Yankees @ Astros [ Astros +120 / 9 ]

Yankees | 77-62 (55.4%) Carlos Rodon (L) | 15-7 | WHIP: 1.08 | ERA: 3.18
Astros | 77-63 (55%) Cristian Javier (R) | 1-1 | WHIP: 1.13 | ERA: 3.38

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Yankees
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
3/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:2
Est. fair odds: -125 to -141
Implied win prob: 55.56% to 58.51%
Astros
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-2
Est. fair odds: +125 to +141
Implied win prob: 41.49% to 44.44%
Yankees Situational Notes
Game off giving up a walk-off win

Astros Situational Notes
Game off a walk-off win
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)

Yankees Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/5NYY [ 0 ]TBD (-)NYY -
TOR -		-TOR [ 0 ]Kevin Gausman (R)
9/4HOU [ 0 ]Cristian Javier (R)NYY -142
HOU +120		9NYY [ 0 ]Carlos Rodon (L)
9/3HOU [ 8 ]Jason Alexander (R)NYY -126
HOU +120		9NYY [ 7 ]Will Warren (R)
9/2HOU [ 1 ]Framber Valdez (L)NYY -118
HOU +108		7.5NYY [ 7 ]Max Fried (L)
8/31CHW [ 3 ]Martin Perez (L)NYY -180
CHW +148		8.5NYY [ 2 ]Luis Gil (R)
8/30CHW [ 3 ]Shane Smith (R)NYY -215
CHW +170		8.5NYY [ 5 ]Cam Schlittler (R)
8/29CHW [ 2 ]Yoendrys Gomez (R)NYY -225
CHW +184		9NYY [ 10 ]Carlos Rodon (L)
8/28CHW [ 4 ]Davis Martin (R)NYY -196
CHW +160		9NYY [ 10 ]Will Warren (R)
8/27NYY [ 11 ]Max Fried (L)NYY -270
WSN +235		8.5WSN [ 2 ]Cade Cavalli (R)
8/26NYY [ 5 ]Luis Gil (R)NYY -184
WSN +164		9WSN [ 1 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)
Astros Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/5TEX [ 0 ]Merrill Kelly (R)HOU -
TEX -		-HOU [ 0 ]TBD (-)
9/4HOU [ 0 ]Cristian Javier (R)HOU +120
NYY -142		9NYY [ 0 ]Carlos Rodon (L)
9/3HOU [ 8 ]Jason Alexander (R)HOU +108
NYY -142		9NYY [ 7 ]Will Warren (R)
9/2HOU [ 1 ]Framber Valdez (L)HOU -100
NYY -126		7.5NYY [ 7 ]Max Fried (L)
9/1HOU [ 8 ]Luis Garcia (R)HOU -146
LAA +138		8.5LAA [ 3 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)
8/31HOU [ 0 ]Hunter Brown (R)HOU -158
LAA +134		7.5LAA [ 3 ]Jose Soriano (R)
8/30HOU [ 1 ]Spencer Arrighetti (R)HOU -164
LAA +140		9LAA [ 4 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)
8/29HOU [ 2 ]Cristian Javier (R)HOU -168
LAA +136		9LAA [ 0 ]Tyler Anderson (L)
8/28HOU [ 4 ]Jason Alexander (R)HOU -240
COL +205		9COL [ 3 ]Kyle Freeland (L)
8/27HOU [ 4 ]Framber Valdez (L)HOU -310
COL +225		8COL [ 0 ]Chase Dollander (R)

Carlos Rodon Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/29CHW [ 2 ]NYY [ 10 ]-22596527011Yoendrys Gomez (R)
8/24NYY [ 7 ]BOS [ 2 ]-1688.50000000Dustin May (R)
8/19TBR [ 3 ]NYY [ 13 ]-1428.50000000Shane Baz (R)
8/12NYY [ 9 ]MIN [ 1 ]-22097521011Travis Adams (R)
8/6TEX [ 2 ]NYY [ 3 ]-13885346022Jack Leiter (R)
3.62.61.62.800.80.8
Cristian Javier Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/29HOU [ 2 ]LAA [ 0 ]-16896630000Tyler Anderson (L)
8/23BAL [ 8 ]HOU [ 9 ]10290000000Dean Kremer (R)
8/17HOU [ 0 ]BAL [ 12 ]-1228.53203011Dean Kremer (R)
8/11HOU [ 7 ]BOS [ 6 ]1467.55523122Garrett Crochet (L)
5/21HOU [ 6 ]LAA [ 5 ]-19694138144Griffin Canning (R)
3.62.81.62.80.41.41.4
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Carlos Rodon F519-6-2 (76%)10-1-0 (90.9%)8-5-2 (61.5%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)
Carlos Rodon15-12 (55.6%)7-4 (63.6%)7-8 (46.7%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)
Cristian Javier F51-1-2 (50%)0-1-1 (0%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-1 (-)
Cristian Javier3-1 (75%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Carlos Rodon F515-10-2 (60%)5-5-1 (50%)9-5-1 (64.3%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)
Carlos Rodon11-15-1 (42.3%)4-6-1 (40%)7-8-0 (46.7%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)
Cristian Javier F53-1-0 (75%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)
Cristian Javier3-1-0 (75%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yankees vs. RHP F562-31-17 (66.7%)30-12-9 (71.4%)22-16-6 (57.9%)3-1-0 (75%)7-2-1 (77.8%)
Yankees vs. RHP63-47 (57.3%)31-20 (60.8%)24-20 (54.5%)3-1 (75%)4-6 (40%)
Astros vs. LHP F512-10-6 (54.5%)4-5-3 (44.4%)5-3-1 (62.5%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-2 (100%)
Astros vs. LHP18-10 (64.3%)8-4 (66.7%)7-2 (77.8%)1-1 (50%)1-2 (33.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yankees vs. RHP F550-48-6 (51%)16-26-5 (38.1%)26-16-1 (61.9%)3-1-0 (75%)4-5-0 (44.4%)
Yankees vs. RHP53-53-4 (50%)21-29-1 (42%)24-19-1 (55.8%)3-1-0 (75%)5-4-1 (55.6%)
Astros vs. LHP F512-15-0 (44.4%)6-6-0 (50%)3-5-0 (37.5%)2-0-0 (100%)0-3-0 (0%)
Astros vs. LHP12-16-0 (42.9%)5-7-0 (41.7%)4-5-0 (44.4%)2-0-0 (100%)0-3-0 (0%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Carlos Rodon10-17 (37%)5-6 (45.5%)4-11 (26.7%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)
Yankees65-73 (47.1%)31-31 (50%)23-34 (40.4%)3-3 (50%)8-5 (61.5%)
Cristian Javier3-1 (75%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)
Astros68-68 (50%)20-40 (33.3%)13-18 (41.9%)9-2 (81.8%)26-8 (76.5%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Carlos Rodon12-15 (44.4%)6-5 (54.5%)6-9 (40%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)
Yankees75-65 (53.6%)34-28 (54.8%)29-28 (50.9%)2-4 (33.3%)9-4 (69.2%)
Cristian Javier2-2 (50%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)
Astros63-79 (44.4%)23-37 (38.3%)14-17 (45.2%)6-5 (54.5%)17-17 (50%)


Batting Matchup
YankeesAstros
139TG140
5.3R/G4.2
239HR154
0.251AVG0.253
112SB71
28CS24
YankeesAstros
0.208ISO0.147
0.287BABIP0.297
0.331OBP0.319
0.458SLG0.4
0.338wOBA0.314
118wRC+100
YankeesAstros
10.1BB%7.9
23K%21.1
0.44BB/K0.38
11.6Barrel%7.7
45.8HardHit%38.7
29.1WAR18.2

Pitching Matchup
Carlos RodonCristian Javier
28G4
28GS4
164.1IP16
5.9IP/G4
15W1
7L1
76.4LOB%62.5
Carlos RodonCristian Javier
9.69K/99
3.67BB/95.06
16.5K/BB%10.4
42.4GB%22
41.7FB%58.5
1.04HR/90.56
11.1HR/FB%4.2
Carlos RodonCristian Javier
0.232BABIP0.2
3.18ERA3.38
3.29xERA2.73
3.84FIP3.83
3.93xFIP5.32
1.08WHIP1.13
3.93SIERA5.04
2.6WAR0.4

Bullpen Matchup
YankeesAstros
3.3BPU/G3.17
3.5IP/G3.5
23W31
30L18
35SV40
21BS12
69.7LOB%75.7
YankeesAstros
9.46K/910.4
3.76BB/93.48
14.7K/BB%18.3
45.5GB%33.5
36.3FB%46.9
1.17HR/91.25
13HR/FB%11.5
YankeesAstros
0.288BABIP0.28
4.31ERA3.75
4.11FIP3.92
3.95xFIP3.97
1.31WHIP1.22
3.71SIERA3.42
2.7WAR5