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Kings @ Clippers [ -5 / 239.5 ]Copied and ready to share!Glossary

February 25, 2024
Clippers | 53-35 (60.2%)
Kings | 47-37 (56%)

Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Clippers (-5) a 52.2-35.1% chance of covering as a favorite, and projects the game going over 239.5 around 3-3.2% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Clippers have a 57.3% chance of covering as a favorite at home, and the game has a 2.6% chance of going over the total.

Kings Situational Notes

Clippers Situational Notes

Kings Schedule

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin
2/26	SAC	SAC -7 MIA +7	224	MIA	-	-	-
2/25	LAC	SAC +5 LAC -5	239.5	SAC	-	-	-
2/22	SAC [ 127 ]	SAC -9 SAS +9	240.5	SAS [ 122 ]	+5	-4	+8.5
2/14	DEN [ 98 ]	SAC +6 DEN -6	229.5	SAC [ 102 ]	+4	+10	-29.5
2/13	PHO [ 130 ]	SAC +5 PHO -5	245.5	SAC [ 125 ]	-5	0	+9.5
2/11	OKC [ 127 ]	SAC +3 OKC -3	240	SAC [ 113 ]	-14	-11	0
2/9	SAC [ 135 ]	SAC -2.5 DEN +2.5	231.5	DEN [ 106 ]	+29	+26.5	+9.5
2/7	SAC [ 120 ]	SAC -13 DET +13	242	DET [ 133 ]	-13	-26	+11
2/5	CLE [ 136 ]	SAC +5 CLE -5	235	SAC [ 110 ]	-26	-21	+11
2/3	CHI [ 115 ]	SAC +2 CHI -2	229.5	SAC [ 123 ]	+8	+10	+8.5

Clippers Schedule

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin
2/28	LAC	LAC -3.5 LAL +3.5	234.5	LAL	-	-	-
2/25	LAC	LAC -5 SAC +5	239.5	SAC	-	-	-
2/23	MEM [ 95 ]	LAC -9 MEM +9	222.5	LAC [ 101 ]	+6	-3	-26.5
2/22	OKC [ 129 ]	LAC +2 OKC -2	236	LAC [ 107 ]	-22	-20	0
2/14	GSW [ 125 ]	LAC +3 GSW -3	234.5	LAC [ 130 ]	+5	+8	+20.5
2/12	LAC [ 100 ]	LAC -4.5 MIN +4.5	223.5	MIN [ 121 ]	-21	-25.5	-2.5
2/10	LAC [ 112 ]	LAC -16 DET +16	235.5	DET [ 106 ]	+6	-10	-17.5
2/7	LAC [ 106 ]	LAC -7 NOP +7	230	NOP [ 117 ]	-11	-18	-7
2/5	ATL [ 144 ]	LAC -4 ATL +4	245	LAC [ 149 ]	+5	+1	+48
2/4	MIA [ 95 ]	LAC -4 MIA +4	224.5	LAC [ 103 ]	+8	+4	-26.5

Historical Matchups

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin	Pace	Ortg	Drtg	Net	Tot
4/2	SAC	LAC -1.5 SAC +1.5	221.5	LAC	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2/25	LAC	LAC -5 SAC +5	239.5	SAC	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12/12	LAC [ 119 ]	LAC -3.5 SAC +3.5	237.5	SAC [ 99 ]	+20	+16.5	-19.5	121.5	117.5	97.7	19.7	218
11/29	SAC [ 117 ]	LAC -1.5 SAC +1.5	231	LAC [ 131 ]	+14	+12.5	+17	115.8	135.8	121.2	14.5	248
3/3	SAC [ 128 ]	LAC +7 SAC -7	241	LAC [ 127 ]	-1	+6	+14	117.5	129.7	130.7	-1	255
2/24	LAC [ 175 ]	LAC -6 SAC +6	239.5	SAC [ 176 ]	-1	-7	+111.5	127.7	136.1	136.9	-0.8	290.5
12/3	LAC [ 96 ]	LAC +3.5 SAC -3.5	228	SAC [ 123 ]	-27	-23.5	-9	121.5	94.8	121.4	-26.7	219
10/22	SAC [ 109 ]	LAC -2.5 SAC +2.5	225.5	LAC [ 111 ]	+2	-0.5	-5.5	116.5	114.3	112.2	2.1	220

Filters

Isolate home/away splits:

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Current matchup:

Efficiency

Kings (last 55 games)		Clippers (last 55 games)
0.56 (15)	Win Percentage	0.62 (7)
52.83 (11)	ATS Win%	51.85 (15)
52.83 (10)	OU%	45.28 (25)
-	Strength of Schedule	-
117.01 (14)	Offensive Rating	118.77 (5)
114.82 (13)	Defensive Rating	115.4 (16)
98.73 (15)	Pace	97.22 (26)
2.16 (5)	A/TO Ratio	1.95 (20)

Four Factors

Kings (last 55 games)		Clippers (last 55 games)
55.56 (12)	EFG%	56.15 (8)
55.3 (20)	EFG% Allowed	54.06 (10)
22.94 (25)	FT Rate	25.56 (14)
26.73 (24)	FT Rate Allowed	23.57 (6)
24.56 (17)	OReb%	24.37 (19)
21.78 (1)	OReb% Allowed	25.18 (22)
13.2 (12)	TO Rate	13.5 (18)
14.02 (12)	TO Rate Forced	13.39 (21)

Scoring

Kings (last 55 games)		Clippers (last 55 games)
116.56 (12)	PPG	115.62 (14)
114.38 (15)	PPG Allowed	112.34 (9)
16.48 (11)	Pts off TO	16.16 (17)
16.3 (15)	Pts off TO Allowed	15.66 (10)
14.7 (10)	2nd Chance Pts	12.68 (24)
10.94 (1)	2nd Chance Pts Allowed	14.05 (17)
14.37 (16)	Fast Break Pts	14.78 (12)
11.63 (2)	Fast Break Pts Allowed	14.89 (22)

Inside the Arc

Kings (last 55 games)		Clippers (last 55 games)
42.83 (22)	Paint Attempts	42.62 (23)
43.1 (11)	Paint Attempts Allowed	44.2 (16)
59.4 (7)	Paint FG%	59.14 (8)
56.68 (10)	Paint FG% Allowed	56.21 (8)
8.83 (25)	Mid-Range Attempts	10.9 (10)
9.84 (14)	Mid-Range Attempts Allowed	9.28 (6)
0.4 (19)	Mid-Range FG%	0.41 (18)
0.42 (18)	Mid-Range FG% Allowed	0.42 (19)

Three Point Shooting

Kings (last 55 games)		Clippers (last 55 games)
9.96 (7)	Corner 3 Attempts	8.78 (15)
9.22 (20)	Corner 3 Attempts Allowed	9.43 (22)
38.56 (20)	Corner 3 FG%	40.97 (8)
40.48 (19)	Corner 3 FG% Allowed	37.26 (8)
29.2 (3)	ATB3 Attempts	24.27 (20)
24.46 (6)	ATB3 Attempts Allowed	25.87 (15)
36.05 (16)	ATB3 FG%	37.24 (6)
38.24 (29)	ATB3 FG% Allowed	36.12 (16)

Straight Up Records (SU)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Kings 1h	28-26-1	13-9-0	2-1-0	7-6-1	6-10-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Kings	32-23	14-8	2-1	10-4	6-10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
Clippers 1h	33-20-2	16-9-0	0-1-0	13-3-2	3-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	37-18	20-5	0-1	14-4	2-8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Kings 1h	27-27-1	12-10-0	2-1-0	6-8-0	7-8-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Kings	28-24-3	8-13-1	2-1-0	9-4-1	9-6-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers 1h	27-27-1	12-13-0	0-1-0	11-6-1	3-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	28-26-1	13-11-1	0-1-0	11-7-0	3-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Over/Under Records (OU)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Kings 1h	28-27-0	10-12-0	2-1-0	8-6-0	8-8-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Kings	28-25-2	15-7-0	2-1-0	6-7-1	5-10-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers 1h	22-33-0	9-16-0	1-0-0	10-8-0	2-8-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	23-28-4	9-14-2	1-0-0	8-9-1	5-4-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Team Total Records (TT)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Kings 1h	23-32-0	8-14-0	1-2-0	6-8-0	8-8-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Kings	26-29-0	11-11-0	2-1-0	7-7-0	6-10-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers 1h	21-33-1	9-16-0	0-1-0	10-7-1	2-8-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	30-25-0	13-12-0	0-1-0	12-6-0	5-5-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Kings 1h	29-24-2	9-13-0	2-1-0	9-5-0	9-5-2	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Kings	28-27-0	17-5-0	2-1-0	4-10-0	5-11-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers 1h	23-32-0	11-14-0	1-0-0	6-12-0	5-5-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	27-28-0	12-13-0	1-0-0	8-10-0	6-4-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

ATS Range Records

Team	Dog 10+	Dog 7-10	Dog 2.5-7	Within 2.5	Fav 2.5-7	Fav 7-10	Fav 10+
Clippers	0-0-0 (-)	1-0-0 (100%)	2-3-0 (40%)	5-5-0 (50%)	11-7-0 (61.1%)	8-5-0 (61.5%)	1-6-1 (14.3%)
Kings	0-0-0 (-)	0-0-0 (-)	5-3-1 (62.5%)	10-8-0 (55.6%)	7-7-1 (50%)	4-4-0 (50%)	2-3-0 (40%)