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Updated: 01/31/26 9:07 a.m.

12:00 p.m.
San Antonio Spurs @ Charlotte Hornets

Spurs: 32-16 (66.7%)

Hornets: 21-28 (42.9%)

Line: +4.5

Total: 226.5

Notes

Spurs

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

1st game of a back-to-back

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Baller System(s)

Fade team off a close win by small margin

Fade team off win where they made many 3s

Hornets

Situational Factor(s)

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Hornets are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Spurs are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Spurs are 7.1% (1-13) (L14) to the over/under

The Spurs are 0% (0-8) (L14) to the over/under away

The Spurs are 10% (1-9) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Spurs are 0% (0-4) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

View All Records

Hornets (Home)

The Hornets are 58.3% (28-20-1) against the spread

The Hornets are 57.1% (12-9-1) against the spread at home

The Hornets are 61.1% (22-14-1) against the spread as a dog

The Hornets are 60% (9-6-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Hornets are 40.8% (20-29) to the over/under

The Hornets are 36.4% (8-14) to the over/under at home

The Hornets are 37.8% (14-23) to the over/under as a dog

The Hornets are 31.3% (5-11) to the over/under as a home dog

The Hornets are 57.1% (8-6) (L14) against the spread

The Hornets are 40% (2-3) (L14) against the spread at home

The Hornets are 57.1% (4-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Hornets are 50% (1-1) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Hornets are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) to the over/under

The Hornets are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Hornets are 42.9% (3-4) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Hornets are 0% (0-2) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Spurs (Away)

The Spurs are 52.2% (24-22-2) against the spread

The Spurs are 56% (14-11) against the spread away

The Spurs are 44.8% (13-16-2) against the spread as a fav

The Spurs are 45.5% (5-6) against the spread as an away fav

The Spurs are 37.5% (18-30) to the over/under

The Spurs are 36% (9-16) to the over/under away

The Spurs are 35.5% (11-20) to the over/under as a fav

The Spurs are 45.5% (5-6) to the over/under as an away fav

The Spurs are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread

The Spurs are 62.5% (5-3) (L14) against the spread away

The Spurs are 50% (5-5) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Spurs are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Spurs are 7.1% (1-13) (L14) to the over/under

The Spurs are 0% (0-8) (L14) to the over/under away

The Spurs are 10% (1-9) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Spurs are 0% (0-4) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/14/25	2024	Hornets	145	Away	Spurs	134	+3.0	233.0	-11	279
02/07/25	2024	Hornets	117	Home	Spurs	116	+10.0	231.5	-1	233
01/19/24	2023	Hornets	124	Home	Spurs	120	-5.0	235.5	-4	244
01/12/24	2023	Hornets	99	Away	Spurs	135	+3.0	236.0	+36	234
02/15/23	2022	Hornets	120	Home	Spurs	110	-5.0	243.5	-10	230
Hornets as Home (3 games)			120.3	-	-	115.3	0.0	236.8	-5.0	235.7
All Games Avg (5 games)			121.0	-	-	123.0	+1.2	235.9	+2.0	244.0

Schedules

Spurs Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/04/26	2025	Spurs	-	home	Thunder	-	-	-	-	-
02/01/26	2025	Spurs	-	home	Magic	-	-	-	-	-
01/31/26	2025	Spurs	-	away	Hornets	-	-4.5	226.5	-	-
01/28/26	2025	Spurs	111	away	Rockets	99	+2.5	220.5	-12	210
01/25/26	2025	Spurs	95	home	Pelicans	104	-11.5	239.5	+9	199
01/22/26	2025	Spurs	126	away	Jazz	109	-12.5	240.0	-17	235
01/20/26	2025	Spurs	106	away	Rockets	111	+4.5	220.5	+5	217
01/19/26	2025	Spurs	123	home	Jazz	110	-16.5	237.5	-13	233
01/17/26	2025	Spurs	126	home	Timberwolves	123	-5.0	234.5	-3	249
01/15/26	2025	Spurs	119	home	Bucks	101	-7.5	225.5	-18	220
01/13/26	2025	Spurs	98	away	Thunder	119	+8.5	230.5	+21	217
01/11/26	2025	Spurs	103	away	Timberwolves	104	+2.5	233.5	+1	207
01/10/26	2025	Spurs	100	away	Celtics	95	-1.5	231.5	-5	195
Away Games Avg (6 games)			107.3	-	-	106.2	+0.7	229.4	-1.2	213.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			110.7	-	-	107.5	-3.7	231.4	-3.2	218.2

Hornets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/05/26	2025	Hornets	-	away	Rockets	-	-	-	-	-
02/02/26	2025	Hornets	-	home	Pelicans	-	-	-	-	-
01/31/26	2025	Hornets	-	home	Spurs	-	+4.5	226.5	-	-
01/29/26	2025	Hornets	123	away	Mavericks	121	-3.5	225.5	-2	244
01/28/26	2025	Hornets	112	away	Grizzlies	97	-2.5	231.5	-15	209
01/26/26	2025	Hornets	130	home	Seventysixers	93	-2.0	228.5	-37	223
01/24/26	2025	Hornets	119	home	Wizards	115	-11.5	231.5	-4	234
01/22/26	2025	Hornets	124	away	Magic	97	+4.0	225.0	-27	221
01/21/26	2025	Hornets	87	home	Cavaliers	94	+3.5	238.5	+7	181
01/18/26	2025	Hornets	110	away	Nuggets	87	-2.5	226.0	-23	197
01/17/26	2025	Hornets	116	away	Warriors	136	+7.5	236.5	+20	252
01/15/26	2025	Hornets	135	away	Lakers	117	+3.5	233.5	-18	252
01/12/26	2025	Hornets	109	away	Clippers	117	+5.0	222.5	+8	226
Home Games Avg (3 games)			112.0	-	-	100.7	-3.3	232.8	-11.3	212.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			116.5	-	-	107.4	+0.2	229.9	-9.1	223.9

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:00 p.m.
Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers

Hawks: 24-26 (48.0%)

Pacers: 12-36 (25.0%)

Line: +1.5

Total: 232.5

Open: +1.5

Open: 233.0

Notes

Hawks

Situational Factor(s)

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Baller System(s)

Fade team off a close win by small margin

Pacers

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Pacers are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread at home

The Pacers are 80% (4-1) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Pacers are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) to the over/under

The Pacers are 14.3% (1-6) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Pacers are 25% (3-9) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Pacers are 0% (0-5) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

The Hawks are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

View All Records

Pacers (Home)

The Pacers are 50% (24-24) against the spread

The Pacers are 60% (15-10) against the spread at home

The Pacers are 51.2% (21-20) against the spread as a dog

The Pacers are 63.2% (12-7) against the spread as a home dog

The Pacers are 37.5% (18-30) to the over/under

The Pacers are 40% (10-15) to the over/under at home

The Pacers are 39% (16-25) to the over/under as a dog

The Pacers are 47.4% (9-10) to the over/under as a home dog

The Pacers are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread

The Pacers are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread at home

The Pacers are 50% (6-6) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Pacers are 80% (4-1) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Pacers are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) to the over/under

The Pacers are 14.3% (1-6) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Pacers are 25% (3-9) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Pacers are 0% (0-5) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Hawks (Away)

The Hawks are 50% (25-25) against the spread

The Hawks are 59.3% (16-11) against the spread away

The Hawks are 36.4% (8-14) against the spread as a fav

The Hawks are 54.5% (6-5) against the spread as an away fav

The Hawks are 50% (25-25) to the over/under

The Hawks are 55.6% (15-12) to the over/under away

The Hawks are 50% (11-11) to the over/under as a fav

The Hawks are 63.6% (7-4) to the over/under as an away fav

The Hawks are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread

The Hawks are 50% (4-4) (L14) against the spread away

The Hawks are 60% (3-2) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Hawks are 50% (1-1) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Hawks are 35.7% (5-9) (L14) to the over/under

The Hawks are 37.5% (3-5) (L14) to the over/under away

The Hawks are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Hawks are 0% (0-2) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/26/26	2025	Pacers	116	Away	Hawks	132	+5.5	234.0	+16	248
10/31/25	2025	Pacers	108	Home	Hawks	128	+2.5	232.5	+20	236
03/08/25	2024	Pacers	118	Away	Hawks	120	0.0	242.5	+2	238
03/06/25	2024	Pacers	118	Away	Hawks	124	+2.5	241.5	+6	242
02/01/25	2024	Pacers	132	Home	Hawks	127	-9.5	242.5	-5	259
04/14/24	2023	Pacers	157	Home	Hawks	115	-14.0	237.0	-42	272
01/12/24	2023	Pacers	126	Away	Hawks	108	+5.5	251.5	-18	234
01/05/24	2023	Pacers	150	Home	Hawks	116	-3.5	263.0	-34	266
11/21/23	2023	Pacers	157	Away	Hawks	152	+4.0	251.5	-5	309
03/25/23	2022	Pacers	130	Away	Hawks	143	+10.0	249.0	+13	273
Pacers as Home (4 games)			136.8	-	-	121.5	-6.1	243.8	-15.3	258.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			131.2	-	-	126.5	+0.3	244.5	-4.7	257.7

Schedules

Hawks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/05/26	2025	Hawks	-	home	Jazz	-	-	-	-	-
02/03/26	2025	Hawks	-	away	Heat	-	-	-	-	-
01/31/26	2025	Hawks	-	away	Pacers	-	-1.5	232.5	-	-
01/29/26	2025	Hawks	86	home	Rockets	104	+6.5	224.5	+18	190
01/28/26	2025	Hawks	117	away	Celtics	106	+5.5	232.5	-11	223
01/26/26	2025	Hawks	132	home	Pacers	116	-5.5	234.0	-16	248
01/23/26	2025	Hawks	110	home	Suns	103	+3.0	233.5	-7	213
01/21/26	2025	Hawks	124	away	Grizzlies	122	+1.5	239.5	-2	246
01/19/26	2025	Hawks	110	home	Bucks	112	-1.5	232.5	+2	222
01/17/26	2025	Hawks	106	home	Celtics	132	+3.5	230.5	+26	238
01/15/26	2025	Hawks	101	away	Trailblazers	117	-4.0	230.5	+16	218
01/13/26	2025	Hawks	116	away	Lakers	141	+1.5	233.5	+25	257
01/11/26	2025	Hawks	124	away	Warriors	111	+7.5	237.5	-13	235
Away Games Avg (5 games)			116.4	-	-	119.4	+2.4	234.7	+3.0	235.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			112.6	-	-	116.4	+1.8	232.9	+3.8	229.0

Pacers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/03/26	2025	Pacers	-	home	Jazz	-	-	-	-	-
02/02/26	2025	Pacers	-	home	Rockets	-	-	-	-	-
01/31/26	2025	Pacers	-	home	Hawks	-	+1.5	232.5	-	-
01/28/26	2025	Pacers	113	home	Bulls	110	+1.5	235.5	-3	223
01/26/26	2025	Pacers	116	away	Hawks	132	+5.5	234.0	+16	248
01/23/26	2025	Pacers	117	away	Thunder	114	+15.5	226.5	-3	231
01/21/26	2025	Pacers	104	away	Celtics	119	+10.5	225.5	+15	223
01/19/26	2025	Pacers	104	away	Seventysixers	113	+6.5	230.5	+9	217
01/17/26	2025	Pacers	78	away	Pistons	121	+16.0	225.5	+43	199
01/16/26	2025	Pacers	127	home	Pelicans	119	-4.5	241.5	-8	246
01/14/26	2025	Pacers	101	home	Raptors	115	-1.5	220.5	+14	216
01/12/26	2025	Pacers	98	home	Celtics	96	+4.5	227.5	-2	194
01/10/26	2025	Pacers	123	home	Heat	99	+6.5	235.5	-24	222
Home Games Avg (5 games)			112.4	-	-	107.8	+1.3	232.1	-4.6	220.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			108.1	-	-	113.8	+6.1	230.3	+5.7	221.9

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m.
New Orleans Pelicans @ Philadelphia Seventysixers

Pelicans: 13-37 (26.0%)

Seventysixers: 26-21 (55.3%)

Line: -10.5

Total: 231.5

Open: -10.0

Notes

Pelicans

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

Seventysixers

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

1st game of a back-to-back

4th game in 6 nights

Baller System(s)

Over on unrested non-conference road team off a short home stand

Fading an unrested non-conference road team off a short home stand

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Pelicans are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) to the over/under

View All Records

Seventysixers (Home)

The Seventysixers are 56.5% (26-20-1) against the spread

The Seventysixers are 44.4% (12-15) against the spread at home

The Seventysixers are 61.5% (16-10) against the spread as a fav

The Seventysixers are 46.7% (7-8) against the spread as a home fav

The Seventysixers are 52.2% (24-22-1) to the over/under

The Seventysixers are 53.8% (14-12-1) to the over/under at home

The Seventysixers are 48% (12-13-1) to the over/under as a fav

The Seventysixers are 50% (7-7-1) to the over/under as a home fav

The Seventysixers are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) against the spread

The Seventysixers are 40% (4-6) (L14) against the spread at home

The Seventysixers are 55.6% (5-4) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Seventysixers are 50% (3-3) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Seventysixers are 50% (7-7) (L14) to the over/under

The Seventysixers are 60% (6-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Seventysixers are 44.4% (4-5) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Seventysixers are 50% (3-3) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Pelicans (Away)

The Pelicans are 53.1% (26-23-1) against the spread

The Pelicans are 52.2% (12-11) against the spread away

The Pelicans are 47.7% (21-23-1) against the spread as a dog

The Pelicans are 50% (11-11) against the spread as an away dog

The Pelicans are 50% (25-25) to the over/under

The Pelicans are 43.5% (10-13) to the over/under away

The Pelicans are 53.3% (24-21) to the over/under as a dog

The Pelicans are 45.5% (10-12) to the over/under as an away dog

The Pelicans are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread

The Pelicans are 55.6% (5-4) (L14) against the spread away

The Pelicans are 36.4% (4-7) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Pelicans are 50% (4-4) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Pelicans are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) to the over/under

The Pelicans are 33.3% (3-6) (L14) to the over/under away

The Pelicans are 36.4% (4-7) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Pelicans are 37.5% (3-5) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/24/25	2024	Seventysixers	99	Away	Pelicans	112	+3.0	224.0	+13	211
01/10/25	2024	Seventysixers	115	Home	Pelicans	123	-7.0	218.5	+8	238
03/08/24	2023	Seventysixers	95	Home	Pelicans	103	+8.0	220.5	+8	198
11/29/23	2023	Seventysixers	114	Away	Pelicans	124	+2.5	228.0	+10	238
01/02/23	2022	Seventysixers	120	Home	Pelicans	111	-6.0	229.5	-9	231
12/30/22	2022	Seventysixers	116	Away	Pelicans	127	-1.0	230.0	+11	243
Seventysixers as Home (3 games)			110.0	-	-	112.3	-1.7	222.8	+2.3	222.3
All Games Avg (6 games)			109.8	-	-	116.7	-0.1	225.1	+6.8	226.5

Schedules

Pelicans Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/04/26	2025	Pelicans	-	away	Bucks	-	-	-	-	-
02/02/26	2025	Pelicans	-	away	Hornets	-	-	-	-	-
01/31/26	2025	Pelicans	-	away	Seventysixers	-	+10.5	231.5	-	-
01/30/26	2025	Pelicans	114	home	Grizzlies	106	-3.5	231.0	-8	220
01/27/26	2025	Pelicans	95	away	Thunder	104	+14.5	233.5	+9	199
01/25/26	2025	Pelicans	104	away	Spurs	95	+11.5	239.5	-9	199
01/23/26	2025	Pelicans	133	away	Grizzlies	127	+5.0	240.0	-6	260
01/21/26	2025	Pelicans	104	home	Pistons	112	+7.5	233.5	+8	216
01/18/26	2025	Pelicans	110	away	Rockets	119	+13.5	232.5	+9	229
01/16/26	2025	Pelicans	119	away	Pacers	127	+4.5	241.5	+8	246
01/14/26	2025	Pelicans	116	home	Nets	113	-1.5	232.5	-3	229
01/13/26	2025	Pelicans	116	home	Nuggets	122	+2.5	234.5	+6	238
01/11/26	2025	Pelicans	118	away	Magic	128	+7.5	236.5	+10	246
Away Games Avg (6 games)			113.2	-	-	116.7	+9.4	237.3	+3.5	229.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			112.9	-	-	115.3	+6.2	235.5	+2.4	228.2

Seventysixers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/03/26	2025	Seventysixers	-	away	Warriors	-	-	-	-	-
02/02/26	2025	Seventysixers	-	away	Clippers	-	-	-	-	-
01/31/26	2025	Seventysixers	-	home	Pelicans	-	-10.5	231.5	-	-
01/29/26	2025	Seventysixers	113	home	Kings	111	-9.5	229.5	-2	224
01/27/26	2025	Seventysixers	139	home	Bucks	122	-10.5	219.5	-17	261
01/26/26	2025	Seventysixers	93	away	Hornets	130	+2.0	228.5	+37	223
01/24/26	2025	Seventysixers	109	home	Knicks	112	+1.0	228.0	+3	221
01/22/26	2025	Seventysixers	128	home	Rockets	122	+2.0	221.5	-6	250
01/20/26	2025	Seventysixers	110	home	Suns	116	+2.5	222.5	+6	226
01/19/26	2025	Seventysixers	113	home	Pacers	104	-6.5	230.5	-9	217
01/16/26	2025	Seventysixers	115	home	Cavaliers	117	-2.5	233.5	+2	232
01/14/26	2025	Seventysixers	107	home	Cavaliers	133	+1.5	236.5	+26	240
01/12/26	2025	Seventysixers	115	away	Raptors	102	-3.5	221.0	-13	217
Home Games Avg (8 games)			116.8	-	-	117.1	-2.8	227.7	+0.4	233.9
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.2	-	-	116.9	-2.4	227.1	+2.7	231.1

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Memphis Grizzlies

Timberwolves: 30-19 (61.2%)

Grizzlies: 18-28 (39.1%)

Line: +7.5

Total: 229.5

Open: +7.0

Open: 229.0

Notes

Timberwolves

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

In-season revenge

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

5th game in 7 nights

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Grizzlies

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

5th game in 7 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Grizzlies are 27.3% (3-8) against the spread as a home dog

The Grizzlies are 25% (2-6) (L14) against the spread at home

The Grizzlies are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

The Timberwolves are 22.2% (2-7) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

View All Records

Grizzlies (Home)

The Grizzlies are 41.3% (19-27-1) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 37.5% (9-15) against the spread at home

The Grizzlies are 33.3% (9-18-1) against the spread as a dog

The Grizzlies are 27.3% (3-8) against the spread as a home dog

The Grizzlies are 40.4% (19-28) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 45.8% (11-13) to the over/under at home

The Grizzlies are 35.7% (10-18) to the over/under as a dog

The Grizzlies are 36.4% (4-7) to the over/under as a home dog

The Grizzlies are 30.8% (4-9-1) (L14) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 25% (2-6) (L14) against the spread at home

The Grizzlies are 44.4% (4-5-1) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Grizzlies are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Grizzlies are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 37.5% (3-5) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Grizzlies are 40% (4-6) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Grizzlies are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Timberwolves (Away)

The Timberwolves are 44% (22-28) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 45.8% (11-13) against the spread away

The Timberwolves are 41% (16-23) against the spread as a fav

The Timberwolves are 41.2% (7-10) against the spread as an away fav

The Timberwolves are 44% (22-28) to the over/under

The Timberwolves are 62.5% (15-9) to the over/under away

The Timberwolves are 38.5% (15-24) to the over/under as a fav

The Timberwolves are 58.8% (10-7) to the over/under as an away fav

The Timberwolves are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 50% (3-3) (L14) against the spread away

The Timberwolves are 44.4% (4-5) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Timberwolves are 50% (1-1) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Timberwolves are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) to the over/under

The Timberwolves are 66.7% (4-2) (L14) to the over/under away

The Timberwolves are 22.2% (2-7) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Timberwolves are 50% (1-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/17/25	2025	Grizzlies	116	Away	Timberwolves	110	+6.5	227.0	-6	226
04/10/25	2024	Grizzlies	125	Home	Timberwolves	141	+2.5	229.5	+16	266
01/20/25	2024	Grizzlies	108	Home	Timberwolves	106	-5.0	235.0	-2	214
01/11/25	2024	Grizzlies	127	Away	Timberwolves	125	+2.0	233.0	-2	252
02/28/24	2023	Grizzlies	101	Away	Timberwolves	110	+12.5	208.0	+9	211
01/18/24	2023	Grizzlies	103	Away	Timberwolves	118	+12.5	214.5	+15	221
12/08/23	2023	Grizzlies	103	Home	Timberwolves	127	+6.0	214.0	+24	230
11/26/23	2023	Grizzlies	97	Home	Timberwolves	119	+7.0	218.0	+22	216
02/10/23	2022	Grizzlies	128	Home	Timberwolves	107	-6.5	231.0	-21	235
01/27/23	2022	Grizzlies	100	Away	Timberwolves	111	-1.0	236.0	+11	211
Grizzlies as Home (5 games)			112.2	-	-	120.0	+0.8	225.5	+7.8	232.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			110.8	-	-	117.4	+3.7	224.6	+6.6	228.2

Schedules

Timberwolves Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/04/26	2025	Timberwolves	-	away	Raptors	-	-	-	-	-
02/02/26	2025	Timberwolves	-	away	Grizzlies	-	-	-	-	-
01/31/26	2025	Timberwolves	-	away	Grizzlies	-	-7.5	229.5	-	-
01/29/26	2025	Timberwolves	123	home	Thunder	111	+5.5	227.5	-12	234
01/28/26	2025	Timberwolves	118	away	Mavericks	105	-8.5	229.5	-13	223
01/26/26	2025	Timberwolves	108	home	Warriors	83	-8.0	226.0	-25	191
01/25/26	2025	Timberwolves	85	home	Warriors	111	-5.5	237.5	+26	196
01/24/26	2025	Timberwolves	0	home	Warriors	0	-6.0	237.5	0	0
01/22/26	2025	Timberwolves	115	home	Bulls	120	-9.5	239.5	+5	235
01/20/26	2025	Timberwolves	122	away	Jazz	127	-12.5	238.5	+5	249
01/17/26	2025	Timberwolves	123	away	Spurs	126	+5.0	234.5	+3	249
01/16/26	2025	Timberwolves	105	away	Rockets	110	+3.5	221.5	+5	215
01/13/26	2025	Timberwolves	139	away	Bucks	106	+1.5	229.5	-33	245
Away Games Avg (5 games)			121.4	-	-	114.8	-2.2	230.7	-6.6	236.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			103.8	-	-	99.9	-3.5	232.2	-3.9	203.7

Grizzlies Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/04/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	away	Kings	-	-	-	-	-
02/02/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	home	Timberwolves	-	-	-	-	-
01/31/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	home	Timberwolves	-	+7.5	229.5	-	-
01/30/26	2025	Grizzlies	106	away	Pelicans	114	+3.5	231.0	+8	220
01/28/26	2025	Grizzlies	97	home	Hornets	112	+2.5	231.5	+15	209
01/26/26	2025	Grizzlies	99	away	Rockets	108	+10.5	225.5	+9	207
01/25/26	2025	Grizzlies	0	home	Nuggets	0	-5.5	221.5	0	0
01/23/26	2025	Grizzlies	127	home	Pelicans	133	-5.0	240.0	+6	260
01/21/26	2025	Grizzlies	122	home	Hawks	124	-1.5	239.5	+2	246
01/18/26	2025	Grizzlies	126	neutral	Magic	109	+3.0	229.5	-17	235
01/15/26	2025	Grizzlies	111	neutral	Magic	118	+5.5	227.5	+7	229
01/11/26	2025	Grizzlies	103	home	Nets	98	-7.5	220.5	-5	201
01/09/26	2025	Grizzlies	116	home	Thunder	117	+5.5	229.5	+1	233
Home Games Avg (6 games)			94.2	-	-	97.3	-1.9	230.4	+3.2	191.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			100.7	-	-	103.3	+1.1	229.6	+2.6	204.0

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m.
Chicago Bulls @ Miami Heat

Bulls: 23-25 (47.9%)

Heat: 26-23 (53.1%)

Line: -5.5

Total: 235.5

Notes

No active systems for this matchup.

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Bulls are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) to the over/under away

The Bulls are 22.2% (2-7) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Bulls are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

View All Records

Heat (Home)

The Heat are 56% (28-22-1) against the spread

The Heat are 54.2% (13-11) against the spread at home

The Heat are 52% (13-12) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 47.1% (8-9) against the spread as a home fav

The Heat are 49% (25-26) to the over/under

The Heat are 50% (12-12) to the over/under at home

The Heat are 40% (10-15) to the over/under as a fav

The Heat are 41.2% (7-10) to the over/under as a home fav

The Heat are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread

The Heat are 40% (2-3) (L14) against the spread at home

The Heat are 50% (4-4) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 33.3% (1-2) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Heat are 57.1% (8-6) (L14) to the over/under

The Heat are 60% (3-2) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Heat are 50% (4-4) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Heat are 66.7% (2-1) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Bulls (Away)

The Bulls are 50% (24-24-2) against the spread

The Bulls are 45.5% (10-12-1) against the spread away

The Bulls are 67.9% (19-9) against the spread as a dog

The Bulls are 66.7% (10-5) against the spread as an away dog

The Bulls are 42% (21-29) to the over/under

The Bulls are 47.8% (11-12) to the over/under away

The Bulls are 42.9% (12-16) to the over/under as a dog

The Bulls are 46.7% (7-8) to the over/under as an away dog

The Bulls are 57.1% (8-6) (L14) against the spread

The Bulls are 50% (3-3) (L14) against the spread away

The Bulls are 55.6% (5-4) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Bulls are 60% (3-2) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Bulls are 35.7% (5-9) (L14) to the over/under

The Bulls are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) to the over/under away

The Bulls are 22.2% (2-7) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Bulls are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/30/26	2025	Heat	0	Home	Bulls	0	-1.0	240.5	0	0
01/29/26	2025	Heat	116	Away	Bulls	113	-2.5	237.5	-3	229
01/08/26	2025	Heat	0	Away	Bulls	0	-6.5	237.5	0	0
11/21/25	2025	Heat	143	Away	Bulls	107	+2.5	250.5	-36	250
04/16/25	2024	Heat	109	Away	Bulls	90	+2.0	220.0	-19	199
04/09/25	2024	Heat	111	Away	Bulls	119	-2.5	227.5	+8	230
03/08/25	2024	Heat	109	Home	Bulls	114	-5.0	225.5	+5	223
02/04/25	2024	Heat	124	Away	Bulls	133	-3.5	229.0	+9	257
04/19/24	2023	Heat	112	Home	Bulls	91	-2.5	207.5	-21	203
12/16/23	2023	Heat	118	Home	Bulls	116	-5.0	218.0	-2	234
Heat as Home (4 games)			84.8	-	-	80.3	-3.4	222.9	-4.5	165.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			94.2	-	-	88.3	-2.4	229.4	-5.9	182.5

Schedules

Bulls Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/03/26	2025	Bulls	-	away	Bucks	-	-	-	-	-
02/01/26	2025	Bulls	-	away	Heat	-	-	-	-	-
01/31/26	2025	Bulls	-	away	Heat	-	+5.5	235.5	-	-
01/30/26	2025	Bulls	0	away	Heat	0	+1.0	240.5	0	0
01/29/26	2025	Bulls	113	home	Heat	116	+2.5	237.5	+3	229
01/28/26	2025	Bulls	110	away	Pacers	113	-1.5	235.5	+3	223
01/26/26	2025	Bulls	118	home	Lakers	129	+1.5	235.5	+11	247
01/24/26	2025	Bulls	114	home	Celtics	111	+3.0	232.0	-3	225
01/22/26	2025	Bulls	120	away	Timberwolves	115	+9.5	239.5	-5	235
01/20/26	2025	Bulls	138	home	Clippers	110	-2.5	224.5	-28	248
01/18/26	2025	Bulls	124	home	Nets	102	-7.5	224.0	-22	226
01/16/26	2025	Bulls	109	away	Nets	112	+1.5	224.5	+3	221
01/14/26	2025	Bulls	128	home	Jazz	126	-5.5	240.5	-2	254
Away Games Avg (4 games)			84.8	-	-	85.0	+2.6	235.0	+0.3	169.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			107.4	-	-	103.4	+0.2	233.4	-4.0	210.8

Heat Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/03/26	2025	Heat	-	home	Hawks	-	-	-	-	-
02/01/26	2025	Heat	-	home	Bulls	-	-	-	-	-
01/31/26	2025	Heat	-	home	Bulls	-	-5.5	235.5	-	-
01/30/26	2025	Heat	0	home	Bulls	0	-1.0	240.5	0	0
01/29/26	2025	Heat	116	away	Bulls	113	-2.5	237.5	-3	229
01/28/26	2025	Heat	124	home	Magic	133	-3.5	232.5	+9	257
01/25/26	2025	Heat	111	away	Suns	102	+4.5	225.5	-9	213
01/24/26	2025	Heat	147	away	Jazz	116	-6.5	245.0	-31	263
01/22/26	2025	Heat	110	away	Trailblazers	127	+3.0	235.0	+17	237
01/20/26	2025	Heat	130	away	Kings	117	-4.5	238.5	-13	247
01/19/26	2025	Heat	112	away	Warriors	135	+5.5	239.5	+23	247
01/17/26	2025	Heat	122	home	Thunder	120	+10.5	235.5	-2	242
01/15/26	2025	Heat	114	home	Celtics	119	+3.0	234.5	+5	233
Home Games Avg (4 games)			90.0	-	-	93.0	+2.3	235.8	+3.0	183.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			108.6	-	-	108.2	+0.9	236.4	-0.4	216.8

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:30 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets

Mavericks: 19-29 (39.6%)

Rockets: 29-17 (63.0%)

Line: -10.5

Total: 223.5

Open: -11.0

Notes

Mavericks

Situational Factor(s)

3rd game in 4 nights

Rockets

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Rockets

54.58% probability

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Rockets
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
Cover Summary	Rockets
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Rockets \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Rockets are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) against the spread

The Rockets are 25% (2-6) (L14) against the spread at home

The Rockets are 25% (3-9) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Rockets are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Rockets are 14.3% (2-12) (L14) to the over/under

The Rockets are 12.5% (1-7) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Rockets are 16.7% (2-10) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Rockets are 14.3% (1-6) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

The Mavericks are 0% (0-5) (L14) to the over/under away

The Mavericks are 25% (2-6) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

View All Records

Rockets (Home)

The Rockets are 47.8% (22-24) against the spread

The Rockets are 40% (8-12) against the spread at home

The Rockets are 45.2% (19-23) against the spread as a fav

The Rockets are 42.1% (8-11) against the spread as a home fav

The Rockets are 43.5% (20-26) to the over/under

The Rockets are 35% (7-13) to the over/under at home

The Rockets are 45.2% (19-23) to the over/under as a fav

The Rockets are 36.8% (7-12) to the over/under as a home fav

The Rockets are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) against the spread

The Rockets are 25% (2-6) (L14) against the spread at home

The Rockets are 25% (3-9) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Rockets are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Rockets are 14.3% (2-12) (L14) to the over/under

The Rockets are 12.5% (1-7) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Rockets are 16.7% (2-10) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Rockets are 14.3% (1-6) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Mavericks (Away)

The Mavericks are 47.9% (23-25-1) against the spread

The Mavericks are 36.8% (7-12-1) against the spread away

The Mavericks are 56.3% (18-14-1) against the spread as a dog

The Mavericks are 46.2% (6-7-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Mavericks are 42.9% (21-28) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 35% (7-13) to the over/under away

The Mavericks are 48.5% (16-17) to the over/under as a dog

The Mavericks are 42.9% (6-8) to the over/under as an away dog

The Mavericks are 57.1% (8-6) (L14) against the spread

The Mavericks are 40% (2-3) (L14) against the spread away

The Mavericks are 62.5% (5-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Mavericks are 66.7% (2-1) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Mavericks are 35.7% (5-9) (L14) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 0% (0-5) (L14) to the over/under away

The Mavericks are 25% (2-6) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Mavericks are 0% (0-3) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/03/26	2025	Rockets	104	Away	Mavericks	110	-7.5	228.5	+6	214
12/06/25	2025	Rockets	109	Away	Mavericks	122	-6.5	221.5	+13	231
11/03/25	2025	Rockets	110	Home	Mavericks	102	-12.5	226.5	-8	212
03/14/25	2024	Rockets	133	Home	Mavericks	96	-11.5	219.0	-37	229
02/08/25	2024	Rockets	105	Away	Mavericks	116	+3.0	227.5	+11	221
01/01/25	2024	Rockets	110	Home	Mavericks	99	-4.0	220.5	-11	209
10/31/24	2024	Rockets	108	Away	Mavericks	102	+7.0	226.0	-6	210
04/07/24	2023	Rockets	136	Away	Mavericks	147	+8.0	227.0	+11	283
03/31/24	2023	Rockets	107	Home	Mavericks	125	+2.5	231.0	+18	232
12/22/23	2023	Rockets	122	Home	Mavericks	96	-8.5	222.0	-26	218
Rockets as Home (5 games)			116.4	-	-	103.6	-6.8	223.8	-12.8	220.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.4	-	-	111.5	-3.0	225.0	-2.9	225.9

Schedules

Mavericks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/05/26	2025	Mavericks	-	home	Spurs	-	-	-	-	-
02/03/26	2025	Mavericks	-	home	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
01/31/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Rockets	-	+10.5	223.5	-	-
01/29/26	2025	Mavericks	121	home	Hornets	123	+3.5	225.5	+2	244
01/28/26	2025	Mavericks	105	home	Timberwolves	118	+8.5	229.5	+13	223
01/25/26	2025	Mavericks	0	away	Bucks	0	+2.5	219.5	0	0
01/24/26	2025	Mavericks	110	home	Lakers	116	+4.0	234.0	+6	226
01/22/26	2025	Mavericks	123	home	Warriors	115	+6.5	234.5	-8	238
01/19/26	2025	Mavericks	114	away	Knicks	97	+12.5	231.5	-17	211
01/17/26	2025	Mavericks	138	home	Jazz	120	-3.5	240.5	-18	258
01/15/26	2025	Mavericks	144	home	Jazz	122	-2.5	238.5	-22	266
01/14/26	2025	Mavericks	109	home	Nuggets	118	-1.5	224.5	+9	227
01/12/26	2025	Mavericks	113	home	Nets	105	-3.5	219.0	-8	218
Away Games Avg (2 games)			57.0	-	-	48.5	+7.5	225.5	-8.5	105.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			107.7	-	-	103.4	+2.7	229.7	-4.3	211.1

Rockets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/04/26	2025	Rockets	-	home	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
02/02/26	2025	Rockets	-	away	Pacers	-	-	-	-	-
01/31/26	2025	Rockets	-	home	Mavericks	-	-10.5	223.5	-	-
01/29/26	2025	Rockets	104	away	Hawks	86	-6.5	224.5	-18	190
01/28/26	2025	Rockets	99	home	Spurs	111	-2.5	220.5	+12	210
01/26/26	2025	Rockets	108	home	Grizzlies	99	-10.5	225.5	-9	207
01/23/26	2025	Rockets	111	away	Pistons	104	+4.0	217.0	-7	215
01/22/26	2025	Rockets	122	away	Seventysixers	128	-2.0	221.5	+6	250
01/20/26	2025	Rockets	111	home	Spurs	106	-4.5	220.5	-5	217
01/18/26	2025	Rockets	119	home	Pelicans	110	-13.5	232.5	-9	229
01/16/26	2025	Rockets	110	home	Timberwolves	105	-3.5	221.5	-5	215
01/15/26	2025	Rockets	91	home	Thunder	111	+4.5	221.5	+20	202
01/13/26	2025	Rockets	119	home	Bulls	113	-12.5	224.5	-6	232
Home Games Avg (7 games)			108.1	-	-	107.9	-6.1	223.8	-0.3	216.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			109.4	-	-	107.3	-4.7	223.0	-2.1	216.7

Premium Content

12:00 p.m. San Antonio Spurs @ Charlotte Hornets

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7:00 p.m. Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers

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7:30 p.m. New Orleans Pelicans @ Philadelphia Seventysixers

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8:00 p.m. Minnesota Timberwolves @ Memphis Grizzlies

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12:00 p.m.
San Antonio Spurs @ Charlotte Hornets

7:00 p.m.
Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers

7:30 p.m.
New Orleans Pelicans @ Philadelphia Seventysixers

8:00 p.m.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Memphis Grizzlies

8:00 p.m.
Chicago Bulls @ Miami Heat

8:30 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets