Sky @ Sun [ Sun -2.5 / 159 ]
Sky | 8-23 (25.8%)Sun | 5-26 (16.1%)
Our Baller Exclusive WNBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.
Our base model gives the Sun (-2.5) a 36.4-52.1% chance of covering as a favorite, and projects the game going over 159 around 54.4-51.2% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Sun have a 57.6% chance of covering as a favorite at home, and the game has a 58.3% chance of going over the total.
Rest advantage
Well rested (two or more days of rest)
Baller Systems
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Double digit, in season revenge
1st game home off long road trip (at least three games)
Rest disadvantage
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 8/15 | CHI | - - | - | GSV | - | - | - |
| 8/13 | CON | CHI +2.5 CON -2.5 | 159 | CHI | - | - | - |
| 8/9 | IND [ 92 ] | CHI +10 IND -10 | 163.5 | CHI [ 70 ] | -22 | -12 | -1.5 |
| 8/7 | CHI [ 65 ] | CHI +11 ATL -11 | 161 | ATL [ 86 ] | -21 | -10 | -10 |
| 8/5 | CHI [ 78 ] | CHI +5.5 WAS -5.5 | 156 | WAS [ 64 ] | +14 | +19.5 | -14 |
| 8/3 | CHI [ 67 ] | CHI +12.5 PHO -12.5 | 164.5 | PHO [ 83 ] | -16 | -3.5 | -14.5 |
| 8/1 | CHI [ 66 ] | CHI +4.5 GSV -4.5 | 153 | GSV [ 73 ] | -7 | -2.5 | -14 |
| 7/29 | WAS [ 103 ] | CHI +7.5 WAS -7.5 | 156.5 | CHI [ 86 ] | -17 | -9.5 | +32.5 |
| 7/27 | CHI [ 78 ] | CHI +11.5 IND -11.5 | 156 | IND [ 93 ] | -15 | -3.5 | +15 |
| 7/24 | CHI [ 57 ] | CHI +11 SEA -11 | 154 | SEA [ 95 ] | -38 | -27 | -2 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 8/17 | CON | - - | - | IND | - | - | - |
| 8/13 | CON | CON -2.5 CHI +2.5 | 159 | CHI | - | - | - |
| 8/11 | GSV [ 74 ] | CON +8.5 GSV -8.5 | 154 | CON [ 57 ] | -17 | -8.5 | -23 |
| 8/10 | LVA [ 94 ] | CON +11 LVA -11 | 167.5 | CON [ 86 ] | -8 | +3 | +12.5 |
| 8/7 | LAS [ 102 ] | CON +10 LAS -10 | 175 | CON [ 91 ] | -11 | -1 | +18 |
| 8/5 | PHO [ 82 ] | CON +15 PHO -15 | 169 | CON [ 66 ] | -16 | -1 | -21 |
| 8/3 | CON [ 78 ] | CON +11.5 NYL -11.5 | 171 | NYL [ 87 ] | -9 | +2.5 | -6 |
| 8/1 | CON [ 78 ] | CON +12 NYL -12 | 172 | NYL [ 62 ] | +16 | +28 | -32 |
| 7/28 | CON [ 85 ] | CON +11 SEA -11 | 157.5 | SEA [ 101 ] | -16 | -5 | +28.5 |
| 7/27 | CON [ 95 ] | CON +4.5 GSV -4.5 | 156.5 | GSV [ 64 ] | +31 | +35.5 | +2.5 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | Pace | Ortg | Drtg | Net | Tot | |
| 9/3 | CHI | - - | - | CON | - | - | - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - |
| 8/23 | CHI | - - | - | CON | - | - | - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - |
| 8/13 | CON | CON -2.5 CHI +2.5 | 159 | CHI | - | - | - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - |
| 6/15 | CON [ 66 ] | CON -1.5 CHI +1.5 | 157 | CHI [ 78 ] | -12 | -13.5 | -13 | 86.1 - | 92 - | 108.7 - | -16.7 - | 144 - |
| 9/19 | CON [ 87 ] | CON -15 CHI +15 | 152.5 | CHI [ 54 ] | +33 | +18 | -11.5 | 87.3 - | 119.5 - | 74.2 - | 45.3 - | 141 - |
| 8/23 | CON [ 82 ] | CON -11 CHI +11 | 153.5 | CHI [ 80 ] | +2 | -9 | +8.5 | 95.8 - | 102.7 - | 100.2 - | 2.5 - | 162 - |
| 6/12 | CHI [ 75 ] | CON -7.5 CHI +7.5 | 153.5 | CON [ 83 ] | +8 | +0.5 | +4.5 | 89.4 - | 111.4 - | 100.7 - | 10.7 - | 158 - |
| 5/25 | CHI [ 82 ] | CON -5 CHI +5 | 160.5 | CON [ 86 ] | +4 | -1 | +7.5 | 84.9 - | 121.6 - | 115.9 - | 5.7 - | 168 - |
| Sky ( game/s) |
Sun ( game/s) |
|
| - | Win Percentage | - |
| - | ATS Win% | - |
| - | OU% | - |
| - | Offensive Rating | - |
| - | Defensive Rating | - |
| - | Pace | - |
| - | A/TO Ratio | - |
| Sky ( game/s) |
Sun ( game/s) |
|
| - | EFG% | - |
| - | EFG% Allowed | - |
| - | FT Rate | - |
| - | FT Rate Allowed | - |
| - | OReb% | - |
| - | OReb% Allowed | - |
| - | TO Rate | - |
| - | TO Rate Forced | - |
| Sky ( game/s) |
Sun ( game/s) |
|
| - | PPG | - |
| - | PPG Allowed | - |
| - | Pts off TO | - |
| - | Pts off TO Allowed | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts Allowed | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts Allowed | - |
| Sky ( game/s) |
Sun ( game/s) |
|
| - | Paint Attempts | - |
| - | Paint Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Paint FG% | - |
| - | Paint FG% Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% Allowed | - |
| Sky ( game/s) |
Sun ( game/s) |
|
| - | Corner 3 Attempts | - |
| - | Corner 3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% Allowed | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sky | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Sun 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sky | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sky | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sky | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sky | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Sun | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Dog 10+ | Dog 7-10 | Dog 2.5-7 | Within 2.5 | Fav 2.5-7 | Fav 7-10 | Fav 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | 3-12-0 (20%) | 4-2-0 (66.7%) | 3-4-0 (42.9%) | 3-0-0 (100%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) |
| Sun | 13-9-0 (59.1%) | 0-3-0 (0%) | 2-3-0 (40%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-0-0 (-) |