Athletics @ Yankees [ Yankees -270 / 9.5 ]

Athletics Situational Notes

Yankees Situational Notes

No basic situational edge.
No baller system edge on the side.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Athletics
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
3/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-3
Est. fair odds: +142 to +162
Implied win prob: 38.17% to 41.32%
Yankees
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
3/3
Matchup:3
Est. fair odds: -142 to -162
Implied win prob: 58.68% to 61.83%
The Athletics are 90.9% (L15) to the F5 game under: 1-10
The Athletics are 85.7% (L15) to the F5 game under as an away dog: 1-6
The Yankees are 100% (L15) to the under: 0-14
The Yankees are 100% (L15) to the under as a at home fav: 0-7




Twins @ Tigers [ Tigers -142 / 9 ]

Twins Situational Notes

Tigers Situational Notes
Baller Systems
Medium favorite with in-series revenge

No basic situational edge.
The Tigers have a +1 baller system edge.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Twins
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
3/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:1
Est. fair odds: -111 to -124
Implied win prob: 52.61% to 55.36%
Tigers
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-1
Est. fair odds: +111 to +124
Implied win prob: 44.64% to 47.39%
The Twins are 80% (L15) on the run line as an away dog: 4-1




Rays @ Orioles [ Orioles -116 / 9.5 ]

Rays Situational Notes

Orioles Situational Notes
Baller Systems
Back home favorite (with a worse record) in the second game of a series coming off a win in game one

No basic situational edge.
The Orioles have a +1 baller system edge.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Rays
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
3/3
Matchup:4
Est. fair odds: -163 to -187
Implied win prob: 61.98% to 65.16%
Orioles
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-4
Est. fair odds: +163 to +187
Implied win prob: 34.84% to 38.02%
The Rays are 80% (L15) on the moneyline as an away dog: 4-1
The Rays are 80% (L15) to the F5 game over as an away dog: 4-1
The Rays are 83.3% (L15) on the run line: 5-1
The Rays are 100% (L15) on the run line as an away dog: 5-0
The Rays are 80% (L15) NRFI as an away dog: 1-4
The Orioles are 80% (L15) on the moneyline as a home fav: 4-1




Mets @ Pirates [ Pirates +120 / 9.5 ]

Mets Situational Notes

Pirates Situational Notes

No basic situational edge.
No baller system edge on the side.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Mets
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
3/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:3
Est. fair odds: -142 to -162
Implied win prob: 58.68% to 61.83%
Pirates
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
0/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-3
Est. fair odds: +142 to +162
Implied win prob: 38.17% to 41.32%




Mariners @ Rangers [ Rangers +110 / 7.5 ]

Mariners Situational Notes
Game off extra innings

Baller Systems
Back team off a win when they used a lot of pitchers

Rangers Situational Notes
Game off extra innings

No basic situational edge.
The Mariners have a +1 baller system edge.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Mariners
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:0
Est. fair odds: -110 to +110
Implied win prob: 47.62% to 52.38%
Rangers
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:0
Est. fair odds: -110 to +110
Implied win prob: 47.62% to 52.38%




Rockies @ Brewers [ Brewers -245 / 9 ]

Rockies Situational Notes

Brewers Situational Notes

No basic situational edge.
No baller system edge on the side.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Rockies
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-5
Est. fair odds: +188 to +214
Implied win prob: 31.85% to 34.72%
Brewers
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
3/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:5
Est. fair odds: -188 to -214
Implied win prob: 65.28% to 68.15%




Marlins @ Diamondbacks [ Diamondbacks -146 / 8.5 ]

Marlins Situational Notes

Diamondbacks Situational Notes

No basic situational edge.
No baller system edge on the side.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Marlins
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:1
Est. fair odds: -111 to -124
Implied win prob: 52.61% to 55.36%
Diamondbacks
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:-1
Est. fair odds: +111 to +124
Implied win prob: 44.64% to 47.39%
The Marlins are 85.7% (L15) on the moneyline as an away dog: 6-1
The Marlins are 85.7% (L15) on the run line as an away dog: 6-1




Cardinals @ Guardians [ Guardians -118 / 8.5 ]

Cardinals Situational Notes

Guardians Situational Notes

No basic situational edge.
No baller system edge on the side.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Cardinals
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:4
Est. fair odds: -163 to -187
Implied win prob: 61.98% to 65.16%
Guardians
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-4
Est. fair odds: +163 to +187
Implied win prob: 34.84% to 38.02%




Blue Jays @ Red Sox [ Red Sox +106 / 9 ]

Blue Jays Situational Notes

Red Sox Situational Notes

No basic situational edge.
No baller system edge on the side.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Blue Jays
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:2
Est. fair odds: -125 to -141
Implied win prob: 55.56% to 58.51%
Red Sox
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-2
Est. fair odds: +125 to +141
Implied win prob: 41.49% to 44.44%
The Blue Jays are 80% to the over as an away fav: 4-1
The Blue Jays are 80% YRFI as an away fav: 4-1
The Red Sox are 83.3% to the under as a at home dog: 1-5
The Red Sox are 83.3% YRFI as a home dog: 5-1




Padres @ Reds [ Reds -152 / 9.5 ]

Padres Situational Notes

Reds Situational Notes
Baller Systems
Back home favorite (with a worse record) in the second game of a series coming off a win in game one

No basic situational edge.
The Reds have a +1 baller system edge.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Padres
Starting Pitcher:
0/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-3
Est. fair odds: +142 to +162
Implied win prob: 38.17% to 41.32%
Reds
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
0/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:3
Est. fair odds: -142 to -162
Implied win prob: 58.68% to 61.83%




Dodgers @ Royals [ Royals +134 / 9.5 ]

Dodgers Situational Notes

Royals Situational Notes

No basic situational edge.
No baller system edge on the side.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Dodgers
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
3/3
Matchup:4
Est. fair odds: -163 to -187
Implied win prob: 61.98% to 65.16%
Royals
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-4
Est. fair odds: +163 to +187
Implied win prob: 34.84% to 38.02%
The Royals are 0% (L15) on the moneyline as a home dog: 0-5
The Royals are 80% (L15) to the under as a at home dog: 1-4
The Royals are 80% (L15) NRFI as a home dog: 1-4




Giants @ White Sox [ White Sox +140 / 8 ]

Giants Situational Notes

White Sox Situational Notes

No basic situational edge.
No baller system edge on the side.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Giants
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:2
Est. fair odds: -125 to -141
Implied win prob: 55.56% to 58.51%
White Sox
Starting Pitcher:
0/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:-2
Est. fair odds: +125 to +141
Implied win prob: 41.49% to 44.44%
The Giants are 18.2% (L15) on the run line: 2-9
The White Sox are 14.3% (L15) on the moneyline as a home dog: 1-6
The White Sox are 85.7% (L15) YRFI as a home dog: 6-1




Cubs @ Astros [ Astros -118 / 8.5 ]

Cubs Situational Notes

Astros Situational Notes

No basic situational edge.
No baller system edge on the side.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Cubs
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-5
Est. fair odds: +188 to +214
Implied win prob: 31.85% to 34.72%
Astros
Starting Pitcher:
4/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:5
Est. fair odds: -188 to -214
Implied win prob: 65.28% to 68.15%




Phillies @ Braves [ Braves -158 / 8 ]

Phillies Situational Notes

Braves Situational Notes
Baller Systems
Back home team (with much worse record) off loss as a favorite

No basic situational edge.
The Braves have a +1 baller system edge.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Phillies
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
0/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:-2
Est. fair odds: +125 to +141
Implied win prob: 41.49% to 44.44%
Braves
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
3/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:2
Est. fair odds: -125 to -141
Implied win prob: 55.56% to 58.51%
The Phillies are 80% to the F5 game under as an away dog: 2-8




Nationals @ Angels [ Angels -126 / 9 ]

Nationals Situational Notes

Angels Situational Notes
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)

The Angels have a +1 basic situational edge.
No baller system edge on the side.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Nationals
Starting Pitcher:
4/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:3
Est. fair odds: -142 to -162
Implied win prob: 58.68% to 61.83%
Angels
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-3
Est. fair odds: +142 to +162
Implied win prob: 38.17% to 41.32%
The Nationals are 87.5% (L15) on the run line: 7-1
The Nationals are 87.5% (L15) on the run line as an away dog: 7-1