Money Baller Betting Report | Friday, September 13

Hello Ballers – welcome to the Money Baller Betting Report.

You’ll see the format is slightly different today. Instead of writing out MLB trends for every single game, I am only listing ones that I would typically list in the featured trends section, and will incorporate the WNBA. This will be more sustainable and lead to most consistent and quicker posting as we continue to scale our website. Let me know your feedback!

Yesterday’s ML parlay did not hit as both sides failed to win. The Bills came through in dominant fashion, whether you bet them straight up or included them in a teaser.


Money Baller Betting Report – MLB Betting Trends:


Check out our MLB Matchup Pages

  • 2 Baller System active on Cardinals: (1) First game of a road, non-divisional series, on at least a two game winning streak, (2) Back small road underdog with better record
  • Cardinals: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘2’ as an underdog
    • We think there is value on the Cardinals ML +115 (consensus).





  • Cubs: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘6’
  • Cubs: 6-1 ML in last 7 games vs. LHP.
    • We are on the Cubs ML -142 (FanDuel).


  • Phillies: 11-1-2 F5 ML and 11-3 ML as home favorites when Aaron Nola starts.
  • In L30 days, Phillies: 6-0 ML vs. LHP.
  • Marlins: 4-21 ML as road underdogs vs. LHP.
  • Besides fading the Marlins on this trend, Edward Cabrera has been brutal this season with a 4.88 ERA and 4.86 FIP.
    • We are targeting the Nationals ML -144 (FanDuel) at a 0.5u size.


  • Astros: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘6’
  • Astros: 7-0 when Yusei Kikuchi starts.
    • If you are looking for a parlay piece, we think the Astros should be considered.



Money Baller Betting Report – WNBA Betting Trends:


Check out our WNBA Matchup Pages

  • Mystics: 25-9-2 1H ATS this season
  • Dream: 3-14-1 1H ATS at home
  • THREE Baller systems active on the Mystics
    • Needless to say, we are going Mystics 1H +2, one of the best bets in the WNBA.


  • Wings opponents have gone 30-6-1 to over on their Team Total this season (17-2 to the TT over when Wings are at home).
  • Wings are on the second game of a back-to-back, where we see overs are prevalent. Teams on the 2nd game of a B2B are 48-32-3 O/U since 2018.
    • I tackled this game and split my bet two ways: Storm Team Total Over 90 and Storm/Wings Over 173.

Top MLB Betting Trends | Monday, September 9

Hello Ballers – welcome to today’s top MLB Betting Trends! Featured trends went 1-2 yesterday. NFL newsletter went 1-0-1 (honestly, most of y’all who tailed should have gotten the Jaguars at +3.5, the most widely available line) with the Jets pending.

I’ve mentioned before that trends don’t always equate to a bet, but here are a few that are most compelling to me:


Featured MLB Betting Trends:

  • Twins: 7-1 ML as home favorites vs. LHP.
  • Twins: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘7’.
    • We like Twins RL -1.5 at +116 (FanDuel)




Here are the rest of today’s MLB Betting Trends:


Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies

  • Phillies: 28-11-4 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.


Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Pirates: 8-1-1 F5 ML as home favorites when Paul Skenes starts.


Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees

  • Yankees: 8-1-1 F5 ML as home favorites when Carlos Rodon starts.
  • Yankees: 27-13-4 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.


New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays

  • Blue Jays: 3-11 ML as home underdogs vs. RHP.


Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

  • Orioles: 10-2-1 F5 O/U as road underdogs vs. RHP.
  • Red Sox: 26-13-1 F5 O/U vs. LHP.


Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins

  • Twins: 7-1 ML as home favorites vs. LHP.
  • Twins: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘7’.


Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox

  • White Sox: 6-25 ML vs. LHP.


Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers

  • In L30 days, Dodgers: 8-1 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
  • In L30 days, Dodgers: 16-4-1 F5 O/U vs. RHP.


Abbreviations:
– YRFI: Yes Runs First Inning
– NRFI: No Runs First Inning
– RHP: right-handed starting pitchers
– LHP: left-handed starting pitchers
– L30 days: in last 30 days
– L14 days: in last 14 days
– F5: first 5 innings (if F5 not indicated, the assumption is a full game bet)

Top MLB Betting Trends | Friday, September 6

Hello Ballers – welcome to today’s top MLB Betting Trends! Another 1-0 yesterday – the model and ratings have been good to us this week! For the other trends we shared, WNBA went 1-0 and NFL went 1-1 (what a game!).

Our NFL Week 1 Newsletter, NFL Team Previews, and Matchup Pages are now live!

I’ve mentioned before that trends don’t always equate to a bet, but here are a few that are most compelling to me:


Featured MLB Betting Trends:

  • Athletics: 0-6 ML and F5 ML as home underdogs when Mitch Spence starts.
  • Tigers: 16-5-5 F5 ML when Tarik Skubal starts.
    • We like Skubal and the Tigers to take care of business in the F5 innings – Tigers F5 RL -0.5 (-125, BetMGM).

  • Orioles: 30-14-5 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
  • Orioles: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘5’.
    • Orioles F5 ML (-135, DraftKings) is the play we like here.



Other Notes for Today’s Non-MLB:

  • WNBA: The Dallas Wings have all sorts of situational angles and Baller Systems favoring them tonight.
    • The Wings are much better in the 1H (15-17-1 1H ATS vs. 10-22-1 ATS full game) while the Dream are the opposite (12-18-3 1H ATS vs. 17-15-1 ATS full game). With these splits in mind, we like the Wings 1H +1.5.

  • WNBA: The Connecticut Sun also have a few favorable spots tonight. Their splits also point to a 1H play. Sun are 14-19 ATS full game, while 16-17 1H ATS. On the other hand, Aces are only 11-20-2 1H ATS. We are targeting Sun 1H +1.



Check out our Matchup Pages with ALL MLB Betting Trends




Here are the rest of today’s MLB Betting Trends:


New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs

  • Yankees: 15-5-4 F5 ML when Luis Gil starts.


Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers

  • Brewers: 25-11 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
  • Baller System active to fade Rockies: Fade team on the road, traveling from Eastern time zone to any other time zone.


Washington Nationals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

  • In L30 days, Pirates: 19-9 YRFI.


Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles

  • Orioles: 30-14-5 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
  • Orioles: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘5’.


Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins

  • Marlins: 26-6-2 O/U as home underdogs vs. RHP.


Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets

  • Mets: 19-8 ML when Sean Manaea starts.
  • Reds: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘4’ as an underdog.


Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox

  • White Sox: 11-42 ML as road underdogs vs. RHP.
  • Red Sox: 14-33 RL (-1.5) as home favorites.
  • Red Sox: 23-10-4 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.


Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves

  • No interesting trends to note.


Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers

  • Rangers: 11-25 F5 O/U vs. LHP.
  • Rangers: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘6’.


Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros

  • Astros: 6-16-2 O/U when Framber Valdez starts.
  • Diamondbacks: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘4’ as an underdog.


Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals

  • Royals: 21-6-7 F5 ML as home favorites vs. RHP.
  • Royals: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘4’.


Seattle Mariners @ St. Louis Cardinals

  • Mariners: 6-15-1 F5 ML as road underdogs vs. RHP.


Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics

  • Athletics: 0-6 ML and F5 ML as home underdogs when Mitch Spence starts.
  • Tigers: 16-5-5 F5 ML when Tarik Skubal starts.


San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres

  • Padres: Baller Matchup Rating of ‘7’.


Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Dodgers: 33-13 ML vs. LHP.


Abbreviations:
– YRFI: Yes Runs First Inning
– NRFI: No Runs First Inning
– RHP: right-handed starting pitchers
– LHP: left-handed starting pitchers
– L30 days: in last 30 days
– L14 days: in last 14 days
– F5: first 5 innings (if F5 not indicated, the assumption is a full game bet)