WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 87 – 70
Los Angeles Sparks @ Indiana Fever

Sparks: 1-0 (100.0%)

Fever: 0-2 (0.0%)

Line: +8.5

Total: 150.5

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Games
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Injury Report LASNo report INDNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 2 for the Sparks and game 3 for the Fever. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Sparks after Sun, May 27, the Fever after Thu, May 24.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sparks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/27/18 2018	Sparks	-	vs.	Mercury	-	-7.5	158.5	-	-
05/24/18 2018	Sparks	-	@	Sun	-	+4.5	162.0	-	-
05/22/18 2018	Sparks	-	@	Fever	-	-8.5	150.5	-	-
05/20/18	Sparks	77	@	Lynx	76	+7.0	154.0	-1	U 153 -1.0
2018	ORtg: 95.6 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 95.6 Pace: 80.6
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/04/17	Sparks	76	@	Lynx	85	+5.0	154.0	+9	O 161 +7.0
2017	ORtg: 95.2 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 95.2 Pace: 79.8
10/01/17	Sparks	69	vs.	Lynx	80	-2.5	152.0	+11	U 149 -3.0
2017	ORtg: 89.3 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 89.3 Pace: 77.3
09/29/17	Sparks	75	vs.	Lynx	64	-2.5	154.5	-11	U 139 -15.5
2017	ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 84.6 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 84.6 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 75.7
09/26/17	Sparks	68	@	Lynx	70	+7.0	159.0	+2	U 138 -21.0
2017	ORtg: 90.6 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 90.6 Pace: 75.1
09/24/17	Sparks	85	@	Lynx	84	+5.5	157.0	-1	O 169 +12.0
2017	ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 82.1			ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 82.1
09/17/17	Sparks	89	@	Mercury	87	-4.5	156.5	-2	O 176 +19.5
2017	ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 77.6
09/14/17	Sparks	86	vs.	Mercury	72	-10.0	155.0	-14	O 158 +3.0
2017	ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 92.4 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 92.4 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 77.9
09/12/17	Sparks	79	vs.	Mercury	66	-8.5	155.5	-13	U 145 -10.5
2017	ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 90.0 Pace: 73.4			ORtg: 90.0 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 73.4
09/03/17	Sparks	81	vs.	Sun	70	-7.5	161.0	-11	U 151 -10.0
2017	ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 87.6 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 87.6 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 79.9

Away Games Avg (1 game this season)		77.0	-	-	76.0	+7.0	154.0	-1.0 +8.0	U 153.0 -1.0
	ORtg: 95.6 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 95.6 Pace: 80.6

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		77.0	-	-	76.0	+7.0	154.0	-1.0 +8.0	U 153.0 -1.0
	ORtg: 95.6 DRtg: 94.3 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 94.3 DRtg: 95.6 Pace: 80.6

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/26/18 2018	Fever	-	@	Sun	-	+16.5	163.5	-	-
05/24/18 2018	Fever	-	vs.	Mystics	-	+5.0	154.5	-	-
05/22/18 2018	Fever	-	vs.	Sparks	-	+8.5	150.5	-	-
05/20/18	Fever	75	@	Mystics	82	+13.0	153.5	+7	O 157 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 98.3 DRtg: 107.5 Pace: 76.3			ORtg: 107.5 DRtg: 98.3 Pace: 76.3
05/19/18	Fever	64	vs.	Sky	82	-2.0	153.5	+18	U 146 -7.5
2018	ORtg: 87.0 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 73.5			ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 87.0 Pace: 73.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/02/17	Fever	71	vs.	Stars	75	-3.5	150.5	+4	U 146 -4.5
2017	ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 73.0
08/30/17	Fever	69	vs.	Lynx	80	+15.5	155.0	+11	U 149 -6.0
2017	ORtg: 97.2 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 71.0			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 97.2 Pace: 71.0
08/26/17	Fever	74	@	Dream	79	+9.5	158.0	+5	U 153 -5.0
2017	ORtg: 92.9 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 72.1			ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 92.9 Pace: 72.1
08/23/17	Fever	50	vs.	Liberty	71	+8.0	155.5	+21	U 121 -34.5
2017	ORtg: 70.7 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 70.8			ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 70.7 Pace: 70.8
08/20/17	Fever	82	vs.	Mystics	87	+5.5	157.5	+5	O 169 +11.5
2017	ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 119.5 Pace: 72.8			ORtg: 119.5 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 72.8
08/18/17	Fever	52	@	Lynx	111	+15.0	155.0	+59	O 163 +8.0
2017	ORtg: 66.7 DRtg: 142.4 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 142.4 DRtg: 66.7 Pace: 78.0
08/12/17	Fever	80	@	Mystics	100	+8.0	155.0	+20	O 180 +25.0
2017	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 133.9 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 133.9 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 74.7
08/08/17	Fever	76	@	Liberty	81	+9.0	159.0	+5	U 157 -2.0
2017	ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 74.8

Home Games Avg (1 game this season)		64.0	-	-	82.0	-2.0	153.5	+18.0 -20.0	U 146.0 -7.5
	ORtg: 87.0 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 73.5			ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 87.0 Pace: 73.5

All Games Avg (2 games this season)		69.5	-	-	82.0	+5.5	153.5	+12.5 -7.0	U 151.5 -2.0
	ORtg: 92.7 DRtg: 109.5 Pace: 74.9			ORtg: 109.5 DRtg: 92.7 Pace: 74.9

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Fever (Home)

The Fever are 41.7% (15-21-1) against the spread

The Fever are 42.1% (8-11) against the spread at home

The Fever are 44% (11-14-1) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 50% (6-6) against the spread as a home dog

The Fever are 56.8% (21-16) to the under

The Fever are 52.6% (10-9) to the under at home

The Fever are 53.8% (14-12) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 66.7% (8-4) to the over as a home dog

The Fever are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Fever are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Fever are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Fever are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home dog

Sparks (Away)

The Sparks are 65.9% (29-15) against the spread

The Sparks are 60.9% (14-9) against the spread away

The Sparks are 64.9% (24-13) against the spread as a fav

The Sparks are 56.3% (9-7) against the spread as an away fav

The Sparks are 65.9% (29-15) to the under

The Sparks are 52.2% (12-11) to the under away

The Sparks are 67.6% (25-12) to the under as a fav

The Sparks are 50% (8-8) to the over as an away fav

The Sparks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sparks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Sparks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Sparks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over away

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
07/17/17	Fever	62	@	Sparks	80	+14.0	158.0	+18	U 142 -16.0
2017	ORtg: 86.6 DRtg: 111.7 Pace: 71.6			ORtg: 111.7 DRtg: 86.6 Pace: 71.6
06/24/17	Fever	73	vs.	Sparks	84	+6.0	167.0	+11	U 157 -10.0
2017	ORtg: 97.7 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 97.7 Pace: 74.7
05/24/17	Fever	93	vs.	Sparks	90	+6.5	158.0	-3	O 183 +25.0
2017	ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 122.2 Pace: 73.6			ORtg: 122.2 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 73.6

Fever as Home (2 games)		83.0	-	-	87.0	+6.3	162.5	+4.0 +2.3	O 170.0 +7.5
	ORtg: 112.0 DRtg: 117.3 Pace: 74.2			ORtg: 117.3 DRtg: 112.0 Pace: 74.2

All Games Avg (3 games)		76.0	-	-	84.7	+8.8	161.0	+8.7 +0.2	U 160.7 -0.3
	ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 115.5 Pace: 73.3			ORtg: 115.5 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 73.3