Tag: nba

Welcome to the FIRST Money Baller Report for 2025! Thank you all for a wonderful 2024. We are thankful for your support and business and look forward to a successful 2025. We are working on developing some back-end tools aimed at increasing speed and performance, while bringing additional data and features.

We ended 2024 poorly, with a 1-4 on the featured trends from Friday’s report – let’s bounce back on today’s New Year slate!

Published: Wednesday, January 1- 12:33 PM CST

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New Years Day Angles

Small sample size, but home teams are 9-2 ATS and 2-8-1 O/U in previous 2 seasons

Dating back to the 2013-2014 season, on New Years Day, road teams off a home win are 2-17 SU and 3-16 ATS. This is active to fade the Magic.

Magic @ Pistons

• Magic: 11-23 1H ATS
• Baller System active to play on the Pistons: Conference home favorite with revenge
• Situational Spots: Rest advantage and revenge favor the Pistons.
• New Years Day angle shared above fading the Magic.
  

TMB Thoughts: We like the Pistons in this spot, but the best angle is Pistons 1H -1. The Pistons’ offense has been clicking in the last 10 days (10th in Offensive Rating) and we have no interest in playing them full game as the scrappy Magic have a tendency for 2nd half comebacks.

Bulls @ Wizards

• 1 Baller System favoring Wizards (fading team off OT win)
• 2 Baller Systems on the Over

TMB Thoughts: Situational angles point to the Wizards, but we don’t trust them enough. Passing on this one.

Pelicans @ Heat

• Heat: 0-6 1H ATS and 1-5 full game ATS on the first game of a B2B
• Heat: 1-5 1H Team Total O/U on first game of B2B
• Heat: 1-5 1H Team Total O/U with more rest than opponent
• Pelicans: 3-12 ATS on the road

TMB Thoughts: The Heat 1H trends are interesting – I don’t think it’s enough to be actionable, especially with the Pelicans’ horrid defense. We’ll pass on it.

Nets @ Raptors

• Nets: 21-11 1H ATS
• Nets: 5-1 1H ATS on the first game of a B2B
• Nets: 6-1 1H ATS with more rest than opponent
• 2 Baller Systems active on the Nets
  

TMB Thoughts: Trends point to Nets 1H, but they’ve shifted from favorites to underdogs. With D’Angelo Russell’s debut, this game feels unpredictable. We are passing, for now.

Mavericks @ Rockets

• Rockets: 10-22 1H O/U
• Mavericks: Luka Doncic out
• Mavericks: Travel fatigue (4th straight game on the road)
• Rockets short-handed (Amen Thompson suspended)

TMB Thoughts: With both teams facing key absences and 2 Baller Systems favoring the under, the play is the under. We are playing the 1H Under 114.

Hawks @ Nuggets

• Nuggets: 20-11 O/U
• Hawks: 21-11-1 O/U
• 2 Baller Systems on the Over

TMB Thoughts: Two over-leaning teams and system plays point to Over 246.5. High total, but we trust the pace and defensive issues to push it over.

76ers @ Kings

• Kings: 12-21 ATS (6-13 ATS at home)
• Kings: 2-12 ATS as favorites of 2.5-7 points
• 76ers: 9-21 1H O/U

TMB Thoughts: Neither team has been trustworthy this season. We will sit this one out.