Author: Austin Wang
Money Baller NBA Report – Sun, Jan 12 2025
NFL Wild-Card Saturday – Money Baller Report
The NFL Super Wild Card Weekend is Here!
One of the most exhilarating weekends of the NFL season has arrived, filled with intriguing matchups and compelling storylines. The stakes are higher, the rivalries deeper, and the drama palpable. Let’s dive into two powerful betting angles and break down some key matchups!
Revenge Angle
There’s nothing sweeter than payback. Teams looking to avenge a double-digit loss earlier in a regular season matchup have historically performed well against the spread. These teams boast a 40-25-3 ATS record (61.5%) and games in this situation tend to trend toward the Over (43-25 O/U, 63.2%).
This revenge angle is live this week for the Steelers, Vikings, and Commanders as they seek redemption and a ticket to the next round.
Momentum Angle
Momentum is the lifeblood of playoff success, and road underdogs riding a wave of victory have been money against the spread. Since 2018, road underdogs off a win facing home favorites off a loss are 115-77-2 ATS (59.9%).
This angle points to the Broncos, who carry the momentum of their recent win into hostile territory.
Chargers @ Texans
- Texans Trends:
- 6-11 Team Total O/U
- 6-11 O/U overall
- 13-4 1H ATS | 7-10 ATS full game
- Chargers Trends:
- 13-3-1 1H ATS | 13-4 ATS overall
The Texans have leaned heavily on their defense all season, ranking 7th in Defensive DVOA. However, their offensive struggles have been glaring, with the team ranking 26th in yards per play and Offensive DVOA. C.J. Stroud, who dazzled as a rookie, has hit the proverbial sophomore slump, further hampered by the losses of key weapons Tank Dell and Stefon Diggs.
Expect the Texans to adopt a run-heavy approach, but even that may not save them against a Chargers defense that excels at getting to the quarterback (4th in sack rate) while the Texans rank 30th in sacks allowed. This mismatch spells trouble for Houston.
Our favorite angle? Texans Team Total under 19.5. The Texans have averaged just 17.4 PPG over their last five games, and this slugfest doesn’t seem like the spot for a breakout performance.
Pick: Texans Team Total Under 19.5 (+106, FanDuel)
(Lines are sporadic here. I wouldn’t play a heavily juiced Under 21.5, but if you can find a TT Under 20.5 or 19.5 at plus money, I would rock with those)
Steelers @ Ravens
- Steelers Trends:
- 5-11-1 1H O/U
- 6-11 1H ATS | 11-6 full game ATS
- Ravens Trends:
- 13-4 O/U overall
- 12-5 Team Total O/U
This matchup marks yet another chapter in one of the NFL’s most storied rivalries. Steelers vs. Ravens games have historically been gritty, hard-fought affairs dominated by elite defensive play. While the Ravens’ offense has shined this season, 12-5 Team Total Over, the history between these two teams tells a different story.
Prior to their most recent clash, Steelers/Ravens games had gone under in 8 consecutive meetings. This rivalry thrives on familiarity and physicality, and with both teams having faced off in Week 16, expect defensive adjustments and cautious play-calling early.
The Steelers, true to their DNA, have been slow out of the gates this season, as evidenced by their 5-11-1 1H O/U record. Conversely, the Ravens’ early-game offensive success may hit a snag against a Pittsburgh defense that knows them well.
This game feels like a classic AFC North slugfest: defenses dominating the first half, with offenses struggling to establish rhythm. With Pittsburgh’s 1H struggles and the historical under trends, a 1H Under 22.5 bet feels like the best play.
Pick: Steelers/Ravens 1H Under 22.5
Sunday games will be posted on Saturday. Enjoy!
Money Baller NBA Report – Sat, Jan 11 2025
Money Baller NBA Report – Sun, Jan 5 2025
Money Baller NBA Report – Sat, Jan 4 2025
Money Baller NBA Report – New Years Day – Jan 1 2025
Welcome to the FIRST Money Baller Report for 2025! Thank you all for a wonderful 2024. We are thankful for your support and business and look forward to a successful 2025. We are working on developing some back-end tools aimed at increasing speed and performance, while bringing additional data and features.
We ended 2024 poorly, with a 1-4 on the featured trends from Friday’s report – let’s bounce back on today’s New Year slate!
Published: Wednesday, January 1- 12:33 PM CST
Click for NBA Matchup Pages
New Years Day Angles
Small sample size, but home teams are 9-2 ATS and 2-8-1 O/U in previous 2 seasons
Dating back to the 2013-2014 season, on New Years Day, road teams off a home win are 2-17 SU and 3-16 ATS. This is active to fade the Magic.

Magic @ Pistons

- Magic: 11-23 1H ATS
- Baller System active to play on the Pistons: Conference home favorite with revenge
- Situational Spots: Rest advantage and revenge favor the Pistons.
- New Years Day angle shared above fading the Magic.
TMB Thoughts: We like the Pistons in this spot, but the best angle is Pistons 1H -1. The Pistons’ offense has been clicking in the last 10 days (10th in Offensive Rating) and we have no interest in playing them full game as the scrappy Magic have a tendency for 2nd half comebacks.
Bulls @ Wizards

- 1 Baller System favoring Wizards (fading team off OT win)
- 2 Baller Systems on the Over
TMB Thoughts: Situational angles point to the Wizards, but we don’t trust them enough. Passing on this one.
Pelicans @ Heat
- Heat: 0-6 1H ATS and 1-5 full game ATS on the first game of a B2B
- Heat: 1-5 1H Team Total O/U on first game of B2B
- Heat: 1-5 1H Team Total O/U with more rest than opponent
- Pelicans: 3-12 ATS on the road
TMB Thoughts: The Heat 1H trends are interesting – I don’t think it’s enough to be actionable, especially with the Pelicans’ horrid defense. We’ll pass on it.
Nets @ Raptors

- Nets: 21-11 1H ATS
- Nets: 5-1 1H ATS on the first game of a B2B
- Nets: 6-1 1H ATS with more rest than opponent
- 2 Baller Systems active on the Nets
TMB Thoughts: Trends point to Nets 1H, but they’ve shifted from favorites to underdogs. With D’Angelo Russell’s debut, this game feels unpredictable. We are passing, for now.
Mavericks @ Rockets

- Rockets: 10-22 1H O/U
- Mavericks: Luka Doncic out
- Mavericks: Travel fatigue (4th straight game on the road)
- Rockets short-handed (Amen Thompson suspended)
TMB Thoughts: With both teams facing key absences and 2 Baller Systems favoring the under, the play is the under. We are playing the 1H Under 114.
Hawks @ Nuggets

- Nuggets: 20-11 O/U
- Hawks: 21-11-1 O/U
- 2 Baller Systems on the Over

TMB Thoughts: Two over-leaning teams and system plays point to Over 246.5. High total, but we trust the pace and defensive issues to push it over.
76ers @ Kings
- Kings: 12-21 ATS (6-13 ATS at home)
- Kings: 2-12 ATS as favorites of 2.5-7 points
- 76ers: 9-21 1H O/U
TMB Thoughts: Neither team has been trustworthy this season. We will sit this one out.
Money Baller NBA Report – Sunday, Dec. 29
Money Baller NBA Report – Friday, Dec. 27
Money Baller Christmas Day Report, Dec. 25
🎄 Welcome to the Christmas Edition of The Money Baller Report! 🎄
We hope you’re having a joyful holiday season filled with family, friends, and relaxation. As we wrap up the year, we want to express our gratitude for your continued support and trust. Your engagement and enthusiasm have made 2024 a fantastic year, and we look forward to bringing you even more success and prosperity in 2025.
Happy Holidays from all of us at The Money Baller – let’s close out the year strong!
Published: Wednesday, December 25, 2024 – 8:30 AM CST
Click for NBA Matchup Pages
Click for NFL Matchup Pages
Click to shop memberships – Use coupon code ‘XMAS’ for 50% off your first billing cycle
NFL: Ravens @ Texans
- Texans: 12-3 1H ATS, 6-9 ATS overall
- Texans: 5-10 Team Total O/U
- Ravens: 12-3 O/U
- Baller System: Playoff rematch unders are in play.
TMB Thoughts: With playoff rematch trends favoring lower scores and the Texans have really struggled with their offense as of late, we’re playing the Under 47 here.
We have nothing meaningful on the Chiefs/Steelers game.
NBA: Spurs @ Knicks
- Spurs: 10-18-1 1H ATS – Slow starts continue to plague San Antonio, struggling to cover early.
- Knicks: 9-4 1H ATS as home favorites – Consistently strong out of the gate at Madison Square Garden.
- TMB Thoughts: Knicks have been a reliable 1H team, and the Spurs’ trends suggest this continues. We like Knicks 1H -5 to take advantage of this early edge.
NBA: Timberwolves @ Mavericks

- Mavericks: 1-11 O/U holding opponents’ team total as home favorites – Dallas locks down at home, keeping opposing scores low.
- Timberwolves: 7-21 Team Total O/U – Minnesota has been unreliable offensively all season long.
- TMB Thoughts: The numbers overwhelmingly point toward the Timberwolves struggling to hit their mark. We’re backing Timberwolves Team Total Under 108, expecting Dallas’ defense to dictate the pace.
NBA: 76ers @ Celtics
- Sixers: 7-20 1H O/U | 9-21 Team Total O/U – Philadelphia trends heavily towards low-scoring starts and full-game team total unders.
- TMB Thoughts: While the trends are clear, the line feels sharp. We’re not seeing enough value to confidently back any angle, so this is a stay-away for now.
NBA: Lakers @ Warriors
- Warriors: 7-21 1H Team Total O/U – Golden State has struggled to find offensive rhythm early in games.
- TMB Thoughts: Despite the trend, there’s not enough conviction to place a bet. We’re passing on this one.
NBA: Nuggets @ Suns

- Nuggets: 1-7 ATS as road favorites – Denver has struggled to cover this season, especially as road favorites.
- Suns: 9-19 ATS | 4-11 ATS at home – Phoenix has been consistently underperformed against market expectations, especially at home.
- TMB Thoughts: We’re leaning Nuggets -2.5, with a Baller System active on the Nuggets and Devin Booker out for the Suns.