WNBA Matchups: Predictions, Odds & Betting Trends

Final: 77 – 76
Los Angeles Sparks @ Minnesota Lynx

Sparks: 0-0 (0.0%)

Lynx: 0-0 (0.0%)

Line: -7.0

Total: 154.0

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Notes — no active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive WNBA Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Too early in the season for the Baller Index: the algos need both teams to have played 4 games, and this is game 1 for the Sparks and game 1 for the Lynx. Predictions start with their games once each has played 4: the Sparks after Sun, May 27, the Lynx after Sun, May 27.

Filters

Team Comparison Stats, Records and the sections tied to them follow these filters; each team's Schedule and Historical Matchups follow them when their switch is on.

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Schedules

Sparks Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/24/18 2018	Sparks	-	@	Sun	-	+4.5	162.0	-	-
05/22/18 2018	Sparks	-	@	Fever	-	-8.5	150.5	-	-
05/20/18 2018	Sparks	-	@	Lynx	-	+7.0	154.0	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/04/17	Sparks	76	@	Lynx	85	+5.0	154.0	+9	O 161 +7.0
2017	ORtg: 95.2 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 95.2 Pace: 79.8
10/01/17	Sparks	69	vs.	Lynx	80	-2.5	152.0	+11	U 149 -3.0
2017	ORtg: 89.3 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 89.3 Pace: 77.3
09/29/17	Sparks	75	vs.	Lynx	64	-2.5	154.5	-11	U 139 -15.5
2017	ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 84.6 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 84.6 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 75.7
09/26/17	Sparks	68	@	Lynx	70	+7.0	159.0	+2	U 138 -21.0
2017	ORtg: 90.6 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 90.6 Pace: 75.1
09/24/17	Sparks	85	@	Lynx	84	+5.5	157.0	-1	O 169 +12.0
2017	ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 82.1			ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 82.1
09/17/17	Sparks	89	@	Mercury	87	-4.5	156.5	-2	O 176 +19.5
2017	ORtg: 114.7 DRtg: 112.1 Pace: 77.6			ORtg: 112.1 DRtg: 114.7 Pace: 77.6
09/14/17	Sparks	86	vs.	Mercury	72	-10.0	155.0	-14	O 158 +3.0
2017	ORtg: 110.4 DRtg: 92.4 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 92.4 DRtg: 110.4 Pace: 77.9
09/12/17	Sparks	79	vs.	Mercury	66	-8.5	155.5	-13	U 145 -10.5
2017	ORtg: 107.7 DRtg: 90.0 Pace: 73.4			ORtg: 90.0 DRtg: 107.7 Pace: 73.4
09/03/17	Sparks	81	vs.	Sun	70	-7.5	161.0	-11	U 151 -10.0
2017	ORtg: 101.3 DRtg: 87.6 Pace: 79.9			ORtg: 87.6 DRtg: 101.3 Pace: 79.9
09/01/17	Sparks	81	vs.	Dream	56	-13.0	158.5	-25	U 137 -21.5
2017	ORtg: 107.0 DRtg: 74.0 Pace: 62.7			ORtg: 74.0 DRtg: 107.0 Pace: 62.7

Lynx Schedule Follow global filters

Date	Team	Points		Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
05/25/18 2018	Lynx	-	@	Liberty	-	-6.5	153.0	-	-
05/23/18 2018	Lynx	-	vs.	Wings	-	-13.0	164.5	-	-
05/20/18 2018	Lynx	-	vs.	Sparks	-	-7.0	154.0	-	-
Last season · shown for reference, not in the averages
10/04/17	Lynx	85	vs.	Sparks	76	-5.0	154.0	-9	O 161 +7.0
2017	ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 95.2 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 95.2 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 79.8
10/01/17	Lynx	80	@	Sparks	69	+2.5	152.0	-11	U 149 -3.0
2017	ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 89.3 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 89.3 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 77.3
09/29/17	Lynx	64	@	Sparks	75	+2.5	154.5	+11	U 139 -15.5
2017	ORtg: 84.6 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 84.6 Pace: 75.7
09/26/17	Lynx	70	vs.	Sparks	68	-7.0	159.0	-2	U 138 -21.0
2017	ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 90.6 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 90.6 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 75.1
09/24/17	Lynx	84	vs.	Sparks	85	-5.5	157.0	+1	O 169 +12.0
2017	ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 82.1			ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 82.1
09/17/17	Lynx	81	@	Mystics	70	-6.5	164.0	-11	U 151 -13.0
2017	ORtg: 111.4 DRtg: 96.3 Pace: 72.7			ORtg: 96.3 DRtg: 111.4 Pace: 72.7
09/14/17	Lynx	93	vs.	Mystics	83	-11.0	163.0	-10	O 176 +13.0
2017	ORtg: 123.9 DRtg: 110.6 Pace: 75.0			ORtg: 110.6 DRtg: 123.9 Pace: 75.0
09/12/17	Lynx	101	vs.	Mystics	81	-10.5	161.5	-20	O 182 +20.5
2017	ORtg: 140.5 DRtg: 112.7 Pace: 71.9			ORtg: 112.7 DRtg: 140.5 Pace: 71.9
09/03/17	Lynx	86	vs.	Mystics	72	-11.0	160.0	-14	U 158 -2.0
2017	ORtg: 111.3 DRtg: 93.1 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 93.1 DRtg: 111.3 Pace: 77.3
09/01/17	Lynx	110	vs.	Sky	87	-12.5	163.5	-23	O 197 +33.5
2017	ORtg: 125.7 DRtg: 99.4 Pace: 87.5			ORtg: 99.4 DRtg: 125.7 Pace: 87.5

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Records

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Notable Trends

First week of the season: these records include last season.

The Sparks are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread as a dog

The Sparks are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread as an away dog

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Lynx (Home)

The Lynx are 53.7% (22-19-2) against the spread

The Lynx are 47.6% (10-11-2) against the spread at home

The Lynx are 55.3% (21-17-2) against the spread as a fav

The Lynx are 47.6% (10-11-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Lynx are 51.2% (22-21) to the under

The Lynx are 52.2% (12-11) to the over at home

The Lynx are 52.5% (21-19) to the over as a fav

The Lynx are 52.2% (12-11) to the over as a home fav

The Lynx are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Lynx are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Lynx are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Lynx are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under at home

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a fav

The Lynx are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a home fav

Sparks (Away)

The Sparks are 65.1% (28-15) against the spread

The Sparks are 59.1% (13-9) against the spread away

The Sparks are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread as a dog

The Sparks are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Sparks are 67.4% (29-14) to the under

The Sparks are 54.5% (12-10) to the under away

The Sparks are 57.1% (4-3) to the under as a dog

The Sparks are 57.1% (4-3) to the under as an away dog

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under away

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as a dog

The Sparks are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10) Follow global filters

Date	Team	Pts		Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/04/17	Lynx	85	vs.	Sparks	76	-5.0	154.0	-9	O 161 +7.0
2017	ORtg: 106.5 DRtg: 95.2 Pace: 79.8			ORtg: 95.2 DRtg: 106.5 Pace: 79.8
10/01/17	Lynx	80	@	Sparks	69	+2.5	152.0	-11	U 149 -3.0
2017	ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 89.3 Pace: 77.3			ORtg: 89.3 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 77.3
09/29/17	Lynx	64	@	Sparks	75	+2.5	154.5	+11	U 139 -15.5
2017	ORtg: 84.6 DRtg: 99.1 Pace: 75.7			ORtg: 99.1 DRtg: 84.6 Pace: 75.7
09/26/17	Lynx	70	vs.	Sparks	68	-7.0	159.0	-2	U 138 -21.0
2017	ORtg: 93.2 DRtg: 90.6 Pace: 75.1			ORtg: 90.6 DRtg: 93.2 Pace: 75.1
09/24/17	Lynx	84	vs.	Sparks	85	-5.5	157.0	+1	O 169 +12.0
2017	ORtg: 102.3 DRtg: 103.5 Pace: 82.1			ORtg: 103.5 DRtg: 102.3 Pace: 82.1
08/27/17	Lynx	67	@	Sparks	78	+2.5	155.0	+11	U 145 -10.0
2017	ORtg: 89.4 DRtg: 104.0 Pace: 75.0			ORtg: 104.0 DRtg: 89.4 Pace: 75.0
08/11/17	Lynx	64	vs.	Sparks	70	-5.5	161.5	+6	U 134 -27.5
2017	ORtg: 84.9 DRtg: 92.8 Pace: 75.4			ORtg: 92.8 DRtg: 84.9 Pace: 75.4
07/06/17	Lynx	88	vs.	Sparks	77	-6.5	166.0	-11	U 165 -1.0
2017	ORtg: 114.6 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 76.8			ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 114.6 Pace: 76.8

Lynx as Home (5 games)		78.2	-	-	75.2	-5.9	159.5	-3.0 -2.9	U 153.4 -6.1
	ORtg: 100.3 DRtg: 96.5 Pace: 77.9			ORtg: 96.5 DRtg: 100.3 Pace: 77.9

All Games Avg (8 games)		75.3	-	-	74.8	-2.8	157.4	-0.5 -2.3	U 150.0 -7.4
	ORtg: 97.4 DRtg: 96.8 Pace: 77.1			ORtg: 96.8 DRtg: 97.4 Pace: 77.1