The Chicago Bulls are poised for a strong showing against the Golden State Warriors, building on a recent history of success in similar situations. Chicago has thrived as road underdogs, particularly when facing opponents on the second leg of a back-to-back, winning each of their last six such games. Meanwhile, Golden State has faltered in comparable circumstances, losing their last three games as home favorites against Central Division teams and struggling to cover spreads when playing with a rest disadvantage, failing to do so in seven of their last eight attempts. The Bulls enter this matchup with momentum after snapping a six-game losing streak in a commanding 112-99 victory over the Los Angeles Clippers. Zach LaVine led the way with an impressive 35-point performance, while Josh Giddey contributed across the board with 18 points, 10 rebounds, and 9 assists. Chicago’s offense has been a bright spot this season, ranking fifth in the league by averaging 117.1 points per game on 46.8% shooting from the field and 37.1% from beyond the arc.
Golden State, on the other hand, continues to battle inconsistency. With a 21-21 record, they find themselves sitting eleventh in the Western Conference after losing three of their last five games, including a lopsided 125-85 defeat against the Boston Celtics. In that game, Steph Curry led the Warriors with just 18 points, while Moses Moody added 13 points and 5 assists. The Warriors have struggled offensively this season, managing 110.8 points per game on 44.6% shooting overall and 36.2% from deep. Defensively, they rank tenth in the league with a 112.9 rating, but their offense has been a consistent issue.
While both teams have experienced recent struggles, the Bulls’ offensive efficiency sets them apart. Zach LaVine’s scoring ability and Chicago’s balanced attack make them well-positioned to secure a victory on the road against a Golden State squad that has struggled to find its footing.
🏀Unrested favorites coming off a loss in which they had a double digit lead at halftime are 38-62-5 ATS (38%).
📊Bulls have won 6 of their last 7 road games when they are facing a team in their 2nd game of a back-to-back.
🕢10:00 PM EST
📉Warriors are 1-5 ATS in the 2nd game of a back-to-back.
📉Warriors has failed to cover the spread in 5 straight games on a back-to-back.
🎯Patrick Williams had over 4.5 Rebounds+Assists in 13 of the 17 games he played on the road this season averaging 6.5 per game. Golden State has allowed over 4.5 Rebounds+Assists to starting PFs in 37 of their 43 games this season.
🖥️Score prediction: 121-117 Chicago Bulls
⏪Reverse Line Movement in favor of the Chicago Bulls (Line went from +5.0 to +1.5 despite the Warriors receiving 64% of public bets and 47% of the money).
💯Grade “C+” RLM
✅Active on Chicago Bulls +1.5 (ATS)
Manhattan’s offense has been productive this season, averaging 75.3 points per game. However, their defense has struggled, allowing 77 points per game. This combination has resulted in high-scoring contests, with their games averaging a total of 152.3 points. On the other side, Fairfield scores an average of 68.5 points per game while conceding 72.9. While Fairfield’s games tend to be slightly lower-scoring, averaging 141.4 total points, Manhattan’s defensive vulnerabilities could create opportunities for Fairfield’s offense to thrive.
Recent performances from both teams add to the case for a high-scoring outcome. Manhattan has consistently played in high-total games, with matchups frequently surpassing the 147.5-point mark. Fairfield, though less consistent, has shown a recent trend toward increased scoring, particularly when facing teams with similar defensive inefficiencies to Manhattan.
Head-to-head matchups between these teams further bolster the argument for a high total. Last season, their January matchup ended with a total of 157 points, while their February meeting produced 145 points. These precedents highlight a pattern of offensive success when these teams face each other, driven by fast-paced play and defensive lapses on both sides.
With Manhattan’s high-scoring offense, leaky defense, and Fairfield’s ability to capitalize on defensive weaknesses, all signs point toward a game that will likely exceed the 146.5 total points line. Bettors assessing the over/under should consider these dynamics, as the conditions are favorable for a high-scoring contest.
🏀Fairfield are 12-0 to the OVER when their spread is more than -4.0 following a loss as a favorite in which they attempted more field goals than their opponent.
This shows that after tough losses, Fairfield tends to play with a faster pace and a more aggressive offensive style, leading to higher-scoring games.
📊Manhattan are 9-0 to the OVER following an ATS win, in a game where they had multiple days of rest. They covered the over by an average of +18.4 points per game in those situations.
📊Manhattan are 7-0 to the OVER this season when they are facing a team with multiple days of rest and coming off a game in which they shot less than 50% from the field. They covered the over by an average of +18.8 points per game in those situations.
This could be attributed to their ability to adjust and exploit defensive lapses after rest.
🕢7:00 PM EST
📈Manhattan are 2-0 to the OVER with lines between 144.0 & 149.0
📈Manhattan are 4-1 to the OVER vs teams averaging 67.0 to 72.0 points per game.
📈Manhattan are 5-1 to the OVER vs teams allowing less than 72.0 points per game.
🤖jaXon AI approved⬇️
Both teams have shown the ability to score, with Manhattan averaging 75.3 points per game, which is the best in the MAAC. Fairfield has also been able to score, averaging 68.5 points per game. Given the offensive capabilities of both teams, betting on the total points to go over seems like a solid option.
✅Active on Fairfield @ Manhattan OVER 146.5
Karel Vejmelka is set to return to the crease for Utah on Thursday night as they head to the Xcel Energy Center for a matchup against the Minnesota Wild. Vejmelka has struggled in his last two starts, allowing nine goals on 51 shots for an underwhelming .824 save percentage, leaving him with a 2.54 goals-against average and .910 save percentage across 28 appearances this season. Utah, sitting at 20-19-7, comes into the contest as road underdogs, facing a Minnesota squad that will welcome back two key pieces, Kirill Kaprizov and Jared Spurgeon, both returning from multi-game injury absences.
This marks Utah’s first road game since January 4, following a lengthy homestand where consistency proved elusive. Although they managed an impressive 5-2 victory over the Winnipeg Jets on Monday, stringing together back-to-back wins has been an ongoing challenge. With top defenseman Mikhail Sergachev questionable after missing multiple games, Utah’s defensive depth faces another test as they embark on a back-to-back set. Clayton Keller remains the offensive catalyst, continuing to drive Utah’s attack with speed and playmaking, but the team’s defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistency against stronger opponents remain concerns.
Minnesota, on the other hand, has been thriving as favorites in recent weeks, winning eight of their last nine matchups against Western Conference teams. Their 28-15-4 record is a testament to their resilience, even during Kaprizov’s absence. Matt Boldy has been instrumental in keeping the offense productive, stepping up alongside Mats Zuccarello and Marco Rossi. The Wild also boast a strong home-ice advantage and have been efficient in shutting down opposing offenses with disciplined defensive play and solid goaltending.
With Kaprizov, Minnesota’s leading scorer and a former Hart Trophy contender, rejoining the lineup alongside their captain and top defenseman Spurgeon, the Wild are poised to elevate their game further. Their ability to control the neutral zone and limit Utah’s chances, particularly from Keller, could be the deciding factor. Utah’s road form and defensive gaps present an uphill battle against a Wild team that has been profitable in their favorite role and efficient in closing out games.
Although Utah has the potential to make this competitive, the Wild’s combination of defensive structure, home-ice advantage, and the return of key players tilts the balance in their favor.
🏒Home favorites of -130 or less are 33-3 SU (92%) this season when playing a divisional opponent that scores less goals than the league average and the total is set at exactly 6.0
🕢8:00 PM EST
📈Wild are 12-4 SU vs teams below .450
📉Utah HC are 3-11 SU when their line is set between +116 & +146
📉Utah HC are 1-3 SU vs teams allowing between 2.6 & 2.9 goals per game.
🥅Karel Vejmelka (36) / Filip Gustavsson (90)
🎯Mats Zuccarello has a point in 9 straight divisional games as favorite.
🖥️Score prediction: 4-3 Minnesota Wild
🤖jaXon AI approved⬇️
The Wild are favored to win this game, and they have a solid home record of 17-5-3. Despite some recent inconsistency, they are coming off a strong 3-1 victory against the Colorado Avalanche. Minnesota’s depth and home-ice advantage should help them secure the win.
✅Active on Minnesota Wild ML
⭐️🏀The Dallas Mavericks are 13-0 ATS on the road in the 2nd game of a back-to-back vs teams who shoot over 45%.
⭐️🏀The Los Angeles Lakers are 0-17 ATS with rest when the total is below 224.0 and they are coming off a win in which they scored less points than expected.
⭐️🏀The Washington Wizards are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 meetings against the Clippers.
⭐️🏀The San Antonio Spurs are 10-0 to the OVER vs rested opponents following a road game in which they allowed 17+ threes.
🔪MIA Heat +6.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪POR/ORL o212.0 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪CAL-BAPTIST -3.0 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪FAIR/MANH o146.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪OTT SENATORS ML is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪MIN/UTA o5.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
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