Red Sox vs. Rays: Expect fireworks in Tampa

Game: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Date: September 17, 2024
Time: 6:50 PM ET

Red Sox: Nick Pivetta (R)
Rays: Shane Baz (R)


The Red Sox and Rays kick off their series tonight with a total set at 7.5, which opens up a promising betting opportunity.

Key Trends (since 2024 unless otherwise noted):

  • When two teams are coming off road losses and facing each other in the first game of a series with a total of 7.5 or less, the over has hit in 9 out of 10 games (9-1).
  • The Red Sox are 7-2 to the over in the first game of a series when playing as road favorites.
  • The Rays have a 7-4 record to the over at home in the first game of a series following a loss.
  • In divisional matchups, when the Rays are underdogs with a total of 7.5 or less, they are 5-0-1 to the over.
  • Divisional matchups between two teams coming off losses are 7-3 to the over when the total is set at 7.5.


These trends suggest a strong lean towards the over in tonight’s game, given the recent performance patterns of both teams in similar situations.


Pick: Over 7.5

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