Pistons @ Hornets [ Hornets / ]

Pistons | 7-9 (43.8%)
Hornets | 5-9 (35.7%)

Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Hornets (pk) a 44.8-45.5% chance of covering on the moneyline, and projects the game going over around 0.1-0.1% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Hornets have a 46.8% chance of covering on the moneyline at home, and the game has a 0.1% chance of going over the total.

Pistons Situational Notes
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
Rest advantage
In-season revenge
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Hornets Situational Notes
4th game in 6 nights

Pistons Schedule
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
11/23ORL-
-		-DET---
11/21CHA-
-		-DET---
11/18DET [ 112 ]DET -4
CHI +4
234CHI [ 122 ]-10-140
11/17WAS [ 104 ]DET -5
WAS +5
231.5DET [ 124 ]+20+15-3.5
11/15TOR [ 95 ]DET -2.5
TOR +2.5
225DET [ 99 ]+4+1.5-31
11/13MIL [ 127 ]DET +7.5
MIL -7.5
213.5DET [ 120 ]-7+0.5+33.5
11/12DET [ 123 ]DET +1.5
MIA -1.5
214MIA [ 121 ]+2+3.5+30
11/10DET [ 99 ]DET +4
HOU -4
218.5HOU [ 101 ]-2+2-18.5
11/8DET [ 122 ]DET -2.5
ATL +2.5
229ATL [ 121 ]+1-1.5+14
11/6CHA [ 108 ]DET -1
CHA +1
223DET [ 107 ]-1-2-8
Hornets Schedule
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
11/23MIL-
-		-CHA---
11/21CHA-
-		-DET---
11/19BKN [ 116 ]CHA +1.5
BKN -1.5
219.5CHA [ 115 ]-1+0.5+11.5
11/17CLE [ 128 ]CHA +10
CLE -10
225.5CHA [ 114 ]-14-4+16.5
11/16CHA [ 115 ]CHA +3.5
MIL -3.5
220MIL [ 114 ]+1+4.5+9
11/12ORL [ 114 ]CHA +9
ORL -9
213CHA [ 89 ]-25-16-10
11/10PHI [ 107 ]CHA +5
PHI -5
213CHA [ 105 ]-2+3-1
11/8CHA [ 103 ]CHA +6.5
IND -6.5
236.5IND [ 83 ]+20+26.5-50.5
11/6CHA [ 108 ]CHA +1
DET -1
223DET [ 107 ]+1+2-8
11/4MIN [ 114 ]CHA +10.5
MIN -10.5
225.5CHA [ 93 ]-21-10.5-18.5
Historical Matchups
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU MarginPaceOrtgDrtgNetTot
2/9DET-
-		-CHA----
-
-
-
-
1/3DET-
-		-CHA----
-
-
-
-
11/21CHA-
-		-DET----
-
-
-
-
11/6CHA [ 108 ]CHA +1
DET -1
223DET [ 107 ]+1+2-897.7
110.6
109.5
1
215
3/11DET [ 114 ]CHA +4
DET -4
217CHA [ 97 ]-17-13-697.9
99.1
116.5
-17.4
211
1/24DET [ 113 ]CHA +3
DET -3
234CHA [ 106 ]-7-4-1597.8
108.4
115.6
-7.2
219
10/27CHA [ 99 ]CHA -4.5
DET +4.5
227DET [ 111 ]-12-16.5-17106.8
92.7
103.9
-11.2
210
3/9DET [ 103 ]CHA -3.5
DET +3.5
226CHA [ 113 ]+10+6.5-1097.8
115.5
105.3
10.2
216
2/27CHA [ 117 ]CHA -7
DET +7
233DET [ 106 ]+11+4-10100.7
116.2
105.3
10.9
223
2/3DET [ 118 ]CHA -1
DET +1
240CHA [ 112 ]-6-7-10106
105.7
111.4
-5.7
230
12/14CHA [ 134 ]CHA -4.5
DET +4.5
230.5DET [ 141 ]-7-11.5+44.599.8
121.6
128
-6.4
249.1

Efficiency
Pistons
(16 games)		 Hornets
(14 games)
0.44 (18)Win Percentage0.36 (25)
62.5 (7)ATS Win%57.14 (10)
33.33 (30)OU%35.71 (28)
-Strength of Schedule-
110.44 (24)Offensive Rating110.58 (23)
111.63 (9)Defensive Rating115.58 (19)
98.1 (20)Pace97.97 (21)
1.57 (24)A/TO Ratio1.45 (27)

Four Factors
Pistons
(16 games)		 Hornets
(14 games)
52.95 (19)EFG%52.08 (22)
52.73 (7)EFG% Allowed55.18 (22)
22.65 (26)FT Rate20.22 (30)
24.61 (15)FT Rate Allowed27.22 (22)
26.73 (12)OReb%28.55 (5)
21.78 (3)OReb% Allowed22.28 (5)
16.1 (21)TO Rate16.43 (25)
12.89 (28)TO Rate Forced13.53 (22)

Scoring
Pistons
(16 games)		 Hornets
(14 games)
109.75 (22)PPG109.14 (23)
110.94 (9)PPG Allowed114.07 (19)
16.13 (23)Pts off TO15.79 (25)
18.81 (21)Pts off TO Allowed18.29 (16)
15.63 (7)2nd Chance Pts17.29 (3)
13.31 (10)2nd Chance Pts Allowed12.5 (3)
16.31 (13)Fast Break Pts13.21 (25)
15.44 (14)Fast Break Pts Allowed15 (12)

Inside the Arc
Pistons
(16 games)		 Hornets
(14 games)
43.31 (14)Paint Attempts39.21 (23)
43.5 (19)Paint Attempts Allowed43 (16)
56.28 (16)Paint FG%52.82 (27)
53.16 (6)Paint FG% Allowed57.97 (17)
9.88 (8)Mid-Range Attempts6.93 (23)
9.38 (23)Mid-Range Attempts Allowed6.71 (3)
0.41 (12)Mid-Range FG%0.31 (29)
0.41 (15)Mid-Range FG% Allowed0.49 (28)

Three Point Shooting
Pistons
(16 games)		 Hornets
(14 games)
9.88 (12)Corner 3 Attempts10.07 (11)
9.06 (12)Corner 3 Attempts Allowed8 (6)
34.81 (23)Corner 3 FG%40.43 (11)
35.17 (6)Corner 3 FG% Allowed41.07 (25)
25.63 (22)ATB3 Attempts34.29 (2)
27 (13)ATB3 Attempts Allowed28.71 (22)
35.37 (16)ATB3 FG%35.63 (13)
37.73 (25)ATB3 FG% Allowed34.33 (11)


Straight Up Records (SU)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Pistons 1h9-7-01-1-04-2-02-1-02-3-02-2-02-2-00-0-03-1-0
Pistons 7-91-12-42-12-33-11-30-03-1
Hornets 1h3-10-11-0-01-4-10-0-01-6-00-3-00-3-01-1-00-2-0
Hornets 5-91-03-30-01-61-20-32-00-2

Against the Spread Records (ATS)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Pistons 1h9-7-01-1-04-2-02-1-02-3-02-2-02-2-00-0-03-1-0
Pistons 10-6-00-2-04-2-02-1-04-1-03-1-03-1-00-0-04-0-0
Hornets 1h6-8-01-0-03-3-00-0-02-5-01-2-00-3-01-1-00-2-0
Hornets 8-6-00-1-04-2-00-0-04-3-02-1-01-2-01-1-00-2-0

Over/Under Records (OU)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Pistons 1h7-8-12-0-03-3-00-2-12-3-01-2-13-1-00-0-02-2-0
Pistons 5-10-11-0-13-3-00-3-01-4-01-3-02-1-10-0-01-3-0
Hornets 1h6-7-11-0-02-3-10-0-03-4-03-0-01-1-12-0-01-1-0
Hornets 5-9-01-0-01-5-00-0-03-4-02-1-01-2-02-0-01-1-0

Team Total Records (TT)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Pistons 1h7-9-01-1-03-3-01-2-02-3-03-1-03-1-00-0-02-2-0
Pistons 6-10-01-1-03-3-01-2-01-4-02-2-03-1-00-0-02-2-0
Hornets 1h6-8-01-0-02-4-00-0-03-4-03-0-01-2-02-0-01-1-0
Hornets 6-8-01-0-01-5-00-0-04-3-02-1-01-2-02-0-01-1-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Pistons 1h6-10-01-1-02-4-00-3-03-2-02-2-02-2-00-0-01-3-0
Pistons 6-10-02-0-03-3-00-3-01-4-01-3-03-1-00-0-01-3-0
Hornets 1h7-7-01-0-03-3-00-0-03-4-03-0-02-1-02-0-01-1-0
Hornets 7-7-01-0-02-4-00-0-04-3-03-0-01-2-02-0-01-1-0


ATS Range Records
TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Pistons1-0-0 (100%)3-0-0 (100%)3-1-0 (75%)1-1-0 (50%)2-2-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Hornets1-3-0 (25%)1-1-0 (50%)4-1-0 (80%)2-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)