Phillies @ Reds [ Reds +120 / 8.5 ]

Phillies | 69-50 (58%) Cristopher Sanchez (L) | 11-3 | WHIP: 1.08 | ERA: 2.36
Reds | 63-59 (51.6%) Hunter Greene (R) | 4-3 | WHIP: 0.97 | ERA: 2.72

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Phillies
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:1
Est. fair odds: -111 to -124
Implied win prob: 52.61% to 55.36%
Reds
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:-1
Est. fair odds: +111 to +124
Implied win prob: 44.64% to 47.39%
Phillies Situational Notes

Reds Situational Notes

Phillies Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/14WSN [ 0 ]TBD (-)PHI -
WSN -		-PHI [ 0 ]TBD (-)
8/13CIN [ 0 ]Hunter Greene (R)PHI -142
CIN +120		8.5PHI [ 0 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)
8/12CIN [ 6 ]Brady Singer (R)PHI -154
CIN +122		9PHI [ 1 ]Ranger Suarez (L)
8/11CIN [ 1 ]Andrew Abbott (L)PHI +106
CIN -132		9.5PHI [ 4 ]Taijuan Walker (R)
8/10TEX [ 2 ]Patrick Corbin (L)PHI -154
TEX +138		7.5PHI [ 4 ]Zack Wheeler (R)
8/9TEX [ 2 ]Jacob deGrom (R)PHI +114
TEX -134		7PHI [ 3 ]Jesus Luzardo (L)
8/8TEX [ 1 ]Merrill Kelly (R)PHI -132
TEX +112		7.5PHI [ 9 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)
8/6PHI [ 1 ]Ranger Suarez (L)PHI -158
BAL +154		8BAL [ 5 ]Trevor Rogers (L)
8/5PHI [ 5 ]Taijuan Walker (R)PHI -142
BAL +120		9.5BAL [ 0 ]Dean Kremer (R)
8/4PHI [ 13 ]Jesus Luzardo (L)PHI -200
BAL +172		9BAL [ 3 ]Cade Povich (L)
Reds Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/15CIN [ 0 ]Nick Martinez (R)CIN -
MIL -		-MIL [ 0 ]TBD (-)
8/13CIN [ 0 ]Hunter Greene (R)CIN +120
PHI -142		8.5PHI [ 0 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)
8/12CIN [ 6 ]Brady Singer (R)CIN +130
PHI -144		9PHI [ 1 ]Ranger Suarez (L)
8/11CIN [ 1 ]Andrew Abbott (L)CIN -124
PHI +112		9.5PHI [ 4 ]Taijuan Walker (R)
8/10PIT [ 8 ]Mike Burrows (R)CIN -106
PIT -110		8.5CIN [ 14 ]Zack Littell (R)
8/9PIT [ 1 ]Braxton Ashcraft (R)CIN -108
PIT -108		8CIN [ 2 ]Nick Martinez (R)
8/8PIT [ 3 ]Mitch Keller (R)CIN -124
PIT +106		7.5CIN [ 2 ]Chase Burns (R)
8/7PIT [ 7 ]Paul Skenes (R)CIN +144
PIT -168		7.5CIN [ 0 ]Brady Singer (R)
8/6CHC [ 6 ]Cade Horton (R)CIN +120
CHC -136		7.5CIN [ 1 ]Andrew Abbott (L)
8/5CHC [ 1 ]Shota Imanaga (L)CIN +150
CHC -184		8CIN [ 5 ]Zack Littell (R)

Cristopher Sanchez Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/8TEX [ 1 ]PHI [ 9 ]-1327.56616011Merrill Kelly (R)
8/3PHI [ 2 ]DET [ 0 ]-19088615000Charlie Morton (R)
7/28CHW [ 6 ]PHI [ 2 ]-2158.56.67517244Davis Martin (R)
7/22PHI [ 4 ]BOS [ 1 ]-1988.50000000Richard Fitts (R)
7/13SDP [ 1 ]PHI [ 2 ]000000000Nick Pivetta (R)
4.133.40.63.60.411
Hunter Greene Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/3CIN [ 4 ]MIL [ 2 ]-11685735122Freddy Peralta (R)
5/28KCR [ 3 ]CIN [ 2 ]-1187.50000000Noah Cameron (L)
5/23CIN [ 6 ]CHC [ 13 ]-1028.54223122Matthew Boyd (L)
5/7ATL [ 3 ]CIN [ 4 ]-1127.53602000Grant Holmes (R)
5/2CIN [ 6 ]WSN [ 1 ]-1648.561222111Mitchell Parker (L)
3.65.41.42.40.611
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cristopher Sanchez F512-5-6 (70.6%)6-0-3 (100%)5-4-2 (55.6%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-1 (0%)
Cristopher Sanchez17-6 (73.9%)8-1 (88.9%)8-3 (72.7%)1-0 (100%)0-2 (0%)
Hunter Greene F55-3-3 (62.5%)2-1-1 (66.7%)0-1-1 (0%)2-0-0 (100%)1-1-1 (50%)
Hunter Greene6-5 (54.5%)3-1 (75%)1-1 (50%)0-2 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cristopher Sanchez F59-13-0 (40.9%)4-5-0 (44.4%)4-6-0 (40%)1-0-0 (100%)0-2-0 (0%)
Cristopher Sanchez8-15-0 (34.8%)3-6-0 (33.3%)4-7-0 (36.4%)1-0-0 (100%)0-2-0 (0%)
Hunter Greene F57-3-1 (70%)2-1-1 (66.7%)1-1-0 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Hunter Greene3-8-0 (27.3%)0-4-0 (0%)0-2-0 (0%)2-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Phillies vs. RHP F545-24-15 (65.2%)18-7-7 (72%)18-9-3 (66.7%)4-3-0 (57.1%)3-5-5 (37.5%)
Phillies vs. RHP53-31 (63.1%)23-9 (71.9%)19-11 (63.3%)3-4 (42.9%)6-7 (46.2%)
Reds vs. LHP F511-13-10 (45.8%)4-2-0 (66.7%)0-3-2 (0%)3-3-2 (50%)3-5-6 (37.5%)
Reds vs. LHP16-18 (47.1%)4-2 (66.7%)1-4 (20%)4-4 (50%)6-8 (42.9%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Phillies vs. RHP F533-43-3 (43.4%)15-16-0 (48.4%)11-14-2 (44%)5-2-0 (71.4%)1-11-0 (8.3%)
Phillies vs. RHP34-45-5 (43%)15-17-0 (46.9%)11-16-3 (40.7%)5-2-0 (71.4%)3-10-0 (23.1%)
Reds vs. LHP F515-16-3 (48.4%)3-2-1 (60%)2-3-0 (40%)4-3-1 (57.1%)5-8-1 (38.5%)
Reds vs. LHP14-19-1 (42.4%)1-4-1 (20%)2-3-0 (40%)3-5-0 (37.5%)7-7-0 (50%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cristopher Sanchez15-8 (65.2%)6-3 (66.7%)6-5 (54.5%)1-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)
Phillies60-57 (51.3%)23-26 (46.9%)21-23 (47.7%)3-4 (42.9%)13-4 (76.5%)
Hunter Greene6-5 (54.5%)3-1 (75%)1-1 (50%)0-2 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)
Reds61-57 (51.7%)14-22 (38.9%)6-11 (35.3%)15-8 (65.2%)26-16 (61.9%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cristopher Sanchez10-13 (43.5%)3-6 (33.3%)6-5 (54.5%)1-0 (100%)0-2 (0%)
Phillies52-67 (43.7%)23-26 (46.9%)17-27 (38.6%)3-4 (42.9%)8-9 (47.1%)
Hunter Greene6-5 (54.5%)2-2 (50%)0-2 (0%)2-0 (100%)2-1 (66.7%)
Reds59-62 (48.8%)20-16 (55.6%)9-8 (52.9%)12-11 (52.2%)16-26 (38.1%)


Batting Matchup
PhilliesReds
119TG121
4.7R/G4.5
143HR121
0.254AVG0.247
98SB87
21CS26
PhilliesReds
0.163ISO0.144
0.298BABIP0.3
0.325OBP0.318
0.417SLG0.391
0.323wOBA0.311
105wRC+94
PhilliesReds
8.7BB%8.7
21.3K%22.9
0.41BB/K0.38
8.9Barrel%7
42.4HardHit%37.7
17.9WAR10.8

Pitching Matchup
Cristopher SanchezHunter Greene
23G11
23GS11
144.2IP59.2
6.3IP/G5.4
11W4
3L3
83.1LOB%88.6
Cristopher SanchezHunter Greene
9.39K/911.01
2.18BB/92.11
19.9K/BB%24.9
57.6GB%26.7
23.9FB%52.7
0.62HR/91.36
10.8HR/FB%11.7
Cristopher SanchezHunter Greene
0.291BABIP0.252
2.36ERA2.72
3.02xERA2.98
2.77FIP3.42
2.84xFIP3.41
1.08WHIP0.97
3.07SIERA3.14
4.1WAR1.5

Bullpen Matchup
PhilliesReds
3.05BPU/G3.38
3.2IP/G3.5
23W21
18L21
32SV29
16BS15
72LOB%71.4
PhilliesReds
8.67K/98.29
3.24BB/94.1
14.1K/BB%10.7
38.2GB%41.1
40.7FB%38.8
1.26HR/91.11
12HR/FB%11.1
PhilliesReds
0.29BABIP0.265
4.24ERA3.99
4.17FIP4.36
4.12xFIP4.44
1.31WHIP1.32
3.78SIERA4.16
2.6WAR2.2