Category: Commentary

Money Baller Betting Report – MLB Wild Card – Tuesday, October 1

Posted on by Austin Wang

Hello Ballers – welcome to the Money Baller Betting Report for the MLB Playoffs! Here are the most compelling trends we have found:

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Money Baller Betting Report – MLB Betting Trends:


Check out our MLB Matchup Pages

Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles

  • Orioles: 20-9-3 F5 ML when Corbin Burnes starts.
  • Orioles: 5-11-2 F5 ML and 8-10 ML vs. LHP.
  • Royals: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘2’ as an underdog.

  • Orioles: 21-10-1 F5 O/U when Burnes starts.
  • Royals: 10-21-1 O/U when Cole Ragans starts (0-4 O/U in L30 days).
  • In L30 days, Royals: 4-13-1 O/U vs. RHP.
    • TMB thoughts: We thought there was some value on the Royals ML +135. Our Baller Matchup Rating has them favored and Orioles have struggled against lefties.


Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros

  • Astros: 17-8-3 F5 ML when Framber Valdez starts (11-3-1 F5 ML as a home favorite).
  • Tigers: 19-5-6 F5 ML when Tarik Skubal starts.
  • Tigers: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘2’ as an underdog.
  • In L30 days, Tigers: 8-0 ML vs. LHP.

  • Astros: 8-17-3 O/U when Valdez starts.
  • In L30 days, Tigers: 0-8 F5 O/U and 1-7 O/U vs. LHP.
    • TMB thoughts: We wouldn’t fault you for seeing some value on the Tigers, but we like the Under 6.5 here.

Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres

  • Braves: 21-5 NRFI as road underdogs.

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers

  • Baller Matchup Rating active to play on Brewers: Fade team on the road, traveling from Eastern time zone to any other time zone. In addition, Mets had a double header yesterday as well.

Money Baller Betting Report – Sunday, September 29

Posted on by Austin Wang

Hello Ballers – welcome to the Money Baller Betting Report. With it being the last day of the regular season, we don’t suggest taking this slate TOO seriously. Nonetheless, here are some trends we found compelling:


Money Baller Betting Report – MLB Betting Trends:


Check out our MLB Matchup Pages

  • Mariners: 2-11-1 O/U as home favorites when Logan Gilbert.
  • Baller System active on the SEA/OAK under: Unders on lower totals after a game that went into extra innings.
    • TMB thoughts: Trends and systems align on the Under 7.

  • In L30 days, Braves: 5-14-1 O/U vs. RHP.
  • In L30 days, Royals: 4-12-1 O/U vs. RHP.
    • TMB thoughts: With the Braves looking to clinch the playoffs with a win, we think the Under 8.5 is a solid look.


We didn’t take any direct action on these, but here were some other interesting trends to consider in your handicap:

  • Red Sox: 0-6 ML and 0-5-1 F5 ML when Quinn Priester starts.


  • Yankees: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘7’.


  • In L30 days, Guardians: 3-20-3 O/U vs. RHP.


  • Mariners: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘6’.
  • Baller System active on Mariners: Back team off a win when they used a lot of pitchers


  • Orioles: 6-16-1 F5 and full game O/U when Albert Suarez starts.


  • Rangers: 14-4-1 O/U as road favorites vs. RHP.
  • Rangers: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘8’.


  • In L30 days, Diamondbacks 8-0-1 F5 O/U vs. LHP.


  • Cubs: 6-15 O/U as home underdogs vs. RHP.


  • In L30 days, Dodgers: 16-3 F5 O/U vs. RHP.


  • Reds: 10-1-1 F5 O/U as road favorites vs. RHP.

Dolphins vs. Titans: Low Scoring Showdown (NFL Week 4)

Posted on by Giulio Lavini

Game: Miami Dolphins vs. Tennessee Titans
Date: Monday Night Football, Week 4


We’ve got another notably low total for this matchup, and for good reason. The Dolphins (1-2) take on the winless Titans (0-3) in what shapes up to be a strong betting opportunity. Neither team is firing on all cylinders, and with both offenses struggling, this game presents a good chance to focus on the total.


Key Trends (since 2018 unless noted):

  • When the total is set at 36.5 or less, the under has cashed in 32 of 42 games, with a strong 32-9-1 O/U record.
  • In games where the total is 36.5 or less and the home team is coming off a road loss, the under is 15-3.
  • When the total is 36.5 or less and the road team is coming off a home loss, the under hits at an impressive 11-3 rate.
  • In non-divisional games where the total is set at 36.5 or less, and the home team is an underdog receiving 2.5 points or fewer, the under has a solid 13-5 O/U record.
  • The Titans haven’t scored more than 17 points in any game this season, and the Dolphins have failed to score more than 10 points since Tua’s injury.


With two struggling teams, a low total, and little confidence in either offense, the under is definitely worth a look here. While some books are still showing 37, it’s smart to jump on this early before the line moves.


Pick: Under 36.5

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