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Updated: 11/23/25 3:30 p.m.

Thu, 11/20, 8:15 p.m.
Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans

Bills: 7-3 (70.0%) - AFC East

Texans: 5-5 (50.0%) - AFC South

Line: +4.5

Total: 44.0

Open: +2.5

Open: 44.0

Notes

Bills

Situational Factor(s)

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Baller System(s)

Back favorite off a game as a fav w/ low turnovers

Texans

Situational Factor(s)

Short rest: 3 days (TNF)

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Bills

54.06% probability

Total Recommendation

Under

55.00% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Season	Recent	Site
Receiving Performance	Lean Texans	-	-
DVOA Advanced	Lean Texans	-	-
Defensive Metrics	Bills	-	-
Drive Performance	Lean Texans	-	-
DVOA ZScores	Lean Bills	-	-
Basic Stats	Lean Bills	-	-
Luck Regression	Bills	-	-
ATS Analysis	Lean Bills	-	-
Cover Summary	Bills	No Bet	No Bet
Possession Efficiency	Lean Under	-	-
DVOA Regression	Lean Under	-	-
Comprehensive	Under	-	-
Down Efficiency	Lean Under	-	-
Game Conditions	Under	-	-
Total Summary	Under	No Bet	No Bet
OVERALL	Bills \| Under

Notable Trends

The Texans are 25% (1-3) against the spread as a dog

The Texans are 30% (3-7) to the over/under

The Texans are 20% (1-4) to the over/under at home

The Texans are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Texans are 30% (3-7) (L14) to the over/under

The Texans are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Bills are 25% (1-3) to the over/under away

The Bills are 25% (1-3) to the over/under as an away fav

The Bills are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under away

The Bills are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

View All Records

Texans (Home)

The Texans are 40% (4-6) against the spread

The Texans are 60% (3-2) against the spread at home

The Texans are 25% (1-3) against the spread as a dog

The Texans are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home dog

The Texans are 30% (3-7) to the over/under

The Texans are 20% (1-4) to the over/under at home

The Texans are 50% (2-2) to the over/under as a dog

The Texans are 100% (1-0) to the over/under as a home dog

The Texans are 40% (4-6) (L14) against the spread

The Texans are 60% (3-2) (L14) against the spread at home

The Texans are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Texans are 100% (1-0) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Texans are 30% (3-7) (L14) to the over/under

The Texans are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Texans are 50% (2-2) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Texans are 100% (1-0) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Bills (Away)

The Bills are 50% (5-5) against the spread

The Bills are 50% (2-2) against the spread away

The Bills are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread as a fav

The Bills are 50% (2-2) against the spread as an away fav

The Bills are 50% (5-5) to the over/under

The Bills are 25% (1-3) to the over/under away

The Bills are 50% (4-4) to the over/under as a fav

The Bills are 25% (1-3) to the over/under as an away fav

The Bills are 50% (5-5) (L14) against the spread

The Bills are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Bills are 37.5% (3-5) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Bills are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Bills are 50% (5-5) (L14) to the over/under

The Bills are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under away

The Bills are 50% (4-4) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Bills are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/06/24	2024	Texans	23	Home	Bills	20	425	94	331	0	1	-2.0	48.0	-3	43
Texans as Home (1 games)			23.0	-	-	20.0	425	94	331	0.0	1.0	-2.0	48.0	-3.0	43.0
All Games Avg (1 games)			23.0	-	-	20.0	425	94	331	0.0	1.0	-2.0	48.0	-3.0	43.0

Schedules

Bills Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Bills	-	home	Bengals	-	-	-	-	-	-	-5.5	49.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Bills	-	away	Steelers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	46.5	-	-
11/20/25	2025	Bills	-	away	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.5	44.0	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Bills	44	home	Buccaneers	32	414	97	317	1	2	-6.5	46.5	-12	76
11/09/25	2025	Bills	13	away	Dolphins	30	393	87	306	2	2	-8.5	50.0	+17	43
11/02/25	2025	Bills	28	home	Chiefs	21	414	141	273	1	0	+2.5	53.0	-7	49
10/26/25	2025	Bills	40	away	Panthers	9	430	245	185	1	0	-7.0	47.5	-31	49
10/13/25	2025	Bills	14	away	Falcons	24	314	134	180	0	2	-3.5	49.5	+10	38
10/05/25	2025	Bills	20	home	Patriots	23	371	118	253	0	2	-7.5	48.5	+3	43
09/28/25	2025	Bills	31	home	Saints	19	374	165	209	1	0	-14.5	48.5	-12	50
09/18/25	2025	Bills	31	home	Dolphins	21	370	157	213	1	2	-11.5	50.5	-10	52
09/14/25	2025	Bills	30	away	Jets	10	404	224	180	0	1	-6.0	47.5	-20	40
09/07/25	2025	Bills	41	home	Ravens	40	502	108	394	0	1	+1.5	51.5	-1	81
Away Games Avg (4 games)			24.3	-	-	18.3	385	173	213	0.8	1.3	-6.3	48.6	-6.0	42.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			29.2	-	-	22.9	399	148	251	0.7	1.2	-6.1	49.3	-6.3	52.1

Texans Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Texans	-	away	Chiefs	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.5	45.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Texans	-	away	Colts	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	46.5	-	-
11/20/25	2025	Texans	-	home	Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.5	44.0	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Texans	16	away	Titans	13	75	75	0	0	0	-5.5	37.5	-3	29
11/09/25	2025	Texans	36	home	Jaguars	29	422	130	292	1	2	+1.5	37.5	-7	65
11/02/25	2025	Texans	15	home	Broncos	18	293	77	216	1	0	-1.5	40.5	+3	33
10/26/25	2025	Texans	26	home	Fortyniners	15	475	157	318	1	0	-3.0	41.5	-11	41
10/20/25	2025	Texans	19	away	Seahawks	27	285	56	229	2	0	+3.0	41.5	+8	46
10/05/25	2025	Texans	44	away	Ravens	10	434	167	267	3	0	-2.5	41.5	-34	54
09/28/25	2025	Texans	26	home	Titans	0	362	129	233	1	0	-7.5	39.5	-26	26
09/21/25	2025	Texans	10	away	Jaguars	17	291	87	204	1	1	+1.5	42.5	+7	27
09/15/25	2025	Texans	19	home	Buccaneers	20	291	84	207	0	0	-2.5	42.5	+1	39
09/07/25	2025	Texans	9	away	Rams	14	302	114	188	0	1	+3.0	43.0	+5	23
Home Games Avg (5 games)			24.4	-	-	16.4	369	115	253	0.8	0.4	-2.6	40.3	-8.0	40.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			22.0	-	-	16.3	323	108	215	1.0	0.4	-1.4	40.8	-5.7	38.3

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Chicago Bears

Steelers: 6-4 (60.0%) - AFC North

Bears: 7-3 (70.0%) - NFC North

Line: -2.5

Total: 47.0

Open: -1.5

Open: 45.0

Notes

Steelers

Nothing active

Bears

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Baller System(s)

Unders system: back an under when a favorite is a bigger favorite than their previous game and their total is lower

Unders system based on the market total being substantially lower than average scoring

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Steelers

54.84% probability

Total Recommendation

Under

56.25% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Season	Recent	Site
Receiving Performance	Lean Bears	-	-
DVOA Advanced	Lean Steelers	-	-
Defensive Metrics	Steelers	-	-
Drive Performance	Steelers	-	-
DVOA ZScores	Lean Steelers	-	-
Basic Stats	Steelers	-	-
Luck Regression	Lean Steelers	-	-
ATS Analysis	Lean Steelers	-	-
Cover Summary	Steelers	No Bet	No Bet
Possession Efficiency	Under	-	-
DVOA Regression	Lean Under	-	-
Comprehensive	Under	-	-
Down Efficiency	Lean Under	-	-
Game Conditions	Under	-	-
Total Summary	Under	No Bet	No Bet
OVERALL	Steelers \| Under

Notable Trends

The Bears are 25% (1-3) to the over/under at home

The Bears are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Steelers are 25% (1-3) against the spread away

The Steelers are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread away

View All Records

Bears (Home)

The Bears are 60% (6-4) against the spread

The Bears are 50% (2-2) against the spread at home

The Bears are 50% (2-2) against the spread as a fav

The Bears are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Bears are 55.6% (5-4-1) to the over/under

The Bears are 25% (1-3) to the over/under at home

The Bears are 50% (2-2) to the over/under as a fav

The Bears are 33.3% (1-2) to the over/under as a home fav

The Bears are 60% (6-4) (L14) against the spread

The Bears are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread at home

The Bears are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Bears are 33.3% (1-2) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Bears are 55.6% (5-4-1) (L14) to the over/under

The Bears are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Bears are 50% (2-2) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Bears are 33.3% (1-2) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Steelers (Away)

The Steelers are 50% (5-5) against the spread

The Steelers are 25% (1-3) against the spread away

The Steelers are 50% (2-2) against the spread as a dog

The Steelers are 0% (0-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Steelers are 50% (5-5) to the over/under

The Steelers are 50% (2-2) to the over/under away

The Steelers are 50% (2-2) to the over/under as a dog

The Steelers are 0% (0-1) to the over/under as an away dog

The Steelers are 50% (5-5) (L14) against the spread

The Steelers are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread away

The Steelers are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Steelers are 0% (0-1) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Steelers are 50% (5-5) (L14) to the over/under

The Steelers are 50% (2-2) (L14) to the over/under away

The Steelers are 50% (2-2) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Steelers are 0% (0-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 3 seasons.

Schedules

Steelers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Steelers	-	away	Ravens	-	-	-	-	-	-	+8.5	46.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Steelers	-	home	Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	46.5	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Steelers	-	away	Bears	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	47.0	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Steelers	34	home	Bengals	12	354	111	243	1	0	-5.5	47.5	-22	46
11/09/25	2025	Steelers	10	away	Chargers	25	234	73	161	0	2	+3.0	45.5	+15	35
11/02/25	2025	Steelers	27	home	Colts	20	241	38	203	3	1	+3.0	51.5	-7	47
10/26/25	2025	Steelers	25	home	Packers	35	312	93	219	0	1	+2.5	46.0	+10	60
10/16/25	2025	Steelers	31	away	Bengals	33	396	147	249	0	0	-5.5	45.0	+2	64
10/12/25	2025	Steelers	23	home	Browns	9	335	100	235	0	1	-6.5	38.0	-14	32
09/28/25	2025	Steelers	24	neutral	Vikings	21	331	131	200	2	1	+2.5	41.0	-3	45
09/21/25	2025	Steelers	21	away	Patriots	14	203	64	139	1	1	-1.5	44.5	-7	35
09/14/25	2025	Steelers	17	home	Seahawks	31	287	72	215	2	0	-3.5	40.5	+14	48
09/07/25	2025	Steelers	34	away	Jets	32	297	53	244	0	2	-3.0	38.0	-2	66
Away Games Avg (4 games)			24.0	-	-	26.0	283	84	198	0.3	1.3	-1.8	43.3	+2.0	50.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			24.6	-	-	23.2	299	88	211	0.9	0.9	-1.5	43.8	-1.4	47.8

Bears Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Bears	-	away	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	46.5	-	-
11/28/25	2025	Bears	-	away	Eagles	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.0	44.0	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Bears	-	home	Steelers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	47.0	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Bears	19	away	Vikings	17	333	140	193	2	1	+2.5	47.5	-2	36
11/09/25	2025	Bears	24	home	Giants	20	391	171	220	0	0	-4.5	44.5	-4	44
11/02/25	2025	Bears	47	away	Bengals	42	585	283	302	2	0	-3.0	51.5	-5	89
10/26/25	2025	Bears	16	away	Ravens	30	381	96	285	0	1	+2.5	44.5	+14	46
10/19/25	2025	Bears	26	home	Saints	14	394	222	172	3	2	-3.5	43.5	-12	40
10/13/25	2025	Bears	25	away	Commanders	24	397	145	252	1	0	+5.5	49.0	-1	49
09/28/25	2025	Bears	25	away	Raiders	24	281	69	212	3	2	+1.5	47.5	-1	49
09/21/25	2025	Bears	31	home	Cowboys	14	385	87	298	3	0	+1.5	50.5	-17	45
09/14/25	2025	Bears	21	away	Lions	52	368	134	234	0	2	+6.5	46.5	+31	73
09/08/25	2025	Bears	24	home	Vikings	27	329	119	210	1	1	-1.0	43.5	+3	51
Home Games Avg (4 games)			26.3	-	-	18.8	375	150	225	1.8	0.8	-1.9	45.5	-7.5	45.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			25.8	-	-	26.4	384	147	238	1.5	0.9	+0.8	46.9	+0.6	52.2

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m.
New England Patriots @ Cincinnati Bengals

Patriots: 9-2 (81.8%) - AFC East

Bengals: 3-7 (30.0%) - AFC North

Line: +7.5

Total: 51.0

Open: +5.0

Notes

Patriots

Situational Factor(s)

Extended rest: Non-bye week

Rest Advantage

Bengals

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)

Rest Disadvantage

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Baller System(s)

Unders system: home dogs with next game on Thursday

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

Under

55.00% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Season	Recent	Site
Receiving Performance	Lean Bengals	-	-
DVOA Advanced	Lean Bengals	-	-
Defensive Metrics	Lean Patriots	-	-
Drive Performance	Lean Patriots	-	-
DVOA ZScores	Lean Bengals	-	-
Basic Stats	Lean Bengals	-	-
Luck Regression	Lean Patriots	-	-
ATS Analysis	Lean Bengals	-	-
Cover Summary	No Bet	No Bet	No Bet
Possession Efficiency	Lean Under	-	-
DVOA Regression	Lean Under	-	-
Comprehensive	Under	-	-
Down Efficiency	Lean Over	-	-
Game Conditions	Under	-	-
Total Summary	Under	No Bet	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| Under

Notable Trends

The Bengals are 30% (3-7) against the spread

The Bengals are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread as a dog

The Bengals are 70% (7-3) to the over/under

The Bengals are 100% (5-0) to the over/under at home

The Bengals are 71.4% (5-2) to the over/under as a dog

The Bengals are 30% (3-7) (L14) against the spread

The Bengals are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Bengals are 70% (7-3) (L14) to the over/under

The Bengals are 100% (5-0) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Bengals are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Patriots are 72.7% (8-3) against the spread

The Patriots are 100% (5-0) against the spread away

The Patriots are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread as a fav

The Patriots are 72.7% (8-3) (L14) against the spread

The Patriots are 100% (5-0) (L14) against the spread away

The Patriots are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread as a fav

View All Records

Bengals (Home)

The Bengals are 30% (3-7) against the spread

The Bengals are 40% (2-3) against the spread at home

The Bengals are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread as a dog

The Bengals are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Bengals are 70% (7-3) to the over/under

The Bengals are 100% (5-0) to the over/under at home

The Bengals are 71.4% (5-2) to the over/under as a dog

The Bengals are 100% (3-0) to the over/under as a home dog

The Bengals are 30% (3-7) (L14) against the spread

The Bengals are 40% (2-3) (L14) against the spread at home

The Bengals are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Bengals are 33.3% (1-2) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Bengals are 70% (7-3) (L14) to the over/under

The Bengals are 100% (5-0) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Bengals are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Bengals are 100% (3-0) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Patriots (Away)

The Patriots are 72.7% (8-3) against the spread

The Patriots are 100% (5-0) against the spread away

The Patriots are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread as a fav

The Patriots are 100% (2-0) against the spread as an away fav

The Patriots are 54.5% (6-5) to the over/under

The Patriots are 60% (3-2) to the over/under away

The Patriots are 57.1% (4-3) to the over/under as a fav

The Patriots are 50% (1-1) to the over/under as an away fav

The Patriots are 72.7% (8-3) (L14) against the spread

The Patriots are 100% (5-0) (L14) against the spread away

The Patriots are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Patriots are 100% (2-0) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Patriots are 54.5% (6-5) (L14) to the over/under

The Patriots are 60% (3-2) (L14) to the over/under away

The Patriots are 57.1% (4-3) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Patriots are 50% (1-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/08/24	2024	Bengals	10	Home	Patriots	16	234	70	164	0	3	-8.0	40.5	+6	26
12/24/22	2022	Bengals	22	Away	Patriots	18	301	61	240	2	4	-3.0	41.5	-4	40
Bengals as Home (1 games)			10.0	-	-	16.0	234	70	164	0.0	3.0	-8.0	40.5	+6.0	26.0
All Games Avg (2 games)			16.0	-	-	17.0	268	66	202	1.0	3.5	-5.5	41.0	+1.0	33.0

Schedules

Patriots Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/14/25	2025	Patriots	-	home	Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.5	46.5	-	-
12/01/25	2025	Patriots	-	home	Giants	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.0	46.5	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Patriots	-	away	Bengals	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.5	51.0	-	-
11/13/25	2025	Patriots	27	home	Jets	14	346	65	281	0	0	-12.5	43.5	-13	41
11/09/25	2025	Patriots	28	away	Buccaneers	23	436	166	270	0	1	+2.5	48.5	-5	51
11/02/25	2025	Patriots	24	home	Falcons	23	369	110	259	0	2	-5.5	45.5	-1	47
10/26/25	2025	Patriots	32	home	Browns	13	459	177	282	2	2	-7.0	40.5	-19	45
10/19/25	2025	Patriots	31	away	Titans	13	409	175	234	1	0	-6.5	41.5	-18	44
10/12/25	2025	Patriots	25	away	Saints	19	334	73	261	0	2	-3.5	45.5	-6	44
10/05/25	2025	Patriots	23	away	Bills	20	344	71	273	1	2	+7.5	48.5	-3	43
09/28/25	2025	Patriots	42	home	Panthers	13	307	104	203	0	0	-5.5	42.5	-29	55
09/21/25	2025	Patriots	14	home	Steelers	21	387	119	268	1	4	+1.5	44.5	+7	35
09/14/25	2025	Patriots	33	away	Dolphins	27	352	122	230	1	1	+2.5	43.5	-6	60
Away Games Avg (5 games)			28.0	-	-	20.4	375	121	254	0.6	1.2	+0.5	45.5	-7.6	48.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			27.9	-	-	18.6	374	118	256	0.6	1.4	-2.7	44.4	-9.3	46.5

Bengals Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Bengals	-	away	Bills	-	-	-	-	-	-	+5.5	49.5	-	-
11/27/25	2025	Bengals	-	away	Ravens	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.0	53.0	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Bengals	-	home	Patriots	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.5	51.0	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Bengals	12	away	Steelers	34	304	105	199	0	1	+5.5	47.5	+22	46
11/02/25	2025	Bengals	42	home	Bears	47	516	46	470	0	1	+3.0	51.5	+5	89
10/26/25	2025	Bengals	38	home	Jets	39	404	181	223	0	0	-5.5	43.5	+1	77
10/16/25	2025	Bengals	33	home	Steelers	31	484	142	342	2	0	+5.5	45.0	-2	64
10/12/25	2025	Bengals	18	away	Packers	27	274	55	219	1	0	+14.0	44.5	+9	45
10/05/25	2025	Bengals	24	home	Lions	37	336	85	251	0	2	+10.0	49.5	+13	61
09/29/25	2025	Bengals	3	away	Broncos	28	178	53	125	1	0	+7.5	44.5	+25	31
09/21/25	2025	Bengals	10	away	Vikings	48	193	53	140	0	5	+3.0	42.5	+38	58
09/14/25	2025	Bengals	31	home	Jaguars	27	365	48	317	2	0	-3.5	49.5	-4	58
09/07/25	2025	Bengals	17	away	Browns	16	159	46	113	2	0	-4.5	47.5	-1	33
Home Games Avg (5 games)			33.6	-	-	36.2	421	100	321	0.8	0.6	+1.9	47.8	+2.6	69.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			22.8	-	-	33.4	321	81	240	0.8	0.9	+3.5	46.6	+10.6	56.2

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m.
Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs

Colts: 8-2 (80.0%) - AFC South

Chiefs: 5-5 (50.0%) - AFC West

Line: -4.5

Total: 50.0

Open: -3.5

Open: 50.5

Notes

Colts

Situational Factor(s)

Extended rest: Off a bye week

Rest Advantage

Coming off an Overtime game

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Baller System(s)

Fade home favorites off a loss

Chiefs

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)

Rest Disadvantage

First game home off 2+ game road trip

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Season	Recent	Site
Receiving Performance	Lean Chiefs	-	-
DVOA Advanced	Chiefs	-	-
Defensive Metrics	Lean Colts	-	-
Drive Performance	Colts	-	-
DVOA ZScores	Lean Chiefs	-	-
Basic Stats	Lean Colts	-	-
Luck Regression	Lean Chiefs	-	-
ATS Analysis	Lean Chiefs	-	-
Cover Summary	No Bet	No Bet	No Bet
Possession Efficiency	Lean Under	-	-
DVOA Regression	Lean Under	-	-
Comprehensive	Under	-	-
Down Efficiency	Lean Over	-	-
Game Conditions	Over	-	-
Total Summary	No Bet	No Bet	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Chiefs are 80% (4-1) against the spread at home

The Chiefs are 30% (3-7) to the over/under

The Chiefs are 20% (1-4) to the over/under at home

The Chiefs are 25% (2-6) to the over/under as a fav

The Chiefs are 80% (4-1) (L14) against the spread at home

The Chiefs are 30% (3-7) (L14) to the over/under

The Chiefs are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Chiefs are 25% (2-6) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

View All Records

Chiefs (Home)

The Chiefs are 50% (5-5) against the spread

The Chiefs are 80% (4-1) against the spread at home

The Chiefs are 50% (4-4) against the spread as a fav

The Chiefs are 100% (3-0) against the spread as a home fav

The Chiefs are 30% (3-7) to the over/under

The Chiefs are 20% (1-4) to the over/under at home

The Chiefs are 25% (2-6) to the over/under as a fav

The Chiefs are 0% (0-3) to the over/under as a home fav

The Chiefs are 50% (5-5) (L14) against the spread

The Chiefs are 80% (4-1) (L14) against the spread at home

The Chiefs are 50% (4-4) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Chiefs are 100% (3-0) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Chiefs are 30% (3-7) (L14) to the over/under

The Chiefs are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Chiefs are 25% (2-6) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Chiefs are 0% (0-3) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Colts (Away)

The Colts are 60% (6-4) against the spread

The Colts are 50% (2-2) against the spread away

The Colts are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a dog

The Colts are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Colts are 60% (6-4) to the over/under

The Colts are 50% (2-2) to the over/under away

The Colts are 66.7% (2-1) to the over/under as a dog

The Colts are 50% (1-1) to the over/under as an away dog

The Colts are 60% (6-4) (L14) against the spread

The Colts are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Colts are 66.7% (2-1) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Colts are 50% (1-1) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Colts are 60% (6-4) (L14) to the over/under

The Colts are 50% (2-2) (L14) to the over/under away

The Colts are 66.7% (2-1) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Colts are 50% (1-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/25/22	2022	Chiefs	17	Away	Colts	20	304	82	222	1	2	-5.5	50.5	+3	37
All Games Avg (1 games)			17.0	-	-	20.0	304	82	222	1.0	2.0	-5.5	50.5	+3.0	37.0

Schedules

Colts Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Colts	-	away	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	46.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Colts	-	home	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	46.5	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Colts	-	away	Chiefs	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.5	50.0	-	-
11/09/25	2025	Colts	31	neutral	Falcons	25	578	323	255	0	4	-6.5	48.5	-6	56
11/02/25	2025	Colts	20	away	Steelers	27	397	55	342	0	4	-3.0	51.5	+7	47
10/26/25	2025	Colts	38	home	Titans	14	436	164	272	1	0	-14.5	48.0	-24	52
10/19/25	2025	Colts	38	away	Chargers	24	408	120	288	2	1	+2.5	49.0	-14	62
10/12/25	2025	Colts	31	home	Cardinals	27	362	150	212	1	0	-8.5	46.5	-4	58
10/05/25	2025	Colts	40	home	Raiders	6	317	96	221	2	1	-7.5	46.5	-34	46
09/28/25	2025	Colts	20	away	Rams	27	347	85	262	0	2	+3.5	49.5	+7	47
09/21/25	2025	Colts	41	away	Titans	20	365	137	228	1	0	-6.0	42.5	-21	61
09/14/25	2025	Colts	29	home	Broncos	28	483	167	316	1	0	+1.5	43.5	-1	57
09/07/25	2025	Colts	33	home	Dolphins	8	428	156	272	2	0	-1.5	47.0	-25	41
Away Games Avg (4 games)			29.8	-	-	24.5	379	99	280	0.8	1.8	-0.8	48.1	-5.3	54.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			32.1	-	-	20.6	412	145	267	1.0	1.2	-4.0	47.3	-11.5	52.7

Chiefs Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Chiefs	-	home	Texans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-6.5	45.5	-	-
11/27/25	2025	Chiefs	-	away	Cowboys	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	51.0	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Chiefs	-	home	Colts	-	-	-	-	-	-	-4.5	50.0	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Chiefs	19	away	Broncos	22	338	62	276	0	0	-4.0	44.5	+3	41
11/02/25	2025	Chiefs	21	away	Bills	28	329	79	250	0	0	-2.5	53.0	+7	49
10/27/25	2025	Chiefs	28	home	Commanders	7	447	148	299	2	2	-10.5	48.0	-21	35
10/19/25	2025	Chiefs	31	home	Raiders	0	438	152	286	0	2	-13.5	44.5	-31	31
10/12/25	2025	Chiefs	30	home	Lions	17	369	112	257	0	1	-2.5	51.5	-13	47
10/06/25	2025	Chiefs	28	away	Jaguars	31	476	158	318	1	0	-3.5	45.5	+3	59
09/28/25	2025	Chiefs	37	home	Ravens	20	388	118	270	1	0	+2.5	48.5	-17	57
09/21/25	2025	Chiefs	22	away	Giants	9	329	105	224	2	2	-6.0	44.5	-13	31
09/14/25	2025	Chiefs	17	home	Eagles	20	308	121	187	0	1	+1.5	46.5	+3	37
09/05/25	2025	Chiefs	21	neutral	Chargers	27	356	98	258	0	1	-3.0	47.5	+6	48
Home Games Avg (5 games)			28.6	-	-	12.8	390	130	260	0.6	1.2	-4.5	47.8	-15.8	41.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			25.4	-	-	18.1	378	115	263	0.6	0.9	-4.2	47.4	-7.3	43.5

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m.
New York Giants @ Detroit Lions

Giants: 2-9 (18.2%) - NFC East

Lions: 6-4 (60.0%) - NFC North

Line: -14.0

Total: 50.5

Open: -9.5

Open: 48.5

Notes

Giants

Nothing active

Lions

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)

First game home off 2+ game road trip

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Giants

54.06% probability

Total Recommendation

Under

57.50% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Season	Recent	Site
Receiving Performance	Lean Lions	-	-
DVOA Advanced	Giants	-	-
Defensive Metrics	Giants	-	-
Drive Performance	Lean Giants	-	-
DVOA ZScores	Lean Giants	-	-
Basic Stats	Lean Lions	-	-
Luck Regression	Lean Lions	-	-
ATS Analysis	Lean Giants	-	-
Cover Summary	Giants	No Bet	No Bet
Possession Efficiency	Under	-	-
DVOA Regression	Lean Under	-	-
Comprehensive	Under	-	-
Down Efficiency	Under	-	-
Game Conditions	Under	-	-
Total Summary	Under	No Bet	No Bet
OVERALL	Giants \| Under

Notable Trends

The Lions are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Lions are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread as a fav

The Lions are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Lions are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread at home

The Lions are 83.3% (5-1) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Lions are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

View All Records

Lions (Home)

The Lions are 60% (6-4) against the spread

The Lions are 75% (3-1) against the spread at home

The Lions are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread as a fav

The Lions are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Lions are 50% (5-5) to the over/under

The Lions are 50% (2-2) to the over/under at home

The Lions are 66.7% (4-2) to the over/under as a fav

The Lions are 50% (2-2) to the over/under as a home fav

The Lions are 60% (6-4) (L14) against the spread

The Lions are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread at home

The Lions are 83.3% (5-1) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Lions are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Lions are 50% (5-5) (L14) to the over/under

The Lions are 50% (2-2) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Lions are 66.7% (4-2) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Lions are 50% (2-2) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Giants (Away)

The Giants are 54.5% (6-5) against the spread

The Giants are 50% (3-3) against the spread away

The Giants are 54.5% (6-5) against the spread as a dog

The Giants are 50% (3-3) against the spread as an away dog

The Giants are 54.5% (6-5) to the over/under

The Giants are 50% (3-3) to the over/under away

The Giants are 54.5% (6-5) to the over/under as a dog

The Giants are 50% (3-3) to the over/under as an away dog

The Giants are 54.5% (6-5) (L14) against the spread

The Giants are 50% (3-3) (L14) against the spread away

The Giants are 54.5% (6-5) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Giants are 50% (3-3) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Giants are 54.5% (6-5) (L14) to the over/under

The Giants are 50% (3-3) (L14) to the over/under away

The Giants are 54.5% (6-5) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Giants are 50% (3-3) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/20/22	2022	Lions	31	Away	Giants	18	430	89	341	0	1	+3.0	44.0	-13	49
All Games Avg (1 games)			31.0	-	-	18.0	430	89	341	0.0	1.0	+3.0	44.0	-13.0	49.0

Schedules

Giants Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/14/25	2025	Giants	-	home	Commanders	-	-	-	-	-	-	+4.5	45.5	-	-
12/01/25	2025	Giants	-	away	Patriots	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.0	46.5	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Giants	-	away	Lions	-	-	-	-	-	-	+14.0	50.5	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Giants	20	home	Packers	27	142	142	0	0	1	+7.5	42.5	+7	47
11/09/25	2025	Giants	20	away	Bears	24	456	169	287	0	1	+4.5	44.5	+4	44
11/02/25	2025	Giants	24	home	Fortyniners	34	308	117	191	0	0	+2.5	47.5	+10	58
10/26/25	2025	Giants	20	away	Eagles	38	261	68	193	0	0	+7.5	43.5	+18	58
10/19/25	2025	Giants	32	away	Broncos	33	402	119	283	0	0	+8.0	40.5	+1	65
10/09/25	2025	Giants	34	home	Eagles	17	367	172	195	1	0	+7.5	40.5	-17	51
10/05/25	2025	Giants	14	away	Saints	26	338	136	202	0	3	+2.5	41.5	+12	40
09/28/25	2025	Giants	21	home	Chargers	18	280	161	119	2	2	+6.0	42.5	-3	39
09/21/25	2025	Giants	9	home	Chiefs	22	290	130	160	0	0	+6.0	44.5	+13	31
09/14/25	2025	Giants	37	away	Cowboys	40	534	84	450	1	1	+4.5	44.5	+3	77
Away Games Avg (5 games)			24.6	-	-	32.2	398	115	283	0.2	1.0	+5.4	42.9	+7.6	56.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			23.1	-	-	27.9	338	130	208	0.4	0.8	+5.7	43.2	+4.8	51.0

Lions Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/04/25	2025	Lions	-	home	Cowboys	-	-	-	-	-	-	-6.0	48.5	-	-
11/27/25	2025	Lions	-	home	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	48.5	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Lions	-	home	Giants	-	-	-	-	-	-	-14.0	50.5	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Lions	9	away	Eagles	16	329	74	255	0	0	+2.5	46.0	+7	25
11/09/25	2025	Lions	44	away	Commanders	22	546	226	320	0	0	-8.5	49.5	-22	66
11/02/25	2025	Lions	24	home	Vikings	27	349	65	284	1	1	-9.5	47.5	+3	51
10/20/25	2025	Lions	24	home	Buccaneers	9	405	164	241	1	1	-6.0	54.5	-15	33
10/12/25	2025	Lions	17	away	Chiefs	30	301	98	203	0	1	+2.5	51.5	+13	47
10/05/25	2025	Lions	37	away	Bengals	24	379	118	261	3	1	-10.0	49.5	-13	61
09/28/25	2025	Lions	34	home	Browns	10	277	109	168	2	0	-10.0	44.5	-24	44
09/22/25	2025	Lions	38	away	Ravens	30	426	224	202	0	1	+4.5	53.5	-8	68
09/14/25	2025	Lions	52	home	Bears	21	511	177	334	1	0	-6.5	46.5	-31	73
09/07/25	2025	Lions	13	away	Packers	27	271	46	225	0	0	+1.5	48.0	+14	40
Home Games Avg (4 games)			33.5	-	-	16.8	386	129	257	1.3	0.5	-8.0	48.3	-16.8	50.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			29.2	-	-	21.6	379	130	249	0.8	0.5	-4.0	49.1	-7.6	50.8

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m.
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers

Vikings: 4-6 (40.0%) - NFC North

Packers: 6-3 (66.7%) - NFC North

Line: -6.5

Total: 41.5

Open: -5.5

Open: 43.0

Notes

Vikings

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Packers

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Baller System(s)

Unders system based on the market total being substantially lower than average scoring

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Vikings

54.06% probability

Total Recommendation

Under

55.00% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Season	Recent	Site
Receiving Performance	Lean Packers	-	-
DVOA Advanced	Lean Vikings	-	-
Defensive Metrics	Vikings	-	-
Drive Performance	Vikings	-	-
DVOA ZScores	Lean Vikings	-	-
Basic Stats	Lean Vikings	-	-
Luck Regression	Lean Vikings	-	-
ATS Analysis	Lean Vikings	-	-
Cover Summary	Vikings	No Bet	No Bet
Possession Efficiency	Lean Under	-	-
DVOA Regression	Lean Under	-	-
Comprehensive	Under	-	-
Down Efficiency	Lean Over	-	-
Game Conditions	Under	-	-
Total Summary	Under	No Bet	No Bet
OVERALL	Vikings \| Under

Notable Trends

The Packers are 30% (3-7) against the spread

The Packers are 30% (3-7) against the spread as a fav

The Packers are 20% (1-4) to the over/under at home

The Packers are 20% (1-4) to the over/under as a home fav

The Packers are 30% (3-7) (L14) against the spread

The Packers are 30% (3-7) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Packers are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Packers are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

The Vikings are 70% (7-3) to the over/under

The Vikings are 80% (4-1) to the over/under as a dog

The Vikings are 70% (7-3) (L14) to the over/under

The Vikings are 80% (4-1) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

View All Records

Packers (Home)

The Packers are 30% (3-7) against the spread

The Packers are 40% (2-3) against the spread at home

The Packers are 30% (3-7) against the spread as a fav

The Packers are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a home fav

The Packers are 50% (5-5) to the over/under

The Packers are 20% (1-4) to the over/under at home

The Packers are 50% (5-5) to the over/under as a fav

The Packers are 20% (1-4) to the over/under as a home fav

The Packers are 30% (3-7) (L14) against the spread

The Packers are 40% (2-3) (L14) against the spread at home

The Packers are 30% (3-7) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Packers are 40% (2-3) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Packers are 50% (5-5) (L14) to the over/under

The Packers are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Packers are 50% (5-5) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Packers are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Vikings (Away)

The Vikings are 40% (4-6) against the spread

The Vikings are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread away

The Vikings are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a dog

The Vikings are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Vikings are 70% (7-3) to the over/under

The Vikings are 100% (3-0) to the over/under away

The Vikings are 80% (4-1) to the over/under as a dog

The Vikings are 100% (3-0) to the over/under as an away dog

The Vikings are 40% (4-6) (L14) against the spread

The Vikings are 66.7% (2-1) (L14) against the spread away

The Vikings are 40% (2-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Vikings are 66.7% (2-1) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Vikings are 70% (7-3) (L14) to the over/under

The Vikings are 100% (3-0) (L14) to the over/under away

The Vikings are 80% (4-1) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Vikings are 100% (3-0) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/29/24	2024	Packers	25	Away	Vikings	27	446	69	377	0	1	-1.0	49.5	+2	52
09/29/24	2024	Packers	29	Home	Vikings	31	475	86	389	1	1	-2.5	44.0	+2	60
12/31/23	2023	Packers	33	Away	Vikings	10	247	67	180	0	1	-1.0	42.5	-23	43
10/29/23	2023	Packers	10	Home	Vikings	24	303	74	229	0	2	0.0	41.5	+14	34
01/01/23	2022	Packers	41	Home	Vikings	17	331	163	168	3	0	-3.0	47.5	-24	58
09/11/22	2022	Packers	7	Away	Vikings	23	403	126	277	1	0	+1.5	46.5	+16	30
Packers as Home (3 games)			26.7	-	-	24.0	370	108	262	1.3	1.0	-1.8	44.3	-2.7	50.7
All Games Avg (6 games)			24.2	-	-	22.0	368	98	270	0.8	0.8	-1.0	45.3	-2.2	46.2

Schedules

Vikings Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Vikings	-	home	Commanders	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	47.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Vikings	-	away	Seahawks	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.5	43.0	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Vikings	-	away	Packers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.5	41.5	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Vikings	17	home	Bears	19	265	115	150	0	1	-2.5	47.5	+2	36
11/09/25	2025	Vikings	19	home	Ravens	27	368	120	248	0	2	+4.5	48.5	+8	46
11/02/25	2025	Vikings	27	away	Lions	24	285	142	143	0	1	+9.5	47.5	-3	51
10/23/25	2025	Vikings	10	away	Chargers	37	191	34	157	1	1	+3.5	44.5	+27	47
10/19/25	2025	Vikings	22	home	Eagles	28	402	89	313	0	2	+2.5	44.0	+6	50
10/05/25	2025	Vikings	21	neutral	Browns	17	365	97	268	0	2	-3.5	35.5	-4	38
09/28/25	2025	Vikings	21	neutral	Steelers	24	420	70	350	0	2	-2.5	41.0	+3	45
09/21/25	2025	Vikings	48	home	Bengals	10	371	169	202	2	1	-3.0	42.5	-38	58
09/14/25	2025	Vikings	6	home	Falcons	22	236	78	158	0	4	-3.5	44.5	+16	28
09/08/25	2025	Vikings	27	away	Bears	24	263	120	143	0	0	+1.0	43.5	-3	51
Away Games Avg (3 games)			21.3	-	-	28.3	246	99	148	0.3	0.7	+4.7	45.2	+7.0	49.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			21.8	-	-	23.2	317	103	213	0.3	1.6	+0.6	43.9	+1.4	45.0

Packers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Packers	-	home	Bears	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	46.5	-	-
11/27/25	2025	Packers	-	away	Lions	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	48.5	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Packers	-	home	Vikings	-	-	-	-	-	-	-6.5	41.5	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Packers	27	away	Giants	20	128	128	0	1	2	-7.5	42.5	-7	47
11/10/25	2025	Packers	7	home	Eagles	10	280	104	176	0	3	-1.0	45.0	+3	17
11/02/25	2025	Packers	13	home	Panthers	16	377	104	273	1	1	-12.5	43.5	+3	29
10/26/25	2025	Packers	35	away	Steelers	25	454	94	360	0	2	-2.5	46.0	-10	60
10/19/25	2025	Packers	27	away	Cardinals	23	273	94	179	0	2	-7.0	44.5	-4	50
10/12/25	2025	Packers	27	home	Bengals	18	412	153	259	0	0	-14.0	44.5	-9	45
09/28/25	2025	Packers	40	away	Cowboys	40	501	164	337	0	1	-6.5	47.0	0	80
09/21/25	2025	Packers	10	away	Browns	13	264	81	183	1	1	-7.5	40.5	+3	23
09/11/25	2025	Packers	27	home	Commanders	18	719	135	584	0	0	-3.0	48.5	-9	45
09/07/25	2025	Packers	27	home	Lions	13	266	78	188	1	0	-1.5	48.0	-14	40
Home Games Avg (5 games)			20.2	-	-	15.0	411	115	296	0.4	0.8	-6.4	45.9	-5.2	35.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			24.0	-	-	19.6	367	114	254	0.4	1.2	-6.3	45.0	-4.4	43.6

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m.
New York Jets @ Baltimore Ravens

Jets: 2-8 (20.0%) - AFC East

Ravens: 5-5 (50.0%) - AFC North

Line: -14.0

Total: 44.5

Open: -14.5

Open: 44.5

Notes

Jets

Situational Factor(s)

Extended rest: Non-bye week

Rest Advantage

Ravens

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)

Rest Disadvantage

First game home off 2+ game road trip

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Baller System(s)

Back favorite off a game as a fav w/ low turnovers

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Jets

54.06% probability

Total Recommendation

Under

56.25% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Season	Recent	Site
Receiving Performance	Lean Ravens	-	-
DVOA Advanced	Jets	-	-
Defensive Metrics	Jets	-	-
Drive Performance	Lean Jets	-	-
DVOA ZScores	Lean Jets	-	-
Basic Stats	Lean Ravens	-	-
Luck Regression	Lean Ravens	-	-
ATS Analysis	Lean Jets	-	-
Cover Summary	Jets	No Bet	No Bet
Possession Efficiency	Under	-	-
DVOA Regression	Lean Under	-	-
Comprehensive	Under	-	-
Down Efficiency	Lean Under	-	-
Game Conditions	Under	-	-
Total Summary	Under	No Bet	No Bet
OVERALL	Jets \| Under

Notable Trends

The Ravens are 70% (7-3) to the over/under

The Ravens are 80% (4-1) to the over/under at home

The Ravens are 75% (6-2) to the over/under as a fav

The Ravens are 70% (7-3) (L14) to the over/under

The Ravens are 80% (4-1) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Ravens are 75% (6-2) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Jets are 75% (3-1) to the over/under away

The Jets are 75% (3-1) to the over/under as an away dog

The Jets are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under away

The Jets are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

View All Records

Ravens (Home)

The Ravens are 40% (4-6) against the spread

The Ravens are 40% (2-3) against the spread at home

The Ravens are 50% (4-4) against the spread as a fav

The Ravens are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Ravens are 70% (7-3) to the over/under

The Ravens are 80% (4-1) to the over/under at home

The Ravens are 75% (6-2) to the over/under as a fav

The Ravens are 100% (3-0) to the over/under as a home fav

The Ravens are 40% (4-6) (L14) against the spread

The Ravens are 40% (2-3) (L14) against the spread at home

The Ravens are 50% (4-4) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Ravens are 66.7% (2-1) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Ravens are 70% (7-3) (L14) to the over/under

The Ravens are 80% (4-1) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Ravens are 75% (6-2) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Ravens are 100% (3-0) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Jets (Away)

The Jets are 50% (5-5) against the spread

The Jets are 50% (2-2) against the spread away

The Jets are 62.5% (5-3) against the spread as a dog

The Jets are 50% (2-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Jets are 60% (6-4) to the over/under

The Jets are 75% (3-1) to the over/under away

The Jets are 62.5% (5-3) to the over/under as a dog

The Jets are 75% (3-1) to the over/under as an away dog

The Jets are 50% (5-5) (L14) against the spread

The Jets are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Jets are 62.5% (5-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Jets are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Jets are 60% (6-4) (L14) to the over/under

The Jets are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under away

The Jets are 62.5% (5-3) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Jets are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/11/22	2022	Ravens	24	Away	Jets	9	392	83	309	1	2	-6.5	44.5	-15	33
All Games Avg (1 games)			24.0	-	-	9.0	392	83	309	1.0	2.0	-6.5	44.5	-15.0	33.0

Schedules

Jets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Jets	-	home	Dolphins	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	43.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Jets	-	home	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.0	38.5	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Jets	-	away	Ravens	-	-	-	-	-	-	+14.0	44.5	-	-
11/13/25	2025	Jets	14	away	Patriots	27	256	140	116	0	1	+12.5	43.5	+13	41
11/09/25	2025	Jets	27	home	Browns	20	181	127	54	0	0	+2.0	37.5	-7	47
10/26/25	2025	Jets	39	away	Bengals	38	502	254	248	0	0	+5.5	43.5	-1	77
10/19/25	2025	Jets	6	home	Panthers	13	253	81	172	0	0	-1.5	39.5	+7	19
10/12/25	2025	Jets	11	neutral	Broncos	13	137	92	45	0	1	+7.0	43.5	+2	24
10/05/25	2025	Jets	22	home	Cowboys	37	427	144	283	0	1	-1.5	47.5	+15	59
09/29/25	2025	Jets	21	away	Dolphins	27	423	197	226	0	3	+2.5	43.5	+6	48
09/21/25	2025	Jets	27	away	Buccaneers	29	296	99	197	0	1	+6.5	43.5	+2	56
09/14/25	2025	Jets	10	home	Bills	30	183	100	83	0	3	+6.0	47.5	+20	40
09/07/25	2025	Jets	32	home	Steelers	34	400	182	218	0	1	+3.0	38.0	+2	66
Away Games Avg (4 games)			25.3	-	-	30.3	369	173	197	0.0	1.3	+6.8	43.5	+5.0	55.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			20.9	-	-	26.8	306	142	164	0.0	1.1	+4.2	42.8	+5.9	47.7

Ravens Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Ravens	-	home	Steelers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-8.5	46.5	-	-
11/27/25	2025	Ravens	-	home	Bengals	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.0	53.0	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Ravens	-	home	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	-14.0	44.5	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Ravens	23	away	Browns	16	377	184	193	1	1	-7.5	37.5	-7	39
11/09/25	2025	Ravens	27	away	Vikings	19	328	152	176	2	3	-4.5	48.5	-8	46
10/30/25	2025	Ravens	28	away	Dolphins	6	354	150	204	1	0	-7.5	51.5	-22	34
10/26/25	2025	Ravens	30	home	Bears	16	363	177	186	1	1	-2.5	44.5	-14	46
10/12/25	2025	Ravens	3	home	Rams	17	319	179	140	0	3	+6.5	43.5	+14	20
10/05/25	2025	Ravens	10	home	Texans	44	223	44	179	0	0	+2.5	41.5	+34	54
09/28/25	2025	Ravens	20	away	Chiefs	37	365	166	199	0	1	-2.5	48.5	+17	57
09/22/25	2025	Ravens	30	home	Lions	38	373	85	288	0	2	-4.5	53.5	+8	68
09/14/25	2025	Ravens	41	home	Browns	17	270	45	225	1	1	-12.5	46.5	-24	58
09/07/25	2025	Ravens	40	away	Bills	41	447	238	209	0	2	-1.5	51.5	+1	81
Home Games Avg (5 games)			22.8	-	-	26.4	310	106	204	0.4	1.4	-2.1	45.9	+3.6	49.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			25.2	-	-	25.1	342	142	200	0.6	1.4	-3.4	46.7	-0.1	50.3

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m.
Seattle Seahawks @ Tennessee Titans

Seahawks: 7-3 (70.0%) - NFC West

Titans: 1-9 (10.0%) - AFC South

Line: +12.5

Total: 41.5

Open: +12.5

Open: 43.5

Notes

Seahawks

Nothing active

Titans

Situational Factor(s)

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

Under

54.38% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Season	Recent	Site
Receiving Performance	Lean Titans	-	-
DVOA Advanced	Titans	-	-
Defensive Metrics	Lean Seahawks	-	-
Drive Performance	Lean Titans	-	-
DVOA ZScores	Lean Titans	-	-
Basic Stats	Lean Titans	-	-
Luck Regression	Seahawks	-	-
ATS Analysis	Lean Titans	-	-
Cover Summary	No Bet	No Bet	No Bet
Possession Efficiency	Lean Under	-	-
DVOA Regression	Lean Under	-	-
Comprehensive	Under	-	-
Down Efficiency	Lean Over	-	-
Game Conditions	Lean Under	-	-
Total Summary	Under	No Bet	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| Under

Notable Trends

The Titans are 80% (4-1) to the over/under at home

The Titans are 80% (4-1) to the over/under as a home dog

The Titans are 80% (4-1) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Titans are 80% (4-1) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

The Seahawks are 80% (8-2) against the spread

The Seahawks are 100% (5-0) against the spread away

The Seahawks are 85.7% (6-1) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 71.4% (5-2) to the over/under as a fav

The Seahawks are 80% (8-2) (L14) against the spread

The Seahawks are 100% (5-0) (L14) against the spread away

The Seahawks are 85.7% (6-1) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

View All Records

Titans (Home)

The Titans are 40% (4-6) against the spread

The Titans are 40% (2-3) against the spread at home

The Titans are 40% (4-6) against the spread as a dog

The Titans are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a home dog

The Titans are 60% (6-4) to the over/under

The Titans are 80% (4-1) to the over/under at home

The Titans are 60% (6-4) to the over/under as a dog

The Titans are 80% (4-1) to the over/under as a home dog

The Titans are 40% (4-6) (L14) against the spread

The Titans are 40% (2-3) (L14) against the spread at home

The Titans are 40% (4-6) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Titans are 40% (2-3) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Titans are 60% (6-4) (L14) to the over/under

The Titans are 80% (4-1) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Titans are 60% (6-4) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Titans are 80% (4-1) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Seahawks (Away)

The Seahawks are 80% (8-2) against the spread

The Seahawks are 100% (5-0) against the spread away

The Seahawks are 85.7% (6-1) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (3-0) against the spread as an away fav

The Seahawks are 60% (6-4) to the over/under

The Seahawks are 40% (2-3) to the over/under away

The Seahawks are 71.4% (5-2) to the over/under as a fav

The Seahawks are 33.3% (1-2) to the over/under as an away fav

The Seahawks are 80% (8-2) (L14) against the spread

The Seahawks are 100% (5-0) (L14) against the spread away

The Seahawks are 85.7% (6-1) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Seahawks are 100% (3-0) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Seahawks are 60% (6-4) (L14) to the over/under

The Seahawks are 40% (2-3) (L14) to the over/under away

The Seahawks are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Seahawks are 33.3% (1-2) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/24/23	2023	Titans	17	Home	Seahawks	20	326	162	164	0	1	+3.0	42.5	+3	37
Titans as Home (1 games)			17.0	-	-	20.0	326	162	164	0.0	1.0	+3.0	42.5	+3.0	37.0
All Games Avg (1 games)			17.0	-	-	20.0	326	162	164	0.0	1.0	+3.0	42.5	+3.0	37.0

Schedules

Seahawks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Seahawks	-	away	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	45.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Seahawks	-	home	Vikings	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.5	43.0	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Seahawks	-	away	Titans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-12.5	41.5	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Seahawks	19	away	Rams	21	414	135	279	0	1	+3.0	49.5	+2	40
11/09/25	2025	Seahawks	44	home	Cardinals	22	376	198	178	0	4	-7.5	44.5	-22	66
11/02/25	2025	Seahawks	38	away	Commanders	14	418	88	330	1	1	-2.5	47.5	-24	52
10/20/25	2025	Seahawks	27	home	Texans	19	331	118	213	1	2	-3.0	41.5	-8	46
10/12/25	2025	Seahawks	20	away	Jaguars	12	355	60	295	0	0	-1.5	47.5	-8	32
10/05/25	2025	Seahawks	35	home	Buccaneers	38	463	122	341	0	1	-3.5	44.5	+3	73
09/25/25	2025	Seahawks	23	away	Cardinals	20	397	155	242	2	2	-1.5	43.5	-3	43
09/21/25	2025	Seahawks	44	home	Saints	13	320	87	233	1	1	-7.5	41.5	-31	57
09/14/25	2025	Seahawks	31	away	Steelers	17	412	117	295	2	0	+3.5	40.5	-14	48
09/07/25	2025	Seahawks	13	home	Fortyniners	17	234	84	150	2	3	+2.5	43.5	+4	30
Away Games Avg (5 games)			26.2	-	-	16.8	399	111	288	1.0	0.8	+0.2	45.7	-9.4	43.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			29.4	-	-	19.3	372	116	256	0.9	1.5	-1.8	44.4	-10.1	48.7

Titans Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Titans	-	away	Browns	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	41.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Titans	-	home	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.0	41.5	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Titans	-	home	Seahawks	-	-	-	-	-	-	+12.5	41.5	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Titans	13	home	Texans	16	58	58	0	0	2	+5.5	37.5	+3	29
11/02/25	2025	Titans	20	home	Chargers	27	233	88	145	1	2	+10.0	44.5	+7	47
10/26/25	2025	Titans	14	away	Colts	38	372	113	259	0	0	+14.5	48.0	+24	52
10/19/25	2025	Titans	13	home	Patriots	31	294	39	255	0	1	+6.5	41.5	+18	44
10/12/25	2025	Titans	10	away	Raiders	20	287	65	222	1	2	+3.5	41.5	+10	30
10/05/25	2025	Titans	22	away	Cardinals	21	343	78	265	0	1	+7.5	41.5	-1	43
09/28/25	2025	Titans	0	away	Texans	26	190	82	108	0	0	+7.5	39.5	+26	26
09/21/25	2025	Titans	20	home	Colts	41	305	86	219	0	0	+6.0	42.5	+21	61
09/14/25	2025	Titans	19	home	Rams	33	284	109	175	1	1	+5.5	41.5	+14	52
09/07/25	2025	Titans	12	away	Broncos	20	183	71	112	2	2	+8.5	42.5	+8	32
Home Games Avg (5 games)			17.0	-	-	29.6	235	76	159	0.4	1.2	+6.7	41.5	+12.6	46.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			14.3	-	-	27.3	255	79	176	0.5	1.1	+7.5	42.1	+13.0	41.6

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 4:05 p.m.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Arizona Cardinals

Jaguars: 6-4 (60.0%) - AFC South

Cardinals: 3-7 (30.0%) - NFC West

Line: +2.5

Total: 47.0

Open: 44.5

Notes

Jaguars

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Cardinals

Nothing active

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Jaguars

54.06% probability

Total Recommendation

Under

57.50% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Season	Recent	Site
Receiving Performance	Lean Cardinals	-	-
DVOA Advanced	Lean Jaguars	-	-
Defensive Metrics	Jaguars	-	-
Drive Performance	Jaguars	-	-
DVOA ZScores	Lean Jaguars	-	-
Basic Stats	Lean Jaguars	-	-
Luck Regression	Lean Jaguars	-	-
ATS Analysis	Lean Jaguars	-	-
Cover Summary	Jaguars	No Bet	No Bet
Possession Efficiency	Under	-	-
DVOA Regression	Lean Under	-	-
Comprehensive	Under	-	-
Down Efficiency	Under	-	-
Game Conditions	Under	-	-
Total Summary	Under	No Bet	No Bet
OVERALL	Jaguars \| Under

Notable Trends

The Cardinals are 20% (1-4) against the spread at home

The Cardinals are 80% (4-1) to the over/under at home

The Cardinals are 20% (1-4) (L14) against the spread at home

The Cardinals are 80% (4-1) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Jaguars are 25% (1-3) against the spread away

The Jaguars are 100% (4-0) to the over/under away

The Jaguars are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread away

The Jaguars are 100% (4-0) (L14) to the over/under away

View All Records

Cardinals (Home)

The Cardinals are 50% (5-5) against the spread

The Cardinals are 20% (1-4) against the spread at home

The Cardinals are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread as a dog

The Cardinals are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Cardinals are 60% (6-4) to the over/under

The Cardinals are 80% (4-1) to the over/under at home

The Cardinals are 57.1% (4-3) to the over/under as a dog

The Cardinals are 66.7% (2-1) to the over/under as a home dog

The Cardinals are 50% (5-5) (L14) against the spread

The Cardinals are 20% (1-4) (L14) against the spread at home

The Cardinals are 57.1% (4-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Cardinals are 33.3% (1-2) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Cardinals are 60% (6-4) (L14) to the over/under

The Cardinals are 80% (4-1) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Cardinals are 57.1% (4-3) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Cardinals are 66.7% (2-1) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Jaguars (Away)

The Jaguars are 50% (5-5) against the spread

The Jaguars are 25% (1-3) against the spread away

The Jaguars are 50% (2-2) against the spread as a fav

The Jaguars are 0% (0-2) against the spread as an away fav

The Jaguars are 50% (5-5) to the over/under

The Jaguars are 100% (4-0) to the over/under away

The Jaguars are 50% (2-2) to the over/under as a fav

The Jaguars are 100% (2-0) to the over/under as an away fav

The Jaguars are 50% (5-5) (L14) against the spread

The Jaguars are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread away

The Jaguars are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Jaguars are 0% (0-2) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Jaguars are 50% (5-5) (L14) to the over/under

The Jaguars are 100% (4-0) (L14) to the over/under away

The Jaguars are 50% (2-2) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Jaguars are 100% (2-0) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

No previous matchups between these teams in the last 3 seasons.

Schedules

Jaguars Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Jaguars	-	home	Colts	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	46.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Jaguars	-	away	Titans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.0	41.5	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Jaguars	-	away	Cardinals	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	47.0	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Jaguars	35	home	Chargers	6	345	192	153	1	0	+3.0	43.5	-29	41
11/09/25	2025	Jaguars	29	away	Texans	36	252	94	158	1	2	-1.5	37.5	+7	65
11/02/25	2025	Jaguars	30	away	Raiders	29	371	151	220	1	1	-2.5	43.5	-1	59
10/19/25	2025	Jaguars	7	neutral	Rams	35	390	94	296	0	1	+3.0	44.5	+28	42
10/12/25	2025	Jaguars	12	home	Seahawks	20	317	59	258	0	1	+1.5	47.5	+8	32
10/06/25	2025	Jaguars	31	home	Chiefs	28	330	109	221	1	1	+3.5	45.5	-3	59
09/28/25	2025	Jaguars	26	away	Fortyniners	21	325	151	174	2	1	+3.5	45.5	-5	47
09/21/25	2025	Jaguars	17	home	Texans	10	308	86	222	2	0	-1.5	42.5	-7	27
09/14/25	2025	Jaguars	27	away	Bengals	31	410	139	271	3	1	+3.5	49.5	+4	58
09/07/25	2025	Jaguars	26	home	Panthers	10	378	200	178	2	0	-4.5	45.5	-16	36
Away Games Avg (4 games)			28.0	-	-	29.3	340	134	206	1.8	1.3	+0.8	44.0	+1.3	57.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			24.0	-	-	22.6	343	128	215	1.3	0.8	+0.8	44.5	-1.4	46.6

Cardinals Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Cardinals	-	home	Rams	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	47.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Cardinals	-	away	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+5.5	48.5	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Cardinals	-	home	Jaguars	-	-	-	-	-	-	+2.5	47.0	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Cardinals	22	home	Fortyniners	41	488	36	452	0	1	+3.5	48.5	+19	63
11/09/25	2025	Cardinals	22	away	Seahawks	44	387	129	258	1	2	+7.5	44.5	+22	66
11/03/25	2025	Cardinals	27	away	Cowboys	17	380	119	261	1	1	+3.5	53.5	-10	44
10/19/25	2025	Cardinals	23	home	Packers	27	373	94	279	0	1	+7.0	44.5	+4	50
10/12/25	2025	Cardinals	27	away	Colts	31	408	88	320	1	0	+8.5	46.5	+4	58
10/05/25	2025	Cardinals	21	home	Titans	22	388	168	220	1	3	-7.5	41.5	+1	43
09/25/25	2025	Cardinals	20	home	Seahawks	23	289	89	200	0	0	+1.5	43.5	+3	43
09/21/25	2025	Cardinals	15	away	Fortyniners	16	265	106	159	1	1	+1.5	44.5	+1	31
09/14/25	2025	Cardinals	27	home	Panthers	22	302	82	220	1	0	-7.0	45.5	-5	49
09/07/25	2025	Cardinals	20	away	Saints	13	309	146	163	0	0	-5.5	44.5	-7	33
Home Games Avg (5 games)			22.6	-	-	27.0	368	94	274	0.4	1.0	-0.5	44.7	+4.4	49.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			22.4	-	-	25.6	359	106	253	0.6	0.9	+1.3	45.7	+3.2	48.0

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 4:05 p.m.
Cleveland Browns @ Las Vegas Raiders

Browns: 2-8 (20.0%) - AFC North

Raiders: 2-8 (20.0%) - AFC West

Line: -3.5

Total: 36.0

Open: -2.0

Open: 37.5

Notes

Browns

Situational Factor(s)

Rest Advantage

East Coast team traveling West

Raiders

Situational Factor(s)

Short rest: 4 or 5 days

Rest Disadvantage

Lookahead: next game versus division rival

Baller System(s)

Unders system based on the market total being substantially lower than average scoring

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Browns

54.06% probability

Total Recommendation

Under

57.50% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Season	Recent	Site
Receiving Performance	Lean Raiders	-	-
DVOA Advanced	Browns	-	-
Defensive Metrics	Browns	-	-
Drive Performance	Lean Browns	-	-
DVOA ZScores	Lean Browns	-	-
Basic Stats	Lean Raiders	-	-
Luck Regression	Lean Browns	-	-
ATS Analysis	Lean Browns	-	-
Cover Summary	Browns	No Bet	No Bet
Possession Efficiency	Under	-	-
DVOA Regression	Lean Under	-	-
Comprehensive	Under	-	-
Down Efficiency	Under	-	-
Game Conditions	Under	-	-
Total Summary	Under	No Bet	No Bet
OVERALL	Browns \| Under

Notable Trends

The Browns are 0% (0-5) against the spread away

The Browns are 0% (0-4) against the spread as an away dog

The Browns are 0% (0-5) (L14) against the spread away

The Browns are 0% (0-4) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

View All Records

Raiders (Home)

The Raiders are 40% (4-6) against the spread

The Raiders are 40% (2-3) against the spread at home

The Raiders are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a fav

The Raiders are 50% (1-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Raiders are 40% (4-6) to the over/under

The Raiders are 60% (3-2) to the over/under at home

The Raiders are 50% (1-1) to the over/under as a fav

The Raiders are 50% (1-1) to the over/under as a home fav

The Raiders are 40% (4-6) (L14) against the spread

The Raiders are 40% (2-3) (L14) against the spread at home

The Raiders are 50% (1-1) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Raiders are 50% (1-1) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Raiders are 40% (4-6) (L14) to the over/under

The Raiders are 60% (3-2) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Raiders are 50% (1-1) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Raiders are 50% (1-1) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Browns (Away)

The Browns are 40% (4-6) against the spread

The Browns are 0% (0-5) against the spread away

The Browns are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread as a dog

The Browns are 0% (0-4) against the spread as an away dog

The Browns are 60% (6-4) to the over/under

The Browns are 60% (3-2) to the over/under away

The Browns are 50% (4-4) to the over/under as a dog

The Browns are 50% (2-2) to the over/under as an away dog

The Browns are 40% (4-6) (L14) against the spread

The Browns are 0% (0-5) (L14) against the spread away

The Browns are 37.5% (3-5) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Browns are 0% (0-4) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Browns are 60% (6-4) (L14) to the over/under

The Browns are 60% (3-2) (L14) to the over/under away

The Browns are 50% (4-4) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Browns are 50% (2-2) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/29/24	2024	Raiders	20	Home	Browns	16	282	152	130	1	1	+3.0	37.0	-4	36
Raiders as Home (1 games)			20.0	-	-	16.0	282	152	130	1.0	1.0	+3.0	37.0	-4.0	36.0
All Games Avg (1 games)			20.0	-	-	16.0	282	152	130	1.0	1.0	+3.0	37.0	-4.0	36.0

Schedules

Browns Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Browns	-	home	Titans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	41.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Browns	-	home	Fortyniners	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.5	41.5	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Browns	-	away	Raiders	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	36.0	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Browns	16	home	Ravens	23	221	106	115	2	1	+7.5	37.5	+7	39
11/09/25	2025	Browns	20	away	Jets	27	325	158	167	1	0	-2.0	37.5	+7	47
10/26/25	2025	Browns	13	away	Patriots	32	224	68	156	1	0	+7.0	40.5	+19	45
10/19/25	2025	Browns	31	home	Dolphins	6	220	104	116	3	1	-2.5	34.5	-25	37
10/12/25	2025	Browns	9	away	Steelers	23	286	65	221	0	0	+6.5	38.0	+14	32
10/05/25	2025	Browns	17	neutral	Vikings	21	330	140	190	0	0	+3.5	35.5	+4	38
09/28/25	2025	Browns	10	away	Lions	34	263	79	184	1	2	+10.0	44.5	+24	44
09/21/25	2025	Browns	13	home	Packers	10	238	96	142	1	0	+7.5	40.5	-3	23
09/14/25	2025	Browns	17	away	Ravens	41	333	115	218	0	1	+12.5	46.5	+24	58
09/07/25	2025	Browns	16	home	Bengals	17	339	49	290	0	0	+4.5	47.5	+1	33
Away Games Avg (5 games)			13.8	-	-	31.4	286	97	189	0.6	0.6	+6.8	41.4	+17.6	45.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			16.2	-	-	23.4	278	98	180	0.9	0.5	+5.5	40.3	+7.2	39.6

Raiders Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Raiders	-	home	Broncos	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	43.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Raiders	-	away	Chargers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.5	42.0	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Raiders	-	home	Browns	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.5	36.0	-	-
11/17/25	2025	Raiders	16	home	Cowboys	33	265	27	238	0	0	+3.5	48.5	+17	49
11/06/25	2025	Raiders	7	away	Broncos	10	217	74	143	2	2	+9.5	42.5	+3	17
11/02/25	2025	Raiders	29	home	Jaguars	30	341	57	284	1	0	+2.5	43.5	+1	59
10/19/25	2025	Raiders	0	away	Chiefs	31	100	25	75	0	2	+13.5	44.5	+31	31
10/12/25	2025	Raiders	20	home	Titans	10	242	68	174	1	0	-3.5	41.5	-10	30
10/05/25	2025	Raiders	6	away	Colts	40	334	106	228	0	0	+7.5	46.5	+34	46
09/28/25	2025	Raiders	24	home	Bears	25	357	240	117	1	1	-1.5	47.5	+1	49
09/21/25	2025	Raiders	24	away	Commanders	41	382	93	289	0	0	+3.0	43.5	+17	65
09/15/25	2025	Raiders	9	home	Chargers	20	248	68	180	0	1	+3.5	46.5	+11	29
09/07/25	2025	Raiders	20	away	Patriots	13	418	56	362	1	0	+2.5	44.5	-7	33
Home Games Avg (5 games)			19.6	-	-	23.6	291	92	199	0.6	0.4	+0.9	45.5	+4.0	43.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			15.5	-	-	25.3	290	81	209	0.6	0.6	+4.1	44.9	+9.8	40.8

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 4:25 p.m.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys

Eagles: 8-2 (80.0%) - NFC East

Cowboys: 4-5 (44.4%) - NFC East

Line: +3.0

Total: 47.5

Open: +3.5

Open: 51.0

Notes

Eagles

Situational Factor(s)

Rest Advantage

Cowboys

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Lookahead: next game is on Thursday (short 3-day rest)

Short rest: 4 or 5 days

Rest Disadvantage

Baller System(s)

Unders system: home dogs with next game on Thursday

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Eagles

54.06% probability

Total Recommendation

Under

57.50% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Season	Recent	Site
Receiving Performance	Lean Cowboys	-	-
DVOA Advanced	Lean Eagles	-	-
Defensive Metrics	Eagles	-	-
Drive Performance	Lean Eagles	-	-
DVOA ZScores	Lean Eagles	-	-
Basic Stats	Lean Eagles	-	-
Luck Regression	Eagles	-	-
ATS Analysis	Lean Eagles	-	-
Cover Summary	Eagles	No Bet	No Bet
Possession Efficiency	Under	-	-
DVOA Regression	Lean Under	-	-
Comprehensive	Under	-	-
Down Efficiency	Under	-	-
Game Conditions	Under	-	-
Total Summary	Under	No Bet	No Bet
OVERALL	Eagles \| Under

Notable Trends

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a dog

The Cowboys are 70% (7-3) to the over/under

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) to the over/under at home

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) to the over/under as a dog

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Cowboys are 70% (7-3) (L14) to the over/under

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Eagles are 70% (7-3) against the spread

The Eagles are 80% (4-1) against the spread away

The Eagles are 75% (3-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Eagles are 75% (3-1) to the over/under as an away fav

The Eagles are 70% (7-3) (L14) against the spread

The Eagles are 80% (4-1) (L14) against the spread away

The Eagles are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Eagles are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

View All Records

Cowboys (Home)

The Cowboys are 50% (5-5) against the spread

The Cowboys are 50% (2-2) against the spread at home

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) against the spread as a dog

The Cowboys are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home dog

The Cowboys are 70% (7-3) to the over/under

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) to the over/under at home

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) to the over/under as a dog

The Cowboys are 100% (1-0) to the over/under as a home dog

The Cowboys are 50% (5-5) (L14) against the spread

The Cowboys are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread at home

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Cowboys are 100% (1-0) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Cowboys are 70% (7-3) (L14) to the over/under

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Cowboys are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Cowboys are 100% (1-0) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Eagles (Away)

The Eagles are 70% (7-3) against the spread

The Eagles are 80% (4-1) against the spread away

The Eagles are 66.7% (6-3) against the spread as a fav

The Eagles are 75% (3-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Eagles are 50% (5-5) to the over/under

The Eagles are 60% (3-2) to the over/under away

The Eagles are 55.6% (5-4) to the over/under as a fav

The Eagles are 75% (3-1) to the over/under as an away fav

The Eagles are 70% (7-3) (L14) against the spread

The Eagles are 80% (4-1) (L14) against the spread away

The Eagles are 66.7% (6-3) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Eagles are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Eagles are 50% (5-5) (L14) to the over/under

The Eagles are 60% (3-2) (L14) to the over/under away

The Eagles are 55.6% (5-4) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Eagles are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
09/04/25	2025	Cowboys	20	Away	Eagles	24	310	158	152	0	0	+8.5	47.5	+4	44
12/29/24	2024	Cowboys	7	Away	Eagles	41	376	179	197	2	0	+7.5	37.5	+34	48
11/10/24	2024	Cowboys	6	Home	Eagles	34	163	97	66	1	4	+7.0	45.0	+28	40
12/10/23	2023	Cowboys	33	Home	Eagles	13	409	138	271	0	1	-3.5	52.5	-20	46
11/05/23	2023	Cowboys	23	Away	Eagles	28	316	109	207	0	3	+3.0	46.5	+5	51
12/24/22	2022	Cowboys	40	Home	Eagles	34	462	115	347	2	1	-3.5	48.0	-6	74
10/16/22	2022	Cowboys	17	Away	Eagles	26	291	136	155	3	1	+7.0	42.0	+9	43
Cowboys as Home (3 games)			26.3	-	-	27.0	345	117	228	1.0	2.0	0.0	48.5	+0.7	53.3
All Games Avg (7 games)			20.9	-	-	28.6	332	133	199	1.1	1.4	+3.7	45.6	+7.7	49.4

Schedules

Eagles Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/08/25	2025	Eagles	-	away	Chargers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-2.5	45.5	-	-
11/28/25	2025	Eagles	-	home	Bears	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.0	44.0	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Eagles	-	away	Cowboys	-	-	-	-	-	-	-3.0	47.5	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Eagles	16	home	Lions	9	283	148	135	1	2	-2.5	46.0	-7	25
11/10/25	2025	Eagles	10	away	Packers	7	294	111	183	0	1	+1.0	45.0	-3	17
10/26/25	2025	Eagles	38	home	Giants	20	455	276	179	0	0	-7.5	43.5	-18	58
10/19/25	2025	Eagles	28	away	Vikings	22	371	45	326	2	0	-2.5	44.0	-6	50
10/09/25	2025	Eagles	17	away	Giants	34	356	73	283	0	1	-7.5	40.5	+17	51
10/05/25	2025	Eagles	17	home	Broncos	21	325	45	280	0	0	-4.0	44.5	+4	38
09/28/25	2025	Eagles	31	away	Buccaneers	25	218	88	130	1	2	-3.5	44.5	-6	56
09/21/25	2025	Eagles	33	home	Rams	26	312	86	226	1	1	-3.5	45.5	-7	59
09/14/25	2025	Eagles	20	away	Chiefs	17	223	122	101	1	1	-1.5	46.5	-3	37
09/04/25	2025	Eagles	24	home	Cowboys	20	310	158	152	0	0	-8.5	47.5	-4	44
Away Games Avg (5 games)			21.2	-	-	21.0	292	88	205	0.8	1.0	-2.8	44.1	-0.2	42.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			23.4	-	-	20.1	315	115	200	0.6	0.8	-4.0	44.8	-3.3	43.5

Cowboys Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/04/25	2025	Cowboys	-	away	Lions	-	-	-	-	-	-	+6.0	48.5	-	-
11/27/25	2025	Cowboys	-	home	Chiefs	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	51.0	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Cowboys	-	home	Eagles	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.0	47.5	-	-
11/17/25	2025	Cowboys	33	away	Raiders	16	382	114	268	1	1	-3.5	48.5	-17	49
11/03/25	2025	Cowboys	17	home	Cardinals	27	373	123	250	0	4	-3.5	53.5	+10	44
10/26/25	2025	Cowboys	24	away	Broncos	44	354	108	246	1	1	+3.5	51.5	+20	68
10/19/25	2025	Cowboys	44	home	Commanders	22	416	152	264	1	1	-1.5	55.5	-22	66
10/12/25	2025	Cowboys	27	away	Panthers	30	292	31	261	1	2	-3.0	47.0	+3	57
10/05/25	2025	Cowboys	37	away	Jets	22	417	180	237	0	0	+1.5	47.5	-15	59
09/28/25	2025	Cowboys	40	home	Packers	40	436	117	319	0	0	+6.5	47.0	0	80
09/21/25	2025	Cowboys	14	away	Bears	31	413	121	292	0	1	-1.5	50.5	+17	45
09/14/25	2025	Cowboys	40	home	Giants	37	496	135	361	1	1	-4.5	44.5	-3	77
09/04/25	2025	Cowboys	20	away	Eagles	24	307	119	188	0	1	+8.5	47.5	+4	44
Home Games Avg (4 games)			35.3	-	-	31.5	430	132	299	0.5	1.5	-0.8	50.1	-3.8	66.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			29.6	-	-	29.3	389	120	269	0.5	1.2	+0.3	49.3	-0.3	58.9

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 4:25 p.m.
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints

Falcons: 3-7 (30.0%) - NFC South

Saints: 2-8 (20.0%) - NFC South

Line: -1.5

Total: 41.0

Open: +3.5

Open: 41.5

Notes

Falcons

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Rest Disadvantage

Coming off an Overtime game

Saints

Situational Factor(s)

Extended rest: Off a bye week

Rest Advantage

First game home off 2+ game road trip

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Falcons

55.63% probability

Total Recommendation

Over

53.75% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Season	Recent	Site
Receiving Performance	Lean Saints	-	-
DVOA Advanced	Falcons	-	-
Defensive Metrics	Falcons	-	-
Drive Performance	Falcons	-	-
DVOA ZScores	Lean Falcons	-	-
Basic Stats	Falcons	-	-
Luck Regression	Lean Falcons	-	-
ATS Analysis	Lean Falcons	-	-
Cover Summary	Falcons	No Bet	No Bet
Possession Efficiency	Lean Under	-	-
DVOA Regression	Lean Under	-	-
Comprehensive	Lean Under	-	-
Down Efficiency	Lean Over	-	-
Game Conditions	Over	-	-
Total Summary	Over	No Bet	No Bet
OVERALL	Falcons \| Over

Notable Trends

The Saints are 30% (3-7) against the spread

The Saints are 20% (1-4) against the spread at home

The Saints are 30% (3-7) to the over/under

The Saints are 20% (1-4) to the over/under at home

The Saints are 30% (3-7) (L14) against the spread

The Saints are 20% (1-4) (L14) against the spread at home

The Saints are 30% (3-7) (L14) to the over/under

The Saints are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Falcons are 25% (1-3) to the over/under away

The Falcons are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under away

View All Records

Saints (Home)

The Saints are 30% (3-7) against the spread

The Saints are 20% (1-4) against the spread at home

The Saints are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a fav

The Saints are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home fav

The Saints are 30% (3-7) to the over/under

The Saints are 20% (1-4) to the over/under at home

The Saints are 0% (0-1) to the over/under as a fav

The Saints are 0% (0-1) to the over/under as a home fav

The Saints are 30% (3-7) (L14) against the spread

The Saints are 20% (1-4) (L14) against the spread at home

The Saints are 100% (1-0) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Saints are 100% (1-0) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Saints are 30% (3-7) (L14) to the over/under

The Saints are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Saints are 0% (0-1) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Saints are 0% (0-1) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Falcons (Away)

The Falcons are 50% (5-5) against the spread

The Falcons are 50% (2-2) against the spread away

The Falcons are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread as a dog

The Falcons are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Falcons are 40% (4-6) to the over/under

The Falcons are 25% (1-3) to the over/under away

The Falcons are 33.3% (2-4) to the over/under as a dog

The Falcons are 33.3% (1-2) to the over/under as an away dog

The Falcons are 50% (5-5) (L14) against the spread

The Falcons are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Falcons are 66.7% (4-2) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Falcons are 66.7% (2-1) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Falcons are 40% (4-6) (L14) to the over/under

The Falcons are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under away

The Falcons are 33.3% (2-4) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Falcons are 33.3% (1-2) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/10/24	2024	Saints	20	Home	Falcons	17	365	96	269	1	1	+3.5	46.5	-3	37
09/29/24	2024	Saints	24	Away	Falcons	26	326	88	238	1	1	+3.0	42.5	+2	50
01/07/24	2023	Saints	48	Home	Falcons	17	418	154	264	2	2	-3.0	42.0	-31	65
11/26/23	2023	Saints	15	Away	Falcons	24	396	228	168	1	0	-2.0	42.0	+9	39
12/18/22	2022	Saints	21	Home	Falcons	18	365	134	231	0	2	-5.0	43.5	-3	39
09/11/22	2022	Saints	27	Away	Falcons	26	416	201	215	0	3	-5.5	43.5	-1	53
Saints as Home (3 games)			29.7	-	-	17.3	383	128	255	1.0	1.7	-1.5	44.0	-12.3	47.0
All Games Avg (6 games)			25.8	-	-	21.3	381	150	231	0.8	1.5	-1.5	43.3	-4.5	47.2

Schedules

Falcons Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Falcons	-	home	Seahawks	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	45.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Falcons	-	away	Jets	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.0	38.5	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Falcons	-	away	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	+1.5	41.0	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Falcons	27	home	Panthers	30	348	125	223	0	3	-4.0	42.0	+3	57
11/09/25	2025	Falcons	25	neutral	Colts	31	317	140	177	1	1	+6.5	48.5	+6	56
11/02/25	2025	Falcons	23	away	Patriots	24	292	71	221	1	1	+5.5	45.5	+1	47
10/26/25	2025	Falcons	10	home	Dolphins	34	218	45	173	0	1	-7.0	44.5	+24	44
10/19/25	2025	Falcons	10	away	Fortyniners	20	303	62	241	1	1	+0.5	46.5	+10	30
10/13/25	2025	Falcons	24	home	Bills	14	460	210	250	2	0	+3.5	49.5	-10	38
09/28/25	2025	Falcons	34	home	Commanders	27	441	128	313	1	2	-2.5	43.5	-7	61
09/21/25	2025	Falcons	0	away	Panthers	30	332	131	201	0	1	-4.5	44.0	+30	30
09/14/25	2025	Falcons	22	away	Vikings	6	353	218	135	2	1	+3.5	44.5	-16	28
09/07/25	2025	Falcons	20	home	Buccaneers	23	367	69	298	0	1	+1.5	47.5	+3	43
Away Games Avg (4 games)			13.8	-	-	20.0	320	121	200	1.0	1.0	+1.3	45.1	+6.3	33.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			19.5	-	-	23.9	343	120	223	0.8	1.2	+0.3	45.6	+4.4	43.4

Saints Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Saints	-	away	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	+9.5	45.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Saints	-	away	Dolphins	-	-	-	-	-	-	+3.5	42.5	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Saints	-	home	Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	41.0	-	-
11/09/25	2025	Saints	17	away	Panthers	7	404	122	282	1	1	+5.5	37.5	-10	24
11/02/25	2025	Saints	10	away	Rams	34	233	57	176	0	1	+14.0	44.5	+24	44
10/26/25	2025	Saints	3	home	Buccaneers	23	312	48	264	0	2	+3.5	46.0	+20	26
10/19/25	2025	Saints	14	away	Bears	26	277	44	233	1	1	+3.5	43.5	+12	40
10/12/25	2025	Saints	19	home	Patriots	25	300	73	227	0	1	+3.5	45.5	+6	44
10/05/25	2025	Saints	26	home	Giants	14	332	88	244	2	0	-2.5	41.5	-12	40
09/28/25	2025	Saints	19	away	Bills	31	315	189	126	1	1	+14.5	48.5	+12	50
09/21/25	2025	Saints	13	away	Seahawks	44	297	79	218	0	0	+7.5	41.5	+31	57
09/14/25	2025	Saints	21	home	Fortyniners	26	328	121	207	0	2	+3.0	40.5	+5	47
09/07/25	2025	Saints	13	home	Cardinals	20	321	107	214	0	0	+5.5	44.5	+7	33
Home Games Avg (5 games)			16.4	-	-	21.6	319	87	231	0.4	1.0	+2.6	43.6	+5.2	38.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			15.5	-	-	25.0	312	93	219	0.5	0.9	+5.8	43.4	+9.5	40.5

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 8:20 p.m.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Rams

Buccaneers: 6-4 (60.0%) - NFC South

Rams: 8-2 (80.0%) - NFC West

Line: -7.0

Total: 49.5

Open: -6.0

Open: 48.5

Notes

Buccaneers

Situational Factor(s)

East Coast team traveling West

Baller System(s)

Unders system: based on team with consecutive road games and a higher than average total

Rams

Nothing active

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Buccaneers

54.06% probability

Total Recommendation

Under

55.00% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Season	Recent	Site
Receiving Performance	Lean Rams	-	-
DVOA Advanced	Lean Buccaneers	-	-
Defensive Metrics	Buccaneers	-	-
Drive Performance	Buccaneers	-	-
DVOA ZScores	Lean Buccaneers	-	-
Basic Stats	Lean Buccaneers	-	-
Luck Regression	Lean Buccaneers	-	-
ATS Analysis	Lean Buccaneers	-	-
Cover Summary	Buccaneers	No Bet	No Bet
Possession Efficiency	Lean Under	-	-
DVOA Regression	Lean Under	-	-
Comprehensive	Under	-	-
Down Efficiency	Lean Under	-	-
Game Conditions	Under	-	-
Total Summary	Under	No Bet	No Bet
OVERALL	Buccaneers \| Under

Notable Trends

The Rams are 70% (7-3) against the spread

The Rams are 77.8% (7-2) against the spread as a fav

The Rams are 20% (1-4) to the over/under at home

The Rams are 20% (1-4) to the over/under as a home fav

The Rams are 70% (7-3) (L14) against the spread

The Rams are 77.8% (7-2) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Rams are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Rams are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

View All Records

Rams (Home)

The Rams are 70% (7-3) against the spread

The Rams are 60% (3-2) against the spread at home

The Rams are 77.8% (7-2) against the spread as a fav

The Rams are 60% (3-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Rams are 40% (4-6) to the over/under

The Rams are 20% (1-4) to the over/under at home

The Rams are 33.3% (3-6) to the over/under as a fav

The Rams are 20% (1-4) to the over/under as a home fav

The Rams are 70% (7-3) (L14) against the spread

The Rams are 60% (3-2) (L14) against the spread at home

The Rams are 77.8% (7-2) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Rams are 60% (3-2) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Rams are 40% (4-6) (L14) to the over/under

The Rams are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Rams are 33.3% (3-6) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Rams are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Buccaneers (Away)

The Buccaneers are 50% (5-5) against the spread

The Buccaneers are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread away

The Buccaneers are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a dog

The Buccaneers are 50% (2-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Buccaneers are 60% (6-4) to the over/under

The Buccaneers are 33.3% (2-4) to the over/under away

The Buccaneers are 60% (3-2) to the over/under as a dog

The Buccaneers are 50% (2-2) to the over/under as an away dog

The Buccaneers are 50% (5-5) (L14) against the spread

The Buccaneers are 66.7% (4-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Buccaneers are 40% (2-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Buccaneers are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Buccaneers are 60% (6-4) (L14) to the over/under

The Buccaneers are 33.3% (2-4) (L14) to the over/under away

The Buccaneers are 60% (3-2) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Buccaneers are 50% (2-2) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/06/22	2022	Rams	13	Away	Buccaneers	16	331	51	280	0	0	+3.0	43.0	+3	29
All Games Avg (1 games)			13.0	-	-	16.0	331	51	280	0.0	0.0	+3.0	43.0	+3.0	29.0

Schedules

Buccaneers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Buccaneers	-	home	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	-9.5	45.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Buccaneers	-	home	Cardinals	-	-	-	-	-	-	-5.5	48.5	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Buccaneers	-	away	Rams	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.0	49.5	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Buccaneers	32	away	Bills	44	375	202	173	2	1	+6.5	46.5	+12	76
11/09/25	2025	Buccaneers	23	home	Patriots	28	386	113	273	1	0	-2.5	48.5	+5	51
10/26/25	2025	Buccaneers	23	away	Saints	3	240	88	152	2	2	-3.5	46.0	-20	26
10/20/25	2025	Buccaneers	9	away	Lions	24	269	41	228	1	2	+6.0	54.5	+15	33
10/12/25	2025	Buccaneers	30	home	Fortyniners	19	360	104	256	2	1	-3.5	47.0	-11	49
10/05/25	2025	Buccaneers	38	away	Seahawks	35	435	56	379	1	0	+3.5	44.5	-3	73
09/28/25	2025	Buccaneers	25	home	Eagles	31	393	104	289	0	2	+3.5	44.5	+6	56
09/21/25	2025	Buccaneers	29	home	Jets	27	355	122	233	1	1	-6.5	43.5	-2	56
09/15/25	2025	Buccaneers	20	away	Texans	19	384	169	215	0	1	+2.5	42.5	-1	39
09/07/25	2025	Buccaneers	23	away	Falcons	20	268	101	167	0	0	-1.5	47.5	-3	43
Away Games Avg (6 games)			24.2	-	-	24.2	329	110	219	1.0	1.0	+2.3	46.9	0.0	48.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			25.2	-	-	25.0	347	110	237	1.0	1.0	+0.5	46.5	-0.2	50.2

Rams Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/07/25	2025	Rams	-	away	Cardinals	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	47.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Rams	-	away	Panthers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-9.5	45.0	-	-
11/23/25	2025	Rams	-	home	Buccaneers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.0	49.5	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Rams	21	home	Seahawks	19	249	119	130	4	1	-3.0	49.5	-2	40
11/09/25	2025	Rams	42	away	Fortyniners	26	406	126	280	1	0	-5.5	49.5	-16	68
11/02/25	2025	Rams	34	home	Saints	10	452	171	281	1	0	-14.0	44.5	-24	44
10/19/25	2025	Rams	35	neutral	Jaguars	7	271	89	182	0	0	-3.0	44.5	-28	42
10/12/25	2025	Rams	17	away	Ravens	3	255	74	181	1	2	-6.5	43.5	-14	20
10/02/25	2025	Rams	23	home	Fortyniners	26	467	78	389	0	2	-7.5	43.5	+3	49
09/28/25	2025	Rams	27	home	Colts	20	477	102	375	2	1	-3.5	49.5	-7	47
09/21/25	2025	Rams	26	away	Eagles	33	356	160	196	0	0	+3.5	45.5	+7	59
09/14/25	2025	Rams	33	away	Titans	19	447	149	298	0	1	-5.5	41.5	-14	52
09/07/25	2025	Rams	14	home	Texans	9	317	72	245	1	2	-3.0	43.0	-5	23
Home Games Avg (5 games)			23.8	-	-	16.8	392	108	284	1.6	1.2	-6.2	46.0	-7.0	40.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			27.2	-	-	17.2	370	114	256	1.0	0.9	-4.8	45.5	-10.0	44.4

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Mon, 11/24, 8:15 p.m.
Carolina Panthers @ San Francisco Fortyniners

Panthers: 6-5 (54.5%) - NFC South

Fortyniners: 7-4 (63.6%) - NFC West

Line: -7.5

Total: 49.5

Open: -6.0

Open: 45.5

Notes

Panthers

Situational Factor(s)

Extended rest: Non-bye week

East Coast team traveling West

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Coming off an Overtime game

Fortyniners

Situational Factor(s)

Extended rest: Non-bye week

Baller Index Our Exclusive NFL Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Panthers

54.84% probability

Total Recommendation

Over

53.13% probability

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Fortyniners are 25% (1-3) against the spread at home

The Fortyniners are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread as a fav

The Fortyniners are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread at home

The Fortyniners are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Panthers are 70% (7-3) against the spread as a dog

The Panthers are 70% (7-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog

View All Records

Fortyniners (Home)

The Fortyniners are 54.5% (6-5) against the spread

The Fortyniners are 25% (1-3) against the spread at home

The Fortyniners are 71.4% (5-2) against the spread as a fav

The Fortyniners are 33.3% (1-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Fortyniners are 63.6% (7-4) to the over/under

The Fortyniners are 50% (2-2) to the over/under at home

The Fortyniners are 57.1% (4-3) to the over/under as a fav

The Fortyniners are 33.3% (1-2) to the over/under as a home fav

The Fortyniners are 54.5% (6-5) (L14) against the spread

The Fortyniners are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread at home

The Fortyniners are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Fortyniners are 33.3% (1-2) (L14) against the spread as a home fav

The Fortyniners are 63.6% (7-4) (L14) to the over/under

The Fortyniners are 50% (2-2) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Fortyniners are 57.1% (4-3) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Fortyniners are 33.3% (1-2) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav

Panthers (Away)

The Panthers are 63.6% (7-4) against the spread

The Panthers are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread away

The Panthers are 70% (7-3) against the spread as a dog

The Panthers are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Panthers are 54.5% (6-5) to the over/under

The Panthers are 50% (3-3) to the over/under away

The Panthers are 60% (6-4) to the over/under as a dog

The Panthers are 50% (3-3) to the over/under as an away dog

The Panthers are 63.6% (7-4) (L14) against the spread

The Panthers are 66.7% (4-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Panthers are 70% (7-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Panthers are 66.7% (4-2) (L14) against the spread as an away dog

The Panthers are 54.5% (6-5) (L14) to the over/under

The Panthers are 50% (3-3) (L14) to the over/under away

The Panthers are 60% (6-4) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Panthers are 50% (3-3) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/09/22	2022	Fortyniners	37	Away	Panthers	15	339	64	275	0	2	-6.5	39.5	-22	52
All Games Avg (1 games)			37.0	-	-	15.0	339	64	275	0.0	2.0	-6.5	39.5	-22.0	52.0

Schedules

Panthers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/14/25	2025	Panthers	-	away	Saints	-	-	-	-	-	-	-1.5	43.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Panthers	-	home	Rams	-	-	-	-	-	-	+9.5	45.0	-	-
11/24/25	2025	Panthers	-	away	Fortyniners	-	-	-	-	-	-	+7.5	49.5	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Panthers	30	away	Falcons	27	515	67	448	0	0	+4.0	42.0	-3	57
11/09/25	2025	Panthers	7	home	Saints	17	197	73	124	0	1	-5.5	37.5	+10	24
11/02/25	2025	Panthers	16	away	Packers	13	265	163	102	1	1	+12.5	43.5	-3	29
10/26/25	2025	Panthers	9	home	Bills	40	289	114	175	0	3	+7.0	47.5	+31	49
10/19/25	2025	Panthers	13	away	Jets	6	323	125	198	2	1	+1.5	39.5	-7	19
10/12/25	2025	Panthers	30	home	Cowboys	27	415	216	199	0	2	+3.0	47.0	-3	57
10/05/25	2025	Panthers	27	home	Dolphins	24	437	239	198	0	1	+1.5	44.5	-3	51
09/28/25	2025	Panthers	13	away	Patriots	42	337	129	208	0	1	+5.5	42.5	+29	55
09/21/25	2025	Panthers	30	home	Falcons	0	231	110	121	2	1	+4.5	44.0	-30	30
09/14/25	2025	Panthers	22	away	Cardinals	27	377	49	328	1	1	+7.0	45.5	+5	49
Away Games Avg (5 games)			18.8	-	-	23.0	363	107	257	0.8	0.8	+6.1	42.6	+4.2	41.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			19.7	-	-	22.3	339	129	210	0.6	1.2	+4.1	43.4	+2.6	42.0

Fortyniners Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Yds	Rush	Rec	Int	Fum	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/14/25	2025	Fortyniners	-	home	Titans	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.5	45.5	-	-
11/30/25	2025	Fortyniners	-	away	Browns	-	-	-	-	-	-	-6.5	41.5	-	-
11/24/25	2025	Fortyniners	-	home	Panthers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-7.5	49.5	-	-
11/16/25	2025	Fortyniners	41	away	Cardinals	22	295	95	200	2	0	-3.5	48.5	-19	63
11/09/25	2025	Fortyniners	26	home	Rams	42	393	74	319	0	1	+5.5	49.5	+16	68
11/02/25	2025	Fortyniners	34	away	Giants	24	394	159	235	0	1	-2.5	47.5	-10	58
10/26/25	2025	Fortyniners	15	away	Texans	26	241	48	193	1	1	+3.0	41.5	+11	41
10/19/25	2025	Fortyniners	20	home	Falcons	10	326	174	152	0	0	-0.5	46.5	-10	30
10/12/25	2025	Fortyniners	19	away	Buccaneers	30	414	67	347	0	1	+3.5	47.0	+11	49
10/02/25	2025	Fortyniners	26	away	Rams	23	416	74	342	0	0	+7.5	43.5	-3	49
09/28/25	2025	Fortyniners	21	home	Jaguars	26	392	83	309	0	3	-3.5	45.5	+5	47
09/21/25	2025	Fortyniners	16	home	Cardinals	15	357	73	284	0	0	-1.5	44.5	-1	31
09/14/25	2025	Fortyniners	26	away	Saints	21	356	77	279	0	2	-3.0	40.5	-5	47
Home Games Avg (4 games)			20.8	-	-	23.3	367	101	266	0.0	1.0	0.0	46.5	+2.5	44.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			24.4	-	-	23.9	358	92	266	0.3	0.9	+0.5	45.5	-0.5	48.3

Algorithm	Season	Recent	Site
Receiving Performance	Lean Fortyniners	-	-
DVOA Advanced	Panthers	-	-
Defensive Metrics	Panthers	-	-
Drive Performance	Panthers	-	-
DVOA ZScores	Lean Panthers	-	-
Basic Stats	Lean Panthers	-	-
Luck Regression	Lean Panthers	-	-
ATS Analysis	Lean Panthers	-	-
Cover Summary	Panthers	No Bet	No Bet
Possession Efficiency	Lean Under	-	-
DVOA Regression	Lean Under	-	-
Comprehensive	Lean Under	-	-
Down Efficiency	Lean Under	-	-
Game Conditions	Lean Over	-	-
Total Summary	Over	No Bet	No Bet
OVERALL	Panthers \| Over

Premium Content

Thu, 11/20, 8:15 p.m. Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans

Notes

Bills

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Texans

Situational Factor(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Texans (Home)

Bills (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Bills Schedule

Texans Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m. Pittsburgh Steelers @ Chicago Bears

Notes

Steelers

Bears

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Bears (Home)

Steelers (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Steelers Schedule

Bears Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m. New England Patriots @ Cincinnati Bengals

Notes

Patriots

Situational Factor(s)

Bengals

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

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Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Bengals (Home)

Patriots (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Patriots Schedule

Bengals Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m. Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs

Notes

Colts

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Chiefs

Situational Factor(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Chiefs (Home)

Colts (Away)

Historical Matchups (Last 3 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Colts Schedule

Chiefs Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Thu, 11/20, 8:15 p.m.
Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Chicago Bears

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m.
New England Patriots @ Cincinnati Bengals

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m.
Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m.
New York Giants @ Detroit Lions

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m.
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m.
New York Jets @ Baltimore Ravens

Sun, 11/23, 1:00 p.m.
Seattle Seahawks @ Tennessee Titans