Tigers @ White Sox [ White Sox +106 / 8.5 ]

Tigers | 69-52 (57%) Troy Melton (R) | 2-1 | WHIP: 1.04 | ERA: 3.63
White Sox | 43-76 (36.1%) Shane Smith (R) | 3-7 | WHIP: 1.29 | ERA: 4.22

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Tigers
Starting Pitcher:
0/4
Bullpen:
0/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:0
Est. fair odds: -110 to +110
Implied win prob: 47.62% to 52.38%
White Sox
Starting Pitcher:
0/4
Bullpen:
0/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:0
Est. fair odds: -110 to +110
Implied win prob: 47.62% to 52.38%
Tigers Situational Notes

White Sox Situational Notes

Tigers Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/14MIN [ 0 ]TBD (-)DET -
MIN -		-DET [ 0 ]Tarik Skubal (L)
8/13CHW [ 0 ]Shane Smith (R)DET -124
CHW +106		8.5DET [ 0 ]Troy Melton (R)
8/12CHW [ 9 ]Yoendrys Gomez (R)DET -172
CHW +148		8.5DET [ 6 ]Jack Flaherty (R)
8/11CHW [ 1 ]Elvis Peguero (R)DET -138
CHW +128		8.5DET [ 2 ]Chris Paddack (R)
8/10DET [ 9 ]Casey Mize (R)DET -200
LAA +154		9LAA [ 5 ]Jack Kochanowicz (R)
8/9DET [ 4 ]Charlie Morton (R)DET -134
LAA +114		8.5LAA [ 7 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)
8/8DET [ 6 ]Tarik Skubal (L)DET -295
LAA +240		7.5LAA [ 5 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)
8/6DET [ 4 ]Jack Flaherty (R)DET -126
MIN +172		7.5MIN [ 9 ]Pierson Ohl (R)
8/5DET [ 3 ]Chris Paddack (R)DET -142
MIN +120		8.5MIN [ 6 ]Zebby Matthews (R)
8/4DET [ 6 ]Casey Mize (R)DET -164
MIN +144		8MIN [ 3 ]Travis Adams (R)
White Sox Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/15KCR [ 0 ]Noah Cameron (L)CHW -
KCR -		-CHW [ 0 ]TBD (-)
8/13CHW [ 0 ]Shane Smith (R)CHW +106
DET -124		8.5DET [ 0 ]Troy Melton (R)
8/12CHW [ 9 ]Yoendrys Gomez (R)CHW +144
DET -176		8.5DET [ 6 ]Jack Flaherty (R)
8/11CHW [ 1 ]Elvis Peguero (R)CHW +118
DET -152		8.5DET [ 2 ]Chris Paddack (R)
8/10CHW [ 6 ]Davis Martin (R)CHW +118
CLE -126		8.5CLE [ 4 ]Slade Cecconi (R)
8/9CHW [ 1 ]Sean Burke (R)CHW +112
CLE -132		8.5CLE [ 3 ]Joey Cantillo (L)
8/8CHW [ 5 ]Aaron Civale (R)CHW +110
CLE -130		8CLE [ 9 ]Tanner Bibee (R)
8/7SEA [ 4 ]Logan Gilbert (R)CHW +235
SEA -295		7.5CHW [ 3 ]Shane Smith (R)
8/6SEA [ 8 ]George Kirby (R)CHW +215
SEA -270		7.5CHW [ 6 ]Jonathan Cannon (R)
8/5SEA [ 8 ]Bryan Woo (R)CHW +205
SEA -250		7.5CHW [ 3 ]Davis Martin (R)

Troy Melton Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/28DET [ 5 ]ARI [ 1 ]-1328.57505000Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
7/23PIT [ 6 ]DET [ 1 ]-13695727266Bailey Falter (L)
6616133
Shane Smith Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/7SEA [ 4 ]CHW [ 3 ]2357.55814122Logan Gilbert (R)
8/1LAA [ 3 ]CHW [ 6 ]1169.54.33442122Tyler Anderson (L)
7/11CHW [ 2 ]CLE [ 4 ]-1048.53502222Logan Allen (R)
7/11CHW [ 0 ]CLE [ 0 ]1228.50000000Gavin Williams (R)
7/6COL [ 6 ]CHW [ 4 ]-120114.33225155Chase Dollander (R)
3.333.81.42.612.22.2
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Troy Melton F51-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Troy Melton1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Shane Smith F58-9-4 (47.1%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)3-2-3 (60%)4-6-1 (40%)
Shane Smith5-16 (23.8%)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)1-7 (12.5%)4-7 (36.4%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Troy Melton F50-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Troy Melton0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Shane Smith F59-10-1 (47.4%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)3-4-0 (42.9%)5-5-1 (50%)
Shane Smith10-10-1 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)6-2-0 (75%)4-6-1 (40%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Tigers vs. RHP F541-35-12 (53.9%)21-13-6 (61.8%)7-9-4 (43.8%)3-3-0 (50%)9-10-1 (47.4%)
Tigers vs. RHP49-39 (55.7%)25-15 (62.5%)11-9 (55%)3-3 (50%)8-12 (40%)
White Sox vs. RHP F531-39-24 (44.3%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-1 (0%)18-13-16 (58.1%)12-25-7 (32.4%)
White Sox vs. RHP32-62 (34%)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)20-27 (42.6%)11-33 (25%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Tigers vs. RHP F543-40-4 (51.8%)22-13-4 (62.9%)10-10-0 (50%)3-3-0 (50%)8-12-0 (40%)
Tigers vs. RHP51-33-4 (60.7%)21-15-4 (58.3%)13-7-0 (65%)3-3-0 (50%)13-7-0 (65%)
White Sox vs. RHP F535-50-6 (41.2%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)14-31-1 (31.1%)20-17-5 (54.1%)
White Sox vs. RHP44-47-3 (48.4%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)25-20-2 (55.6%)19-24-1 (44.2%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Troy Melton1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Tigers56-64 (46.7%)26-26 (50%)12-19 (38.7%)6-4 (60%)12-15 (44.4%)
Shane Smith9-11 (45%)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)2-6 (25%)7-4 (63.6%)
White Sox72-51 (58.5%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)38-26 (59.4%)34-23 (59.6%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Troy Melton2-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Tigers55-67 (45.1%)24-28 (46.2%)13-18 (41.9%)6-4 (60%)12-15 (44.4%)
Shane Smith10-11 (47.6%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)4-4 (50%)4-7 (36.4%)
White Sox66-58 (53.2%)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)32-32 (50%)32-25 (56.1%)


Batting Matchup
TigersWhite Sox
121TG120
4.8R/G3.9
157HR118
0.251AVG0.229
51SB74
13CS19
TigersWhite Sox
0.174ISO0.14
0.3BABIP0.276
0.317OBP0.301
0.424SLG0.369
0.322wOBA0.295
105wRC+86
TigersWhite Sox
8.1BB%8.7
23.6K%22.7
0.34BB/K0.38
9.6Barrel%7.9
40.4HardHit%41.2
18.8WAR3.5

Pitching Matchup
Troy MeltonShane Smith
4G20
2GS20
17.1IP96
4.3IP/G4.8
2W3
1L7
79.7LOB%68.6
Troy MeltonShane Smith
7.79K/98.72
2.08BB/93.94
16.4K/BB%12.3
43.8GB%40.1
43.8FB%37.8
1.56HR/91.03
14.3HR/FB%10.9
Troy MeltonShane Smith
0.244BABIP0.275
3.63ERA4.22
3.37xERA4.33
4.32FIP4.31
3.9xFIP4.41
1.04WHIP1.29
3.75SIERA4.34
0.1WAR1.2

Bullpen Matchup
TigersWhite Sox
3.08BPU/G3.18
3.8IP/G4.1
27W20
16L34
32SV17
15BS17
70.3LOB%75.6
TigersWhite Sox
7.64K/98.32
3.2BB/93.98
11.5K/BB%11.2
46.1GB%38.9
34.2FB%41.2
1.15HR/90.98
12.6HR/FB%9.3
TigersWhite Sox
0.281BABIP0.281
4.18ERA3.76
4.31FIP4.17
4.18xFIP4.52
1.29WHIP1.32
3.96SIERA4.13
0.5WAR3.1