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Clippers @ Hornets [ +14.5 / 215.5 ]Copied and ready to share!Glossary

March 31, 2024
Hornets | 21-61 (25.6%)
Clippers | 53-35 (60.2%)

Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Hornets (+14.5) a 58.5-55.7% chance of covering as an underdog, and projects the game going over 215.5 around 4.6-4% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Hornets have a 64.2% chance of covering as an underdog at home, and the game has a 4.8% chance of going over the total.

Clippers Situational Notes

Hornets Situational Notes

Clippers Schedule

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin
4/2	SAC	LAC -1.5 SAC +1.5	221.5	LAC	-	-	-
3/31	CHA	LAC -14.5 CHA +14.5	215.5	LAC	-	-	-
3/29	ORL [ 97 ]	LAC -1.5 ORL +1.5	211.5	LAC [ 100 ]	+3	+1.5	-14.5
3/27	PHI [ 107 ]	LAC -6 PHI +6	217.5	LAC [ 108 ]	+1	-5	-2.5
3/25	LAC [ 116 ]	LAC -5 IND +5	234	IND [ 133 ]	-17	-22	+15
3/24	LAC [ 107 ]	LAC -10 PHI +10	214.5	PHI [ 121 ]	-14	-24	+13.5
3/22	POR [ 117 ]	LAC -14.5 POR +14.5	215.5	LAC [ 125 ]	+8	-6.5	+26.5
3/20	POR [ 103 ]	LAC -12 POR +12	217	LAC [ 116 ]	+13	+1	+2
3/17	LAC [ 93 ]	LAC -9.5 ATL +9.5	221	ATL [ 110 ]	-17	-26.5	-18
3/15	NOP [ 112 ]	LAC +7 NOP -7	218.5	LAC [ 104 ]	-8	-1	-2.5

Hornets Schedule

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin
4/1	CHA	CHA +17 BOS -17	219	BOS	-	-	-
3/31	CHA	CHA +14.5 LAC -14.5	215.5	LAC	-	-	-
3/29	CHA [ 97 ]	CHA +12.5 GSW -12.5	220	GSW [ 115 ]	-18	-5.5	-8
3/27	CHA [ 118 ]	CHA +10.5 CLE -10.5	206	CLE [ 111 ]	+7	+17.5	+23
3/25	CLE [ 115 ]	CHA +12.5 CLE -12.5	205.5	CHA [ 92 ]	-23	-10.5	+1.5
3/23	ATL [ 132 ]	CHA +8 ATL -8	214	CHA [ 91 ]	-41	-33	+9
3/19	ORL [ 112 ]	CHA +13 ORL -13	202.5	CHA [ 92 ]	-20	-7	+1.5
3/16	PHI [ 109 ]	CHA +10.5 PHI -10.5	209	CHA [ 98 ]	-11	-0.5	-2
3/15	CHA [ 96 ]	CHA +10 PHO -10	218	PHO [ 107 ]	-11	-1	-15
3/13	MEM [ 98 ]	CHA -2 MEM +2	205.5	CHA [ 110 ]	+12	+10	+2.5

Historical Matchups

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin	Pace	Ortg	Drtg	Net	Tot
3/31	CHA	CHA +14.5 LAC -14.5	215.5	LAC	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12/26	LAC [ 113 ]	CHA +13 LAC -13	227.5	CHA [ 104 ]	-9	+4	-10.5	117.9	105.9	115	-9.2	217
12/21	LAC [ 126 ]	CHA +9 LAC -9	228.5	CHA [ 105 ]	-21	-12	+2.5	130.5	96.5	115.9	-19.3	231
12/5	CHA [ 117 ]	CHA +6 LAC -6	217.5	LAC [ 119 ]	-2	+4	+18.5	119	118	120	-2	236

Filters

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Efficiency

Clippers (last 73 games)		Hornets (last 73 games)
0.62 (6)	Win Percentage	0.26 (27)
47.22 (19)	ATS Win%	38.89 (29)
46.48 (24)	OU%	47.95 (20)
-	Strength of Schedule	-
118.77 (5)	Offensive Rating	109.3 (28)
115.4 (14)	Defensive Rating	119.81 (29)
97.22 (21)	Pace	97.27 (20)
1.95 (20)	A/TO Ratio	1.8 (25)

Four Factors

Clippers (last 73 games)		Hornets (last 73 games)
56.15 (8)	EFG%	52.93 (25)
54.06 (12)	EFG% Allowed	57.21 (30)
25.56 (11)	FT Rate	21.2 (30)
23.57 (9)	FT Rate Allowed	23.63 (10)
24.37 (17)	OReb%	21.14 (28)
25.18 (21)	OReb% Allowed	25.46 (24)
13.5 (15)	TO Rate	14.12 (22)
13.39 (20)	TO Rate Forced	13.97 (11)

Scoring

Clippers (last 73 games)		Hornets (last 73 games)
115.62 (12)	PPG	106.59 (29)
112.34 (10)	PPG Allowed	116.83 (21)
16.16 (17)	Pts off TO	15.24 (26)
15.66 (12)	Pts off TO Allowed	17.09 (24)
12.68 (24)	2nd Chance Pts	12.15 (26)
14.05 (18)	2nd Chance Pts Allowed	14.15 (20)
14.78 (14)	Fast Break Pts	12.48 (26)
14.89 (21)	Fast Break Pts Allowed	13.76 (11)

Inside the Arc

Clippers (last 73 games)		Hornets (last 73 games)
42.62 (22)	Paint Attempts	42.49 (23)
44.2 (20)	Paint Attempts Allowed	43.33 (12)
59.14 (9)	Paint FG%	56.34 (20)
56.21 (9)	Paint FG% Allowed	60.62 (29)
10.9 (9)	Mid-Range Attempts	10.5 (12)
9.28 (9)	Mid-Range Attempts Allowed	8.21 (1)
0.41 (16)	Mid-Range FG%	0.38 (24)
0.42 (15)	Mid-Range FG% Allowed	0.42 (14)

Three Point Shooting

Clippers (last 73 games)		Hornets (last 73 games)
8.78 (19)	Corner 3 Attempts	7.83 (26)
9.43 (21)	Corner 3 Attempts Allowed	9.45 (22)
40.97 (7)	Corner 3 FG%	36.14 (29)
37.26 (8)	Corner 3 FG% Allowed	40 (20)
24.27 (21)	ATB3 Attempts	25.91 (15)
25.87 (16)	ATB3 Attempts Allowed	26.59 (21)
37.24 (7)	ATB3 FG%	35.62 (17)
36.12 (17)	ATB3 FG% Allowed	37.06 (25)

Straight Up Records (SU)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Clippers 1h	43-28-2	19-14-0	1-1-0	18-5-2	4-8-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	46-27	22-11	0-2	20-5	3-9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
Hornets 1h	16-55-2	1-3-0	7-24-0	1-0-0	7-28-2	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Hornets	18-55	2-2	8-23	1-0	7-30	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Clippers 1h	37-35-1	15-18-0	1-1-0	16-8-1	4-8-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	34-38-1	15-17-1	0-2-0	14-11-0	4-8-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Hornets 1h	32-38-3	1-3-0	16-14-1	1-0-0	14-21-2	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Hornets	28-45-0	0-4-0	15-16-0	1-0-0	12-25-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Over/Under Records (OU)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Clippers 1h	29-44-0	13-20-0	2-0-0	12-13-0	2-10-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	32-37-4	13-18-2	2-0-0	12-12-1	5-6-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Hornets 1h	22-50-1	1-3-0	10-20-1	0-1-0	11-26-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Hornets	35-38-0	2-2-0	15-16-0	1-0-0	17-20-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Team Total Records (TT)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Clippers 1h	29-43-1	13-20-0	1-1-0	13-11-1	2-10-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	36-37-0	14-19-0	1-1-0	16-9-0	5-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Hornets 1h	22-49-2	1-3-0	11-20-0	1-0-0	9-26-2	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Hornets	31-41-1	1-3-0	14-16-1	1-0-0	15-22-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Clippers 1h	33-40-0	17-16-0	2-0-0	9-16-0	5-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	41-32-0	19-14-0	2-0-0	14-11-0	6-6-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Hornets 1h	28-45-0	1-3-0	12-19-0	0-1-0	15-22-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Hornets	37-36-0	2-2-0	15-16-0	0-1-0	20-17-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

ATS Range Records

Team	Dog 10+	Dog 7-10	Dog 2.5-7	Within 2.5	Fav 2.5-7	Fav 7-10	Fav 10+
Hornets	12-18-1 (40%)	6-10-0 (37.5%)	9-11-0 (45%)	1-2-0 (33.3%)	0-3-0 (0%)	0-0-0 (-)	0-0-0 (-)
Clippers	0-0-0 (-)	1-1-0 (50%)	2-4-0 (33.3%)	7-5-0 (58.3%)	12-14-0 (46.2%)	9-6-0 (60%)	3-8-1 (27.3%)