The Wizards have endured a tough season, marked by a dismal 6-32 record and a seven-game losing streak. Their offensive struggles have been glaring, as they are averaging just 108.3 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the league at 25th. In recent matchups, they’ve failed to crack 110 points, with their most recent outing ending in a 120-106 loss to the Timberwolves. This consistent lack of scoring output raises doubts about their ability to contribute significantly in this matchup.
On the defensive side, neither team has excelled. The Suns are allowing 113.9 points per game, ranking 17th, while the Wizards sit at the bottom of the league, surrendering a league-worst 122.6 points per contest. However, Phoenix has shown inconsistencies on offense as well. In their recent 122-117 loss to the Hawks, strong performances from Devin Booker and Kevin Durant weren’t enough to secure a win. This erratic scoring pattern, coupled with their occasional struggles against weaker opponents, suggests the potential for a lower-scoring game.
Historical trends between these two teams add further context. The Wizards have averaged just 110 points per game at home this season, while the Suns have posted 111.5 points on the road. These numbers are well below the current line, especially when considering Washington’s recent poor form offensively.
There are also roster considerations to factor in. The Suns recently acquired Nick Richards to address rebounding deficiencies, but integrating a new player into the lineup often takes time. His immediate impact is unlikely to lead to increased scoring, particularly in a matchup where rhythm and pacing could dictate the flow. With Phoenix favored by 11.5 points, the expectation is that they’ll dictate the game’s tempo. Should they build an early lead, the Wizards may resort to slowing the pace in an effort to avoid further damage. This dynamic could limit scoring opportunities for both sides, further suppressing the total. All signs point toward a matchup that may struggle to hit the current total. With the Wizards’ offensive woes and the Suns’ inconsistency, a high-scoring affair seems unlikely, making it reasonable to anticipate a game that leans toward a lower total.
🏀Teams coming off a loss as a road favorite in a game where they made less than 14 threes and shot over 51% from the field have gone 27-0 to the UNDER when the total is below 240.0 (Active on Phoenix Suns)
📊The Suns are 10-0 to the UNDER vs teams with less than 4 days of rest.
🕢7:00 PM EST
📈Suns are 4-1 to the UNDER when their line is set between 230.0 & 233.0
📈The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Phoenix’s last 12 games.
⏮️Reverse line movement on the UNDER
✅Active on Phoenix Suns @ Washington Wizards UNDER 231.5
The Nebraska Cornhuskers aim to regroup after a tough 104-68 loss to Purdue, which dropped their record to 12-4. Following this matchup, they’ll hit the road again for a challenging contest against Maryland. Nebraska’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with back-to-back road losses, but they now return to the comfort of Pinnacle Bank Arena, where they’ve enjoyed significant success.
Brice Williams has been the standout for Nebraska, leading the team with 18.8 points per game while also contributing 3.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. Connor Essegian and Juwan Gary have been reliable secondary scoring options, each averaging 11.6 points per game, with Gary adding 4.3 rebounds. Rollie Worster facilitates the offense with a team-high 2.6 assists per game to go along with his 8.5 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Berke Buyuktuncel leads the team on the glass with 6.3 rebounds per game, chipping in 7.7 points. Andrew Morgan also provides solid minutes, averaging 7.8 points and 4.6 rebounds. As a team, the Cornhuskers average 76.9 points per game while shooting 46.4% from the field, 33.3% from beyond the arc, and 76.3% at the free-throw line.
One key factor working in Nebraska’s favor is their dominance at home. The Cornhuskers have won 23 consecutive games at Pinnacle Bank Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents, a testament to how well they play on their home court. On the other hand, Rutgers has struggled in similar situations, losing each of its last eight Thursday night road games against Big Ten opponents.
The defensive history between these two teams at Pinnacle Bank Arena is also notable. The last five meetings at this venue have all produced totals of 141 points or fewer, a trend mirrored in Rutgers’ recent games in Lincoln.
In this matchup, Nebraska’s home-court advantage looms large. Year after year, Big Ten basketball demonstrates the importance of playing at home, where teams consistently thrive. With Rutgers continuing to struggle on the road and Nebraska looking to bounce back before heading out for another tough road test, the Cornhuskers are in a strong position to get back on track here. This feels like an ideal spot for Nebraska to capitalize and deliver a convincing performance at home.
🏀Nebraska are 12-0 ATS as home favorites of more than -10.0
📊Rutgers are 0-12 ATS in road games where the total is over 137.5, following a game in which they made 5+ threes.
🕢9:00 PM EST
📈Nebraska are 20-0 SU in their last 20 games at home.
📈Nebraska are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.
📉Rutgers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.
📉Rutgers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
🖥️Score prediction: 66-81 Nebraska Cornhuskers
✅Active on Nebraska Cornhuskers -8.5 (ATS)
The Tampa Bay Lightning enter tonight’s game looking to bounce back from a disappointing 6-2 loss to the Boston Bruins. Prior to that defeat, Tampa Bay had shown strong form, winning three of their last four contests. Their current record of 23-16-3 places them firmly in third in the Atlantic Division, and they’ll aim to solidify that standing at home. On the other hand, the Anaheim Ducks are reeling, having dropped four of their last five games, including a 3-0 shutout at the hands of the Washington Capitals. With an 18-21-5 record, the Ducks have struggled to find consistency this season, and their recent offensive woes are glaring. Historically, Tampa Bay has had the upper hand in this matchup, winning eight of the last ten meetings. While Anaheim secured a 4-1 victory earlier this season at home, tonight’s rematch shifts to Amalie Arena, where the Lightning have been formidable with a 13-6-1 record. The home-ice advantage could play a pivotal role as Tampa Bay seeks to avenge that earlier loss.
Offensively, the Lightning boast one of the most potent attacks in the league, averaging 3.64 goals per game, powered by Nikita Kucherov, who leads the team with 63 points (20 goals, 43 assists). Their power play is a significant asset, converting 25.6% of opportunities, a stark contrast to the Ducks’ league-worst 12.9% success rate. On the other side, Anaheim’s offense ranks near the bottom, producing just 2.41 goals per game and struggling to generate consistent scoring chances. Over their last seven games, they’ve managed two or fewer goals in five outings, further exposing their lack of firepower. Defensively, the disparity between the two teams is equally evident. The Ducks are giving up 3.11 goals per game and allowing an average of 31.8 shots on goal, ranking them 31st in the NHL. Meanwhile, the Lightning have tightened up defensively, ranking 11th in goals allowed per game (2.81) and limiting opponents to 28.4 shots per contest. This defensive stability has been key to their success, and the matchup against Anaheim’s sputtering offense only tilts the scale further in Tampa Bay’s favor.
In net, Andrei Vasilevskiy is expected to start for the Lightning. Despite a rare off night against Boston, the veteran goaltender remains a steady force with an 18-13-2 record, a 2.59 goals-against average, and a .910 save percentage. The Ducks are likely to counter with Lukas Dostal, who has performed admirably but lacks the same level of experience and consistency. The edge in goaltending clearly belongs to Tampa Bay.
From a betting perspective, trends heavily favor the Lightning. Tampa Bay has covered the puck line in five of the last six games against Anaheim at home, while the Ducks have struggled to cover the puck line in three of their last four visits to Amalie Arena. Additionally, the home team has dominated the third period in their recent matchups, a testament to Tampa Bay’s ability to close out games strong.
Recent form also adds to the Lightning’s case. Two games ago, they delivered a solid 5-2 victory over the Pittsburgh Penguins, showcasing their offensive depth. While their most recent outing against Boston was a setback, key players like Victor Hedman contributed, and the team will look to rebound with a more disciplined effort.
This game offers an excellent opportunity for Tampa Bay to assert their dominance and build momentum heading into their next matchup against the Detroit Red Wings. Given the Ducks’ continued struggles on both ends of the ice and Tampa Bay’s strong form at home, it’s reasonable to anticipate a decisive victory for the Lightning. Expect Tampa Bay to dictate play from start to finish, controlling possession, capitalizing on special teams, and ultimately taking care of business in commanding fashion.
🏒The Tampa Bay Lightning as home favorites of equal or less than -195 having lost their last game are 13-0 SU since 2021 when they face an opponent with a lower win percentage.
📝8 out of those 13 games have been won by 2 or more goals. Anaheim has lost 15 games by 2 or more goals out of their 26 losses. Tampa Bay will want to avenge their 4-1 loss in the last matchup in which Johansson was their starting goaltender. Vasilevskiy is likely to start tonight.
📈Tampa Bay has won 7 of 8 home games when facing the Pacific Division.
🎯Victor Hedman has a point in 4 straight games.
🥅Lukas Dostal (7) / Andrei Vasilevskiy (92)
🖥️Score prediction: 5-3 Tampa Bay Lightning
✅Active on Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (PL)
⭐️🏀In conference matchups, away underdogs of less than +250 in which their opponent played their previous game at home are 21-0 ATS this season.
⭐️🏀The Detroit Pistons are 0-7 ATS at home following a game in which they shot over 40% and over 13 threes. They are also 0-7 SU in those games.
⚠️Play lightly or skip since Benedict Mathurin will serve his 1-game suspension & Tyrese Haliburton is questionable for this game.
📈Pistons have lost each of their last 23 night games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
📈Pacers have won each of their last three games as road underdogs.
📈Pistons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
📈Pacers have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 road games.
🎯Pascal Siakam has 20+ points in 11 of 12 game vs DET.
⏮️Reverse line movement on Pacers
🖥️Score prediction: 115-116 Detroit Pistons
✅Active on Indiana Pacers +1.5 (Not an official play)
🏀The Cleveland Cavaliers are 13-2 ATS this season vs teams above .500 when the total is below 243.5
📈Cavaliers have won each of their last 12 night games against Western Conference opponents.
📈Thunder have lost five of their last six night games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
📈Cavaliers have covered the spread in each of their last eight night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
📈Thunder have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six night games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
🎯Evan Mobley has 10+ rebounds in 4 straight games.
⏮️Reverse line movement on Cavaliers
🖥️Score prediction: 122-123 Oklahoma Thunder
✅Active on Cleveland Cavaliers +2.0 (ATS) (Not an official play)
🏀Home teams who were underdogs in their last game but are now favored by -3.0 to -7.5 in conference games in which the opponent lost their previous game as an underdog are 20-3 ATS this season.
🖥️Score prediction: 74-69 Cal Poly
✅Active on Cal Poly Mustangs -4.5 (ATS) (Not an official play)
🔪DET PISTONS -1.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪POR/LAC u221.0 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪MARYLAND -1.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪UTA/UTAH VALLEY u145.5 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪UTAH HC ML is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
🔪PIT/BUF o6.0 is receiving the most sharp action from respected bettors.
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