Tag: mlb

Hello Ballers! Featured MLB Betting Trends went 3-1-1 yesterday – Royals took a huge dump on our ‘8’ Baller Matchup Rating, but a good day otherwise. I’ve mentioned before that trends don’t always equate to a bet, but here are a few that are most compelling to me:

Featured MLB Betting Trends:

• Braves: 6-15-1 F5 O/U when Max Fried starts.
• In L30 days, Twins: 0-4-1 F5 O/U when Bailey Ober starts.
  • With both teams trending under and two strong pitchers (Max Fried: 3.57 ERA, Bailey Ober: 3.54 ERA), we’re targeting the under 4 at -115.
    
    

• Guardians: 13-5-1 O/U when Logan Allen starts (4-0 O/U as home favorites).
• In L30 days, Royals: 8-0-1 O/U vs. LHP.
  • Given these aligning trends and two shaky pitchers (Alec Marsh: 4.71 ERA, Logan Allen: 5.56 ERA) on the mound, we’re backing the over 8.5 (-110, BetRivers) in Game 2 of the doubleheader.
    
    
    
    

Check out our Matchup Pages with ALL MLB Betting Trends

Here are the rest of today’s MLB Betting Trends:


Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians (Game 1)

• Royals: 13-3 ML as road favorites vs. RHP (6-0 ML in L30 days).
• Guardians: 27-10 ML vs. LHP.

Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians (Game 2)

• Guardians: 14-4-1 F5 O/U and 13-5-1 O/U when Logan Allen starts (4-0 F5 and full game O/U as home favorites).
• In L30 days, Royals: 8-0-1 O/U vs. LHP.

Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies

• Phillies: 10-2 F5 ML as home favorites when Zach Wheeler starts.
• Phillies: 27-7-4 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
• Astros: 6-15-2 F5 O/U when Ronel Blanco starts.
• In L30 days, Astros: 5-14-1 F5 O/U vs. RHP.

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

• Cubs: 15-6-1 F5 O/U when Jameson Taillon starts.
• In L30 days, Pirates: 5-15-1 F5 ML vs. RHP.

New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals

• In L30 days, Nationals: 1-6 ML vs. LHP.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox

• Blue Jays: 8-20-6 F5 ML as a road underdog vs. RHP.
• In L30 days, Blue Jays: 0-5 ML when Yariel Rodriguez starts.
• In L30 days, Red Sox: 15-6-1 O/U vs. RHP.
• Red Sox: 17-8-1 F5 O/U when Kutter Crawford starts.

Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins

• Braves: 6-15-1 F5 O/U when Max Fried starts.
• In L30 days, Twins: 4-0-1 F5 ML and 0-4-1 F5 O/U when Bailey Ober starts.

San Diego Padres @ St. Louis Cardinals

• In L30 days, Cardinals: 5-0 O/U when Kyle Gibson starts.

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

• In L30 days, Tigers: 5-14-2 F5 O/U vs. RHP.
• In L30 days, White Sox: 1-9 ML as a home underdog vs. RHP.

Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies

• In L30 days, Marlins: 19-7 YRFI.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners

• Mariners: 25-14 ML as home favorites.
• Mariners: 14-23-2 O/U as home favorites.
• Rays: 27-13 RL (+1.5) as road underdogs.
• In L30 days, Rays: 5-14-2 F5 ML vs. RHP.
• Rays: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘4’ as an underdog.

Abbreviations:
– YRFI: Yes Runs First Inning
– NRFI: No Runs First Inning
– RHP: right-handed starting pitchers
– LHP: left-handed starting pitchers
– L30 days: in last 30 days
– L14 days: in last 14 days
– F5: first 5 innings (if F5 not indicated, the assumption is a full game)

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The featured trends went 1-0-1 yesterday, and the matchups with strong Baller Matchup Ratings all came through (Braves, Giants). I am not counting the Astros as I went out of my way to not endorse them at -405, but they won and covered, nonetheless. Back on the winning track – let’s keep it going!

I’ve mentioned before that trends don’t always equate to a bet, but here are a few that are most compelling to me:

Featured Trends:

• Giants: 11-21-1 O/U as home favorites vs. RHP
• In L30 days, White Sox: 0-6 O/U when Jonathan Cannon starts
• In L30 days, White Sox: 0-5 O/U vs. LHP
  • These trends point towards an under in the pitchers’ park at AT&T Park in San Francisco. With the Chicago White Sox sporting the worst offense in the league, we’re not expecting many runs. We’re favoring the Under 8 (-115, DraftKings).

Here are the rest of today’s trends:

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins

• No starting pitchers announced and thus, no interesting trends to note at the moment.

Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays

• Blue Jays: 18-6 O/U when Kevin Gausman starts.

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets

• Mets: 10-3 ML when David Peterson starts.
• Mets: 32-15 NRFI as home favorites.
• Orioles: 11-20-2 F5 O/U vs. LHP.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Texas Rangers

• Pirates: 32-15 NRFI as road underdogs.

Boston Red Sox @ Houston Astros

• Yusei Kikuchi’s teams are 0-10 RL (-1.5) as home favorites.
• Red Sox: 25-10-1 F5 O/U vs. LHP.
• In L30 days, Red Sox: 0-5 ML when Tanner Houck starts.

Los Angeles Angels @ Kansas City Royals

• Royals: 20-9 ML and 17-5-7 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Oakland Athletics

• Rays: 4-13 O/U when Taj Bradley starts.
• 2 Baller Systems active on the Rays.

Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres

• In L30 days, Padres: 4-0 F5 and full game ML when Michael King starts.
• In L30 days, Padres: 13-4 ML (5-0 ML as home favorites) vs. RHP.

Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants

• In L30 days, White Sox: 0-6 F5 and full game O/U when Jonathan Cannon starts.
• White Sox: 7-17-1 O/U as road underdogs vs LHP.
• In L30 days, White Sox: 0-5 F5 and full game O/U vs. LHP.
• Giants: 11-21-1 O/U as home favorites vs. RHP.

Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers

• Mariners: 10-3-2 F5 ML when Bryan Woo starts.
• Mariners: 5-14 F5 ML as road underdogs vs. RHP.
• In L14 days, Dodgers: 9-2-1 F5 O/U vs. RHP.

Abbreviations:
– YRFI: Yes Runs First Inning
– NRFI: No Runs First Inning
– RHP: right-handed starting pitchers
– LHP: left-handed starting pitchers
– L30 days: in last 30 days
– L14 days: in last 14 days
– F5: first 5 innings (if F5 not indicated, the assumption is a full-game statistic)