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2/23 | 2/25BOS@NYK ORL@DET BKN@MIN

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Celtics @ Knicks [ +5.5 / 223.5 ]Copied and ready to share!Glossary

February 24, 2024
Knicks | 57-38 (60%)
Celtics | 80-21 (79.2%)

Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Knicks (+5.5) a 58.9-19.6% chance of covering as an underdog, and projects the game going over 223.5 around 4-4.2% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Knicks have a 72.7% chance of covering as an underdog at home, and the game has a 3.7% chance of going over the total.

Celtics Situational Notes

Knicks Situational Notes

Celtics Schedule

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin
2/27	BOS	BOS -12 PHI +12	230.5	PHI	-	-	-
2/24	NYK	BOS -5.5 NYK +5.5	223.5	BOS	-	-	-
2/22	CHI [ 112 ]	BOS -8 CHI +8	225.5	BOS [ 129 ]	+17	+9	+15.5
2/14	BOS [ 136 ]	BOS -13 BKN +13	227	BKN [ 86 ]	+50	+37	-5
2/13	BKN [ 110 ]	BOS -8.5 BKN +8.5	228	BOS [ 118 ]	+8	-0.5	0
2/11	MIA [ 106 ]	BOS -5.5 MIA +5.5	226	BOS [ 110 ]	+4	-1.5	-10
2/9	BOS [ 133 ]	BOS -18 WAS +18	236	WAS [ 129 ]	+4	-14	+26
2/7	BOS [ 125 ]	BOS -12 ATL +12	244.5	ATL [ 117 ]	+8	-4	-2.5
2/4	BOS [ 131 ]	BOS -18 MEM +18	219	MEM [ 91 ]	+40	+22	+3
2/1	BOS [ 105 ]	BOS -15 LAL +15	238.5	LAL [ 114 ]	-9	-24	-19.5

Knicks Schedule

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin
2/26	DET	NYK -11 DET +11	223	NYK	-	-	-
2/24	NYK	NYK +5.5 BOS -5.5	223.5	BOS	-	-	-
2/22	PHI [ 96 ]	NYK +1 PHI -1	226.5	NYK [ 110 ]	+14	+15	-20.5
2/14	ORL [ 118 ]	NYK +3.5 ORL -3.5	210.5	NYK [ 100 ]	-18	-14.5	+7.5
2/12	HOU [ 105 ]	NYK -4.5 HOU +4.5	221.5	NYK [ 103 ]	-2	-6.5	-13.5
2/10	NYK [ 111 ]	NYK 0 IND 0	235.5	IND [ 125 ]	-14	-14	+0.5
2/8	NYK [ 108 ]	NYK +4.5 DAL -4.5	229	DAL [ 122 ]	-14	-9.5	+1
2/6	NYK [ 123 ]	NYK -13.5 MEM +13.5	212.5	MEM [ 113 ]	+10	-3.5	+23.5
2/3	NYK [ 105 ]	NYK -4.5 LAL +4.5	226	LAL [ 113 ]	-8	-12.5	-8
2/1	NYK [ 109 ]	NYK -1.5 IND +1.5	235	IND [ 105 ]	+4	+2.5	-21

Historical Matchups

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin	Pace	Ortg	Drtg	Net	Tot
4/11	BOS	NYK -3 BOS +3	221.5	NYK	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2/24	NYK	NYK +5.5 BOS -5.5	223.5	BOS	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12/8	BOS [ 133 ]	NYK +7 BOS -7	221	NYK [ 123 ]	-10	-3	+35	116.5	126.7	137	-10.3	256
11/13	BOS [ 114 ]	NYK +9.5 BOS -9.5	220.5	NYK [ 98 ]	-16	-6.5	-8.5	101.1	116.3	135.3	-19	212
10/25	NYK [ 104 ]	NYK +4 BOS -4	223.5	BOS [ 108 ]	-4	0	-11.5	113.3	110.1	114.4	-4.2	212
3/5	BOS [ 129 ]	NYK +6.5 BOS -6.5	226	NYK [ 131 ]	+2	+8.5	+34	114.7	113.4	111.7	1.7	215.2
2/27	NYK [ 109 ]	NYK +1.5 BOS -1.5	224.5	BOS [ 94 ]	+15	+16.5	-21.5	114.9	113.9	98.2	15.7	203
1/26	BOS [ 117 ]	NYK +8.5 BOS -8.5	221.5	NYK [ 120 ]	+3	+11.5	+15.5	113.5	114.9	112.1	2.9	214.6
11/5	NYK [ 118 ]	NYK +4 BOS -4	225	BOS [ 133 ]	-15	-11	+26	115.5	122.6	138.1	-15.6	251

Filters

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Current matchup:

Efficiency

Celtics (last 56 games)		Knicks (last 56 games)
0.78 (1)	Win Percentage	0.61 (8)
47.17 (22)	ATS Win%	56.36 (3)
50.91 (16)	OU%	42.86 (27)
-	Strength of Schedule	-
123.16 (1)	Offensive Rating	118.19 (11)
111.48 (3)	Defensive Rating	113.38 (8)
97.16 (26)	Pace	95.19 (30)
2.25 (3)	A/TO Ratio	1.84 (22)

Four Factors

Celtics (last 56 games)		Knicks (last 56 games)
57.82 (3)	EFG%	53.99 (17)
52.26 (2)	EFG% Allowed	54.34 (13)
22.36 (28)	FT Rate	24.6 (18)
18.92 (1)	FT Rate Allowed	23.06 (4)
24.88 (15)	OReb%	29.43 (1)
23.68 (11)	OReb% Allowed	23.94 (12)
12.2 (2)	TO Rate	13.86 (20)
12.29 (27)	TO Rate Forced	13.83 (15)

Scoring

Celtics (last 56 games)		Knicks (last 56 games)
120.57 (5)	PPG	112.79 (23)
109.13 (3)	PPG Allowed	108.21 (2)
15.5 (25)	Pts off TO	16.67 (12)
13.28 (1)	Pts off TO Allowed	14.9 (6)
14.45 (11)	2nd Chance Pts	16.32 (4)
13.65 (12)	2nd Chance Pts Allowed	12.29 (2)
15.38 (9)	Fast Break Pts	14.74 (12)
12.95 (5)	Fast Break Pts Allowed	13.79 (11)

Inside the Arc

Celtics (last 56 games)		Knicks (last 56 games)
38.65 (29)	Paint Attempts	43.65 (19)
43.72 (13)	Paint Attempts Allowed	41.15 (4)
60.87 (2)	Paint FG%	56.05 (21)
54.56 (4)	Paint FG% Allowed	57.02 (14)
9.1 (24)	Mid-Range Attempts	9.22 (21)
11.26 (27)	Mid-Range Attempts Allowed	10.24 (15)
0.43 (11)	Mid-Range FG%	0.39 (22)
0.42 (17)	Mid-Range FG% Allowed	0.42 (15)

Three Point Shooting

Celtics (last 56 games)		Knicks (last 56 games)
9.32 (12)	Corner 3 Attempts	10.2 (6)
7.73 (7)	Corner 3 Attempts Allowed	9.99 (24)
43.06 (2)	Corner 3 FG%	40.67 (10)
35.17 (1)	Corner 3 FG% Allowed	39.68 (16)
33 (1)	ATB3 Attempts	25.52 (15)
28.67 (30)	ATB3 Attempts Allowed	24.12 (6)
37.73 (5)	ATB3 FG%	35.45 (20)
35.56 (13)	ATB3 FG% Allowed	35.54 (12)

Straight Up Records (SU)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Celtics 1h	44-12-0	21-8-0	0-0-0	22-3-0	1-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Celtics	44-12	26-3	0-0	17-8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
Knicks 1h	29-24-3	14-4-2	3-3-0	8-5-0	4-11-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Knicks	34-22	16-4	3-3	9-4	6-10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Celtics 1h	39-16-1	19-10-0	0-0-0	19-5-1	1-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Celtics	26-28-2	15-14-0	0-0-0	10-13-2	1-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Knicks 1h	23-31-2	8-12-0	3-3-0	6-7-0	6-8-2	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Knicks	31-24-1	12-8-0	3-2-1	9-4-0	7-9-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Over/Under Records (OU)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Celtics 1h	28-27-1	16-13-0	0-0-0	11-13-1	1-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Celtics	28-27-1	15-14-0	0-0-0	12-12-1	1-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Knicks 1h	20-36-0	7-13-0	0-6-0	4-9-0	9-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Knicks	23-33-0	7-13-0	2-4-0	4-9-0	10-6-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Team Total Records (TT)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Celtics 1h	31-24-1	19-10-0	0-0-0	11-13-1	1-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Celtics	29-27-0	17-12-0	0-0-0	11-14-0	1-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Knicks 1h	23-32-1	6-13-1	3-3-0	5-8-0	9-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Knicks	28-28-0	10-10-0	3-3-0	6-7-0	9-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Celtics 1h	21-34-1	11-18-0	0-0-0	8-16-1	2-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Celtics	28-28-0	15-14-0	0-0-0	12-13-0	1-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Knicks 1h	18-37-1	6-13-1	0-6-0	4-9-0	8-8-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Knicks	22-34-0	7-13-0	2-4-0	4-9-0	8-8-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

ATS Range Records

Team	Dog 10+	Dog 7-10	Dog 2.5-7	Within 2.5	Fav 2.5-7	Fav 7-10	Fav 10+
Knicks	0-0-0 (-)	0-2-0 (0%)	6-9-1 (40%)	9-2-0 (81.8%)	4-8-0 (33.3%)	8-0-0 (100%)	4-3-0 (57.1%)
Celtics	0-0-0 (-)	0-0-0 (-)	1-1-0 (50%)	0-0-0 (-)	6-10-1 (37.5%)	8-9-1 (47.1%)	10-8-1 (55.6%)