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Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Pacers (-5.5) a 36.4-34.4% chance of covering as a favorite, and projects the game going over 216 around 78.2-75% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Pacers have a 52.3% chance of covering as a favorite at home, and the game has a 79.1% chance of going over the total.


Knicks Situational Notes
Baller Systems
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Pacers Situational Notes
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge

Baller Systems
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Knicks Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
5/19NYKNYK -3.5
IND +3.5
208.5IND---
5/17INDNYK +5.5
IND -5.5
216NYK---
5/14NYK [ 121 ]NYK -2.5
IND +2.5
217.5IND [ 91 ]+30+27.5-5.5
5/12IND [ 121 ]NYK +5.5
IND -5.5
218.5NYK [ 89 ]-32-26.5-8.5
5/10IND [ 111 ]NYK +7
IND -7
222.5NYK [ 106 ]-5+2-5.5
5/8NYK [ 130 ]NYK -4.5
IND +4.5
218.5IND [ 121 ]+9+4.5+32.5
5/6NYK [ 121 ]NYK -5.5
IND +5.5
217IND [ 117 ]+4-1.5+21
5/2PHI [ 115 ]NYK +3
PHI -3
203NYK [ 118 ]+3+6+30
4/30NYK [ 106 ]NYK -4
PHI +4
203PHI [ 112 ]-6-10+15
4/28PHI [ 92 ]NYK +5
PHI -5
209NYK [ 97 ]+5+10-20

Pacers Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
5/19NYKIND +3.5
NYK -3.5
208.5IND---
5/17INDIND -5.5
NYK +5.5
216NYK---
5/14NYK [ 121 ]IND +2.5
NYK -2.5
217.5IND [ 91 ]-30-27.5-5.5
5/12IND [ 121 ]IND -5.5
NYK +5.5
218.5NYK [ 89 ]+32+26.5-8.5
5/10IND [ 111 ]IND -7
NYK +7
222.5NYK [ 106 ]+5-2-5.5
5/8NYK [ 130 ]IND +4.5
NYK -4.5
218.5IND [ 121 ]-9-4.5+32.5
5/6NYK [ 121 ]IND +5.5
NYK -5.5
217IND [ 117 ]-4+1.5+21
5/2IND [ 120 ]IND -6
MIL +6
218MIL [ 98 ]+22+160
4/30MIL [ 115 ]IND -4
MIL +4
215IND [ 92 ]-23-27-8
4/28IND [ 126 ]IND -10
MIL +10
214.5MIL [ 113 ]+13+3+24.5

Historical Matchups

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin Pace Ortg Drtg Net Tot
5/19NYKIND +3.5
NYK -3.5
208.5IND--------
5/17INDIND -5.5
NYK +5.5
216NYK--------
5/14NYK [ 121 ]IND +2.5
NYK -2.5
217.5IND [ 91 ]-30-27.5-5.5110.698.7131.3-32.5212
5/12IND [ 121 ]IND -5.5
NYK +5.5
218.5NYK [ 89 ]+32+26.5-8.5114.8126.59333.5210
5/10IND [ 111 ]IND -7
NYK +7
222.5NYK [ 106 ]+5-2-5.5109122.2116.75.5217
5/8NYK [ 130 ]IND +4.5
NYK -4.5
218.5IND [ 121 ]-9-4.5+32.5109.9132.2142-9.8251
5/6NYK [ 121 ]IND +5.5
NYK -5.5
217IND [ 117 ]-4+1.5+21114.6122.5126.7-4.2238
2/10NYK [ 111 ]IND 0
NYK 0
235.5IND [ 125 ]+14+14+0.5116.8128.411414.4236
2/1NYK [ 109 ]IND +1.5
NYK -1.5
235IND [ 105 ]-4-2.5-21117.8107111.1-4.1214
12/30IND [ 140 ]IND -4
NYK +4
249NYK [ 126 ]+14+10+17120.4139.6125.614266
4/9NYK [ 136 ]IND +9.5
NYK -9.5
231.5IND [ 141 ]+5+14.5+45.5132.9127.3122.84.5277



Straight Up Records (SU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Knicks 1h4-7-03-3-00-0-00-0-01-4-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Knicks 7-45-10-00-02-30-00-00-00-0
Pacers 1h8-3-05-0-00-0-00-2-03-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Pacers 6-55-00-00-21-30-00-00-00-0

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Knicks 1h5-6-03-3-00-0-00-0-02-3-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Knicks 6-5-03-3-00-0-00-0-03-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Pacers 1h7-4-04-1-00-0-00-2-03-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Pacers 5-6-03-2-00-0-00-2-02-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0

Over/Under Records (OU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Knicks 1h5-6-02-4-00-0-00-0-03-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Knicks 6-5-04-2-00-0-00-0-02-3-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Pacers 1h6-5-03-2-00-0-00-2-03-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Pacers 5-5-12-2-10-0-00-2-03-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0

Team Total Records (TT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Knicks 1h5-5-13-3-00-0-00-0-02-2-10-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Knicks 7-4-05-1-00-0-00-0-02-3-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Pacers 1h8-3-05-0-00-0-00-2-03-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Pacers 7-4-04-1-00-0-00-2-03-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Knicks 1h7-4-03-3-00-0-00-0-04-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Knicks 8-3-05-1-00-0-00-0-03-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Pacers 1h5-6-02-3-00-0-01-1-02-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Pacers 6-5-02-3-00-0-01-1-03-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0


ATS Range Records

TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Pacers0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)1-1-0 (50%)2-2-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)
Knicks0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)2-2-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)3-3-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)