Dodgers @ Pirates [ Pirates +106 / 7 ]

Dodgers | 76-61 (55.5%) Blake Snell (L) | 3-3 | WHIP: 1.37 | ERA: 2.41
Pirates | 63-76 (45.3%) Paul Skenes (R) | 9-9 | WHIP: 0.95 | ERA: 2.05

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Dodgers
Starting Pitcher:
0/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:-4
Est. fair odds: +163 to +187
Implied win prob: 34.84% to 38.02%
Pirates
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
3/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:4
Est. fair odds: -163 to -187
Implied win prob: 61.98% to 65.16%
Dodgers Situational Notes

Pirates Situational Notes

Dodgers Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/5BAL [ 0 ]Dean Kremer (R)LAD -
BAL -		-LAD [ 0 ]TBD (-)
9/4PIT [ 0 ]Paul Skenes (R)LAD -124
PIT +106		7LAD [ 0 ]Blake Snell (L)
9/3PIT [ 3 ]Braxton Ashcraft (R)LAD -172
PIT +144		8LAD [ 0 ]Emmet Sheehan (R)
9/2PIT [ 9 ]Carmen Mlodzinski (R)LAD -168
PIT +150		8.5LAD [ 7 ]Clayton Kershaw (L)
8/31LAD [ 5 ]Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)LAD -230
ARI +188		9.5ARI [ 4 ]Brandon Pfaadt (R)
8/30LAD [ 1 ]Tyler Glasnow (R)LAD -215
ARI +185		8.5ARI [ 6 ]Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
8/29LAD [ 0 ]Blake Snell (L)LAD -196
ARI +198		8.5ARI [ 3 ]Zac Gallen (R)
8/27LAD [ 5 ]Shohei Ohtani (R)LAD -205
CIN +142		8.5CIN [ 1 ]Nick Lodolo (L)
8/26LAD [ 6 ]Clayton Kershaw (L)LAD -188
CIN +158		9CIN [ 3 ]Nick Martinez (R)
8/25LAD [ 7 ]Emmet Sheehan (R)LAD -142
CIN +122		8.5CIN [ 0 ]Hunter Greene (R)
Pirates Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/5PIT [ 0 ]TBD (-)PIT -
MIL -		-MIL [ 0 ]Quinn Priester (R)
9/4PIT [ 0 ]Paul Skenes (R)PIT +106
LAD -124		7LAD [ 0 ]Blake Snell (L)
9/3PIT [ 3 ]Braxton Ashcraft (R)PIT +144
LAD -164		8LAD [ 0 ]Emmet Sheehan (R)
9/2PIT [ 9 ]Carmen Mlodzinski (R)PIT +142
LAD -172		8.5LAD [ 7 ]Clayton Kershaw (L)
8/31BOS [ 5 ]Lucas Giolito (R)PIT +144
BOS -172		8.5PIT [ 2 ]Mitch Keller (R)
8/30BOS [ 3 ]Dustin May (R)PIT +146
BOS -190		9PIT [ 10 ]Johan Oviedo (R)
8/29BOS [ 2 ]Payton Tolle (L)PIT -100
BOS -118		8PIT [ 4 ]Paul Skenes (R)
8/28STL [ 4 ]Miles Mikolas (R)PIT +104
STL -120		8.5PIT [ 1 ]Braxton Ashcraft (R)
8/27STL [ 1 ]Sonny Gray (R)PIT +150
STL -174		7.5PIT [ 2 ]Carmen Mlodzinski (R)
8/26STL [ 3 ]Andre Pallante (R)PIT +110
STL -126		8PIT [ 8 ]Mitch Keller (R)

Blake Snell Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/29LAD [ 0 ]ARI [ 3 ]-1968.55.33834133Zac Gallen (R)
8/22SDP [ 2 ]LAD [ 1 ]-12580000000Yu Darvish (R)
8/16LAD [ 6 ]SDP [ 0 ]-13286325000Dylan Cease (R)
8/9LAD [ 9 ]TOR [ 1 ]-1628.551033000Chris Bassitt (R)
8/2TBR [ 4 ]LAD [ 0 ]-1208.55805233Drew Rasmussen (R)
4.275.81.63.40.61.21.2
Paul Skenes Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/29BOS [ 2 ]PIT [ 4 ]-10086617112Payton Tolle (L)
8/24PIT [ 4 ]COL [ 0 ]-3507.50000000McCade Brown (R)
8/18PIT [ 5 ]TOR [ 2 ]-11276815022Kevin Gausman (R)
8/12MIL [ 14 ]PIT [ 0 ]-10274426244Freddy Peralta (R)
8/7PIT [ 7 ]CIN [ 0 ]-1727.56807000Brady Singer (R)
4.45.20.850.61.41.6
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Blake Snell F53-4-0 (42.9%)3-2-0 (60%)0-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Blake Snell4-3 (57.1%)4-1 (80%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Paul Skenes F512-8-8 (60%)6-3-4 (66.7%)4-1-1 (80%)0-0-0 (-)2-3-3 (40%)
Paul Skenes15-13 (53.6%)9-4 (69.2%)2-4 (33.3%)0-0 (-)4-4 (50%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Blake Snell F53-4-0 (42.9%)3-2-0 (60%)0-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Blake Snell3-4-0 (42.9%)3-2-0 (60%)0-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Paul Skenes F57-17-3 (29.2%)4-7-1 (36.4%)1-4-1 (20%)0-0-0 (-)1-6-1 (14.3%)
Paul Skenes9-16-3 (36%)4-7-2 (36.4%)3-3-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)2-5-1 (28.6%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dodgers vs. RHP F544-38-18 (53.7%)25-18-8 (58.1%)13-15-10 (46.4%)1-0-0 (100%)5-5-0 (50%)
Dodgers vs. RHP59-41 (59%)34-17 (66.7%)20-18 (52.6%)1-0 (100%)4-6 (40%)
Pirates vs. LHP F58-12-10 (40%)2-1-1 (66.7%)2-0-1 (100%)4-4-3 (50%)0-7-5 (0%)
Pirates vs. LHP12-18 (40%)3-1 (75%)1-2 (33.3%)6-5 (54.5%)2-10 (16.7%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dodgers vs. RHP F544-43-8 (50.6%)23-20-3 (53.5%)15-19-4 (44.1%)1-0-0 (100%)5-4-1 (55.6%)
Dodgers vs. RHP47-52-1 (47.5%)25-25-1 (50%)17-21-0 (44.7%)1-0-0 (100%)4-6-0 (40%)
Pirates vs. LHP F514-16-0 (46.7%)1-3-0 (25%)1-2-0 (33.3%)6-5-0 (54.5%)6-6-0 (50%)
Pirates vs. LHP13-16-1 (44.8%)1-3-0 (25%)2-1-0 (66.7%)6-5-0 (54.5%)4-7-1 (36.4%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Blake Snell2-5 (28.6%)2-3 (40%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Dodgers61-80 (43.3%)29-41 (41.4%)20-33 (37.7%)2-0 (100%)8-6 (57.1%)
Paul Skenes15-12 (55.6%)6-7 (46.2%)2-4 (33.3%)0-0 (-)7-1 (87.5%)
Pirates75-62 (54.7%)13-18 (41.9%)3-7 (30%)26-12 (68.4%)33-25 (56.9%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Blake Snell3-4 (42.9%)2-3 (40%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Dodgers78-63 (55.3%)40-30 (57.1%)32-21 (60.4%)2-0 (100%)4-10 (28.6%)
Paul Skenes6-22 (21.4%)3-10 (23.1%)1-5 (16.7%)0-0 (-)2-6 (25%)
Pirates60-80 (42.9%)10-21 (32.3%)4-6 (40%)20-18 (52.6%)25-33 (43.1%)


Batting Matchup
DodgersPirates
139TG140
5.1R/G3.7
204HR102
0.252AVG0.234
78SB104
23CS31
DodgersPirates
0.184ISO0.119
0.291BABIP0.294
0.329OBP0.308
0.437SLG0.353
0.331wOBA0.292
112wRC+83
DodgersPirates
9.7BB%8.9
22.1K%23.4
0.44BB/K0.38
9.9Barrel%7.9
41.9HardHit%40.6
23.6WAR6.4

Pitching Matchup
Blake SnellPaul Skenes
7G28
7GS28
37.1IP167
5.3IP/G6
3W9
3L9
76.9LOB%81.5
Blake SnellPaul Skenes
9.16K/910.08
4.34BB/92.05
12.7K/BB%22.8
45.4GB%44.2
29.9FB%36.3
0.72HR/90.54
10.3HR/FB%6.5
Blake SnellPaul Skenes
0.303BABIP0.269
2.41ERA2.05
3.88xERA2.59
3.59FIP2.47
3.74xFIP3.1
1.37WHIP0.95
4.29SIERA3.18
0.7WAR5.5

Bullpen Matchup
DodgersPirates
3.55BPU/G3.1
4.1IP/G3.7
38W31
26L31
37SV32
20BS19
72.7LOB%70.6
DodgersPirates
9.09K/98.24
3.5BB/93.22
14.4K/BB%13.2
39.5GB%41.5
40.5FB%39
1.1HR/90.87
10.8HR/FB%8.7
DodgersPirates
0.305BABIP0.282
4.21ERA4.08
4.06FIP3.84
4.21xFIP4.28
1.34WHIP1.24
3.8SIERA3.92
5.2WAR4