Twins @ Yankees [ Yankees -146 / 8.5 ]

Twins | 54-62 (46.6%) Joe Ryan (R) | 11-5 | WHIP: 0.92 | ERA: 2.79
Yankees | 64-56 (53.3%) Cam Schlittler (R) | 1-2 | WHIP: 1.66 | ERA: 4.38

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Twins
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:1
Est. fair odds: -111 to -124
Implied win prob: 52.61% to 55.36%
Yankees
Starting Pitcher:
0/4
Bullpen:
3/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-1
Est. fair odds: +111 to +124
Implied win prob: 44.64% to 47.39%
Twins Situational Notes

Yankees Situational Notes

Twins Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/14MIN [ 0 ]TBD (-)MIN -
DET -		-DET [ 0 ]Tarik Skubal (L)
8/13NYY [ 0 ]Cam Schlittler (R)MIN +124
NYY -146		8.5MIN [ 0 ]Joe Ryan (R)
8/12NYY [ 9 ]Carlos Rodon (L)MIN +184
NYY -215		9MIN [ 1 ]Travis Adams (R)
8/11NYY [ 6 ]Will Warren (R)MIN +144
NYY -168		9MIN [ 2 ]Zebby Matthews (R)
8/10MIN [ 5 ]Jose Urena (R)MIN +102
KCR -108		9.5KCR [ 3 ]Ryan Bergert (R)
8/9MIN [ 0 ]Bailey Ober (R)MIN -100
KCR -118		8.5KCR [ 2 ]Noah Cameron (L)
8/8MIN [ 9 ]Joe Ryan (R)MIN -136
KCR +116		8.5KCR [ 4 ]Seth Lugo (R)
8/6DET [ 4 ]Jack Flaherty (R)MIN +108
DET -205		7.5MIN [ 9 ]Pierson Ohl (R)
8/5DET [ 3 ]Chris Paddack (R)MIN +120
DET -142		8.5MIN [ 6 ]Zebby Matthews (R)
8/4DET [ 6 ]Casey Mize (R)MIN +138
DET -178		8MIN [ 3 ]Travis Adams (R)
Yankees Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/15STL [ 0 ]Andre Pallante (R)NYY -
STL -		-NYY [ 0 ]TBD (-)
8/13NYY [ 0 ]Cam Schlittler (R)NYY -146
MIN +124		8.5MIN [ 0 ]Joe Ryan (R)
8/12NYY [ 9 ]Carlos Rodon (L)NYY -220
MIN +180		9MIN [ 1 ]Travis Adams (R)
8/11NYY [ 6 ]Will Warren (R)NYY -172
MIN +142		9MIN [ 2 ]Zebby Matthews (R)
8/10NYY [ 1 ]Max Fried (L)NYY -210
HOU +184		9HOU [ 7 ]Jason Alexander (R)
8/9NYY [ 5 ]Luis Gil (R)NYY -110
HOU -106		8.5HOU [ 4 ]Framber Valdez (L)
8/8NYY [ 3 ]Cam Schlittler (R)NYY -118
HOU -100		7.5HOU [ 5 ]Hunter Brown (R)
8/6TEX [ 2 ]Jack Leiter (R)NYY -138
TEX +112		8NYY [ 3 ]Carlos Rodon (L)
8/5TEX [ 2 ]Nathan Eovaldi (R)NYY +114
TEX -126		8NYY [ 0 ]Will Warren (R)
8/4TEX [ 8 ]Patrick Corbin (L)NYY -154
TEX +118		8NYY [ 5 ]Max Fried (L)

Joe Ryan Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/8MIN [ 9 ]KCR [ 4 ]-1368.55504111Seth Lugo (R)
8/1CLE [ 3 ]MIN [ 2 ]10276415022Gavin Williams (R)
7/26MIN [ 3 ]WSN [ 9 ]-2408.55516145Mitchell Parker (L)
7/20COL [ 1 ]MIN [ 7 ]-24010.50000000German Marquez (R)
7/11MIN [ 2 ]PIT [ 1 ]-14475525011Paul Skenes (R)
4.23.80.840.41.61.8
Cam Schlittler Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/8NYY [ 3 ]HOU [ 5 ]-1187.55317122Hunter Brown (R)
8/2MIA [ 2 ]NYY [ 0 ]-11885624222Eury Perez (R)
7/28NYY [ 2 ]TBR [ 4 ]-1308.54.33547133Drew Rasmussen (R)
7/22TOR [ 4 ]NYY [ 5 ]10490000000Max Scherzer (R)
7/9NYY [ 9 ]SEA [ 6 ]-1629.55.33724233Logan Evans (R)
3.934.21.84.41.222
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Joe Ryan F510-7-5 (58.8%)4-4-2 (50%)5-1-2 (83.3%)1-0-0 (100%)0-2-1 (0%)
Joe Ryan11-11 (50%)5-5 (50%)5-3 (62.5%)1-0 (100%)0-3 (0%)
Cam Schlittler F52-3-0 (40%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Cam Schlittler2-3 (40%)1-2 (33.3%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Joe Ryan F56-14-2 (30%)3-5-2 (37.5%)2-6-0 (25%)0-1-0 (0%)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Joe Ryan6-14-2 (30%)5-4-1 (55.6%)1-7-0 (12.5%)0-1-0 (0%)0-2-1 (0%)
Cam Schlittler F53-2-0 (60%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Cam Schlittler2-2-1 (50%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-1-1 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Twins vs. RHP F538-44-20 (46.3%)17-19-5 (47.2%)9-11-3 (45%)2-4-0 (33.3%)8-10-10 (44.4%)
Twins vs. RHP49-53 (48%)23-18 (56.1%)11-12 (47.8%)2-4 (33.3%)11-17 (39.3%)
Yankees vs. RHP F551-31-13 (62.2%)26-12-7 (68.4%)16-16-4 (50%)3-1-0 (75%)6-2-1 (75%)
Yankees vs. RHP52-43 (54.7%)28-17 (62.2%)17-19 (47.2%)3-1 (75%)3-6 (33.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Twins vs. RHP F550-42-7 (54.3%)20-14-6 (58.8%)10-13-0 (43.5%)4-2-0 (66.7%)13-12-1 (52%)
Twins vs. RHP48-49-5 (49.5%)21-18-2 (53.8%)9-13-1 (40.9%)3-3-0 (50%)12-14-2 (46.2%)
Yankees vs. RHP F542-42-6 (50%)13-24-5 (35.1%)21-13-1 (61.8%)3-1-0 (75%)4-4-0 (50%)
Yankees vs. RHP42-49-4 (46.2%)17-27-1 (38.6%)18-17-1 (51.4%)3-1-0 (75%)4-4-1 (50%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Joe Ryan11-11 (50%)4-6 (40%)5-3 (62.5%)1-0 (100%)1-2 (33.3%)
Twins54-67 (44.6%)18-32 (36%)10-16 (38.5%)3-5 (37.5%)23-14 (62.2%)
Cam Schlittler2-3 (40%)1-2 (33.3%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)
Yankees53-66 (44.5%)27-28 (49.1%)16-31 (34%)3-2 (60%)7-5 (58.3%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Joe Ryan10-12 (45.5%)4-6 (40%)3-5 (37.5%)0-1 (0%)3-0 (100%)
Twins64-61 (51.2%)22-28 (44%)17-9 (65.4%)2-6 (25%)21-16 (56.8%)
Cam Schlittler5-0 (100%)3-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)
Yankees67-54 (55.4%)32-23 (58.2%)23-24 (48.9%)2-3 (40%)9-3 (75%)


Batting Matchup
TwinsYankees
119TG120
4.2R/G5.1
140HR190
0.239AVG0.25
58SB88
22CS25
TwinsYankees
0.159ISO0.197
0.282BABIP0.287
0.31OBP0.329
0.398SLG0.447
0.31wOBA0.334
97wRC+115
TwinsYankees
7.9BB%9.9
22.2K%22.6
0.35BB/K0.44
8.9Barrel%11.1
42.8HardHit%45.4
10.7WAR23.5

Pitching Matchup
Joe RyanCam Schlittler
23G5
22GS5
132.1IP24.2
5.7IP/G4.8
11W1
5L2
80.4LOB%89.3
Joe RyanCam Schlittler
9.93K/98.76
1.7BB/94.38
23.4K/BB%10.8
36.3GB%40.5
48.9FB%37.8
1.02HR/92.19
9.2HR/FB%21.4
Joe RyanCam Schlittler
0.256BABIP0.338
2.79ERA4.38
3.16xERA5.22
3.19FIP5.9
3.58xFIP4.46
0.92WHIP1.66
3.17SIERA4.52
3.3WAR-0.1

Bullpen Matchup
TwinsYankees
3.44BPU/G3.32
3.8IP/G3.6
22W20
27L25
22SV31
16BS17
70.1LOB%70.3
TwinsYankees
8.76K/99.29
3.2BB/93.88
14.2K/BB%14
44.5GB%45.2
34.6FB%37
0.93HR/91.18
10.1HR/FB%13
TwinsYankees
0.321BABIP0.279
4.41ERA4.22
3.73FIP4.16
3.93xFIP3.99
1.38WHIP1.3
3.68SIERA3.74
4.9WAR1.6