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Our Baller Exclusive WNBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Sky (+7.5) a 43.9-35.6% chance of covering as an underdog, and projects the game going over 153.5 around 51.3-50.9% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Sky have a 33.8% chance of covering as an underdog at home, and the game has a 57.7% chance of going over the total.


Sun Situational Notes
Rest disadvantage

Baller Systems
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Sky Situational Notes
Well rested (two or more days of rest)
Rest advantage
In season revenge

Sun Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
6/15DALCON -6.5
DAL +6.5
156.5CON---
6/12CHICON -7.5
CHI +7.5
153.5CON---
6/10CON [ 89 ]CON -10
IND +10
159.5IND [ 72 ]+17+7+1.5
6/8CON [ 75 ]CON +2
NYL -2
154NYL [ 82 ]-7-5+3
6/4CON [ 76 ]CON -13
WAS +13
152WAS [ 59 ]+17+4-17
6/2ATL [ 50 ]CON -2.5
ATL +2.5
159CON [ 69 ]+19+16.5-40
5/31CON [ 74 ]CON -8.5
DAL +8.5
161.5DAL [ 72 ]+2-6.5-15.5
5/28CON [ 70 ]CON -8
PHO +8
168PHO [ 47 ]+23+15-51
5/25CHI [ 82 ]CON -5
CHI +5
160.5CON [ 86 ]+4-1+7.5
5/23CON [ 83 ]CON -6.5
MIN +6.5
165MIN [ 82 ]+1-5.50

Sky Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
6/14WASCHI -2.5
WAS +2.5
158.5CHI---
6/12CHICHI +7.5
CON -7.5
153.5CON---
6/8CHI [ 80 ]CHI +1
ATL -1
158.5ATL [ 89 ]-9-8+10.5
6/6WAS [ 71 ]CHI -3
WAS +3
156CHI [ 79 ]+8+5-6
6/4CHI [ 75 ]CHI +8
NYL -8
165.5NYL [ 88 ]-13-5-2.5
6/1IND [ 71 ]CHI -1.5
IND +1.5
167.5CHI [ 70 ]-1-2.5-26.5
5/30CHI [ 83 ]CHI -4.5
LAS +4.5
160LAS [ 73 ]+10+5.5-4
5/28CHI [ 68 ]CHI +2
SEA -2
165SEA [ 77 ]-9-7-20
5/25CHI [ 82 ]CHI +5
CON -5
160.5CON [ 86 ]-4+1+7.5
5/23NYL [ 81 ]CHI +15.5
NYL -15.5
165CHI [ 90 ]+9+24.5+6

Historical Matchups

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin Pace Ortg Drtg Net Tot
9/19CONCHI +15
CON -15
152.5CHI--------
8/23CONCHI +11
CON -11
153.5CHI--------
6/12CHICHI +7.5
CON -7.5
153.5CON--------
5/25CHI [ 82 ]CHI +5
CON -5
160.5CON [ 86 ]-4+1+7.584.9115.9121.6-5.7168
9/10CON [ 91 ]CHI +9.5
CON -9.5
159CHI [ 102 ]+11+20.5+3495.7115.8103.412.5174.8
8/20CHI [ 73 ]CHI +6
CON -6
160CON [ 79 ]-60-887.2100.5108.7-8.3152
7/12CHI [ 72 ]CHI +6
CON -6
160.5CON [ 84 ]-12-6-4.591.294.7110.5-15.8156
6/25CON [ 96 ]CHI +6
CON -6
157.5CHI [ 72 ]-24-18+10.599.287.1116.1-29168


Straight Up Records (SU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Sun 1h6-3-25-1-10-0-11-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-1-13-1-0
Sun 10-17-00-13-00-00-00-01-14-0
Sky 1h4-6-01-0-01-3-00-2-02-1-00-0-00-0-01-1-00-0-0
Sky 4-61-00-41-12-10-00-01-10-0

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Sun 1h6-5-04-3-01-0-01-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-01-1-02-2-0
Sun 5-6-04-3-00-1-01-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-2-02-2-0
Sky 1h5-4-11-0-02-1-10-2-02-1-00-0-00-0-02-0-00-0-0
Sky 5-4-11-0-01-3-01-1-02-0-10-0-00-0-01-1-00-0-0

Over/Under Records (OU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Sun 1h4-7-02-5-00-1-02-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-01-1-01-3-0
Sun 5-5-12-4-11-0-02-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-02-0-01-2-1
Sky 1h4-6-00-1-03-1-00-2-01-2-00-0-00-0-01-1-00-0-0
Sky 4-6-00-1-02-2-00-2-02-1-00-0-00-0-01-1-00-0-0

Team Total Records (TT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Sun 1h2-8-12-5-00-0-10-3-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-1-11-3-0
Sun 5-6-03-4-00-1-02-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-01-1-01-3-0
Sky 1h5-5-01-0-02-2-00-2-02-1-00-0-00-0-02-0-00-0-0
Sky 6-4-01-0-02-2-00-2-03-0-00-0-00-0-01-1-00-0-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Sun 1h2-9-00-7-00-1-02-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-01-1-00-4-0
Sun 5-6-02-5-01-0-02-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-02-0-01-3-0
Sky 1h3-7-00-1-02-2-01-1-00-3-00-0-00-0-01-1-00-0-0
Sky 4-6-00-1-03-1-00-2-01-2-00-0-00-0-01-1-00-0-0


ATS Range Records

TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Sky1-0-0 (100%)0-1-1 (0%)2-0-0 (100%)0-3-0 (0%)2-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Sun0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)2-3-0 (40%)1-2-0 (33.3%)2-0-0 (100%)