Angels @ Royals [ Royals -154 / 9.5 ]

Angels | 66-73 (47.5%) Kyle Hendricks (R) | 6-9 | WHIP: 1.31 | ERA: 4.89
Royals | 69-69 (50%) Noah Cameron (L) | 7-6 | WHIP: 1.09 | ERA: 2.92

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Angels
Starting Pitcher:
0/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-7
Est. fair odds: +247 to +283
Implied win prob: 26.11% to 28.82%
Royals
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
3/3
Matchup:7
Est. fair odds: -247 to -283
Implied win prob: 71.18% to 73.89%
Angels Situational Notes

Royals Situational Notes
Baller Systems
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Angels Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/5LAA [ 0 ]TBD (-)LAA -
ATH -		-ATH [ 0 ]Mason Barnett (R)
9/4KCR [ 0 ]Noah Cameron (L)LAA +130
KCR -154		9.5LAA [ 0 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)
9/3KCR [ 3 ]Ryan Bergert (R)LAA +144
KCR -168		9LAA [ 4 ]Caden Dana (R)
9/2KCR [ 1 ]Michael Lorenzen (R)LAA +132
KCR -168		9LAA [ 5 ]Mitch Farris (L)
9/1HOU [ 8 ]Luis Garcia (R)LAA +124
HOU -164		8.5LAA [ 3 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)
8/31HOU [ 0 ]Hunter Brown (R)LAA +134
HOU -158		7.5LAA [ 3 ]Jose Soriano (R)
8/30HOU [ 1 ]Spencer Arrighetti (R)LAA +140
HOU -165		9LAA [ 4 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)
8/29HOU [ 2 ]Cristian Javier (R)LAA +142
HOU -162		9LAA [ 0 ]Tyler Anderson (L)
8/27TEX [ 20 ]Jacob Latz (L)LAA +132
TEX -162		9.5LAA [ 3 ]Jack Kochanowicz (R)
8/26TEX [ 7 ]Patrick Corbin (L)LAA -110
TEX -112		8.5LAA [ 3 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)
Royals Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/5KCR [ 0 ]Michael Wacha (R)KCR -
MIN -		-MIN [ 0 ]TBD (-)
9/4KCR [ 0 ]Noah Cameron (L)KCR -154
LAA +130		9.5LAA [ 0 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)
9/3KCR [ 3 ]Ryan Bergert (R)KCR -178
LAA +138		9LAA [ 4 ]Caden Dana (R)
9/2KCR [ 1 ]Michael Lorenzen (R)KCR -156
LAA +142		9LAA [ 5 ]Mitch Farris (L)
8/31KCR [ 0 ]Michael Wacha (R)KCR +146
DET -172		7DET [ 5 ]Tarik Skubal (L)
8/30KCR [ 3 ]Stephen Kolek (R)KCR +108
DET -120		9DET [ 1 ]Jack Flaherty (R)
8/29KCR [ 3 ]Seth Lugo (R)KCR -120
DET -100		9DET [ 5 ]Chris Paddack (R)
8/27CHW [ 1 ]Aaron Civale (R)KCR -124
CHW +112		8.5KCR [ 12 ]Ryan Bergert (R)
8/26CHW [ 4 ]Martin Perez (L)KCR -118
CHW -100		8.5KCR [ 5 ]Michael Lorenzen (R)
8/25CHW [ 7 ]Shane Smith (R)KCR -134
CHW +116		8.5KCR [ 0 ]Noah Cameron (L)

Kyle Hendricks Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/30HOU [ 1 ]LAA [ 4 ]14096207011Spencer Arrighetti (R)
8/24LAA [ 3 ]CHC [ 4 ]1229.50000000Jameson Taillon (R)
8/19LAA [ 4 ]CIN [ 6 ]1228.50000000Hunter Greene (R)
8/13LAA [ 6 ]LAD [ 5 ]17293.33436155Shohei Ohtani (R)
8/8DET [ 6 ]LAA [ 5 ]2407.55605133Tarik Skubal (L)
2.872.40.63.60.41.81.8
Noah Cameron Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/25CHW [ 7 ]KCR [ 0 ]-1348.55008266Shane Smith (R)
8/20KCR [ 3 ]TEX [ 6 ]-1368.50000000Caleb Boushley (R)
8/15KCR [ 3 ]CHW [ 1 ]-18895.33226111Aaron Civale (R)
8/9MIN [ 0 ]KCR [ 2 ]-1188.55.67426000Bailey Ober (R)
8/2TOR [ 4 ]KCR [ 2 ]12086.33116044Max Scherzer (R)
4.471.415.20.62.22.2
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Kyle Hendricks F511-12-3 (47.8%)0-3-1 (0%)0-0-0 (-)4-5-0 (44.4%)6-4-2 (60%)
Kyle Hendricks12-14 (46.2%)2-2 (50%)0-0 (-)5-4 (55.6%)5-7 (41.7%)
Noah Cameron F512-5-2 (70.6%)6-0-1 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)1-2-0 (33.3%)4-2-1 (66.7%)
Noah Cameron8-11 (42.1%)4-3 (57.1%)1-1 (50%)1-2 (33.3%)2-5 (28.6%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Kyle Hendricks F511-13-1 (45.8%)0-4-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)4-5-0 (44.4%)6-4-1 (60%)
Kyle Hendricks12-13-1 (48%)2-2-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)3-5-1 (37.5%)6-6-0 (50%)
Noah Cameron F56-13-0 (31.6%)2-5-0 (28.6%)1-1-0 (50%)2-1-0 (66.7%)1-6-0 (14.3%)
Noah Cameron5-14-0 (26.3%)2-5-0 (28.6%)0-2-0 (0%)1-2-0 (33.3%)2-5-0 (28.6%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Angels vs. LHP F59-13-3 (40.9%)2-5-0 (28.6%)0-1-0 (0%)1-3-0 (25%)6-4-3 (60%)
Angels vs. LHP11-14 (44%)3-4 (42.9%)0-1 (0%)1-3 (25%)7-6 (53.8%)
Royals vs. RHP F544-50-18 (46.8%)15-14-7 (51.7%)4-5-2 (44.4%)4-12-3 (25%)21-19-5 (52.5%)
Royals vs. RHP55-57 (49.1%)20-16 (55.6%)5-6 (45.5%)7-12 (36.8%)23-22 (51.1%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Angels vs. LHP F512-9-0 (57.1%)4-3-0 (57.1%)0-1-0 (0%)0-4-0 (0%)8-1-0 (88.9%)
Angels vs. LHP16-7-2 (69.6%)6-1-0 (85.7%)0-1-0 (0%)1-3-0 (25%)9-2-2 (81.8%)
Royals vs. RHP F538-63-5 (37.6%)10-22-2 (31.3%)5-4-1 (55.6%)7-12-0 (36.8%)16-24-2 (40%)
Royals vs. RHP49-63-0 (43.8%)14-22-0 (38.9%)6-5-0 (54.5%)7-12-0 (36.8%)22-23-0 (48.9%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Kyle Hendricks16-9 (64%)1-3 (25%)0-0 (-)7-2 (77.8%)8-4 (66.7%)
Angels74-63 (54%)9-18 (33.3%)0-4 (0%)28-13 (68.3%)37-28 (56.9%)
Noah Cameron10-9 (52.6%)3-4 (42.9%)1-1 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)4-3 (57.1%)
Royals69-69 (50%)16-31 (34%)6-7 (46.2%)12-12 (50%)35-19 (64.8%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Kyle Hendricks10-16 (38.5%)1-3 (25%)0-0 (-)6-3 (66.7%)3-9 (25%)
Angels79-60 (56.8%)11-16 (40.7%)1-3 (25%)28-13 (68.3%)38-27 (58.5%)
Noah Cameron11-8 (57.9%)4-3 (57.1%)1-1 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)4-3 (57.1%)
Royals58-81 (41.7%)20-27 (42.6%)6-7 (46.2%)8-16 (33.3%)23-31 (42.6%)


Batting Matchup
AngelsRoyals
139TG139
4.3R/G3.8
194HR132
0.228AVG0.245
73SB99
25CS41
AngelsRoyals
0.173ISO0.147
0.278BABIP0.279
0.302OBP0.306
0.401SLG0.392
0.306wOBA0.304
93wRC+90
AngelsRoyals
8.2BB%7.1
26.4K%18.4
0.31BB/K0.39
10.6Barrel%7.6
40.1HardHit%40.3
8.1WAR10.6

Pitching Matchup
Kyle HendricksNoah Cameron
26G19
26GS19
136.1IP108
5.2IP/G5.7
6W7
9L6
68.6LOB%83.7
Kyle HendricksNoah Cameron
5.88K/96.92
2.44BB/92.58
9K/BB%11.9
37.5GB%40.5
44FB%39.9
1.39HR/91.08
10.7HR/FB%10.3
Kyle HendricksNoah Cameron
0.283BABIP0.24
4.89ERA2.92
4.15xERA3.54
4.76FIP4.11
4.98xFIP4.34
1.31WHIP1.09
4.91SIERA4.46
1.3WAR1.6

Bullpen Matchup
AngelsRoyals
3.47BPU/G3.35
3.6IP/G3.5
38W31
24L22
33SV41
28BS18
71.5LOB%73.6
AngelsRoyals
8.94K/97.78
4.15BB/93.11
12.2K/BB%12.3
39GB%44.6
41.9FB%36.1
1.42HR/90.93
13.3HR/FB%9.7
AngelsRoyals
0.295BABIP0.286
4.78ERA3.64
4.68FIP3.91
4.45xFIP4.2
1.42WHIP1.27
4.08SIERA3.97
0.2WAR3.8