Phillies @ Brewers [ Brewers -124 / 7.5 ]

Phillies | 80-59 (57.6%) Ranger Suarez (L) | 10-6 | WHIP: 1.17 | ERA: 3.02
Brewers | 87-54 (61.7%) Freddy Peralta (R) | 16-5 | WHIP: 1.07 | ERA: 2.58

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Phillies
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:3
Est. fair odds: -142 to -162
Implied win prob: 58.68% to 61.83%
Brewers
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-3
Est. fair odds: +142 to +162
Implied win prob: 38.17% to 41.32%
Phillies Situational Notes

Brewers Situational Notes

Phillies Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/5MIA [ 0 ]TBD (-)PHI -
MIA -		-PHI [ 0 ]TBD (-)
9/4MIL [ 0 ]Freddy Peralta (R)PHI +108
MIL -124		7.5PHI [ 0 ]Ranger Suarez (L)
9/3MIL [ 6 ]Jose Quintana (L)PHI +102
MIL +102		9PHI [ 3 ]Aaron Nola (R)
9/1MIL [ 8 ]Jacob Misiorowski (R)PHI +136
MIL -154		8.5PHI [ 10 ]Taijuan Walker (R)
8/31PHI [ 1 ]Jesus Luzardo (L)PHI -162
ATL +136		8.5ATL [ 3 ]Hurston Waldrep (R)
8/30PHI [ 3 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)PHI -142
ATL +120		7.5ATL [ 2 ]Chris Sale (L)
8/29PHI [ 2 ]Ranger Suarez (L)PHI -190
ATL +164		9ATL [ 1 ]Bryce Elder (R)
8/28PHI [ 19 ]Aaron Nola (R)PHI -188
ATL +144		9.5ATL [ 4 ]Cal Quantrill (R)
8/27NYM [ 6 ]Nolan McLean (R)PHI +130
NYM -158		8.5PHI [ 0 ]Taijuan Walker (R)
8/26NYM [ 6 ]Sean Manaea (L)PHI -108
NYM -104		8.5PHI [ 5 ]Jesus Luzardo (L)
Brewers Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/5PIT [ 0 ]TBD (-)MIL -
PIT -		-MIL [ 0 ]Quinn Priester (R)
9/4MIL [ 0 ]Freddy Peralta (R)MIL -124
PHI +108		7.5PHI [ 0 ]Ranger Suarez (L)
9/3MIL [ 6 ]Jose Quintana (L)MIL -120
PHI -120		9PHI [ 3 ]Aaron Nola (R)
9/1MIL [ 8 ]Jacob Misiorowski (R)MIL -162
PHI +128		8.5PHI [ 10 ]Taijuan Walker (R)
8/31TOR [ 8 ]Max Scherzer (R)MIL -116
TOR -102		7.5MIL [ 4 ]Brandon Woodruff (R)
8/30TOR [ 1 ]Kevin Gausman (R)MIL +120
TOR -135		8.5MIL [ 4 ]Quinn Priester (R)
8/29TOR [ 2 ]Shane Bieber (R)MIL +116
TOR -136		7.5MIL [ 7 ]Freddy Peralta (R)
8/28MIL [ 4 ]Jose Quintana (L)MIL -168
ARI +132		8.5ARI [ 6 ]Nabil Crismatt (R)
8/27MIL [ 2 ]Aaron Ashby (L)MIL -142
ARI +116		8.5ARI [ 3 ]Ryne Nelson (R)
8/26MIL [ 9 ]Jacob Misiorowski (R)MIL -156
ARI +144		8ARI [ 8 ]Brandon Pfaadt (R)

Ranger Suarez Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/29PHI [ 2 ]ATL [ 1 ]-190952110011Bryce Elder (R)
8/24PHI [ 3 ]WSN [ 2 ]-2909.50000000Jake Irvin (R)
8/18PHI [ 12 ]SEA [ 7 ]-10886.671004122Logan Gilbert (R)
8/12CIN [ 6 ]PHI [ 1 ]-15495.333210166Brady Singer (R)
8/6PHI [ 1 ]BAL [ 5 ]-15886.33309155Trevor Rogers (L)
4.673.60.66.60.62.82.8
Freddy Peralta Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/29TOR [ 2 ]MIL [ 7 ]1167.56811000Shane Bieber (R)
8/23MIL [ 1 ]SFG [ 7 ]-1327.50000000Logan Webb (R)
8/18CHC [ 0 ]MIL [ 7 ]1088.56631000Cade Horton (R)
8/18CHC [ 0 ]MIL [ 0 ]10290000000Cade Horton (R)
8/12MIL [ 14 ]PIT [ 0 ]-11676713000Paul Skenes (R)
3.64.211000
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Ranger Suarez F511-6-4 (64.7%)5-4-2 (55.6%)4-2-1 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-1 (100%)
Ranger Suarez13-8 (61.9%)7-4 (63.6%)4-3 (57.1%)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)
Freddy Peralta F513-7-8 (65%)6-2-4 (75%)2-2-0 (50%)1-0-1 (100%)4-3-3 (57.1%)
Freddy Peralta18-10 (64.3%)8-4 (66.7%)3-1 (75%)2-0 (100%)5-5 (50%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Ranger Suarez F54-12-2 (25%)3-6-0 (33.3%)1-4-1 (20%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)
Ranger Suarez6-13-2 (31.6%)5-6-0 (45.5%)1-5-1 (16.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)
Freddy Peralta F510-16-1 (38.5%)5-7-0 (41.7%)2-2-0 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)2-6-1 (25%)
Freddy Peralta14-13-1 (51.9%)6-5-1 (54.5%)2-2-0 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)5-5-0 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Phillies vs. RHP F552-30-16 (63.4%)24-8-8 (75%)19-12-3 (61.3%)4-3-0 (57.1%)3-7-5 (30%)
Phillies vs. RHP60-38 (61.2%)29-11 (72.5%)19-15 (55.9%)3-4 (42.9%)7-8 (46.7%)
Brewers vs. LHP F524-13-6 (64.9%)11-3-2 (78.6%)4-1-0 (80%)3-3-1 (50%)6-6-3 (50%)
Brewers vs. LHP29-14 (67.4%)13-3 (81.3%)4-1 (80%)4-3 (57.1%)8-7 (53.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Phillies vs. RHP F537-51-3 (42%)17-21-0 (44.7%)12-17-2 (41.4%)5-2-0 (71.4%)2-11-0 (15.4%)
Phillies vs. RHP40-52-6 (43.5%)19-20-1 (48.7%)12-19-3 (38.7%)5-2-0 (71.4%)4-11-0 (26.7%)
Brewers vs. LHP F520-18-4 (52.6%)10-5-1 (66.7%)4-0-1 (100%)2-3-2 (40%)4-10-0 (28.6%)
Brewers vs. LHP23-20-0 (53.5%)11-5-0 (68.8%)3-2-0 (60%)4-3-0 (57.1%)5-10-0 (33.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Ranger Suarez10-10 (50%)4-7 (36.4%)4-3 (57.1%)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)
Phillies68-69 (49.6%)28-31 (47.5%)23-29 (44.2%)3-4 (42.9%)14-5 (73.7%)
Freddy Peralta16-12 (57.1%)5-7 (41.7%)3-1 (75%)2-0 (100%)6-4 (60%)
Brewers78-62 (55.7%)20-32 (38.5%)11-12 (47.8%)10-8 (55.6%)37-10 (78.7%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Ranger Suarez4-17 (19%)2-9 (18.2%)2-5 (28.6%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)
Phillies61-78 (43.9%)27-32 (45.8%)21-31 (40.4%)3-4 (42.9%)9-10 (47.4%)
Freddy Peralta10-18 (35.7%)3-9 (25%)1-3 (25%)1-1 (50%)5-5 (50%)
Brewers64-80 (44.4%)18-34 (34.6%)15-8 (65.2%)10-8 (55.6%)20-27 (42.6%)


Batting Matchup
PhilliesBrewers
139TG140
4.8R/G5.1
172HR152
0.258AVG0.259
114SB144
24CS48
PhilliesBrewers
0.166ISO0.15
0.302BABIP0.304
0.328OBP0.333
0.424SLG0.409
0.327wOBA0.324
107wRC+108
PhilliesBrewers
8.6BB%9
21.2K%20.4
0.41BB/K0.44
8.8Barrel%6.5
42.5HardHit%39.1
22.1WAR25.5

Pitching Matchup
Ranger SuarezFreddy Peralta
21G28
21GS28
131IP153.2
6.2IP/G5.5
10W16
6L5
78.6LOB%85.1
Ranger SuarezFreddy Peralta
8.52K/99.84
2.06BB/93.4
17.5K/BB%17.5
45.9GB%37.7
36.5FB%44.9
0.69HR/90.94
7.3HR/FB%9.1
Ranger SuarezFreddy Peralta
0.308BABIP0.241
3.02ERA2.58
3.06xERA3.41
3.06FIP3.61
3.68xFIP4.01
1.17WHIP1.07
3.73SIERA3.84
3.6WAR3.2

Bullpen Matchup
PhilliesBrewers
3.12BPU/G3.39
3.2IP/G3.9
29W32
21L22
38SV40
22BS18
71.1LOB%71.2
PhilliesBrewers
8.84K/98.72
3.31BB/93.38
14.3K/BB%14.1
38.8GB%43.6
40.3FB%37.6
1.24HR/90.91
12HR/FB%9.6
PhilliesBrewers
0.293BABIP0.286
4.35ERA3.82
4.18FIP3.76
4.15xFIP4.06
1.32WHIP1.25
3.81SIERA3.79
3WAR4.9