Hello Ballers! 2-1 on Wednesday’s featured trends. Sorry for the delayed submission today, we are in the middle of a move. As always, NFL Newsletter will be released tomorrow. Here’s today’s Money Baller Report with a breakdown of all of our favorite trends and systems on today’s slate:
Published: Friday, November 22, 2024 5:38 PM CT
Brooklyn Nets @ Philadelphia 76ers
- Nets: 12-3 1H ATS (10-1 1H ATS as a dog)
- 76ers: 3-11 ATS (1-5 ATS at home)
- TMB thoughts: If you’re backing the Nets, targeting a 1H +2.5 play aligns well with these trends.
Boston Celtics @ Washington Wizards
- Wizards: 2-11 1H ATS (0-6 1H ATS at home)
- TMB thoughts: Celtics haven’t been the dominant 1H team as years past, but one thing is for sure: Wizards are an excellent 1H fade. The line is 1H -10, one that is a bit rich for our blood.
- TMB thoughts: Celtics haven’t been the dominant 1H team as years past, but one thing is for sure: Wizards are an excellent 1H fade. The line is 1H -10, one that is a bit rich for our blood.
Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks
- Pacers: 5-1 O/U as an underdog
- Baller System on the over: Over system based on recent high scoring
- TMB thoughts: With the Pacers hitting the over in five of six games as underdogs and a Baller System supporting the over due to recent high-scoring performances, this matchup has all the signals for a shootout. Both teams have potent offenses, and we like this game to go Over 237.
Golden State Warriors @ New Orleans Pelicans
- Overall, Pelicans are 4-12 ATS this season, but are 6-0 1H ATS as a home underdog
- Warriors: 3-10 1H O/U
- TMB thoughts: While the Pelicans have struggled overall this season, they’ve been surprisingly strong in the 1H as home underdogs. No action here for now, but these trends are worth noting for those considering early-game plays.
Portland Trail Blazers @ Houston Rockets
- Rockets hold their opponents’ team total 2-13-1 to the under
- TMB thoughts: The Rockets’ elite defense (3rd in Defensive Rating) has been a key factor this season, holding opponents’ team totals to the under in 13 of 16 games (2-13-1). Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers rank 29th in Offensive Rating, further supporting a low-scoring outlook for their offense. We’re backing Blazers Team Total Under 105.5 as the play here.
Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets
- Mavericks: 6-0 1H O/U on the road
- Nuggets: 10-3 1H O/U
- TMB thoughts: Interesting 1H total trends here supporting this matchup, convincing us to consider 1H Over 115.5 if Jokic is ruled in.
Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Clippers
- TMB thoughts: The Kings have multiple Baller Systems backing them, highlighting favorable situational spots, including revenge and bounce-back potential. With DeMar DeRozan and Domantas Sabonis back in the lineup, the Kings are positioned to exploit the Clippers’ vulnerabilities. We like the Kings to cover -3.5 in this matchup.