WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 70 – 75
Las Vegas Aces @ Washington Mystics

Aces: 0-1 (0.0%)

Mystics: 1-0 (100.0%)

Line: -18.0

Total: 154.5

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Injury Report LVANo report WASNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 2 for the Aces and game 2 for the Mystics. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Aces after Thu, May 31, the Mystics after Sun, May 27.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Aces Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/31/18 2018	Aces	-	@	Storm	-	+11.5	169.0	-	-
05/27/18 2018	Aces	-	vs.	Storm	-	+5.5	163.5	-	-
05/22/18 2018	Aces	-	@	Mystics	-	+18.0	154.5	-	-
05/20/18	Aces	65	@	Sun	101	+17.5	154.0	+36	O 166 +12.0
2018	ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 85.1

Away Games Avg (1 game)		65.0	-	-	101.0	+17.5	154.0	+36.0 -18.5	O 166.0 +12.0
	ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 85.1

All Games Avg (1 game)		65.0	-	-	101.0	+17.5	154.0	+36.0 -18.5	O 166.0 +12.0
	ORtg: 76.4 DRtg: 118.7 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 118.7 DRtg: 76.4 Pace: 85.1

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/27/18 2018	Mystics	-	vs.	Lynx	-	+5.5	159.0	-	-
05/24/18 2018	Mystics	-	@	Fever	-	-5.0	154.5	-	-
05/22/18 2018	Mystics	-	vs.	Aces	-	-18.0	154.5	-	-
05/20/18	Mystics	82	vs.	Fever	75	-13.0	153.5	-7	O 157 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 76.3
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/17/17	Mystics	70	vs.	Lynx	81	+6.5	164.0	+11	U 151 -13.0
2017	ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 72.7			ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 72.7
09/14/17	Mystics	83	@	Lynx	93	+11.0	163.0	+10	O 176 +13.0
2017	ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 123.9 Pace: 75.0			ORtg: 123.9 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 75.0
09/12/17	Mystics	81	@	Lynx	101	+10.5	161.5	+20	O 182 +20.5
2017	ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 140.5 Pace: 71.9			ORtg: 140.5 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 71.9
09/10/17	Mystics	82	@	Liberty	68	+5.5	153.5	-14	U 150 -3.5
2017	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 91.9 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 91.9 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 74.0
09/06/17	Mystics	86	vs.	Wings	76	-6.5	170.0	-10	U 162 -8.0
2017	ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 78.1
09/03/17	Mystics	72	@	Lynx	86	+11.0	160.0	+14	U 158 -2.0
2017	ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 77.3
09/01/17	Mystics	110	vs.	Storm	106	-2.0	160.5	-4	O 216 +55.5
2017	ORtg: 131.1 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 131.1 Pace: 76.0
08/29/17	Mystics	76	vs.	Sun	86	-2.0	169.0	+10	U 162 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 92.0 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 92.0 Pace: 82.6
08/26/17	Mystics	78	vs.	Wings	83	-4.5	173.0	+5	U 161 -12.0
2017	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 77.4

Home Games Avg (1 game this season)		82.0	-	-	75.0	-13.0	153.5	-7.0 -6.0	O 157.0 +3.5
	ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 76.3

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		82.0	-	-	75.0	-13.0	153.5	-7.0 -6.0	O 157.0 +3.5
	ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 76.3

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season for the Mystics: their records include last season.

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Mystics (Home)

The Mystics are 43.9% (18-23) against the spread

The Mystics are 47.6% (10-11) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 64% (16-9) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 58.8% (10-7) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 53.7% (22-19) to the under

The Mystics are 52.4% (11-10) to the under at home

The Mystics are 56% (14-11) to the under as a fav

The Mystics are 52.9% (9-8) to the under as a home fav

The Mystics are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Mystics are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Aces (Away)

The Aces are 50% (1-1) against the spread

The Aces are 50% (1-1) against the spread away

The Aces are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a dog

The Aces are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Aces are 50% (1-1) to the over

The Aces are 50% (1-1) to the over away

The Aces are 50% (1-1) to the over as a dog

The Aces are 50% (1-1) to the over as an away dog

The Aces are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Aces are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Aces are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Aces are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Aces are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Aces are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Aces are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Aces are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 2 seasons.