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Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Cavaliers (-4) a 47.9-61.7% chance of covering as a favorite, and projects the game going over 208.5 around 5.1-5.3% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Cavaliers have a 51.3% chance of covering as a favorite at home, and the game has a 5.6% chance of going over the total.


Knicks Situational Notes

Cavaliers Situational Notes

Knicks Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
3/5NYKNYK -1.5
ATL +1.5
213.5ATL---
3/3CLENYK +4
CLE -4
208.5NYK---
2/29NYK [ 99 ]NYK +4
GSW -4
223GSW [ 110 ]-11-7-14
2/27NYK [ 92 ]NYK +2.5
NOP -2.5
218.5NOP [ 115 ]-23-20.5-11.5
2/26DET [ 111 ]NYK -11
DET +11
223NYK [ 113 ]+2-9+1
2/24NYK [ 102 ]NYK +5.5
BOS -5.5
223.5BOS [ 116 ]-14-8.5-5.5
2/22PHI [ 96 ]NYK +1
PHI -1
226.5NYK [ 110 ]+14+15-20.5
2/14ORL [ 118 ]NYK +3.5
ORL -3.5
210.5NYK [ 100 ]-18-14.5+7.5
2/12HOU [ 105 ]NYK -4.5
HOU +4.5
221.5NYK [ 103 ]-2-6.5-13.5
2/10NYK [ 111 ]NYK 0
IND 0
235.5IND [ 125 ]-14-14+0.5

Cavaliers Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
3/5CLECLE +8.5
BOS -8.5
217BOS---
3/3CLECLE -4
NYK +4
208.5NYK---
3/1DET [ 100 ]CLE -9
DET +9
222CLE [ 110 ]+10+1-12
2/28CHI [ 132 ]CLE -5
CHI +5
216.5CLE [ 123 ]-9-14+38.5
2/27CLE [ 121 ]CLE -4.5
DAL +4.5
232.5DAL [ 119 ]+2-2.5+7.5
2/25WAS [ 105 ]CLE -12.5
WAS +12.5
234.5CLE [ 114 ]+9-3.5-15.5
2/23PHI [ 104 ]CLE -3.5
PHI +3.5
228CLE [ 97 ]-7-10.5-27
2/22CLE [ 109 ]CLE -6.5
ORL +6.5
215.5ORL [ 116 ]-7-13.5+9.5
2/14CLE [ 108 ]CLE -9
CHI +9
224.5CHI [ 105 ]+3-6-11.5
2/12CLE [ 121 ]CLE -10
PHI +10
230PHI [ 123 ]-2-12+14

Historical Matchups

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin Pace Ortg Drtg Net Tot
3/3CLECLE -4
NYK +4
208.5NYK--------
11/1NYK [ 89 ]CLE +5.5
NYK -5.5
210.5CLE [ 95 ]+6+11.5-26.5115.19992.76.3184
10/31CLE [ 91 ]CLE +2
NYK -2
213.5NYK [ 109 ]-18-16-13.5114.695.3114.1-18.8200
4/26CLE [ 95 ]CLE -5.5
NYK +5.5
203NYK [ 106 ]-11-16.5-2107.6105.9118.2-12.3201
4/23NYK [ 102 ]CLE +1
NYK -1
203.5CLE [ 93 ]-9-8-8.5104.4106.9117.2-10.3195
4/21NYK [ 99 ]CLE +2
NYK -2
211.5CLE [ 79 ]-20-18-33.5110.785.6107.3-21.7178
4/18CLE [ 107 ]CLE -5.5
NYK +5.5
214.5NYK [ 90 ]+17+11.5-17.5110.1116.798.118.5197
4/15CLE [ 97 ]CLE -5.5
NYK +5.5
216.5NYK [ 101 ]-4-9.5-18.5110.9105109.3-4.3198
3/31CLE [ 116 ]CLE -3.5
NYK +3.5
221.5NYK [ 130 ]-14-17.5+24.5116.1119.9134.3-14.5246
1/24NYK [ 105 ]CLE -3
NYK +3
221CLE [ 103 ]-2-5-13111111.4113.5-2.2208
12/4NYK [ 92 ]CLE -2.5
NYK +2.5
222.5CLE [ 81 ]-11-13.5-49.5119.381.592.6-11.1173


Straight Up Records (SU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Knicks 1h29-27-314-4-23-6-08-5-04-11-10-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Knicks 35-2516-43-610-46-100-00-00-00-0
Cavaliers 1h36-21-217-6-03-4-011-5-25-6-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 39-2018-52-513-56-50-00-00-00-0

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Knicks 1h24-33-28-12-04-5-06-7-06-8-20-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Knicks 31-28-112-8-03-5-19-5-07-9-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 1h30-26-313-9-13-4-08-9-16-4-10-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 29-28-212-10-12-5-08-9-17-4-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0

Over/Under Records (OU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Knicks 1h21-38-07-13-01-8-04-9-09-7-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Knicks 23-37-07-13-02-7-04-10-010-6-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 1h25-31-39-12-24-3-05-12-17-4-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 28-31-012-11-05-2-06-12-05-6-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0

Team Total Records (TT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Knicks 1h24-34-16-13-14-5-05-8-09-7-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Knicks 28-32-010-10-03-6-06-8-09-7-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 1h27-31-114-8-12-5-06-12-05-6-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 27-31-112-11-03-4-06-11-16-5-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Knicks 1h19-39-16-13-11-8-04-9-08-8-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Knicks 25-35-07-13-04-5-05-9-08-8-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 1h21-37-17-15-15-2-06-12-03-8-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0
Cavaliers 23-36-010-13-04-3-05-13-04-7-00-0-00-0-00-0-00-0-0


ATS Range Records

TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Cavaliers1-0-0 (100%)1-0-1 (100%)7-6-0 (53.8%)5-5-0 (50%)9-7-1 (56.3%)3-4-0 (42.9%)3-6-0 (33.3%)
Knicks0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)6-12-1 (33.3%)9-2-0 (81.8%)4-8-0 (33.3%)8-0-0 (100%)4-4-0 (50%)