Already a baller? You're in the right place -- you just need to log in. Not a baller yet, but want access to the world's best dashboard for breaking down a game? Awesome. We have a big blue button for that, too:


Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Cavaliers (-3) a 44.7-13.5% chance of covering as a favorite, and projects the game going over 195 around 5.3-3.2% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Cavaliers have a 64.1% chance of covering as a favorite at home, and the game has a 5.3% chance of going over the total.


Magic Situational Notes

Cavaliers Situational Notes
In-season revenge

Baller Systems
• Xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
• Xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
• Xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
• Xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Magic Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
5/5CLEORL +3
CLE -3
195ORL---
5/3ORL [ 103 ]ORL -4.5
CLE +4.5
201.5CLE [ 96 ]+7+2.5-2.5
4/30CLE [ 104 ]ORL +4.5
CLE -4.5
200.5ORL [ 103 ]-1+3.5+6.5
4/27ORL [ 112 ]ORL -2.5
CLE +2.5
202CLE [ 89 ]+23+20.5-1
4/25ORL [ 121 ]ORL -3
CLE +3
203.5CLE [ 83 ]+38+35+0.5
4/22CLE [ 96 ]ORL +5.5
CLE -5.5
205.5ORL [ 86 ]-10-4.5-23.5
4/20CLE [ 97 ]ORL +6
CLE -6
206ORL [ 83 ]-14-8-26
4/14ORL [ 113 ]ORL -4.5
MIL +4.5
214.5MIL [ 88 ]+25+20.5-13.5
4/12PHI [ 125 ]ORL +6.5
PHI -6.5
215ORL [ 113 ]-12-5.5+23
4/10MIL [ 117 ]ORL -1.5
MIL +1.5
212.5ORL [ 99 ]-18-19.5+3.5

Cavaliers Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
5/7BOSCLE +11.5
BOS -11.5
210CLE---
5/5CLECLE -3
ORL +3
195ORL---
5/3ORL [ 103 ]CLE +4.5
ORL -4.5
201.5CLE [ 96 ]-7-2.5-2.5
4/30CLE [ 104 ]CLE -4.5
ORL +4.5
200.5ORL [ 103 ]+1-3.5+6.5
4/27ORL [ 112 ]CLE +2.5
ORL -2.5
202CLE [ 89 ]-23-20.5-1
4/25ORL [ 121 ]CLE +3
ORL -3
203.5CLE [ 83 ]-38-35+0.5
4/22CLE [ 96 ]CLE -5.5
ORL +5.5
205.5ORL [ 86 ]+10+4.5-23.5
4/20CLE [ 97 ]CLE -6
ORL +6
206ORL [ 83 ]+14+8-26
4/14CLE [ 110 ]CLE -13
CHA +13
209CHA [ 120 ]-10-23+21
4/12CLE [ 129 ]CLE -4
IND +4
233IND [ 120 ]+9+5+16

Historical Matchups

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin Pace Ortg Drtg Net Tot
5/5CLECLE -3
ORL +3
195ORL--------
5/3ORL [ 103 ]CLE +4.5
ORL -4.5
201.5CLE [ 96 ]-7-2.5-2.5113102109.4-7.4199
4/30CLE [ 104 ]CLE -4.5
ORL +4.5
200.5ORL [ 103 ]+1-3.5+6.5114.7108.8107.71207
4/27ORL [ 112 ]CLE +2.5
ORL -2.5
202CLE [ 89 ]-23-20.5-1111.995.4120.1-24.7201
4/25ORL [ 121 ]CLE +3
ORL -3
203.5CLE [ 83 ]-38-35+0.5110.989.8131-41.1204
4/22CLE [ 96 ]CLE -5.5
ORL +5.5
205.5ORL [ 86 ]+10+4.5-23.5109.8104.99410.9182
4/20CLE [ 97 ]CLE -6
ORL +6
206ORL [ 83 ]+14+8-26115101.286.614.6180
2/22CLE [ 109 ]CLE -6.5
ORL +6.5
215.5ORL [ 116 ]-7-13.5+9.5109120127.7-7.7225
1/22ORL [ 99 ]CLE -2
ORL +2
215CLE [ 126 ]+27+25+10108.1139.9109.930225
12/11ORL [ 104 ]CLE +1.5
ORL -1.5
227CLE [ 94 ]-10-8.5-29109.7102.8113.8-10.9198
12/6CLE [ 121 ]CLE -4.5
ORL +4.5
225ORL [ 111 ]+10+5.5+7120.1120.9110.910232


Straight Up Records (SU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Magic 1h2-4-02-1-00-0-00-0-00-3-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Magic 3-33-00-00-00-30-00-00-00-0
Cavaliers 1h4-2-03-0-00-0-00-0-01-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 3-33-00-00-00-30-00-00-00-0

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Magic 1h3-3-02-1-00-0-00-0-01-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Magic 4-2-03-0-00-0-00-0-01-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 1h3-3-02-1-00-0-00-0-01-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 2-4-02-1-00-0-00-0-00-3-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0

Over/Under Records (OU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Magic 1h2-4-02-1-00-0-00-0-00-3-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Magic 2-4-01-2-00-0-00-0-01-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 1h2-4-00-3-00-0-00-0-02-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 2-4-01-2-00-0-00-0-01-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0

Team Total Records (TT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Magic 1h2-4-02-1-00-0-00-0-00-3-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Magic 3-2-12-0-10-0-00-0-01-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 1h2-4-01-2-00-0-00-0-01-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 1-5-01-2-00-0-00-0-00-3-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Magic 1h2-4-01-2-00-0-00-0-01-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Magic 1-5-00-3-00-0-00-0-01-2-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 1h2-4-00-3-00-0-00-0-02-1-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 3-2-11-2-00-0-00-0-02-0-10-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0


ATS Range Records

TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Cavaliers0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-3-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Magic0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)3-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)