Wings @ Valkyries [ Valkyries -11.5 / 159.5 ]
Wings | 9-32 (22%)Valkyries | 22-18 (55%)
Our Baller Exclusive WNBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.
Our base model gives the Valkyries (-11.5) a 47.9-79% chance of covering as a favorite, and projects the game going over 159.5 around 55.1-58.2% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Valkyries have a 63.4% chance of covering as a favorite at home, and the game has a 53% chance of going over the total.
Rest advantage
Well rested (two or more days of rest)
In season revenge
Rest disadvantage
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 9/7 | LAS | DAL +9.5 LAS -9.5 | 178.5 | DAL | - | - | - |
| 9/4 | GSV | DAL +11.5 GSV -11.5 | 159.5 | DAL | - | - | - |
| 9/1 | MIN [ 96 ] | DAL +18.5 MIN -18.5 | 169.5 | DAL [ 71 ] | -25 | -6.5 | -2.5 |
| 8/29 | ATL [ 100 ] | DAL +15.5 ATL -15.5 | 165.5 | DAL [ 78 ] | -22 | -6.5 | +12.5 |
| 8/27 | DAL [ 95 ] | DAL +1 CON -1 | 166.5 | CON [ 101 ] | -6 | -5 | +29.5 |
| 8/24 | DAL [ 81 ] | DAL +1 GSV -1 | 157.5 | GSV [ 90 ] | -9 | -8 | +13.5 |
| 8/22 | DAL [ 60 ] | DAL +8 SEA -8 | 169.5 | SEA [ 95 ] | -35 | -27 | -14.5 |
| 8/20 | LAS [ 81 ] | DAL +8.5 LAS -8.5 | 182.5 | DAL [ 80 ] | -1 | +7.5 | -21.5 |
| 8/17 | LVA [ 106 ] | DAL +10.5 LVA -10.5 | 172 | DAL [ 87 ] | -19 | -8.5 | +21 |
| 8/15 | DAL [ 96 ] | DAL +5.5 LAS -5.5 | 179 | LAS [ 97 ] | -1 | +4.5 | +14 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 9/6 | GSV | GSV +6.5 MIN -6.5 | 156 | MIN | - | - | - |
| 9/4 | GSV | GSV -11.5 DAL +11.5 | 159.5 | DAL | - | - | - |
| 9/2 | GSV [ 66 ] | GSV +6.5 NYL -6.5 | 156 | NYL [ 58 ] | +8 | +14.5 | -32 |
| 8/31 | GSV [ 75 ] | GSV +2.5 IND -2.5 | 159 | IND [ 63 ] | +12 | +14.5 | -21 |
| 8/30 | GSV [ 99 ] | GSV -4.5 WAS +4.5 | 148 | WAS [ 62 ] | +37 | +32.5 | +13 |
| 8/24 | DAL [ 81 ] | GSV -1 DAL +1 | 157.5 | GSV [ 90 ] | +9 | +8 | +13.5 |
| 8/22 | PHO [ 81 ] | GSV +6 PHO -6 | 155.5 | GSV [ 72 ] | -9 | -3 | -2.5 |
| 8/19 | GSV [ 91 ] | GSV +6.5 PHO -6.5 | 154.5 | PHO [ 98 ] | -7 | -0.5 | +34.5 |
| 8/17 | GSV [ 63 ] | GSV +4.5 ATL -4.5 | 152 | ATL [ 79 ] | -16 | -11.5 | -10 |
| 8/15 | CHI [ 59 ] | GSV -7.5 CHI +7.5 | 148 | GSV [ 90 ] | +31 | +23.5 | +1 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | Pace | Ortg | Drtg | Net | Tot | |
| 9/4 | GSV | GSV -11.5 DAL +11.5 | 159.5 | DAL | - | - | - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - |
| 8/24 | DAL [ 81 ] | GSV -1 DAL +1 | 157.5 | GSV [ 90 ] | +9 | +8 | +13.5 | 83.9 - | 128.7 - | 115.9 - | 12.9 - | 171 - |
| 7/25 | GSV [ 86 ] | GSV -4 DAL +4 | 162.5 | DAL [ 76 ] | +10 | +6 | -0.5 | 93.3 - | 110.6 - | 97.7 - | 12.9 - | 162 - |
| 6/17 | DAL [ 80 ] | GSV +3.5 DAL -3.5 | 164.5 | GSV [ 71 ] | -9 | -5.5 | -13.5 | 92 - | 92.6 - | 104.3 - | -11.7 - | 151 - |
| Wings ( game/s) |
Valkyries ( game/s) |
|
| - | Win Percentage | - |
| - | ATS Win% | - |
| - | OU% | - |
| - | Offensive Rating | - |
| - | Defensive Rating | - |
| - | Pace | - |
| - | A/TO Ratio | - |
| Wings ( game/s) |
Valkyries ( game/s) |
|
| - | EFG% | - |
| - | EFG% Allowed | - |
| - | FT Rate | - |
| - | FT Rate Allowed | - |
| - | OReb% | - |
| - | OReb% Allowed | - |
| - | TO Rate | - |
| - | TO Rate Forced | - |
| Wings ( game/s) |
Valkyries ( game/s) |
|
| - | PPG | - |
| - | PPG Allowed | - |
| - | Pts off TO | - |
| - | Pts off TO Allowed | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts Allowed | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts Allowed | - |
| Wings ( game/s) |
Valkyries ( game/s) |
|
| - | Paint Attempts | - |
| - | Paint Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Paint FG% | - |
| - | Paint FG% Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% Allowed | - |
| Wings ( game/s) |
Valkyries ( game/s) |
|
| - | Corner 3 Attempts | - |
| - | Corner 3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% Allowed | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Wings | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Valkyries 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Valkyries | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Wings | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Valkyries 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Valkyries | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Wings | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Valkyries 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Valkyries | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Wings | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Valkyries 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Valkyries | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Wings | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Valkyries 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Valkyries | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Dog 10+ | Dog 7-10 | Dog 2.5-7 | Within 2.5 | Fav 2.5-7 | Fav 7-10 | Fav 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings | 4-5-1 (44.4%) | 5-4-0 (55.6%) | 6-6-0 (50%) | 0-5-0 (0%) | 2-3-0 (40%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) |
| Valkyries | 6-1-0 (85.7%) | 4-3-0 (57.1%) | 7-8-0 (46.7%) | 2-0-0 (100%) | 3-2-0 (60%) | 2-1-0 (66.7%) | 1-0-0 (100%) |