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Twins @ Guardians [ -100 / 7.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

September 16, 2024, 6:40 pm
Twins | 79-70 (53%), Pablo Lopez (R) | 15-8 (65.22%)
Guardians | 86-64 (57.3%), Matthew Boyd (L) | 2-1 (66.67%)

Last updated: September 16, 2024 9:07 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Twins
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Guardians
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Twins Situational Notes

Guardians Situational Notes

Twins Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/17CLEGavin Williams (R)MIN -
CLE -		-MINZebby Matthews (R)
9/16CLEMatthew Boyd (L)MIN -118
CLE -100		7.5MINPablo Lopez (R)
9/15MIN [ 9 ]David Festa (R)MIN -174
CIN +146		8.5CIN [ 2 ]Rhett Lowder (R)
9/14MIN [ 1 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)MIN -156
CIN +132		8.5CIN [ 11 ]Nick Martinez (R)
9/13MIN [ 4 ]Bailey Ober (R)MIN -230
CIN +190		8.5CIN [ 8 ]Julian Aguiar (R)
9/11MIN [ 6 ]Zebby Matthews (R)MIN -215
LAA +180		9LAA [ 4 ]Jack Kochanowicz (R)
9/10MIN [ 10 ]Pablo Lopez (R)MIN -260
LAA +215		8LAA [ 5 ]Griffin Canning (R)
9/9MIN [ 2 ]David Festa (R)MIN -172
LAA +144		8LAA [ 6 ]Reid Detmers (L)
9/8KCR [ 2 ]Michael Wacha (R)MIN +102
KCR -120		8.5MIN [ 0 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)
9/7KCR [ 4 ]Alec Marsh (R)MIN -138
KCR +118		8MIN [ 2 ]Bailey Ober (R)

Guardians Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/17CLEGavin Williams (R)CLE -
MIN -		-MINZebby Matthews (R)
9/16CLEMatthew Boyd (L)CLE -100
MIN -118		7.5MINPablo Lopez (R)
9/15CLE [ 2 ]Ben Lively (R)CLE -124
TBR +106		8TBR [ 0 ]Taj Bradley (R)
9/14CLE [ 6 ]Joey Cantillo (L)CLE -130
TBR +118		8.5TBR [ 1 ]Drew Rasmussen (R)
9/13CLE [ 1 ]Tanner Bibee (R)CLE -168
TBR +154		7.5TBR [ 3 ]Zack Littell (R)
9/12CLE [ 2 ]Gavin Williams (R)CLE -134
TBR +116		7.5TBR [ 5 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)
9/11CHW [ 4 ]Davis Martin (R)CLE -235
CHW +194		7.5CLE [ 6 ]Matthew Boyd (L)
9/10CHW [ 0 ]Jonathan Cannon (R)CLE -235
CHW +194		8CLE [ 5 ]Ben Lively (R)
9/9CHW [ 3 ]Jared Shuster (L)CLE -210
CHW +176		9CLE [ 5 ]Joey Cantillo (L)
9/8LAD [ 4 ]Jack Flaherty (R)CLE +140
LAD -166		8.5CLE [ 0 ]Tanner Bibee (R)

Pablo Lopez Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/10MIN [ 10 ]LAA [ 5 ]-260871018104Griffin Canning (R)
9/5TBR [ 3 ]MIN [ 4 ]-14276.67917033Taj Bradley (R)
8/30MIN [ 2 ]TOR [ 0 ]-1887.57.67306000Kevin Gausman (R)
8/24MIN [ 6 ]STL [ 0 ]-1387.57914000Sonny Gray (R)
8/18TEX [ 6 ]MIN [ 5 ]-10886336000Tyler Mahle (R)
6.876.81.26.20.20.61.4

Matthew Boyd Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/11CHW [ 4 ]CLE [ 6 ]-2357.54.33926014Davis Martin (R)
9/6LAD [ 1 ]CLE [ 3 ]13096603111Landon Knack (R)
8/31CLE [ 0 ]PIT [ 3 ]-1628.56804011Luis Ortiz (R)
8/25CLE [ 4 ]TEX [ 2 ]-12486413011Cody Bradford (L)
8/20NYY [ 5 ]CLE [ 9 ]13085.33244233Luis Gil (R)
5.535.81.440.61.42


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

TwinsGuardians
149TG150
4.7R/G4.5
177HR170
0.249AVG0.238
63SB142
22CS42
TwinsGuardians
0.172ISO0.156
0.292BABIP0.271
0.318OBP0.309
0.422SLG0.394
0.321wOBA0.306
110wRC+99
TwinsGuardians
7.6BB%7.9
21.4K%20
0.36BB/K0.4
8Barrel%5.7
38.4HardHit%33.7
23WAR19.9

Pitching Matchup

Pablo LopezMatthew Boyd
29G6
29GS6
169.1IP33
5.8IP/G5.5
15W2
8L1
71.9LOB%75.5
Pablo LopezMatthew Boyd
9.73K/99.55
1.86BB/91.91
21.3K/BB%21.4
43.9GB%33.3
35.7FB%49.4
1.22HR/90.82
13.9HR/FB%7
Pablo LopezMatthew Boyd
0.3BABIP0.238
3.88ERA2.18
3.48xERA2.91
3.52FIP3.05
3.24xFIP3.84
1.13WHIP0.91
3.35SIERA3.52
3.3WAR0.8

Bullpen Matchup

TwinsGuardians
3.19BPU/G3.66
3.5IP/G3.8
32W38
26L11
41SV50
17BS15
68.3LOB%77.9
TwinsGuardians
9.35K/99.43
3.18BB/92.93
16.1K/BB%18
43.2GB%42.8
37.1FB%37.3
0.92HR/90.75
10HR/FB%8.7
TwinsGuardians
0.29BABIP0.257
4.14ERA2.68
3.69FIP3.29
3.9xFIP3.65
1.23WHIP1.05
3.57SIERA3.37
4.8WAR7.4

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pablo Lopez F517-11-1 (60.7%)8-5-1 (61.5%)6-2-0 (75%)0-0-0 (-)1-4-0 (20%)
Pablo Lopez18-11 (62.1%)9-5 (64.3%)7-1 (87.5%)0-0 (-)1-4 (20%)
Matthew Boyd F52-1-3 (66.7%)1-1-1 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-2 (-)
Matthew Boyd5-1 (83.3%)2-1 (66.7%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pablo Lopez F518-9-1 (66.7%)9-4-0 (69.2%)4-4-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)4-1-0 (80%)
Pablo Lopez16-11-2 (59.3%)8-5-1 (61.5%)3-4-1 (42.9%)0-0-0 (-)3-2-0 (60%)
Matthew Boyd F52-4-0 (33.3%)0-3-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Matthew Boyd2-4-0 (33.3%)0-3-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Twins vs. LHP F520-19-3 (51.3%)5-3-1 (62.5%)7-3-2 (70%)4-3-0 (57.1%)3-9-0 (25%)
Twins vs. LHP21-21 (50%)7-2 (77.8%)7-5 (58.3%)3-4 (42.9%)3-9 (25%)
Guardians vs. RHP F544-53-14 (45.4%)17-20-5 (45.9%)11-8-2 (57.9%)4-4-0 (50%)12-18-6 (40%)
Guardians vs. RHP57-54 (51.4%)27-15 (64.3%)11-10 (52.4%)3-5 (37.5%)15-21 (41.7%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Twins vs. LHP F525-14-3 (64.1%)7-2-0 (77.8%)6-4-2 (60%)4-3-0 (57.1%)7-4-1 (63.6%)
Twins vs. LHP22-17-3 (56.4%)6-1-2 (85.7%)8-4-0 (66.7%)2-5-0 (28.6%)5-6-1 (45.5%)
Guardians vs. RHP F552-49-6 (51.5%)20-18-3 (52.6%)11-8-1 (57.9%)6-0-1 (100%)13-21-1 (38.2%)
Guardians vs. RHP43-59-9 (42.2%)19-22-1 (46.3%)9-9-3 (50%)6-2-0 (75%)8-24-4 (25%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pablo Lopez13-14 (48.1%)7-7 (50%)5-3 (62.5%)0-0 (-)1-4 (20%)
Twins66-79 (45.5%)25-36 (41%)18-21 (46.2%)6-7 (46.2%)17-15 (53.1%)
Matthew Boyd4-2 (66.7%)1-2 (33.3%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)
Guardians74-72 (50.7%)26-32 (44.8%)16-16 (50%)9-3 (75%)23-21 (52.3%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pablo Lopez14-15 (48.3%)7-7 (50%)2-6 (25%)0-0 (-)4-1 (80%)
Twins74-75 (49.7%)32-29 (52.5%)17-22 (43.6%)7-6 (53.8%)16-16 (50%)
Matthew Boyd3-3 (50%)1-2 (33.3%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)
Guardians72-79 (47.7%)28-30 (48.3%)17-15 (53.1%)6-6 (50%)19-25 (43.2%)