-4) to the over as a home dog

The Fever are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Fever are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Fever are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Fever are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Mystics (Away)

The Mystics are 45.2% (19-23) against the spread

The Mystics are 42.9% (9-12) against the spread away

The Mystics are 65.4% (17-9) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 77.8% (7-2) against the spread as an away fav

The Mystics are 52.4% (22-20) to the under

The Mystics are 52.4% (11-10) to the under away

The Mystics are 53.8% (14-12) to the under as a fav

The Mystics are 55.6% (5-4) to the under as an away fav

The Mystics are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Mystics are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over away

The Mystics are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Mystics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/20/18	Fever	75	@	Mystics	82	+13.0	153.5	+7	O 157 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 76.3
08/20/17	Fever	82	vs.	Mystics	87	+5.5	157.5	+5	O 169 +11.5
2017	ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 119.5 Pace: 72.8			ORtg: 119.5 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 72.8
08/12/17	Fever	80	@	Mystics	100	+8.0	155.0	+20	O 180 +25.0
2017	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 133.9 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 133.9 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 74.7
07/14/17	Fever	58	vs.	Mystics	72	+7.0	164.5	+14	U 130 -34.5
2017	ORtg: 75.0 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 75.0 Pace: 77.4
06/11/17	Fever	70	@	Mystics	88	+6.0	162.0	+18	U 158 -4.0
2017	ORtg: 97.0 DRtg: 122.0 Pace: 72.1			ORtg: 122.0 DRtg: 97.0 Pace: 72.1

Fever as Home (2 games)		70.0	-	-	79.5	+6.3	161.0	+9.5 -3.3	U 149.5 -11.5
	ORtg: 93.8 DRtg: 106.3 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 106.3 DRtg: 93.8 Pace: 75.1

All Games Avg (5 games)		73.0	-	-	85.8	+7.9	158.5	+12.8 -4.9	O 158.8 +0.3
	ORtg: 98.0 DRtg: 115.2 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 115.2 DRtg: 98.0 Pace: 74.7