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NBA WNBA NFL MLB
Updated: 01/23/26 6:57 a.m.
Sun, 1/25, 3:00 p.m.
New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos
Patriots: 16-3 (84.2%) - AFC East
Broncos: 15-3 (83.3%) - AFC West
Line: +4.5
Total: 42.5
Open: +5.5
Open: 40.5
Notes
Patriots
Situational Factor(s)
Rest Disadvantage
Baller System(s)
Back favorite off a game as a fav w/ low turnovers Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 145 - 105 - 6 (58.0%)L365 Days: 24 - 22 - 0 (52.2%)Current Season: 19 - 21 - 0 (47.5%)
Broncos
Situational Factor(s)
Extended rest: Non-bye week
Rest Advantage
Coming off an Overtime game
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Broncos are 80% (4-1) against the spread as a dog
The Broncos are 20% (1-4) to the over/under as a dog
The Broncos are 100% (4-0) (L14) against the spread as a dog
The Broncos are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as a dog
The Patriots are 73.7% (14-5) against the spread
The Patriots are 87.5% (7-1) against the spread away
The Patriots are 76.9% (10-3) against the spread as a fav
The Patriots are 75% (3-1) against the spread as an away fav
The Patriots are 78.6% (11-3) (L14) against the spread
The Patriots are 83.3% (5-1) (L14) against the spread away
The Patriots are 81.8% (9-2) (L14) against the spread as a fav
The Patriots are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as an away fav
The Patriots are 71.4% (10-4) (L14) to the over/under
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/24/23 2023 Broncos 23 Home Patriots 26 321 83 238 0 4 -7.0 37.5 +3 49
Broncos as Home (1 games) 23.0 - - 26.0 321 83 238 0.0 4.0 -7.0 37.5 +3.0 49.0
All Games Avg (1 games) 23.0 - - 26.0 321 83 238 0.0 4.0 -7.0 37.5 +3.0 49.0
Schedules
Patriots Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/25/26 2025 Patriots - away Broncos - - - - - - -4.5 42.5 - -
01/18/26 2025 Patriots 28 home Texans 16 284 105 179 4 4 -3.5 41.0 -12 44
01/11/26 2025 Patriots 16 home Chargers 3 414 146 268 0 2 -3.5 45.5 -13 19
01/04/26 2025 Patriots 38 home Dolphins 10 457 243 214 1 0 -14.5 44.5 -28 48
12/28/25 2025 Patriots 42 away Jets 10 441 155 286 1 0 -13.0 42.5 -32 52
12/21/25 2025 Patriots 28 away Ravens 24 459 79 380 0 3 +3.0 48.0 -4 52
12/14/25 2025 Patriots 31 home Bills 35 401 246 155 0 2 +2.5 49.5 +4 66
12/01/25 2025 Patriots 33 home Giants 15 401 119 282 0 0 -7.0 46.5 -18 48
11/23/25 2025 Patriots 26 away Bengals 20 401 107 294 1 0 -7.0 51.5 -6 46
11/13/25 2025 Patriots 27 home Jets 14 346 65 281 0 0 -12.5 43.5 -13 41
11/09/25 2025 Patriots 28 away Buccaneers 23 436 166 270 0 1 +2.5 48.5 -5 51
Away Games Avg (4 games) 31.0 - - 19.3 434 127 308 0.5 1.0 -3.6 47.6 -11.8 50.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 29.7 - - 17.0 404 143 261 0.7 1.2 -5.3 46.1 -12.7 46.7
Broncos Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/25/26 2025 Broncos - home Patriots - - - - - - +4.5 42.5 - -
01/17/26 2025 Broncos 33 home Bills 30 349 70 279 2 1 -1.5 45.5 -3 63
01/04/26 2025 Broncos 19 home Chargers 3 257 116 141 1 0 -15.5 37.5 -16 22
12/25/25 2025 Broncos 20 away Chiefs 13 310 128 182 0 0 -13.5 37.5 -7 33
12/21/25 2025 Broncos 20 home Jaguars 34 453 101 352 0 1 -3.0 46.5 +14 54
12/14/25 2025 Broncos 34 home Packers 26 391 89 302 2 1 +2.5 43.5 -8 60
12/07/25 2025 Broncos 24 away Raiders 17 364 152 212 0 0 -8.5 40.5 -7 41
11/30/25 2025 Broncos 27 away Commanders 26 408 87 321 1 1 -6.0 43.5 -1 53
11/16/25 2025 Broncos 22 home Chiefs 19 354 59 295 1 1 +4.0 44.5 -3 41
11/06/25 2025 Broncos 10 home Raiders 7 234 84 150 1 0 -9.5 42.5 -3 17
11/02/25 2025 Broncos 18 away Texans 15 273 100 173 0 1 +1.5 40.5 -3 33
Home Games Avg (6 games) 23.0 - - 19.8 340 87 253 1.2 0.7 -3.8 43.3 -3.2 42.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 22.7 - - 19.0 339 99 241 0.8 0.6 -5.0 42.2 -3.7 41.7
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Sun, 1/25, 6:30 p.m.
Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks
Rams: 14-5 (73.7%) - NFC West
Seahawks: 15-3 (83.3%) - NFC West
Line: -2.5
Total: 46.5
Notes
Rams
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Rest Disadvantage
Third consecutive road game
Coming off an Overtime game
Baller System(s)
Unders system: based on team with consecutive road games and a higher than average total Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 76 - 111 - 4 (40.6%)L365 Days: 16 - 19 - 1 (45.7%)Current Season: 12 - 16 - 1 (42.9%)
Back divisional road team with above average passing vs poor pass defefnse Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 37 - 16 - 2 (69.8%)L365 Days: 8 - 6 - 0 (57.1%)Current Season: 6 - 3 - 0 (66.7%)
Seahawks
Situational Factor(s)
Extended rest: Non-bye week
Rest Advantage
Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Seahawks are 72.2% (13-5) against the spread
The Seahawks are 73.3% (11-4) against the spread as a fav
The Seahawks are 75% (6-2) to the over/under as a home fav
The Seahawks are 71.4% (10-4) (L14) against the spread
The Seahawks are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) to the over/under at home
The Seahawks are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav
The Rams are 80% (8-2) to the over/under away
The Rams are 75% (6-2) (L14) to the over/under away
View All Records
Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
12/18/25 2025 Seahawks 38 Home Rams 37 441 171 270 0 1 -1.5 42.5 -1 75
11/16/25 2025 Seahawks 19 Away Rams 21 249 119 130 4 1 +3.0 49.5 +2 40
01/05/25 2024 Seahawks 30 Away Rams 25 418 84 334 0 0 -7.5 38.5 -5 55
11/03/24 2024 Seahawks 20 Home Rams 26 470 107 363 1 2 +2.5 48.5 +6 46
11/19/23 2023 Seahawks 16 Away Rams 17 272 82 190 1 0 +2.5 45.5 +1 33
09/10/23 2023 Seahawks 13 Home Rams 30 197 85 112 0 0 -4.5 44.5 +17 43
01/08/23 2022 Seahawks 19 Home Rams 16 410 197 213 1 0 -4.0 43.5 -3 35
12/04/22 2022 Seahawks 27 Away Rams 23 349 171 178 1 1 -6.5 41.0 -4 50
Seahawks as Home (4 games) 22.5 - - 27.3 380 140 240 0.5 0.8 -1.9 44.8 +4.8 49.8
All Games Avg (8 games) 22.8 - - 24.4 351 127 224 1.0 0.6 -2.0 44.2 +1.6 47.1
Schedules
Rams Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/25/26 2025 Rams - away Seahawks - - - - - - +2.5 46.5 - -
01/18/26 2025 Rams 20 away Bears 17 369 111 258 3 2 -3.5 49.5 -3 37
01/10/26 2025 Rams 34 away Panthers 31 420 116 304 1 0 -10.0 45.0 -3 65
01/04/26 2025 Rams 37 home Cardinals 20 402 143 259 1 0 -14.5 49.5 -17 57
12/29/25 2025 Rams 24 away Falcons 27 384 115 269 0 0 -7.5 49.0 +3 51
12/18/25 2025 Rams 37 away Seahawks 38 581 124 457 2 0 +1.5 42.5 +1 75
12/14/25 2025 Rams 41 home Lions 34 527 159 368 0 1 -5.5 55.5 -7 75
12/07/25 2025 Rams 45 away Cardinals 17 530 249 281 1 0 -9.5 49.5 -28 62
11/30/25 2025 Rams 28 away Panthers 31 395 152 243 0 1 -10.0 44.5 +3 59
11/23/25 2025 Rams 34 home Buccaneers 7 343 70 273 2 0 -6.5 49.5 -27 41
11/16/25 2025 Rams 21 home Seahawks 19 249 119 130 4 1 -3.0 49.5 -2 40
Away Games Avg (6 games) 31.3 - - 26.8 447 145 302 1.2 0.5 -6.5 46.7 -4.5 58.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 32.1 - - 24.1 420 136 284 1.4 0.5 -6.9 48.4 -8.0 56.2
Seahawks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Yds Rush Rec Int Fum Line Total Margin Act Total
01/25/26 2025 Seahawks - home Rams - - - - - - -2.5 46.5 - -
01/17/26 2025 Seahawks 41 home Fortyniners 6 299 175 124 1 0 -7.0 44.5 -35 47
01/03/26 2025 Seahawks 13 away Fortyniners 3 378 180 198 1 1 -2.5 48.5 -10 16
12/28/25 2025 Seahawks 27 away Panthers 10 310 163 147 1 3 -6.5 42.5 -17 37
12/18/25 2025 Seahawks 38 home Rams 37 441 171 270 0 1 -1.5 42.5 -1 75
12/14/25 2025 Seahawks 18 home Colts 16 321 50 271 1 1 -13.5 42.5 -2 34
12/07/25 2025 Seahawks 37 away Falcons 9 378 129 249 2 2 -7.0 44.5 -28 46
11/30/25 2025 Seahawks 26 home Vikings 0 253 125 128 4 3 -12.5 42.5 -26 26
11/23/25 2025 Seahawks 30 away Titans 24 358 114 244 0 0 -13.0 40.5 -6 54
11/16/25 2025 Seahawks 19 away Rams 21 414 135 279 0 1 +3.0 49.5 +2 40
11/09/25 2025 Seahawks 44 home Cardinals 22 376 198 178 0 4 -7.5 44.5 -22 66
Home Games Avg (5 games) 33.4 - - 16.2 338 144 194 1.2 1.8 -8.4 43.3 -17.2 49.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 29.3 - - 14.8 353 144 209 1.0 1.6 -6.8 44.2 -14.5 44.1
Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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