WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 75 – 82
Indiana Fever @ Washington Mystics

Fever: 0-1 (0.0%)

Mystics: 0-0 (0.0%)

Line: -13.0

Total: 153.5

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Injury Report INDNo report WASNo report

Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 2 for the Fever and game 1 for the Mystics. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Fever after Thu, May 24, the Mystics after Sun, May 27.

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Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Fever Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/24/18 2018	Fever	-	vs.	Mystics	-	+5.0	154.5	-	-
05/22/18 2018	Fever	-	vs.	Sparks	-	+8.5	150.5	-	-
05/20/18 2018	Fever	-	@	Mystics	-	+13.0	153.5	-	-
05/19/18	Fever	64	vs.	Sky	82	-2.0	153.5	+18	U 146 -7.5
2018	ORtg: 87.0 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 73.5			ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 87.0 Pace: 73.5
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/02/17	Fever	71	vs.	Stars	75	-3.5	150.5	+4	U 146 -4.5
2017	ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 102.7 Pace: 73.0			ORtg: 102.7 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 73.0
08/30/17	Fever	69	vs.	Lynx	80	+15.5	155.0	+11	U 149 -6.0
2017	ORtg: 97.2 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 71.0			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 97.2 Pace: 71.0
08/26/17	Fever	74	@	Dream	79	+9.5	158.0	+5	U 153 -5.0
2017	ORtg: 92.9 DRtg: 99.2 Pace: 72.1			ORtg: 99.2 DRtg: 92.9 Pace: 72.1
08/23/17	Fever	50	vs.	Liberty	71	+8.0	155.5	+21	U 121 -34.5
2017	ORtg: 70.7 DRtg: 100.4 Pace: 70.8			ORtg: 100.4 DRtg: 70.7 Pace: 70.8
08/20/17	Fever	82	vs.	Mystics	87	+5.5	157.5	+5	O 169 +11.5
2017	ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 119.5 Pace: 72.8			ORtg: 119.5 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 72.8
08/18/17	Fever	52	@	Lynx	111	+15.0	155.0	+59	O 163 +8.0
2017	ORtg: 66.7 DRtg: 142.4 Pace: 78.0			ORtg: 142.4 DRtg: 66.7 Pace: 78.0
08/12/17	Fever	80	@	Mystics	100	+8.0	155.0	+20	O 180 +25.0
2017	ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 133.9 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 133.9 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 74.7
08/08/17	Fever	76	@	Liberty	81	+9.0	159.0	+5	U 157 -2.0
2017	ORtg: 101.6 DRtg: 108.3 Pace: 74.8			ORtg: 108.3 DRtg: 101.6 Pace: 74.8
08/06/17	Fever	84	vs.	Lynx	82	+12.5	158.0	-2	O 166 +8.0
2017	ORtg: 103.0 DRtg: 100.6 Pace: 81.5			ORtg: 100.6 DRtg: 103.0 Pace: 81.5

All Games Avg (1 game this season)		64.0	-	-	82.0	-2.0	153.5	+18.0 -20.0	U 146.0 -7.5
	ORtg: 87.0 DRtg: 111.5 Pace: 73.5			ORtg: 111.5 DRtg: 87.0 Pace: 73.5

Mystics Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/24/18 2018	Mystics	-	@	Fever	-	-5.0	154.5	-	-
05/22/18 2018	Mystics	-	vs.	Aces	-	-18.0	154.5	-	-
05/20/18 2018	Mystics	-	vs.	Fever	-	-13.0	153.5	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
09/17/17	Mystics	70	vs.	Lynx	81	+6.5	164.0	+11	U 151 -13.0
2017	ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 72.7			ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 72.7
09/14/17	Mystics	83	@	Lynx	93	+11.0	163.0	+10	O 176 +13.0
2017	ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 123.9 Pace: 75.0			ORtg: 123.9 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 75.0
09/12/17	Mystics	81	@	Lynx	101	+10.5	161.5	+20	O 182 +20.5
2017	ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 140.5 Pace: 71.9			ORtg: 140.5 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 71.9
09/10/17	Mystics	82	@	Liberty	68	+5.5	153.5	-14	U 150 -3.5
2017	ORtg: 110.8 DRtg: 91.9 Pace: 74.0			ORtg: 91.9 DRtg: 110.8 Pace: 74.0
09/06/17	Mystics	86	vs.	Wings	76	-6.5	170.0	-10	U 162 -8.0
2017	ORtg: 110.1 DRtg: 97.3 Pace: 78.1			ORtg: 97.3 DRtg: 110.1 Pace: 78.1
09/03/17	Mystics	72	@	Lynx	86	+11.0	160.0	+14	U 158 -2.0
2017	ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 77.3
09/01/17	Mystics	110	vs.	Storm	106	-2.0	160.5	-4	O 216 +55.5
2017	ORtg: 131.1 DRtg: 126.3 Pace: 76.0			ORtg: 126.3 DRtg: 131.1 Pace: 76.0
08/29/17	Mystics	76	vs.	Sun	86	-2.0	169.0	+10	U 162 -7.0
2017	ORtg: 92.0 DRtg: 104.1 Pace: 82.6			ORtg: 104.1 DRtg: 92.0 Pace: 82.6
08/26/17	Mystics	78	vs.	Wings	83	-4.5	173.0	+5	U 161 -12.0
2017	ORtg: 100.8 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 100.8 Pace: 77.4
08/25/17	Mystics	66	@	Liberty	74	+4.5	157.0	+8	U 140 -17.0
2017	ORtg: 95.7 DRtg: 107.3 Pace: 68.9			ORtg: 107.3 DRtg: 95.7 Pace: 68.9

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

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Mystics (Home)

The Mystics are 45% (18-22) against the spread

The Mystics are 50% (10-10) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 66.7% (16-8) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 62.5% (10-6) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 52.5% (21-19) to the under

The Mystics are 50% (10-10) to the over at home

The Mystics are 54.2% (13-11) to the under as a fav

The Mystics are 50% (8-8) to the over as a home fav

The Mystics are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mystics are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mystics are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mystics are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Mystics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over

The Mystics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over at home

The Mystics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a fav

The Mystics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a home fav

Fever (Away)

The Fever are 42.9% (15-20-1) against the spread

The Fever are 41.2% (7-10-1) against the spread away

The Fever are 45.8% (11-13-1) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 38.5% (5-8-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Fever are 58.3% (21-15) to the under

The Fever are 61.1% (11-7) to the under away

The Fever are 52% (13-12) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 57.1% (8-6) to the under as an away dog

The Fever are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Fever are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Fever are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Fever are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Fever are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over

The Fever are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over away

The Fever are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as a dog

The Fever are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
08/20/17	Mystics	87	@	Fever	82	-5.5	157.5	-5	O 169 +11.5
2017	ORtg: 119.5 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 72.8			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 119.5 Pace: 72.8
08/12/17	Mystics	100	vs.	Fever	80	-8.0	155.0	-20	O 180 +25.0
2017	ORtg: 133.9 DRtg: 107.1 Pace: 74.7			ORtg: 107.1 DRtg: 133.9 Pace: 74.7
07/14/17	Mystics	72	@	Fever	58	-7.0	164.5	-14	U 130 -34.5
2017	ORtg: 93.0 DRtg: 75.0 Pace: 77.4			ORtg: 75.0 DRtg: 93.0 Pace: 77.4
06/11/17	Mystics	88	vs.	Fever	70	-6.0	162.0	-18	U 158 -4.0
2017	ORtg: 122.0 DRtg: 97.0 Pace: 72.1			ORtg: 97.0 DRtg: 122.0 Pace: 72.1

Mystics as Home (2 games)		94.0	-	-	75.0	-7.0	158.5	-19.0 +12.0	O 169.0 +10.5
	ORtg: 128.0 DRtg: 102.1 Pace: 73.4			ORtg: 102.1 DRtg: 128.0 Pace: 73.4

All Games Avg (4 games)		86.8	-	-	72.5	-6.6	159.8	-14.3 +7.6	U 159.3 -0.5
	ORtg: 117.1 DRtg: 97.9 Pace: 74.2			ORtg: 97.9 DRtg: 117.1 Pace: 74.2