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Our Baller Exclusive WNBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Sun (pk) a 62-72.6% chance of covering on the moneyline, and projects the game going over 156 around 50.1-52.6% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Sun have a 80.5% chance of covering on the moneyline at home, and the game has a 44.4% chance of going over the total.


Storm Situational Notes
Rest advantage

Baller Systems
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Sun Situational Notes
Double digit, in season revenge
Rest disadvantage
1st game home off long road trip (at least three games)

Baller Systems
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Storm Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
9/3CONSEA +3.5
CON -3.5
158.5SEA---
9/1CONSEA 0
CON 0
156SEA---
8/30SEA [ 85 ]SEA +3.5
NYL -3.5
162.5NYL [ 98 ]-13-9.5+20.5
8/28SEA [ 85 ]SEA -9
ATL +9
155.5ATL [ 81 ]+4-5+10.5
8/26SEA [ 72 ]SEA -10.5
WAS +10.5
161WAS [ 74 ]-2-12.5-15
8/20WAS [ 77 ]SEA -6.5
WAS +6.5
161SEA [ 83 ]+6-0.5-1
8/18IND [ 92 ]SEA -4
IND +4
171SEA [ 75 ]-17-21-4
8/16ATL [ 83 ]SEA -7
ATL +7
157SEA [ 81 ]-2-9+7
7/16LAS [ 83 ]SEA -10
LAS +10
162.5SEA [ 89 ]+6-4+9.5
7/14SEA [ 81 ]SEA -14.5
ATL +14.5
155ATL [ 70 ]+11-3.5-4

Sun Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
9/3CONCON -3.5
SEA +3.5
158.5SEA---
9/1CONCON 0
SEA 0
156SEA---
8/31WAS [ 85 ]CON -8
WAS +8
153.5CON [ 96 ]+11+3+27.5
8/28IND [ 84 ]CON -4
IND +4
164.5CON [ 80 ]-4-8-0.5
8/24NYL [ 64 ]CON +8
NYL -8
158CON [ 72 ]+8+16-22
8/23CON [ 82 ]CON -11
CHI +11
153.5CHI [ 80 ]+2-9+8.5
8/20CON [ 69 ]CON -13.5
LAS +13.5
158LAS [ 61 ]+8-5.5-28
8/18ATL [ 82 ]CON -8
ATL +8
154.5CON [ 70 ]-12-20-2.5
8/16DAL [ 91 ]CON -6
DAL +6
160.5CON [ 109 ]+18+12+39.5
7/16NYL [ 82 ]CON -2
NYL +2
152.5CON [ 74 ]-8-10+3.5

Historical Matchups

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin Pace Ortg Drtg Net Tot
9/3CONCON -3.5
SEA +3.5
158.5SEA--------
9/1CONCON 0
SEA 0
156SEA--------
6/23SEA [ 72 ]CON +1
SEA -1
154CON [ 61 ]-11-10-2189.481.896.6-14.8133
8/8SEA [ 69 ]CON -8
SEA +8
159.5CON [ 81 ]+12+4-9.588.7109.693.416.2150
7/6CON [ 93 ]CON -10.5
SEA +10.5
166SEA [ 73 ]+20+9.5097.2114.890.124.7166
6/20SEA [ 79 ]CON -8
SEA +8
160.5CON [ 85 ]+6-2+3.597.7104.4977.4164


Straight Up Records (SU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Storm 1h24-7-013-2-02-0-07-3-02-2-01-0-00-1-07-0-04-2-0
Storm 19-1212-30-26-41-31-00-14-34-2
Sun 1h18-11-211-1-10-1-16-6-01-3-02-1-02-0-06-4-17-4-0
Sun 23-812-10-29-32-23-01-18-37-4

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Storm 1h17-13-18-7-02-0-05-4-12-2-01-0-00-1-05-2-03-3-0
Storm 15-16-09-6-00-2-04-6-02-2-01-0-01-0-04-3-03-3-0
Sun 1h15-16-08-5-02-0-04-8-01-3-01-2-01-1-07-4-05-6-0
Sun 13-18-05-8-00-2-06-6-02-2-01-2-01-1-05-6-04-7-0

Over/Under Records (OU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Storm 1h11-20-08-7-01-1-02-8-00-4-00-1-00-1-02-5-02-4-0
Storm 13-17-16-8-11-1-05-5-01-3-00-1-00-1-03-4-03-2-1
Sun 1h11-20-04-9-00-2-07-5-00-4-03-0-00-2-04-7-03-8-0
Sun 14-16-15-7-11-1-07-5-01-3-03-0-01-1-05-6-05-5-1

Team Total Records (TT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Storm 1h12-17-27-6-21-1-03-7-01-3-00-1-00-1-02-5-03-3-0
Storm 13-17-17-8-01-1-05-5-00-3-11-0-00-1-01-6-03-2-1
Sun 1h11-19-14-9-00-1-16-6-01-3-03-0-01-1-04-6-14-7-0
Sun 13-18-04-9-00-2-08-4-01-3-02-1-00-2-06-5-02-9-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Storm 1h13-16-28-6-11-1-03-6-11-3-00-1-00-1-03-4-02-4-0
Storm 15-16-05-10-01-1-07-3-02-2-00-1-00-1-02-5-03-3-0
Sun 1h11-20-01-12-00-2-08-4-02-2-02-1-00-2-05-6-02-9-0
Sun 14-17-04-9-01-1-09-3-00-4-03-0-01-1-04-7-05-6-0


ATS Range Records

TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Sun0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-3-0 (0%)5-4-0 (55.6%)4-4-0 (50%)2-5-0 (28.6%)
Storm1-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)0-3-0 (0%)2-2-0 (50%)5-4-0 (55.6%)3-3-0 (50%)3-4-0 (42.9%)