Cowboys @ Eagles [ Eagles -6.5 / 46.5 ]

Divisional Matchup
Cowboys | - (-)
Eagles | - (-)

Our Baller Exclusive NFL base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Model output will show after week 3.

Cowboys Situational Notes
Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Eagles Situational Notes

Cowboys Schedule
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
9/14DALDAL -4.5
NYG +4.5
0NYG---
9/4PHIDAL +6.5
PHI -6.5
46.5DAL---
1/5DAL [ 19 ]DAL +7
WAS -7
43.5WAS [ 23 ]-4+3-1.5
12/29PHI [ 41 ]DAL +7.5
PHI -7.5
37.5DAL [ 7 ]-34-26.5+10.5
12/22DAL [ 26 ]DAL +6
TB -6
49TB [ 24 ]+2+8+1
12/15CAR [ 14 ]DAL +2.5
CAR -2.5
42DAL [ 30 ]+16+18.5+2
12/9DAL [ 20 ]DAL +4.5
CIN -4.5
51CIN [ 27 ]-7-2.5-4
11/28DAL [ 27 ]DAL -4.5
NYG +4.5
39.5NYG [ 20 ]+7+2.5+7.5
11/24WAS [ 26 ]DAL +10.5
WAS -10.5
44.5DAL [ 34 ]+8+18.5+15.5
11/18DAL [ 10 ]DAL +7
HOU -7
41HOU [ 34 ]-24-17+3
Eagles Schedule
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
9/14KCPHI +1.5
KC -1.5
46.5PHI---
9/4PHIPHI -6.5
DAL +6.5
46.5DAL---
2/9KC [ 0 ]PHI +1.5
KC -1.5
49.5PHI [ 0 ]0+1.5-49.5
1/26PHI [ 55 ]PHI -6
WAS +6
46.5WAS [ 23 ]+32+26+31.5
1/19PHI [ 28 ]PHI -7
LAR +7
43.5LAR [ 22 ]+6-1+6.5
1/12PHI [ 22 ]PHI -5.5
GB +5.5
46.5GB [ 10 ]+12+6.5-14.5
1/5PHI [ 20 ]PHI -3.5
NYG +3.5
35.5NYG [ 13 ]+7+3.5-2.5
12/29PHI [ 41 ]PHI -7.5
DAL +7.5
37.5DAL [ 7 ]+34+26.5+10.5
12/22WAS [ 36 ]PHI -4
WAS +4
47PHI [ 33 ]-3-7+22
12/15PHI [ 27 ]PHI -5.5
PIT +5.5
43PIT [ 13 ]+14+8.5-3
Historical Matchups
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU MarginYdsRushRecPlaysYds/PlayYds/PtIntFum
11/23DALPHI -4.5
DAL +4.5
46.5PHI---PHI
DAL		-
0		-
-		-
-		-
-		-
-		-
-		-
-		-
-
9/4PHIPHI -6.5
DAL +6.5
46.5DAL---PHI
DAL		-
0		-
-		-
-		-
-		-
-		-
-		-
-		-
-
12/29PHI [ 41 ]PHI -7.5
DAL +7.5
37.5DAL [ 7 ]+34+26.5+10.5PHI
DAL		376
275		179
127		197
148		63
61		6
4.5		9.2
39.3		2
0		0
2
11/10DAL [ 6 ]PHI -7
DAL +7
45PHI [ 34 ]+28+21-5PHI
DAL		394
163		187
97		207
66		67
58		5.9
2.8		11.6
27.2		1
1		1
4

Performance
Cowboys
(21 games)		 Eagles
(17 games)
0.41 (20)Win Percentage0.85 (2)
41.18 (24)ATS Win%65 (4)
64.71 (7)OU%45 (24)
20.59 (21)PPG27.05 (7)
27.53 (31)PPG Allowed17.05 (1)

Possession
Cowboys
(21 games)		 Eagles
(17 games)
62.65 (5)Plays/game57 (25)
59.65 (18)Plays/game Allowed53 (3)
29.27 (25)Time of Possession (min)30.59 (10)
30.73 (22)Time of Possession Allowed26.55 (1)
2.33 (28)Avg. Time/Drive (min)2.45 (18)
2.46 (12)Avg. Time/Drive Allowed2.22 (3)

Downs
Cowboys
(21 games)		 Eagles
(17 games)
19.24 (17)First Downs20 (13)
13.41 (5)Third Downs12.9 (10)
36.84 (23)Third Conv. Rate40.96 (10)
1.65 (9)Fourth Downs1.43 (15)
35.71 (32)Fourth Conv. Rate73.33 (3)

Yardage Overview
Cowboys
(21 games)		 Eagles
(17 games)
341 (18)Total Yds369.19 (9)
375.18 (28)Total Yds Allowed293.71 (1)
27.66 (23)Avg. Yds/Drive29.49 (14)
29.4 (15)Avg. Yds/Drive Allowed23.57 (1)
5.44 (25)Avg. Yds/Play6.48 (5)
6.29 (27)Avg. Yds/Play Allowed5.54 (7)
3.06 (3)Sacks/game2.43 (15)
2.24 (14)Sacks Allowed2.67 (19)

Rushing
Cowboys
(21 games)		 Eagles
(17 games)
100.29 (26)Rush Yds177.67 (2)
137.12 (29)Rush Yds Allowed99.43 (4)
3.97 (30)Yds/Carry5.15 (4)
4.84 (28)Yds/Carry Allowed4.29 (11)
40.2 (27)Run%58.4 (1)
48.5 (23)Run% Allowed42.2 (6)
1.71 (31)Fumbles1 (8)
1.24 (14)Fumbles Forced1.86 (1)

Receiving
Cowboys
(21 games)		 Eagles
(17 games)
240.71 (9)Rec Yds191.52 (32)
238.06 (24)Rec Yds Allowed194.29 (2)
6.42 (27)Yds/Pass7.78 (6)
7.9 (31)Yds/Pass Allowed6.11 (1)
59.8 (6)Pass%41.6 (32)
51.5 (10)Pass% Allowed57.8 (27)
0.76 (19)Int Thrown0.81 (21)
0.82 (12)Int Forced0.29 (31)


Straight Up Records (SU)
TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Cowboys 1h8-8-11-1-02-5-01-0-04-2-11-0-04-5-1
Cowboys 7-101-11-61-04-31-04-6
Eagles 1h14-4-29-1-10-0-04-1-01-1-11-0-112-2-1
Eagles 17-310-10-03-23-01-114-1

Against the Spread Records (ATS)
TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Cowboys 1h9-8-01-1-02-5-01-0-05-2-01-0-05-5-0
Cowboys 7-10-01-1-02-5-00-1-04-3-01-0-04-6-0
Eagles 1h12-8-06-5-00-0-04-1-02-1-00-2-011-4-0
Eagles 13-7-06-5-00-0-03-2-03-0-00-2-011-4-0

Over/Under Records (OU)
TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Cowboys 1h9-7-12-0-05-2-00-0-12-5-00-1-05-5-0
Cowboys 11-6-02-0-04-3-00-1-05-2-00-1-07-3-0
Eagles 1h9-11-05-6-00-0-02-3-01-2-00-2-07-8-0
Eagles 9-11-04-7-00-0-03-2-01-2-00-2-07-8-0

Team Total Records (TT)
TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Cowboys 1h6-10-12-0-02-5-01-0-01-5-10-1-02-7-1
Cowboys 8-9-01-1-03-4-00-1-04-3-00-1-05-5-0
Eagles 1h9-8-34-5-20-0-03-1-11-2-00-2-08-5-2
Eagles 13-8-06-5-00-0-04-1-02-1-00-2-011-5-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)
TeamOverallHFHDAFAD+Rest-Rest
Cowboys 1h8-8-12-0-05-2-00-1-01-5-10-1-05-4-1
Cowboys 8-9-02-0-04-3-00-1-02-5-00-1-05-5-0
Eagles 1h8-12-05-6-00-0-02-3-00-3-01-1-05-10-0
Eagles 8-13-05-6-00-0-02-3-00-3-01-1-05-11-0


ATS Range Records
TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Cowboys1-0-0 (100%)1-3-0 (25%)3-4-0 (42.9%)1-1-0 (50%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Eagles0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)3-0-0 (100%)1-1-1 (50%)7-2-0 (77.8%)2-3-0 (40%)0-1-0 (0%)