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Our Baller Exclusive WNBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Fever (-9) a 41.3-64.3% chance of covering as a favorite, and projects the game going over 186 around 49.3-55.7% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Fever have a 56.6% chance of covering as a favorite at home, and the game has a 46.6% chance of going over the total.


Wings Situational Notes
In season revenge

Fever Situational Notes

Wings Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
9/19LVADAL +8
LVA -8
177DAL---
9/15INDDAL +9
IND -9
186DAL---
9/13DAL [ 81 ]DAL +11
SEA -11
174SEA [ 83 ]-2+9-10
9/12DAL [ 67 ]DAL +10.5
NYL -10.5
177.5NYL [ 99 ]-32-21.5-11.5
9/10DAL [ 91 ]DAL +10.5
NYL -10.5
176NYL [ 105 ]-14-3.5+20
9/8CHI [ 92 ]DAL -4
CHI +4
172DAL [ 77 ]-15-19-3
9/6ATL [ 107 ]DAL +2.5
ATL -2.5
170.5DAL [ 96 ]-11-8.5+32.5
9/3DAL [ 86 ]DAL -5.5
WAS +5.5
174.5WAS [ 90 ]-4-9.5+1.5
9/1DAL [ 93 ]DAL +3
IND -3
183.5IND [ 100 ]-7-4+9.5
8/30DAL [ 94 ]DAL +8
MIN -8
169.5MIN [ 76 ]+18+26+0.5

Fever Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
9/19WASIND +3.5
WAS -3.5
163.5IND---
9/15INDIND -9
DAL +9
186DAL---
9/13IND [ 74 ]IND +4
LVA -4
177.5LVA [ 78 ]-40-25.5
9/11IND [ 75 ]IND +4.5
LVA -4.5
180LVA [ 86 ]-11-6.5-19
9/8IND [ 104 ]IND -5.5
ATL +5.5
170ATL [ 100 ]+4-1.5+34
9/6IND [ 88 ]IND +3
MIN -3
170MIN [ 99 ]-11-8+17
9/4IND [ 93 ]IND -11
LAS +11
174.5LAS [ 86 ]+7-4+4.5
9/1DAL [ 93 ]IND -3
DAL +3
183.5IND [ 100 ]+7+4+9.5
8/30CHI [ 81 ]IND -7
CHI +7
163.5IND [ 100 ]+19+12+17.5
8/28IND [ 84 ]IND +4
CON -4
164.5CON [ 80 ]+4+8-0.5

Historical Matchups

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin Pace Ortg Drtg Net Tot
9/15INDIND -9
DAL +9
186DAL--------
9/1DAL [ 93 ]IND -3
DAL +3
183.5IND [ 100 ]+7+4+9.5105.1114.2106.28193
7/17DAL [ 101 ]IND -4.5
DAL +4.5
178IND [ 93 ]-8-12.5+16102.4109118.4-9.4194
9/3DAL [ 84 ]IND +9.5
DAL -9.5
171IND [ 97 ]+13+22.5+1096.6109.194.514.6163.9
9/1IND [ 100 ]IND +4
DAL -4
170.5DAL [ 110 ]-10-6+39.593.3128.6141.4-12.9210
7/9IND [ 76 ]IND +3.5
DAL -3.5
168.5DAL [ 77 ]-1+2.5-15.592.199100.3-1.3153


Straight Up Records (SU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Wings 1h11-27-02-4-03-11-01-2-05-10-01-2-03-0-02-6-03-8-0
Wings 9-293-34-100-32-131-21-25-32-9
Fever 1h16-21-14-4-07-4-04-3-01-10-11-1-00-2-04-4-06-5-0
Fever 19-196-25-66-12-102-00-25-34-7

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Wings 1h17-20-11-5-05-8-11-2-010-5-01-2-03-0-04-4-03-8-0
Wings 11-26-10-5-15-9-00-3-06-9-01-2-02-1-05-3-03-8-0
Fever 1h17-19-23-4-17-4-03-3-14-8-01-1-01-1-04-3-16-4-1
Fever 20-17-14-4-06-4-15-2-05-7-02-0-00-2-04-4-06-5-0

Over/Under Records (OU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Wings 1h20-15-34-1-17-7-01-1-18-6-12-1-02-1-05-3-06-3-2
Wings 25-13-04-2-011-3-01-2-09-6-02-1-02-1-06-2-07-4-0
Fever 1h23-14-17-1-05-6-04-2-17-5-00-2-01-1-05-2-18-3-0
Fever 24-14-08-0-04-7-05-2-07-5-00-2-02-0-07-1-07-4-0

Team Total Records (TT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Wings 1h17-20-10-6-07-6-11-2-09-6-01-2-03-0-04-4-04-7-0
Wings 21-17-03-3-011-3-00-3-07-8-01-2-02-1-06-2-05-6-0
Fever 1h13-23-24-4-04-6-13-3-12-10-00-2-00-2-04-3-16-5-0
Fever 24-14-06-2-07-4-05-2-06-6-00-2-01-1-05-3-07-4-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Wings 1h20-18-05-1-08-6-02-1-05-10-02-1-01-2-04-4-07-4-0
Wings 30-7-16-0-011-3-03-0-010-4-13-0-01-1-16-2-08-2-1
Fever 1h21-14-35-3-04-7-04-1-28-3-11-1-01-1-05-2-16-5-0
Fever 22-15-16-1-15-6-04-3-07-5-00-2-02-0-06-2-06-4-1


ATS Range Records

TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Fever2-4-0 (33.3%)1-2-0 (33.3%)6-5-1 (54.5%)5-0-0 (100%)5-4-0 (55.6%)1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)
Wings3-6-0 (33.3%)4-2-0 (66.7%)3-8-0 (27.3%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-7-0 (0%)0-1-1 (0%)0-0-0 (-)