Phillies @ Brewers [ Brewers -124 / 7.5 ]

Phillies Situational Notes

Brewers Situational Notes

No basic situational edge.
No baller system edge on the side.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Phillies
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:3
Est. fair odds: -142 to -162
Implied win prob: 58.68% to 61.83%
Brewers
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-3
Est. fair odds: +142 to +162
Implied win prob: 38.17% to 41.32%
The Phillies are 17.6% (3-14) to the F5 over/under as an away dog
The Brewers are 80% (8-2-3) (L14) on the F5 moneyline
The Brewers are 85.7% (6-1-1) (L14) on the F5 moneyline as a home fav
The Brewers are 11.1% (1-8) (L14) on the run line as a fav
The Brewers are 12.5% (1-7) (L14) on the run line as a home fav




Dodgers @ Pirates [ Pirates +106 / 7 ]

Dodgers Situational Notes

Pirates Situational Notes

No basic situational edge.
No baller system edge on the side.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Dodgers
Starting Pitcher:
0/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:-4
Est. fair odds: +163 to +187
Implied win prob: 34.84% to 38.02%
Pirates
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
3/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:4
Est. fair odds: -163 to -187
Implied win prob: 61.98% to 65.16%




Guardians @ Rays [ Rays -162 / 8.5 ]

Guardians Situational Notes
Baller Systems
Back small road underdog with better record

Rays Situational Notes

No basic situational edge.
The Guardians have a +1 baller system edge.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Guardians
Starting Pitcher:
0/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-6
Est. fair odds: +215 to +246
Implied win prob: 28.90% to 31.75%
Rays
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:6
Est. fair odds: -215 to -246
Implied win prob: 68.25% to 71.10%
The Guardians are 12.5% (1-7) (L14) on the moneyline as an away dog




Yankees @ Astros [ Astros +120 / 9 ]

Yankees Situational Notes
Game off giving up a walk-off win

Astros Situational Notes
Game off a walk-off win
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)

The Astros have a +3 basic situational edge.
No baller system edge on the side.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Yankees
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
3/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:2
Est. fair odds: -125 to -141
Implied win prob: 55.56% to 58.51%
Astros
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-2
Est. fair odds: +125 to +141
Implied win prob: 41.49% to 44.44%
The Yankees are 91.7% (11-1-2) (L14) on the F5 moneyline
The Yankees are 100% (5-0-1) (L14) on the F5 moneyline as an away fav
The Astros are 81.8% (9-2) on the moneyline as a home dog
The Astros are 81.8% (9-2) on the run line as a home dog
The Astros are 80% (4-1) (L14) on the run line as a dog




Angels @ Royals [ Royals -154 / 9.5 ]

Angels Situational Notes

Royals Situational Notes
Baller Systems
Avoid sweep in last game of series after two losses as home faves
Back home favorite in third game of a series when they lost their two previous series games

No basic situational edge.
The Royals have a +2 baller system edge.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

Angels
Starting Pitcher:
0/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-7
Est. fair odds: +247 to +283
Implied win prob: 26.11% to 28.82%
Royals
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
3/3
Matchup:7
Est. fair odds: -247 to -283
Implied win prob: 71.18% to 73.89%
The Angels are 20% (2-8-3) (L14) on the F5 moneyline
The Angels are 18.2% (2-9) (L14) to the F5 over/under
The Angels are 14.3% (1-6) (L14) to the F5 over/under as an away dog
The Royals are 20% (1-4) (L14) on the moneyline as a home fav
The Royals are 80% (4-1) (L14) on the F5 moneyline as a home fav
The Royals are 20% (1-4) (L14) on the run line as a home fav




White Sox @ Twins [ Twins -154 / 8.5 ]

White Sox Situational Notes

Twins Situational Notes
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)
Game off demoralizing loss (led after 8th)

No basic situational edge.
No baller system edge on the side.
No baller system edge for the over/under.

White Sox
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
3/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:4
Est. fair odds: -163 to -187
Implied win prob: 61.98% to 65.16%
Twins
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-4
Est. fair odds: +163 to +187
Implied win prob: 34.84% to 38.02%
The Twins are 20% (1-4) (L14) on the moneyline as a home fav
The Twins are 20% (1-4) (L14) on the run line as a home fav