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76ers @ Cavaliers [ -8 / 212 ]Copied and ready to share!Glossary

March 29, 2024
Cavaliers | 53-41 (56.4%)
Seventysixers | 50-39 (56.2%)

Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Cavaliers (-8) a 36.4-19.5% chance of covering as a favorite, and projects the game going over 212 around 4.4-2.7% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Cavaliers have a 41.7% chance of covering as a favorite at home, and the game has a 4.7% chance of going over the total.

Seventysixers Situational Notes

Cavaliers Situational Notes

Seventysixers Schedule

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin
3/31	TOR	PHI -11 TOR +11	217.5	PHI	-	-	-
3/29	CLE	PHI +8 CLE -8	212	PHI	-	-	-
3/27	PHI [ 107 ]	PHI +6 LAC -6	217.5	LAC [ 108 ]	-1	+5	-2.5
3/25	SAC [ 108 ]	PHI +9 SAC -9	220.5	PHI [ 96 ]	-12	-3	-16.5
3/24	LAC [ 107 ]	PHI +10 LAC -10	214.5	PHI [ 121 ]	+14	+24	+13.5
3/22	LAL [ 101 ]	PHI +8.5 LAL -8.5	228	PHI [ 94 ]	-7	+1.5	-33
3/20	PHO [ 115 ]	PHI +8.5 PHO -8.5	220.5	PHI [ 102 ]	-13	-4.5	-3.5
3/18	PHI [ 98 ]	PHI -2 MIA +2	209	MIA [ 91 ]	+7	+5	-20
3/16	PHI [ 109 ]	PHI -10.5 CHA +10.5	209	CHA [ 98 ]	+11	+0.5	-2
3/14	MIL [ 114 ]	PHI +7 MIL -7	220	PHI [ 105 ]	-9	-2	-1

Cavaliers Schedule

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin
3/31	DEN	CLE +4.5 DEN -4.5	215.5	CLE	-	-	-
3/29	CLE	CLE -8 PHI +8	212	PHI	-	-	-
3/27	CHA [ 118 ]	CLE -10.5 CHA +10.5	206	CLE [ 111 ]	-7	-17.5	+23
3/25	CLE [ 115 ]	CLE -12.5 CHA +12.5	205.5	CHA [ 92 ]	+23	+10.5	+1.5
3/24	MIA [ 121 ]	CLE +4 MIA -4	203.5	CLE [ 84 ]	-37	-33	+1.5
3/22	MIN [ 104 ]	CLE +7.5 MIN -7.5	206.5	CLE [ 91 ]	-13	-5.5	-11.5
3/20	CLE [ 104 ]	CLE -2 MIA +2	203.5	MIA [ 107 ]	-3	-5	+7.5
3/18	IND [ 103 ]	CLE +6.5 IND -6.5	225	CLE [ 108 ]	+5	+11.5	-14
3/16	HOU [ 117 ]	CLE -4 HOU +4	214.5	CLE [ 103 ]	-14	-18	+5.5
3/13	NOP [ 95 ]	CLE +7 NOP -7	215.5	CLE [ 116 ]	+21	+28	-4.5

Historical Matchups

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin	Pace	Ortg	Drtg	Net	Tot
3/29	CLE	CLE -8 PHI +8	212	PHI	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2/23	PHI [ 104 ]	CLE -3.5 PHI +3.5	228	CLE [ 97 ]	-7	-10.5	-27	115.2	101.1	108.4	-7.3	201
2/12	CLE [ 121 ]	CLE -10 PHI +10	230	PHI [ 123 ]	-2	-12	+14	113.3	128.2	130.3	-2.1	244
11/21	PHI [ 119 ]	CLE +7.5 PHI -7.5	219	CLE [ 122 ]	+3	+10.5	+22	114.8	115.5	112.6	2.8	218.3
3/15	CLE [ 109 ]	CLE +2.5 PHI -2.5	221.5	PHI [ 118 ]	-9	-6.5	+5.5	110.4	118.5	128.2	-9.8	227
2/15	PHI [ 118 ]	CLE +1.5 PHI -1.5	217.5	CLE [ 112 ]	-6	-4.5	+12.5	108.3	124.1	130.7	-6.6	230
11/30	CLE [ 113 ]	CLE -3.5 PHI +3.5	211.5	PHI [ 85 ]	+28	+24.5	-13.5	109.5	123.8	93.1	30.7	198

Filters

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Efficiency

76ers (last 73 games)		Cavaliers (last 73 games)
0.57 (14)	Win Percentage	0.59 (10)
52.78 (11)	ATS Win%	49.3 (16)
47.95 (18)	OU%	49.32 (12)
-	Strength of Schedule	-
116.9 (14)	Offensive Rating	115.21 (18)
113.79 (11)	Defensive Rating	112.74 (8)
97.54 (18)	Pace	97.15 (22)
2.07 (10)	A/TO Ratio	2.07 (12)

Four Factors

76ers (last 73 games)		Cavaliers (last 73 games)
53.2 (23)	EFG%	55.67 (13)
53.7 (9)	EFG% Allowed	53.48 (6)
26.38 (7)	FT Rate	23.38 (21)
27.13 (26)	FT Rate Allowed	24.02 (11)
24.84 (12)	OReb%	23.19 (21)
25.66 (25)	OReb% Allowed	23.09 (7)
12.24 (3)	TO Rate	13.87 (19)
14.94 (4)	TO Rate Forced	13.91 (14)

Scoring

76ers (last 73 games)		Cavaliers (last 73 games)
114.6 (15)	PPG	112.63 (19)
111.55 (9)	PPG Allowed	110.22 (7)
17.74 (3)	Pts off TO	16.6 (11)
14.35 (2)	Pts off TO Allowed	17.37 (24)
15.04 (6)	2nd Chance Pts	13.59 (16)
13.62 (13)	2nd Chance Pts Allowed	12.87 (4)
15.79 (5)	Fast Break Pts	14.78 (12)
15.39 (25)	Fast Break Pts Allowed	14.34 (16)

Inside the Arc

76ers (last 73 games)		Cavaliers (last 73 games)
45.88 (7)	Paint Attempts	43.45 (18)
44 (18)	Paint Attempts Allowed	42.2 (6)
54.86 (28)	Paint FG%	57.65 (14)
56.9 (14)	Paint FG% Allowed	55.14 (4)
10.2 (15)	Mid-Range Attempts	6.94 (28)
8.84 (3)	Mid-Range Attempts Allowed	11.5 (29)
0.42 (14)	Mid-Range FG%	0.46 (3)
0.4 (6)	Mid-Range FG% Allowed	0.41 (10)

Three Point Shooting

76ers (last 73 games)		Cavaliers (last 73 games)
7.56 (27)	Corner 3 Attempts	9.18 (13)
8.39 (12)	Corner 3 Attempts Allowed	9.54 (23)
39.68 (11)	Corner 3 FG%	37.05 (26)
38.37 (12)	Corner 3 FG% Allowed	39.39 (17)
25.67 (16)	ATB3 Attempts	27.46 (8)
25.16 (13)	ATB3 Attempts Allowed	24.06 (5)
35.44 (17)	ATB3 FG%	36.77 (10)
34.66 (5)	ATB3 FG% Allowed	36.54 (20)

Straight Up Records (SU)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Seventysixers 1h	42-30-1	18-9-1	5-4-0	9-6-0	10-11-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Seventysixers	39-34	19-9	2-7	12-3	6-15	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
Cavaliers 1h	43-27-3	20-8-0	4-5-0	12-6-2	7-8-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	44-29	20-8	3-6	13-7	8-8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Seventysixers 1h	37-33-3	14-13-1	5-4-0	6-7-2	12-9-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Seventysixers	38-34-1	17-11-0	3-5-1	9-6-0	9-12-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers 1h	36-33-4	15-11-2	4-5-0	8-11-1	9-6-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	35-36-2	14-13-1	4-5-0	8-11-1	9-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Over/Under Records (OU)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Seventysixers 1h	30-41-2	13-14-1	2-7-0	8-7-0	7-13-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Seventysixers	35-38-0	15-13-0	2-7-0	10-5-0	8-13-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers 1h	30-40-3	10-16-2	5-4-0	7-12-1	8-8-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	36-37-0	16-12-0	6-3-0	8-12-0	6-10-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Team Total Records (TT)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Seventysixers 1h	31-41-1	15-13-0	2-7-0	7-7-1	7-14-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Seventysixers	38-35-0	17-11-0	2-7-0	10-5-0	9-12-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers 1h	31-40-2	16-11-1	3-6-0	7-13-0	5-10-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	34-38-1	15-13-0	5-4-0	7-12-1	7-9-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Seventysixers 1h	38-35-0	17-11-0	3-6-0	9-6-0	9-12-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Seventysixers	36-37-0	14-14-0	3-6-0	9-6-0	10-11-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers 1h	28-44-1	9-18-1	6-3-0	8-12-0	5-11-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	32-41-0	14-14-0	5-4-0	7-13-0	6-10-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

ATS Range Records

Team	Dog 10+	Dog 7-10	Dog 2.5-7	Within 2.5	Fav 2.5-7	Fav 7-10	Fav 10+
Cavaliers	1-0-0 (100%)	3-1-1 (75%)	9-8-0 (52.9%)	6-6-0 (50%)	9-9-1 (50%)	3-5-0 (37.5%)	4-7-0 (36.4%)
Seventysixers	3-1-0 (75%)	3-3-1 (50%)	6-9-0 (40%)	5-5-0 (50%)	9-8-0 (52.9%)	4-3-0 (57.1%)	8-5-0 (61.5%)