Dream @ Liberty [ Liberty -13 / 156 ]
Dream | 15-25 (37.5%)Liberty | 32-9 (78%)
Our Baller Exclusive WNBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.
Our base model will start on May 26, 2025 when we've gathered more team data.
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Baller Systems
Back double digit dog off a win
Double digit, in season revenge
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 9/24 | NYL | ATL +12.5 NYL -12.5 | 156 | ATL | - | - | - |
| 9/22 | NYL | ATL +13 NYL -13 | 156 | ATL | - | - | - |
| 9/19 | NYL [ 67 ] | ATL +5.5 NYL -5.5 | 157 | ATL [ 78 ] | +11 | +16.5 | -12 |
| 9/17 | ATL [ 86 ] | ATL -9 CHI +9 | 154 | CHI [ 70 ] | +16 | +7 | +2 |
| 9/15 | WAS [ 73 ] | ATL -1 WAS +1 | 154 | ATL [ 76 ] | +3 | +2 | -5 |
| 9/13 | ATL [ 69 ] | ATL -4.5 WAS +4.5 | 155 | WAS [ 72 ] | -3 | -7.5 | -14 |
| 9/10 | ATL [ 64 ] | ATL +5.5 MIN -5.5 | 155 | MIN [ 76 ] | -12 | -6.5 | -15 |
| 9/8 | IND [ 104 ] | ATL +5.5 IND -5.5 | 170 | ATL [ 100 ] | -4 | +1.5 | +34 |
| 9/6 | ATL [ 107 ] | ATL -2.5 DAL +2.5 | 170.5 | DAL [ 96 ] | +11 | +8.5 | +32.5 |
| 9/3 | PHO [ 74 ] | ATL +2 PHO -2 | 160.5 | ATL [ 66 ] | -8 | -6 | -20.5 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 9/24 | NYL | NYL -12.5 ATL +12.5 | 156 | ATL | - | - | - |
| 9/22 | NYL | NYL -13 ATL +13 | 156 | ATL | - | - | - |
| 9/19 | NYL [ 67 ] | NYL -5.5 ATL +5.5 | 157 | ATL [ 78 ] | -11 | -16.5 | -12 |
| 9/17 | WAS [ 71 ] | NYL -10 WAS +10 | 161.5 | NYL [ 87 ] | +16 | +6 | -3.5 |
| 9/15 | NYL [ 79 ] | NYL -5.5 MIN +5.5 | 160 | MIN [ 88 ] | -9 | -14.5 | +7 |
| 9/12 | DAL [ 67 ] | NYL -10.5 DAL +10.5 | 177.5 | NYL [ 99 ] | +32 | +21.5 | -11.5 |
| 9/10 | DAL [ 91 ] | NYL -10.5 DAL +10.5 | 176 | NYL [ 105 ] | +14 | +3.5 | +20 |
| 9/8 | NYL [ 75 ] | NYL -9.5 LVA +9.5 | 168 | LVA [ 71 ] | +4 | -5.5 | -22 |
| 9/5 | NYL [ 77 ] | NYL -8 SEA +8 | 165 | SEA [ 70 ] | +7 | -1 | -18 |
| 8/30 | SEA [ 85 ] | NYL -3.5 SEA +3.5 | 162.5 | NYL [ 98 ] | +13 | +9.5 | +20.5 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | Pace | Ortg | Drtg | Net | Tot | |
| 8/23 | ATL | - - | - | NYL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7/13 | NYL | NYL -3.5 ATL +3.5 | 167 | ATL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6/29 | ATL | NYL +1.5 ATL -1.5 | 165.5 | NYL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6/17 | NYL | NYL -8 ATL +8 | 162.5 | ATL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9/24 | NYL | NYL -12.5 ATL +12.5 | 156 | ATL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9/22 | NYL | NYL -13 ATL +13 | 156 | ATL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9/19 | NYL [ 67 ] | NYL -5.5 ATL +5.5 | 157 | ATL [ 78 ] | -11 | -16.5 | -12 | 87.4 | 92 | 107.1 | -15.1 | 145 |
| 6/30 | NYL [ 81 ] | NYL -15.5 ATL +15.5 | 168 | ATL [ 75 ] | +6 | -9.5 | -12 | 91 | 106.8 | 98.9 | 7.9 | 156 |
| 6/23 | ATL [ 75 ] | NYL -9 ATL +9 | 165.5 | NYL [ 96 ] | +21 | +12 | +5.5 | 96.3 | 119.6 | 93.4 | 26.2 | 171 |
| 6/6 | ATL [ 61 ] | NYL -6.5 ATL +6.5 | 163.5 | NYL [ 78 ] | +17 | +10.5 | -24.5 | 91.9 | 101.8 | 79.6 | 22.2 | 139 |
| 7/27 | NYL [ 95 ] | NYL -8.5 ATL +8.5 | 175 | ATL [ 84 ] | +11 | +2.5 | +4 | 97.3 | 117.2 | 103.6 | 13.6 | 179 |
** The first week of the season will include last season's regular games by default.
| Dream ( game/s) |
Liberty ( game/s) |
|
| - | Win Percentage | - |
| - | ATS Win% | - |
| - | OU% | - |
| - | Offensive Rating | - |
| - | Defensive Rating | - |
| - | Pace | - |
| - | A/TO Ratio | - |
| Dream ( game/s) |
Liberty ( game/s) |
|
| - | EFG% | - |
| - | EFG% Allowed | - |
| - | FT Rate | - |
| - | FT Rate Allowed | - |
| - | OReb% | - |
| - | OReb% Allowed | - |
| - | TO Rate | - |
| - | TO Rate Forced | - |
| Dream ( game/s) |
Liberty ( game/s) |
|
| - | PPG | - |
| - | PPG Allowed | - |
| - | Pts off TO | - |
| - | Pts off TO Allowed | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts Allowed | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts Allowed | - |
| Dream ( game/s) |
Liberty ( game/s) |
|
| - | Paint Attempts | - |
| - | Paint Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Paint FG% | - |
| - | Paint FG% Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% Allowed | - |
| Dream ( game/s) |
Liberty ( game/s) |
|
| - | Corner 3 Attempts | - |
| - | Corner 3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% Allowed | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Liberty 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Liberty | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Liberty 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Liberty | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Liberty 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Liberty | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Liberty 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Liberty | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Liberty 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Liberty | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Dog 10+ | Dog 7-10 | Dog 2.5-7 | Within 2.5 | Fav 2.5-7 | Fav 7-10 | Fav 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream | 3-2-0 (60%) | 1-2-0 (33.3%) | 1-7-0 (12.5%) | 6-7-0 (46.2%) | 4-1-0 (80%) | 4-3-0 (57.1%) | 0-0-1 (-) |
| Liberty | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 1-4-0 (20%) | 2-1-0 (66.7%) | 4-4-0 (50%) | 7-6-0 (53.8%) | 8-13-0 (38.1%) |