Fever @ Sun [ Sun -6.5 / 164.5 ]
Fever | 20-20 (50%)Sun | 28-12 (70%)
Our Baller Exclusive WNBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.
Our base model gives the Sun (-6.5) a 64.4-70.6% chance of covering as a favorite, and projects the game going over 164.5 around 51.7-55.7% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Sun have a 73.3% chance of covering as a favorite at home, and the game has a 47.4% chance of going over the total.
Baller Systems
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In season revenge
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 9/25 | CON | IND +6 CON -6 | 163 | IND | - | - | - |
| 9/22 | CON | IND +6.5 CON -6.5 | 164.5 | IND | - | - | - |
| 9/19 | WAS [ 92 ] | IND +3 WAS -3 | 168 | IND [ 91 ] | -1 | +2 | +15 |
| 9/15 | IND [ 110 ] | IND -9 DAL +9 | 186 | DAL [ 109 ] | +1 | -8 | +33 |
| 9/13 | IND [ 74 ] | IND +4 LVA -4 | 177.5 | LVA [ 78 ] | -4 | 0 | -25.5 |
| 9/11 | IND [ 75 ] | IND +4.5 LVA -4.5 | 180 | LVA [ 86 ] | -11 | -6.5 | -19 |
| 9/8 | IND [ 104 ] | IND -5.5 ATL +5.5 | 170 | ATL [ 100 ] | +4 | -1.5 | +34 |
| 9/6 | IND [ 88 ] | IND +3 MIN -3 | 170 | MIN [ 99 ] | -11 | -8 | +17 |
| 9/4 | IND [ 93 ] | IND -11 LAS +11 | 174.5 | LAS [ 86 ] | +7 | -4 | +4.5 |
| 9/1 | DAL [ 93 ] | IND -3 DAL +3 | 183.5 | IND [ 100 ] | +7 | +4 | +9.5 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 9/25 | CON | CON -6 IND +6 | 163 | IND | - | - | - |
| 9/22 | CON | CON -6.5 IND +6.5 | 164.5 | IND | - | - | - |
| 9/19 | CON [ 87 ] | CON -15 CHI +15 | 152.5 | CHI [ 54 ] | +33 | +18 | -11.5 |
| 9/17 | CON [ 76 ] | CON -1.5 MIN +1.5 | 154 | MIN [ 78 ] | -2 | -3.5 | 0 |
| 9/15 | LVA [ 84 ] | CON +4.5 LVA -4.5 | 160 | CON [ 71 ] | -13 | -8.5 | -5 |
| 9/13 | PHO [ 69 ] | CON -9.5 PHO +9.5 | 155.5 | CON [ 88 ] | +19 | +9.5 | +1.5 |
| 9/10 | LAS [ 66 ] | CON -11.5 LAS +11.5 | 159.5 | CON [ 86 ] | +20 | +8.5 | -7.5 |
| 9/8 | LAS [ 67 ] | CON -10.5 LAS +10.5 | 161 | CON [ 79 ] | +12 | +1.5 | -15 |
| 9/6 | CON [ 67 ] | CON +1.5 LVA -1.5 | 164.5 | LVA [ 72 ] | -5 | -3.5 | -25.5 |
| 9/3 | CON [ 64 ] | CON -3.5 SEA +3.5 | 158.5 | SEA [ 71 ] | -7 | -10.5 | -23.5 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | Pace | Ortg | Drtg | Net | Tot | |
| 9/25 | CON | CON -6 IND +6 | 163 | IND | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9/22 | CON | CON -6.5 IND +6.5 | 164.5 | IND | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 8/28 | IND [ 84 ] | CON -4 IND +4 | 164.5 | CON [ 80 ] | -4 | -8 | -0.5 | 96.9 | 99 | 104 | -5 | 164 |
| 6/10 | CON [ 89 ] | CON -10 IND +10 | 159.5 | IND [ 72 ] | +17 | +7 | +1.5 | 85.8 | 124.5 | 100.7 | 23.8 | 161 |
| 5/20 | IND [ 84 ] | CON -5.5 IND +5.5 | 163.5 | CON [ 88 ] | +4 | -1.5 | +8.5 | 90.3 | 117 | 111.7 | 5.3 | 172 |
| 5/14 | CON [ 92 ] | CON -6.5 IND +6.5 | 166.5 | IND [ 71 ] | +21 | +14.5 | -3.5 | 96.1 | 114.8 | 88.6 | 26.2 | 163 |
| 9/8 | CON [ 76 ] | CON -10 IND +10 | 160.5 | IND [ 59 ] | +17 | +7 | -25.5 | 90.1 | 101.2 | 78.6 | 22.6 | 135 |
| 8/4 | IND [ 72 ] | CON -8 IND +8 | 160.5 | CON [ 88 ] | +16 | +8 | -0.5 | 88.1 | 119.9 | 98.1 | 21.8 | 160 |
| 5/30 | CON [ 81 ] | CON -12.5 IND +12.5 | 158 | IND [ 78 ] | +3 | -9.5 | +1 | 92.2 | 105.4 | 101.5 | 3.9 | 159 |
| 5/19 | IND [ 61 ] | CON -8 IND +8 | 162 | CON [ 70 ] | +9 | +1 | -31 | 97.8 | 85.9 | 74.9 | 11 | 131 |
| 7/13 | IND [ 81 ] | CON -9.5 IND +9.5 | 161 | CON [ 89 ] | +8 | -1.5 | +9 | 98.3 | 108.7 | 98.9 | 9.8 | 170 |
| Fever ( games) |
Sun ( games) |
|
| - | Win Percentage | - |
| - | ATS Win% | - |
| - | OU% | - |
| - | Strength of Schedule | - |
| - | Offensive Rating | - |
| - | Defensive Rating | - |
| - | Pace | - |
| - | A/TO Ratio | - |
| Fever ( games) |
Sun ( games) |
|
| - | EFG% | - |
| - | EFG% Allowed | - |
| - | FT Rate | - |
| - | FT Rate Allowed | - |
| - | OReb% | - |
| - | OReb% Allowed | - |
| - | TO Rate | - |
| - | TO Rate Forced | - |
| Fever ( games) |
Sun ( games) |
|
| - | PPG | - |
| - | PPG Allowed | - |
| - | Pts off TO | - |
| - | Pts off TO Allowed | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts Allowed | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts Allowed | - |
| Fever ( games) |
Sun ( games) |
|
| - | Paint Attempts | - |
| - | Paint Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Paint FG% | - |
| - | Paint FG% Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% Allowed | - |
| Fever ( games) |
Sun ( games) |
|
| - | Corner 3 Attempts | - |
| - | Corner 3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% Allowed | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fever 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Fever | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Sun 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fever 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Fever | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fever 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Fever | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fever 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Fever | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fever 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Fever | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Dog 10+ | Dog 7-10 | Dog 2.5-7 | Within 2.5 | Fav 2.5-7 | Fav 7-10 | Fav 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fever | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) |
| Sun | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) |