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Hornets @ Cavaliers [ -13 / 209 ]Copied and ready to share!Glossary

April 14, 2024
Cavaliers | 53-41 (56.4%)
Hornets | 21-61 (25.6%)

Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Cavaliers (-13) a 47.8-29% chance of covering as a favorite, and projects the game going over 209 around 4.2-5.6% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Cavaliers have a 57.6% chance of covering as a favorite at home, and the game has a 4.4% chance of going over the total.

Hornets Situational Notes

Cavaliers Situational Notes

Hornets Schedule

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin
4/14	CLE	CHA +13 CLE -13	209	CHA	-	-	-
4/12	BOS [ 131 ]	CHA +7.5 BOS -7.5	217.5	CHA [ 98 ]	-33	-25.5	+11.5
4/10	ATL [ 114 ]	CHA +11 ATL -11	220.5	CHA [ 115 ]	+1	+12	+8.5
4/9	CHA [ 104 ]	CHA +13 DAL -13	220.5	DAL [ 130 ]	-26	-13	+13.5
4/7	CHA [ 118 ]	CHA +9 OKC -9	218.5	OKC [ 121 ]	-3	+6	+20.5
4/5	CHA [ 124 ]	CHA +11.5 ORL -11.5	205.5	ORL [ 115 ]	+9	+20.5	+33.5
4/3	CHA [ 86 ]	CHA -1.5 POR +1.5	211	POR [ 89 ]	-3	-4.5	-36
4/1	CHA [ 104 ]	CHA +17 BOS -17	219	BOS [ 118 ]	-14	+3	+3
3/31	CHA [ 118 ]	CHA +14.5 LAC -14.5	215.5	LAC [ 130 ]	-12	+2.5	+32.5
3/29	CHA [ 97 ]	CHA +12.5 GSW -12.5	220	GSW [ 115 ]	-18	-5.5	-8

Cavaliers Schedule

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin
4/20	CLE	CLE -6 ORL +6	206	ORL	-	-	-
4/14	CLE	CLE -13 CHA +13	209	CHA	-	-	-
4/12	CLE [ 129 ]	CLE -4 IND +4	233	IND [ 120 ]	+9	+5	+16
4/10	CLE [ 110 ]	CLE -18.5 MEM +18.5	213.5	MEM [ 98 ]	+12	-6.5	-5.5
4/7	LAC [ 120 ]	CLE +3.5 LAC -3.5	219	CLE [ 118 ]	-2	+1.5	+19
4/6	LAL [ 116 ]	CLE +5 LAL -5	229	CLE [ 97 ]	-19	-14	-16
4/3	PHO [ 122 ]	CLE +5.5 PHO -5.5	226.5	CLE [ 101 ]	-21	-15.5	-3.5
4/2	UTA [ 113 ]	CLE -11.5 UTA +11.5	210.5	CLE [ 129 ]	+16	+4.5	+31.5
3/31	DEN [ 130 ]	CLE +4.5 DEN -4.5	215.5	CLE [ 101 ]	-29	-24.5	+15.5
3/29	CLE [ 117 ]	CLE -8 PHI +8	212	PHI [ 114 ]	+3	-5	+19

Historical Matchups

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin	Pace	Ortg	Drtg	Net	Tot
4/14	CLE	CLE -13 CHA +13	209	CHA	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3/27	CHA [ 118 ]	CLE -10.5 CHA +10.5	206	CLE [ 111 ]	-7	-17.5	+23	110.4	120.7	128.3	-7.6	229
3/25	CLE [ 115 ]	CLE -12.5 CHA +12.5	205.5	CHA [ 92 ]	+23	+10.5	+1.5	109.7	125.8	100.7	25.2	207
4/9	CLE [ 95 ]	CLE -6.5 CHA +6.5	216	CHA [ 106 ]	-11	-17.5	-15	119.8	95.1	106.1	-11	201
3/14	CHA [ 104 ]	CLE -7.5 CHA +7.5	223.5	CLE [ 120 ]	+16	+8.5	+0.5	115.4	124.8	108.2	16.6	224
3/12	CHA [ 108 ]	CLE -8.5 CHA +8.5	220	CLE [ 114 ]	+6	-2.5	+2	119.3	114.7	108.7	6	222
11/18	CLE [ 132 ]	CLE -9 CHA +9	221	CHA [ 122 ]	+10	+1	+33	114.6	114.4	105.7	8.7	210.2

Filters

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Efficiency

Hornets (last 81 games)		Cavaliers (last 81 games)
0.26 (28)	Win Percentage	0.59 (11)
41.25 (28)	ATS Win%	48.1 (16)
51.85 (11)	OU%	50.62 (14)
-	Strength of Schedule	-
109.3 (28)	Offensive Rating	115.21 (18)
119.81 (29)	Defensive Rating	112.74 (6)
97.27 (19)	Pace	97.15 (22)
1.8 (25)	A/TO Ratio	2.07 (9)

Four Factors

Hornets (last 81 games)		Cavaliers (last 81 games)
52.93 (26)	EFG%	55.67 (13)
57.21 (30)	EFG% Allowed	53.48 (6)
21.2 (30)	FT Rate	23.38 (21)
23.63 (10)	FT Rate Allowed	24.02 (13)
21.14 (27)	OReb%	23.19 (21)
25.46 (24)	OReb% Allowed	23.09 (7)
14.12 (21)	TO Rate	13.87 (19)
13.97 (11)	TO Rate Forced	13.91 (13)

Scoring

Hornets (last 81 games)		Cavaliers (last 81 games)
106.59 (29)	PPG	112.63 (20)
116.83 (22)	PPG Allowed	110.22 (7)
15.24 (26)	Pts off TO	16.6 (12)
17.09 (22)	Pts off TO Allowed	17.37 (24)
12.15 (26)	2nd Chance Pts	13.59 (17)
14.15 (22)	2nd Chance Pts Allowed	12.87 (6)
12.48 (25)	Fast Break Pts	14.78 (12)
13.76 (12)	Fast Break Pts Allowed	14.34 (15)

Inside the Arc

Hornets (last 81 games)		Cavaliers (last 81 games)
42.49 (23)	Paint Attempts	43.45 (19)
43.33 (14)	Paint Attempts Allowed	42.2 (6)
56.34 (20)	Paint FG%	57.65 (14)
60.62 (29)	Paint FG% Allowed	55.14 (5)
10.5 (11)	Mid-Range Attempts	6.94 (28)
8.21 (1)	Mid-Range Attempts Allowed	11.5 (29)
0.38 (24)	Mid-Range FG%	0.46 (4)
0.42 (15)	Mid-Range FG% Allowed	0.41 (9)

Three Point Shooting

Hornets (last 81 games)		Cavaliers (last 81 games)
7.83 (26)	Corner 3 Attempts	9.18 (12)
9.45 (20)	Corner 3 Attempts Allowed	9.54 (23)
36.14 (29)	Corner 3 FG%	37.05 (24)
40 (20)	Corner 3 FG% Allowed	39.39 (17)
25.91 (14)	ATB3 Attempts	27.46 (8)
26.59 (19)	ATB3 Attempts Allowed	24.06 (5)
35.62 (17)	ATB3 FG%	36.77 (11)
37.06 (23)	ATB3 FG% Allowed	36.54 (21)

Straight Up Records (SU)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Hornets 1h	17-62-2	1-4-0	8-28-0	1-0-0	7-30-2	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Hornets	20-61	2-3	9-27	1-0	8-31	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
Cavaliers 1h	47-31-3	22-9-0	4-5-0	13-6-2	8-11-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	48-33	23-8	3-6	14-7	8-12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Hornets 1h	35-43-3	1-4-0	18-17-1	1-0-0	15-22-2	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Hornets	33-48-0	0-5-0	19-17-0	1-0-0	13-26-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers 1h	39-38-4	16-13-2	4-5-0	9-11-1	10-9-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	38-41-2	15-15-1	4-5-0	9-11-1	10-10-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Over/Under Records (OU)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Hornets 1h	29-51-1	1-4-0	15-20-1	0-1-0	13-26-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Hornets	42-39-0	2-3-0	20-16-0	1-0-0	19-20-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers 1h	37-41-3	12-17-2	5-4-0	8-12-1	12-8-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	41-40-0	18-13-0	6-3-0	9-12-0	8-12-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Team Total Records (TT)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Hornets 1h	27-52-2	1-4-0	15-21-0	1-0-0	10-27-2	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Hornets	37-43-1	1-4-0	19-16-1	1-0-0	16-23-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers 1h	36-43-2	18-12-1	3-6-0	8-13-0	7-12-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	38-42-1	17-14-0	5-4-0	8-12-1	8-12-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Hornets 1h	33-48-0	1-4-0	15-21-0	0-1-0	17-22-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Hornets	42-38-1	2-3-0	19-16-1	0-1-0	21-18-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers 1h	35-45-1	12-18-1	6-3-0	8-13-0	9-11-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	39-42-0	17-14-0	5-4-0	8-13-0	9-11-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

ATS Range Records

Team	Dog 10+	Dog 7-10	Dog 2.5-7	Within 2.5	Fav 2.5-7	Fav 7-10	Fav 10+
Cavaliers	1-0-0 (100%)	3-1-1 (75%)	10-11-0 (47.6%)	6-6-0 (50%)	10-9-1 (52.6%)	3-6-0 (33.3%)	5-8-0 (38.5%)
Hornets	16-19-1 (45.7%)	7-11-0 (38.9%)	9-11-0 (45%)	1-3-0 (25%)	0-3-0 (0%)	0-0-0 (-)	0-0-0 (-)