WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 78 – 101
Atlanta Dream @ Dallas Wings

Dream: 0-0 (0.0%)

Wings: 0-1 (0.0%)

Line: -4.0

Total: 159.5

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Injury Report ATLNo report DALNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 1 for the Dream and game 2 for the Wings. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Dream after Tue, May 29, the Wings after Sat, May 26.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Dream Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/26/18 2018	Dream	-	vs.	Wings	-	-4.0	166.5	-	-
05/23/18 2018	Dream	-	@	Sky	-	-1.0	162.5	-	-
05/20/18 2018	Dream	-	@	Wings	-	+4.0	159.5	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/03/17	Dream	70	@	Mercury	84	+8.5	161.5	+14	U 154 -7.5
2017	ORtg: 91.6 DRtg: 109.9 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 109.9 DRtg: 91.6 Pace: 76.4
09/01/17	Dream	56	@	Sparks	81	+13.0	158.5	+25	U 137 -21.5
2017	ORtg: 74.0 DRtg: 107.0 Pace: 62.7			ORtg: 107.0 DRtg: 74.0 Pace: 62.7
08/26/17	Dream	79	vs.	Fever	74	-9.5	158.0	-5	U 153 -5.0
2017	ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 92.9 Pace: 72.1			ORtg: 92.9 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 72.1
08/23/17	Dream	89	vs.	Storm	83	+4.5	163.5	-6	O 172 +8.5
2017	ORtg: 115.9 DRtg: 108.0 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 108.0 DRtg: 115.9 Pace: 76.8
08/19/17	Dream	86	@	Wings	90	+5.0	173.5	+4	O 176 +2.5
2017	ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 83.1			ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 83.1
08/15/17	Dream	75	vs.	Sun	96	+4.5	166.5	+21	O 171 +4.5
2017	ORtg: 91.4 DRtg: 116.9 Pace: 82.1			ORtg: 116.9 DRtg: 91.4 Pace: 82.1
08/12/17	Dream	68	@	Stars	84	-3.0	155.5	+16	U 152 -3.5
2017	ORtg: 91.7 DRtg: 113.3 Pace: 74.1			ORtg: 113.3 DRtg: 91.7 Pace: 74.1
08/11/17	Dream	77	vs.	Liberty	83	-2.5	159.0	+6	O 160 +1.0
2017	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 108.6 Pace: 76.4			ORtg: 108.6 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 76.4
08/08/17	Dream	72	vs.	Lynx	81	+7.0	164.0	+9	U 153 -11.0
2017	ORtg: 98.4 DRtg: 110.7 Pace: 73.2			ORtg: 110.7 DRtg: 98.4 Pace: 73.2
08/05/17	Dream	86	@	Sky	91	-1.5	165.5	+5	O 177 +11.5
2017	ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 80.7			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 80.7

Wings Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/26/18 2018	Wings	-	@	Dream	-	+4.0	166.5	-	-
05/23/18 2018	Wings	-	@	Lynx	-	+13.0	164.5	-	-
05/20/18 2018	Wings	-	vs.	Dream	-	-4.0	159.5	-	-
05/18/18	Wings	78	@	Mercury	86	+5.0	160.5	+8	O 164 +3.5
2018	ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 79.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/06/17	Wings	76	@	Mystics	86	+6.5	170.0	+10	U 162 -8.0
2017	ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 78.1
09/03/17	Wings	81	vs.	Liberty	82	+3.5	167.5	+1	U 163 -4.5
2017	ORtg: 104.7 DRtg: 106.0 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 106.0 DRtg: 104.7 Pace: 77.4
08/30/17	Wings	99	@	Sky	96	+3.0	178.5	-3	O 195 +16.5
2017	ORtg: 124.5 DRtg: 120.7 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 120.7 DRtg: 124.5 Pace: 79.5
08/26/17	Wings	83	@	Mystics	78	+4.5	173.0	-5	U 161 -12.0
2017	ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 77.4
08/23/17	Wings	87	@	Sun	93	+11.0	180.0	+6	P 180 0.0
2017	ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 107.2 Pace: 86.7			ORtg: 107.2 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 86.7
08/19/17	Wings	90	vs.	Dream	86	-5.0	173.5	-4	O 176 +2.5
2017	ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 83.1			ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 83.1
08/12/17	Wings	88	@	Sun	96	+9.5	178.0	+8	O 184 +6.0
2017	ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 110.0 Pace: 87.2			ORtg: 110.0 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 87.2
08/10/17	Wings	100	vs.	Mercury	101	-2.5	171.5	+1	O 201 +29.5
2017	ORtg: 112.4 DRtg: 113.5 Pace: 80.6			ORtg: 113.5 DRtg: 112.4 Pace: 80.6
08/06/17	Wings	85	vs.	Sparks	79	+6.5	171.5	-6	U 164 -7.5
2017	ORtg: 100.9 DRtg: 93.8 Pace: 84.2			ORtg: 93.8 DRtg: 100.9 Pace: 84.2

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		78.0	-	-	86.0	+5.0	160.5	+8.0 -3.0	O 164.0 +3.5
	ORtg: 98.1 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 79.5			ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 98.1 Pace: 79.5

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Wings (Home)

The Wings are 51.4% (19-18) against the spread

The Wings are 55.6% (10-8) against the spread at home

The Wings are 50% (6-6) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread as a home fav

The Wings are 61.1% (22-14-1) to the over

The Wings are 55.6% (10-8) to the over at home

The Wings are 58.3% (7-5) to the over as a fav

The Wings are 55.6% (5-4) to the over as a home fav

The Wings are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Wings are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Wings are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Wings are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Wings are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Wings are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Wings are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Wings are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Dream (Away)

The Dream are 37.1% (13-22) against the spread

The Dream are 33.3% (6-12) against the spread away

The Dream are 37.5% (9-15) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 33.3% (5-10) against the spread as an away dog

The Dream are 51.4% (18-17) to the over

The Dream are 55.6% (10-8) to the over away

The Dream are 50% (12-12) to the over as a dog

The Dream are 53.3% (8-7) to the over as an away dog

The Dream are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Dream are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Dream are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Dream are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Dream are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Dream are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over away

The Dream are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Dream are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/19/17	Wings	90	vs.	Dream	86	-5.0	173.5	-4	O 176 +2.5
2017	ORtg: 108.2 DRtg: 103.4 Pace: 83.1			ORtg: 103.4 DRtg: 108.2 Pace: 83.1
07/09/17	Wings	78	@	Dream	98	+3.0	167.0	+20	O 176 +9.0
2017	ORtg: 92.7 DRtg: 116.4 Pace: 84.2			ORtg: 116.4 DRtg: 92.7 Pace: 84.2
07/05/17	Wings	94	vs.	Dream	84	-4.5	164.0	-10	O 178 +14.0
2017	ORtg: 108.0 DRtg: 96.5 Pace: 87.0			ORtg: 96.5 DRtg: 108.0 Pace: 87.0

Wings as Home (2 games)		92.0	-	-	85.0	-4.8	168.8	-7.0 +2.3	O 177.0 +8.3
	ORtg: 108.1 DRtg: 100.0 Pace: 85.1			ORtg: 100.0 DRtg: 108.1 Pace: 85.1

All Games Avg (3 games)		87.3	-	-	89.3	-2.2	168.2	+2.0 -4.2	O 176.7 +8.5
	ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 105.5 Pace: 84.8			ORtg: 105.5 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 84.8