Dream @ Storm [ Storm -2.5 / 161 ]
Dream | 20-10 (66.7%)Storm | 16-16 (50%)
Our Baller Exclusive WNBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.
Our base model gives the Storm (-2.5) a 36.4-18.6% chance of covering as a favorite, and projects the game going over 161 around 55.6-56.3% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Storm have a 44.2% chance of covering as a favorite at home, and the game has a 55.9% chance of going over the total.
Well rested (two or more days of rest)
In season revenge
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Baller Systems
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Well rested (two or more days of rest)
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
Baller Systems
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| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 8/15 | SEA | - - | - | ATL | - | - | - |
| 8/13 | SEA | ATL +2.5 SEA -2.5 | 161 | ATL | - | - | - |
| 8/10 | PHO [ 66 ] | ATL +4 PHO -4 | 166 | ATL [ 74 ] | +8 | +12 | -26 |
| 8/7 | CHI [ 65 ] | ATL -11 CHI +11 | 161 | ATL [ 86 ] | +21 | +10 | -10 |
| 8/3 | ATL [ 99 ] | ATL -5.5 WAS +5.5 | 156.5 | WAS [ 83 ] | +16 | +10.5 | +25.5 |
| 8/1 | ATL [ 95 ] | ATL +4 PHO -4 | 168 | PHO [ 72 ] | +23 | +27 | -1 |
| 7/30 | DAL [ 85 ] | ATL -3.5 DAL +3.5 | 167 | ATL [ 88 ] | +3 | -0.5 | +6 |
| 7/29 | ATL [ 75 ] | ATL -8.5 GSV +8.5 | 155.5 | GSV [ 77 ] | -2 | -10.5 | -3.5 |
| 7/27 | MIN [ 86 ] | ATL +8 MIN -8 | 159 | ATL [ 90 ] | +4 | +12 | +17 |
| 7/23 | PHO [ 79 ] | ATL +7 PHO -7 | 163.5 | ATL [ 90 ] | +11 | +18 | +5.5 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 8/15 | ATL | - - | - | SEA | - | - | - |
| 8/13 | SEA | SEA -2.5 ATL +2.5 | 161 | ATL | - | - | - |
| 8/10 | LAS [ 94 ] | SEA -4.5 LAS +4.5 | 172.5 | SEA [ 91 ] | -3 | -7.5 | +12.5 |
| 8/8 | LVA [ 90 ] | SEA +1.5 LVA -1.5 | 162.5 | SEA [ 86 ] | -4 | -2.5 | +13.5 |
| 8/5 | SEA [ 87 ] | SEA -2 MIN +2 | 156.5 | MIN [ 91 ] | -4 | -6 | +21.5 |
| 8/3 | SEA [ 74 ] | SEA -3 IND +3 | 164.5 | IND [ 78 ] | -4 | -7 | -12.5 |
| 8/1 | SEA [ 106 ] | SEA -4.5 LAS +4.5 | 170 | LAS [ 108 ] | -2 | -6.5 | +44 |
| 7/28 | CON [ 85 ] | SEA -11 CON +11 | 157.5 | SEA [ 101 ] | +16 | +5 | +28.5 |
| 7/26 | WAS [ 69 ] | SEA -4 WAS +4 | 155.5 | SEA [ 58 ] | -11 | -15 | -28.5 |
| 7/24 | CHI [ 57 ] | SEA -11 CHI +11 | 154 | SEA [ 95 ] | +38 | +27 | -2 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | Pace | Ortg | Drtg | Net | Tot | |
| 8/15 | ATL | - - | - | SEA | - | - | - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - |
| 8/13 | SEA | SEA -2.5 ATL +2.5 | 161 | ATL | - | - | - | - - | - - | - - | - - | - - |
| 7/3 | ATL [ 79 ] | SEA +1 ATL -1 | 158 | SEA [ 80 ] | +1 | +2 | +1 | 92.2 - | 104.2 - | 102.9 - | 1.3 - | 159 - |
| 5/30 | SEA [ 87 ] | SEA -5 ATL +5 | 156.5 | ATL [ 94 ] | -7 | -12 | +24.5 | 97 - | 107.6 - | 116.3 - | -8.7 - | 181 - |
| 8/28 | SEA [ 85 ] | SEA -9 ATL +9 | 155.5 | ATL [ 81 ] | +4 | -5 | +10.5 | 97.6 - | 104.5 - | 99.6 - | 4.9 - | 166 - |
| 8/16 | ATL [ 83 ] | SEA -7 ATL +7 | 157 | SEA [ 81 ] | -2 | -9 | +7 | 97.3 - | 99.9 - | 102.3 - | -2.5 - | 164 - |
| 7/14 | SEA [ 81 ] | SEA -14.5 ATL +14.5 | 155 | ATL [ 70 ] | +11 | -3.5 | -4 | 95 - | 102.3 - | 88.4 - | 13.9 - | 151 - |
| Dream ( game/s) |
Storm ( game/s) |
|
| - | Win Percentage | - |
| - | ATS Win% | - |
| - | OU% | - |
| - | Offensive Rating | - |
| - | Defensive Rating | - |
| - | Pace | - |
| - | A/TO Ratio | - |
| Dream ( game/s) |
Storm ( game/s) |
|
| - | EFG% | - |
| - | EFG% Allowed | - |
| - | FT Rate | - |
| - | FT Rate Allowed | - |
| - | OReb% | - |
| - | OReb% Allowed | - |
| - | TO Rate | - |
| - | TO Rate Forced | - |
| Dream ( game/s) |
Storm ( game/s) |
|
| - | PPG | - |
| - | PPG Allowed | - |
| - | Pts off TO | - |
| - | Pts off TO Allowed | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts Allowed | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts Allowed | - |
| Dream ( game/s) |
Storm ( game/s) |
|
| - | Paint Attempts | - |
| - | Paint Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Paint FG% | - |
| - | Paint FG% Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% Allowed | - |
| Dream ( game/s) |
Storm ( game/s) |
|
| - | Corner 3 Attempts | - |
| - | Corner 3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% Allowed | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Storm 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Storm | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Storm 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Storm | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Storm 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Storm | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Storm 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Storm | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Storm 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Storm | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Dog 10+ | Dog 7-10 | Dog 2.5-7 | Within 2.5 | Fav 2.5-7 | Fav 7-10 | Fav 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream | 0-0-0 (-) | 4-0-0 (100%) | 4-2-0 (66.7%) | 1-3-0 (25%) | 3-1-0 (75%) | 3-4-0 (42.9%) | 3-2-0 (60%) |
| Storm | 0-0-0 (-) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 3-1-0 (75%) | 1-2-0 (33.3%) | 6-8-0 (42.9%) | 1-2-0 (33.3%) | 2-5-0 (28.6%) |